mahnamahna
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Posts posted by mahnamahna
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12 hours ago, GiantCALBears said:
DM3 & Spidey are on the way to save the day plus you got what's left of WW.
TF5 is just paying the price for three consecutive poorly-made, 150-165 minute sequels to the original 2007 crowdpleaser.
I wouldn't be shocked if WW and Cars 3 both remain above $30 million+ this weekend since TF5 is looking to do $35 million OW.
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1 minute ago, aabattery said:
Started off today with Empire of the Sun. Pretty damn good, but it isn't gonna be first on my list (sorry @Goffe).
Also watched Innerspace. Was interesting to see Martin Short (of Captain Ron fame). This movie was nuts. The whole thing got sillier and sillier by the minute. I had fun with it.
I've now seen 23 movies from 1987, so I'm getting there. I think I started off with 5; not a bad effort in my humble opinion. Dunno what the last two will be. Probably Last Emperor for one but I'm drawing a blank on what the final one should be.
Au Revoir Les Enfants, Wings of Desire, Withnail & I and Cry Freedom are all ones on my radar to see before June 23rd (Empire of the Sun and Last Emperor, too). I'd also consider Radio Days if you're looking for something short (86 minutes).
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5 minutes ago, Mojoguy said:
WB should go for the 40m estimate, no one cares if the actuals for the 3rd weekend end up being 1 or 2m lower
Based on the past two weekends, WB will probably lowball it at $39.5-40.5 million only for actuals to show it did $1-2 million more on Sunday
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4 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:
If it makes you feel better, Dory only missed 500M because it was kicked hard in the ovaries by SLOP. This year, since there have been multiple instances of two movies w/the same audience sharing room for each other just fine, I think Wondy won't really be hurt by Spidey.
That being said, 400M, as awesome as it would be for it (and Guardians 2, c'mon) to hit the mark, may be a bit too high. But then again, considering how it's holding in its 3rd weekend, it's far from impossible to happen.
$400 million DOM would require quite a lot.
$41.6 million 3rd weekend ($275.4 million 17-day)
$24.5 million 4th weekend ($312.5 million 24-day)
$16 million 5th weekend ($345 million 31-day)
$8 million 6th weekend ($362 million 38-day)
$5 million 7th weekend ($372 million 45-day)
$3 million 8th weekend ($378 million 52-day)
$2 million 9th weekend ($382 million 59-day)
$1 million 10th weekend ($384 million 66-day)
$388-391 million DOM
Unless it only drops 35-40% against Spidey (not likely since it'll be the oldest major release still drawing a decent audience by July 7th, meaning it'll lose screens and be moved to smaller auditoriums) and has the same holds as I mentioned above, I don't see how it goes much higher than $390 million DOM
Of course, it's spent its entire run defying box-office precedents, so it might be past $350 million DOM by July 1st
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31 minutes ago, druv10 said:
It's going to have sub 30% drop this weekend and should have another great hold next weekend. It's a WOM monster and usually competition have very little impact on them. It might drop 50% when SMH opens but it should easily recover after that.
Even with a $40.5 million 3rd weekend ($274 million 17-day), $380 million is a tough order. It needs to do more than MoS's 2nd weekend for $380 million+ DOM to be a distinct possibility.
$23 million 4th weekend ($317 million 24-day)
$15 million 5th weekend ($347 million 31-day)
$7.5 million 6th weekend ($363 million 38-day)
$4 million 7th weekend ($371 million 45-day)
$2 million 8th weekend ($375 million 52-day)
$380-385 million DOM
The farther it gets into its run, the less screens it'll have, so it'll be harder to have sub-45% drops once it gets into July.
Best case is probably:
$43.5 million ($277 million 17-day)
$26 million ($326 million 24-day)
$17.5 million ($361 million 31-day)
$8.5 million ($379 million 38-day)
$4.5 million ($388 million 45-day)
$2 million ($392 million 52-day)
$397-400 million DOM
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Spoiler
6/23-6/25
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $36 million ($68 million)
- Cars 3: $29 million ($109 million)
- Wonder Woman: $22.5 million ($313 million)
- All Eyez on Me: $14.5 million ($62 million)
- The Mummy: $7 million ($69 million)
- 47 Meters Down: $5 million ($20 million)
- Captain Underpants: $4.5 million ($67 million)
- Rough Night: $4.5 million ($18 million)
- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $3 million ($155 million)
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $2 million ($379 million)
6/30-7/2
- Despicable Me 3: $107 million
- The House: $31 million
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $15.5 million ($100 million)
- Wonder Woman: $14 million ($340 million)
- Cars 3: $12 million ($134 million)
- Baby Driver: $7.5 million ($12 million)
- All Eyez on Me: $7 million ($75 million)
- The Mummy: $4 million ($77 million)
- Rough Night: $2 million ($22 million)
- 47 Meters Down: $2 million ($24 million)
7/7-7/9
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $123 million
- Despicable Me 3: $50 million ($209 million)
- The House: $16.5 million ($63 million)
- Cars 3: $8 million ($150 million)
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $7 million ($115 million)
- Wonder Woman: $6.5 million ($354 million)
- Baby Driver: $4.5 million ($21 million)
- All Eyez on Me: $3 million ($81 million)
- The Mummy: $1.5 million ($80 million)
- Rough Night: $1.5 million ($25 million)
7/14-7/16
- War for the Planet of the Apes: $73 million
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $49 million ($222 million)
- Despicable Me 3: $24 million ($258 million)
- The House: $10.5 million ($83 million)
- Cars 3: $6 million ($162 million)
- Wish Upon: $5 million
- Wonder Woman: $3.5 million ($361 million)
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $3 million ($121 million)
- Baby Driver: $2.5 million ($26 million)
- All Eyez on Me: $1.5 million ($84 million)
7/21-7/23
- Dunkirk: $46.5 million
- War for the Planet of the Apes: $33.5 million ($140 million)
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $24 million ($271 million)
- Girls Trip: $23.5 million
- Despicable Me 3: $14.5 million ($287 million)
- Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets: $12 million
- The House: $5.5 million ($94 million)
- Cars 3: $4 million ($170 million)
- Wish Upon: $2 million ($9 million)
- Wonder Woman: $2 million ($365 million)
7/28-7/30
- The Emoji Movie: $43 million
- Dunkirk: $30.5 million ($106 million)
- War for the Planet of the Apes: $19.5 million ($178 million)
- Girls Trip: $15 million ($52 million)
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $13 million ($297 million)
- Atomic Blonde: $12 million
- Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets: $6 million ($24 million)
- Despicable Me 3: $5.5 million ($298 million)
- The House: $4 million ($102 million)
- Cars 3: $1.5 million ($173 million)
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1 hour ago, zackzack said:
I want Pixar to win but...
it looks like Cars 3 will be Pixar's 2nd lowest grossing title just above The Good Dinosaur.
Using Cars 2 multiplier, Number 3 may end up with less than $150M.
In the age of dying fossil fuel economy, may they should do an electric vehicle theme next time.
I don't know, Cars 3 could still perform well over the weekend and unless it does below $50 million OW, I don't see how it misses $150 million DOM. Even with a 60-65% drop against DM3, it should still hold steady as a good #2 option for kids throughout July (25-35% drops for the first three weekends of July likely based on past Pixar June releases)
I think it'll do $155-175 million DOM - respectable numbers considering how loathed Cars 2 was
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31 minutes ago, a2knet said:
Am going very optimistic to see if 40 weekend is possible. Doesn't look likely.
6 (-5%)
10.2 (+70%)
14.3 (+40%)
14.5
39 3rd weekend
I think it can get a little higher in terms of very optimistic
6.4 (+1%)
11.2 (+75%)
16.3 (+45%)
15.1 (-7.5%)
$42.6 million 3rd weekend (could finish anywhere between $33 million-$43 million this weekend)
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56 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:
can WW become the leggiest superhero film of all time ???
There's a good chance IMO
$39 million ($273 million)
$22 million ($313 million)
$13.5 million ($341 million)
$6 million ($354 million)
$3 million ($360 million)
$1.5 million ($363 million)
$1 million ($365 million)
$372 million DOM
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$6.2 million ($234.1 million 14-day total)
$10.5 million
$14.8 million
$13.5 million
$38.8 million 3rd weekend ($272.9 million 17-day total)
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This should move to August 18th or November 22nd. I'd even say December 1st or 8th could work since Star Wars Episode VIII won't hurt it as much as it will other films (Thor 3, Justice League, Coco).
October 6th has two releases that may both do $25 million+ OW, plus Flatliners, American Made, Ninjago and Kingsman 2 will all be in 2,000+ theaters, still. Not to mention mother! comes out the following week (potentially stealing the adult-skewing drama audience). And October 20th has 6 releases, plus Goodbye Christopher Robin may go wide on October 27th.
It's better, but there's simply too many films in the late September-late October period for this to be the best choice in a release date.
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Time to revise predictions a little bit
SpoilerCurrent $100 million+ DOM grossers:
- Split
- The LEGO Batman Movie
- Fifty Shades Darker
- Get Out
- Logan
- Kong - Skull Island
- Beauty & the Beast
- The Boss Baby
- The Fate of the Furious
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales
- Wonder Woman
Possible $100 million+ DOM grossers:
- Cars 3
- Transformers - The Last Knight
- Despicable Me 3
- Spider-Man - Homecoming
- War for the Planet of the Apes
- The House
- Dunkirk
- The Emoji Movie
- The Dark Tower
- Girls Trip
- The Hitman's Bodyguard
- IT
- Kingsman - The Golden Circle
- Blade Runner 2049
- Ninjago
- The Mountain Between Us
- Thor - Ragnorak
- Murder on the Orient Express
- The Star
- Justice League
- Coco
- Star Wars - The Last Jedi
- Jumanji - Welcome to the Jungle
- Pitch Perfect 3
- The Greatest Showman
- The Post
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2 hours ago, a2knet said:
55-60 ow / 2.75x / 151-165 dom
If it is better than Cars2 as far as GA is concerned, beating Cars2's 2.9x still might be tough considering Sunday is Father's Day and will inflate the ow. Not to mention early Thu previews that Cars2 didn't have to the same degree. Also additional sequelitis. DM3 is following it soon.
I don't see Cars 3 missing a 3x. It's significantly better than Cars 2 and even animated sequels with middling reception usually have decent legs Along with summer weekdays, I think it'll still get a 3x.
$57 million
$30 million ($115 million)
$13.5 million ($143 million)
$8.5 million ($160 million)
$5.5 million ($171 million)
$3.5 million ($178 million)
$1.5 million ($181 million)
$1 million ($183 million)
$188-190 million DOM
That's not even a particularly leggy run, but it's still good for more than a 3x.
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My list of films seen has gone up some:
Spoiler- Three Men and a Baby
- Fatal Attraction
- Good Morning, Vietnam
- Moonstruck
- The Untouchables
- The Secret of My Success
- Stakeout
- Lethal Weapon
- Dirty Dancing
- Throw Momma From the Train
- Dragnet
- La Bamba
- Robocop
- Broadcast News
- Planes, Trains and Automobiles
- Full Metal Jacket
- Wall Street
- Mannequin
- Roxanne
- Blind Date
- The Running Man
- Spaceballs
- Summer School
- Adventures in Babysitting
- *batteries not included
- Can't Buy Me Love
- The Princess Bride
- Harry and the Hendersons
- Overboard
- Baby Boom
- Innerspace
- Ernest Goes to Camp
- Raising Arizona
- Some Kind of Wonderful
- Radio Days
- Hamburger Hill
- Less Than Zero
- The Chipmunk Adventure
- The Brave Little Toaster
- Babette's Feast
- Project A, Part 2
And here are the ones I hope to see before June 23rd:
Spoiler- Au Revoir Les Enfants
- Brightness
- Wings of Desire
- A Chinese Ghost Story
- Red Sorghum
- The Dead
- Housekeeping
- Predator
- The Living Daylights
- The Last Emperor
- Empire of the Sun
- My Life as a Dog
- Hope & Glory
- The Hidden
- Extreme Prejudice
- Evil Dead 2
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Spoiler
6/16-6/18
- Cars 3: $57.5 million
- Wonder Woman: $37.5 million ($269 million)
- All Eyez on Me: $24 million
- Rough Night: $18 million
- The Mummy: $14.5 million ($59 million)
- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $7 million ($149 million)
- Captain Underpants - The First Epic Movie: $6.5 million ($56 million)
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $5 million ($376 million)
- 47 Meters Down: $3.5 million
- It Comes At Night: $3 million ($11 million)
6/23-6/25
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $46 million ($71 million)
- Cars 3: $30 million ($119 million)
- Wonder Woman: $21.5 million ($311 million)
- Rough Night: $11.5 million ($39 million)
- All Eyez on Me: $9.5 million ($43 million)
- The Mummy: $7 million ($72 million)
- Captain Underpants - The First Epic Movie: $4 million ($64 million)
- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $3 million ($155 million)
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $2 million ($380 million)
- 47 Meters Down: $1.5 million ($6 million)
6/30-7/2
- Despicable Me 3: $107 million
- The House: $35 million
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $20 million ($111 million)
- Cars 3: $13.5 million ($148 million)
- Wonder Woman: $13 million ($337 million)
- Baby Driver: $8 million ($13 million)
- Rough Night: $5 million ($49 million)
- All Eyez on Me: $4 million ($51 million)
- The Mummy: $3 million ($78 million)
- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $1.5 million ($158 million)
7/7-7/9
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $124 million
- Despicable Me 3: $50.5 million ($210 million)
- The House: $19.5 million ($72 million)
- Cars 3: $9 million ($166 million)
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $8 million ($128 million)
- Wonder Woman: $6 million ($349 million)
- Baby Driver: $5 million ($23 million)
- Rough Night: $3.5 million ($56 million)
- All Eyez on Me: $2 million ($55 million)
- The Mummy: $1.5 million ($81 million)
7/14-7/16
- War for the Planet of the Apes: $73.5 million
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $52 million ($228 million)
- Despicable Me 3: $25 million ($261 million)
- The House: $12 million ($95 million)
- Cars 3: $6.5 million ($179 million)
- Wish Upon: $4 million
- Wonder Woman: $3.5 million ($356 million)
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $3 million ($134 million)
- Baby Driver: $2.5 million ($28 million)
- Rough Night: $2 million ($60 million)
7/21-7/23
- Dunkirk: $47 million
- War for the Planet of the Apes: $33 million ($138 million)
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $24 million ($276 million)
- Girls Trip: $23.5 million
- Despicable Me 3: $14.5 million ($289 million)
- Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets: $12 million
- The House: $5.5 million ($106 million)
- Cars 3: $4.5 million ($188 million)
- Wonder Woman: $2 million ($360 million)
- Wish Upon: $1.5 million ($7 million)
7/28-7/30
- The Emoji Movie: $42.5 million
- Dunkirk: $31 million ($106 million)
- War for the Planet of the Apes: $20 million ($176 million)
- Girls Trip: $15.5 million ($52 million)
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $13 million ($302 million)
- Atomic Blonde: $11.5 million
- Despicable Me 3: $6 million ($302 million)
- Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets: $5 million ($22 million)
- The House: $4 million ($113 million)
- Cars 3: $1.5 million ($191 million)
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12 minutes ago, YourMother said:
The Memorial Day spot is bad news for Solo.
The only reason Memorial Day has done terrible in recent years has been due to lackluster releases. 2011 and 2013 did solid numbers because their Memorial Day releases were either highly-anticipated or high-quality.
Han Solo will likely break the Memorial Day 3-day and 4-day records if it stays there ($150 million 3-day, $180-185 million 4-day)
Deadpool 2 is the film in the most trouble next summer. Avengers 2 and Han Solo eating up tentpole demand the month before, Incredibles 2 and Jurassic World 2 taking up screens the month after. I wouldn't be shocked at 'only' $250-275 million DOM unless one of the above films moves (Han Solo the likely culprit) and Deadpool 2 takes Memorial Day for itself.
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A reasonably optimistic prediction based on WW's excellent 2nd weekend hold ($55-58 million):
$36.5 million ($273 million)
$19 million ($308 million)
$11.5 million ($330 million)
$5 million ($341 million)
$2.5 million ($346 million)
$1 million ($349 million)
$355 million DOM
Of course, it could hold slightly better its 3rd and 4th weekends ($38 million/$278 million, $21 million/$317 million), in which case $375 million DOM would be a distinct possibility.
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Depending on its Father's Day weekend hold, Wonder Woman could finish anywhere from $295 million-$345 million DOM. $350 million+ DOM would require something special over Father's Day weekend (25-30% drop) along with a sub-50% drop against TF5.
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Spoiler
6/16-6/18
- Cars 3: $57 million
- Wonder Woman: $37.5 million ($276 million)
- All Eyez on Me: $22 million
- Rough Night: $16 million
- The Mummy: $13.5 million ($59 million)
- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $6.5 million ($148 million)
- Captain Underpants: $6 million ($58 million)
- It Comes At Night: $5 million ($20 million)
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $4 million ($373 million)
- Baywatch: $2.5 million ($55 million)
6/23-6/25
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $50 million ($85 million)
- Cars 3: $34 million ($124 million)
- Wonder Woman: $20 million ($313 million)
- Rough Night: $10.5 million ($37 million)
- All Eyez on Me: $9 million ($40 million)
- The Mummy: $5 million ($70 million)
- Captain Underpants: $4 million ($66 million)
- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $3 million ($154 million)
- It Comes At Night: $3 million ($26 million)
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $2 million ($377 million)
6/30-7/2
- Despicable Me 3: $107 million
- The House: $32 million
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $20.5 million ($126 million)
- Cars 3: $14.5 million ($152 million)
- Wonder Woman: $12.5 million ($338 million)
- Baby Driver: $8 million ($13 million)
- Rough Night: $5 million ($47 million)
- All Eyez on Me: $4 million ($48 million)
- The Mummy: $2.5 million ($75 million)
- Captain Underpants: $1.5 million ($69 million)
7/7-7/9
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $127 million
- Despicable Me 3: $50 million ($209 million)
- The House: $18 million ($67 million)
- Cars 3: $9 million ($169 million)
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $7.5 million ($142 million)
- Baby Driver: $5 million ($23 million)
- Wonder Woman: $5 million ($349 million)
- Rough Night: $3.5 million ($54 million)
- All Eyez on Me: $2.5 million ($53 million)
- The Mummy: $1 million ($70 million)
7/14-7/16
- War for the Planet of the Apes: $74 million
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $54 million ($236 million)
- Despicable Me 3: $23 million ($255 million)
- The House: $11 million ($89 million)
- Cars 3: $6 million ($180 million)
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $4 million ($150 million)
- Baby Driver: $3.5 million ($30 million)
- Wonder Woman: $2.5 million ($354 million)
- Rough Night: $2 million ($58 million)
- All Eyez on Me: $1.5 million ($56 million)
7/21-7/23
- Dunkirk: $47.5 million
- War for the Planet of the Apes: $33 million ($139 million)
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $25 million ($287 million)
- Girls Trip: $23 million
- Despicable Me 3: $14 million ($282 million)
- Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets: $12.5 million
- The House: $5 million ($99 million)
- Cars 3: $4 million ($187 million)
- Baby Driver: $2 million ($34 million)
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $1.5 million ($153 million)
7/28-7/30
- The Emoji Movie: $44 million
- Dunkirk: $31.5 million ($109 million)
- War for the Planet of the Apes: $20 million ($178 million)
- Girls Trip: $15 million ($53 million)
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $14 million ($314 million)
- Atomic Blonde: $11 million
- Despicable Me 3: $6 million ($294 million)
- Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets: $5 million ($22 million)
- The House: $3.5 million ($106 million)
- An Inconvenient Sequel: $3 million
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Assuming a $50 million 2nd weekend, I'd say it's on pace for $300 million+ DOM.
$31 million 3rd weekend ($258 million)
$16.5 million 4th weekend ($291 million)
$10 million 5th weekend ($310 million)
$4 million 6th weekend ($319 million)
$2 million 7th weekend ($323 million)
$1 million 8th weekend ($325 million)
If it holds slightly better over its 2nd and 3rd weekends, it could even finish ahead of BvS DOM.
It should be #5 DOM for the year unless DM3 does better than the expected $280-320 million DOM.
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Avengers 3/Han Solo/Deadpool 2/Incredibles 2/Jurassic World 2 are a strong enough quintet that I'd almost say a club could be started for those five films grossing more than SM3/Shrek 3/POTC3/TF1/HP5 adjusted.
2018 ($2.09 billion)
Han Solo: $175 million 4-day/$480 million DOM
Avengers - Infinity War: $195 million/$470 million DOM
Jurassic World 2: $165 million/$430 million DOM
The Incredibles 2: $125 million/$395 million DOM
Deadpool 2: $120 million/$315 million DOM
vs.
2007 ($2.04 billion)
SM3: $195 million/$430 million DOM
Shrek 3: $155 million/$415 million DOM
Transformers: $200 million 6-day/$410 million DOM
POTC 3: $180 million 4-day/$400 million DOM
Harry Potter 5: $180 million 5-day/$375 million DOM
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Spoiler
6/9-6/11
- Wonder Woman: $47 million ($187 million)
- The Mummy: $34.5 million
- Captain Underpants: $16.5 million ($53 million)
- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $11 million ($134 million)
- It Comes At Night: $10 million
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $5.5 million ($365 million)
- Baywatch: $4.5 million ($49 million)
- Megan Leavey: $3.5 million
- Everything, Everything: $2 million ($31 million)
- Alien - Covenant: $1.5 million ($70 million)
6/16-6/18
- Cars 3: $68.5 million
- All Eyez on Me: $37 million
- Wonder Woman: $26.5 million ($238 million)
- Rough Night: $18 million
- The Mummy: $16.5 million ($65 million)
- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $8 million ($148 million)
- Captain Underpants: $7 million ($68 million)
- It Comes At Night: $5.5 million ($20 million)
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $4.5 million ($373 million)
- Baywatch: $2.5 million ($53 million)
6/23-6/25
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $53 million ($88 million)
- Cars 3: $37 million ($141 million)
- All Eyez on Me: $16.5 million ($70 million)
- Wonder Woman: $13.5 million ($264 million)
- Rough Night: $11 million ($39 million)
- The Mummy: $7 million ($78 million)
- Captain Underpants: $5 million ($77 million)
- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $3.5 million ($155 million)
- It Comes At Night: $3 million ($26 million)
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $2 million ($377 million)
6/30-7/2
- Despicable Me 3: $108 million
- The House: $30 million
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $22.5 million ($133 million)
- Cars 3: $16 million ($174 million)
- Baby Driver: $8 million ($13 million)
- Wonder Woman: $7.5 million ($279 million)
- All Eyez on Me: $7 million ($83 million)
- Rough Night: $5 million ($48 million)
- The Mummy: $3.5 million ($85 million)
- Captain Underpants: $2 million ($81 million)
7/7-7/9
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $127.5 million
- Despicable Me 3: $50 million ($209 million)
- The House: $17 million ($63 million)
- Cars 3: $9.5 million ($192 million)
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $8 million ($150 million)
- Baby Driver: $5 million ($23 million)
- All Eyez on Me: $3.5 million ($90 million)
- Wonder Woman: $3 million ($285 million)
- Rough Night: $2.5 million ($53 million)
- The Mummy: $1.5 million ($88 million)
7/14-7/16
- War for the Planet of the Apes: $78.5 million
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $54 million ($236 million)
- Despicable Me 3: $23 million ($255 million)
- The House: $10 million ($82 million)
- Wish Upon: $6.5 million
- Cars 3: $6 million ($203 million)
- Baby Driver: $3.5 million ($30 million)
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $3 million ($156 million)
- All Eyez on Me: $2 million ($94 million)
- Wonder Woman: $1.5 million ($288 million)
7/21-7/23
- Dunkirk: $48.5 million
- War for the Planet of the Apes: $34 million ($147 million)
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $25 million ($287 million)
- Girls Trip: $23 million
- Despicable Me 3: $14 million ($282 million)
- Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets: $12 million
- The House: $4.5 million ($91 million)
- Cars 3: $4 million ($211 million)
- Wish Upon: $3 million ($12 million)
- Baby Driver: $2 million ($34 million)
7/28-7/30
- The Emoji Movie: $44 million
- Dunkirk: $31 million ($109 million)
- War for the Planet of the Apes: $20 million ($186 million)
- Girls Trip: $14.5 million ($51 million)
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $14 million ($314 million)
- Atomic Blonde: $11 million
- Despicable Me 3: $5 million ($292 million)
- Valerian and the City of an Thousand Planets: $4.5 million ($21 million)
- The House: $3 million ($97 million)
- An Inconvenient Sequel: $2.5 million
8/4-8/6
- The Dark Tower: $47 million
- The Emoji Movie: $26.5 million ($94 million)
- Dunkirk: $20.5 million ($148 million)
- Detroit: $16 million
- War for the Planet of the Apes: $10 million ($204 million)
- Girls Trip: $9.5 million ($69 million)
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $7.5 million ($329 million)
- Atomic Blonde: $6 million ($23 million)
- Despicable Me 3: $3.5 million ($299 million)
- Kidnap: $2.5 million
8/11-8/13
- Annabelle - Creation: $30 million
- The Dark Tower: $26 million ($95 million)
- The Emoji Movie: $16 million ($122 million)
- Dunkirk: $13.5 million ($172 million)
- The Glass Castle: $11 million
- The Nut Job 2 - Nutty by Nature: $10 million
- Detroit: $8 million ($30 million)
- Girls Trip: $7 million ($82 million)
- War for the Planet of the Apes: $6 million ($214 million)
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $5 million ($338 million)
8/18-8/20
- The Hitman's Bodyguard: $31 million
- The Dark Tower: $16.5 million ($121 million)
- Annabelle - Creation: $13.5 million ($52 million)
- The Emoji Movie: $10.5 million ($136 million)
- Dunkirk: $9.5 million ($187 million)
- The Glass Castle: $7.5 million ($22 million)
- The Nut Job 2 - Nutty by Nature: $6.5 million ($19 million)
- Girls Trip: $5.5 million ($91 million)
- Detroit: $4 million ($37 million)
- War for the Planet of the Apes: $3.5 million ($220 million)
8/25-8/27
- The Hitman's Bodyguard: $20 million ($63 million)
- All Saints: $16.5 million
- The Dark Tower: $11 million ($138 million)
- The Emoji Movie: $8 million ($146 million)
- Dunkirk: $7.5 million ($198 million)
- Annabelle - Creation: $7 million ($63 million)
- The Glass Castle: $5 million ($30 million)
- The Nut Job 2 - Nutty by Nature: $4.5 million ($25 million)
- Girls Trip: $4 million ($97 million)
- Tulip Fever: $3.5 million
9/1-9/4
- All Saints: $16 million/$21.5 million ($45 million)
- The Hitman's Bodyguard: $14 million/$17 million ($88 million)
- The Dark Tower: $9 million/$11 million ($153 million)
- The Emoji Movie: $7.5 million/$9.5 million ($158 million)
- Renegades: $7 million/$8.5 million
- Dunkirk: $6.5 million/$7.5 million ($209 million)
- The Glass Castle: $4.5 million/$5.25 million ($37 million)
- Annabelle - Creation: $4 million/$4.5 million ($70 million)
- Girls Trip: $3.5 million/$4 million ($103 million)
- The Nut Job 2 - Nutty by Nature: $3 million/$4 million ($30 million)
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5
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With how dead Memorial Day weekend was, Captain Underpants probably could have done Trolls/Boss Baby numbers if it released May 19th instead of Wimpy Kid 4.
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September-October 2017 has way too many action/thriller films IMO
Renegades
All I See Is You
American Assassin
The Solutrean
Friend Request
American Made
Flatliners
The Foreigner
Geostorm
Granite Mountain Hotshots
The Snowman
The Mountain Between Us
Cloverfield 3
And that doesn't include IT, Blade Runner 2049, Kingsman 2 and Ninjago (likely to be the top 4 films for the fall period)
American Made and Geostorm should have come out August 11th and September 1st, respectively. August is weak enough and Geostorm could easily break the Labor Day OW record with a good marketing campaign.
Hopefully one or two more move to different dates (December 8th as a platformer might work; MLK weekend as a wide opener could also work), because they'll all hurt each other's potential as the four above, My Little Pony and Boo! 2 take up quite a few screens.
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1
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it looks like Cars 3 will be Pixar's 2nd lowest grossing title just above The Good Dinosaur.
Weekend Prediction thread 5/17-5/19 Play the Derby
in Box Office Derby
Posted
6/23-6/25
6/30-7/2
7/7-7/9
7/14-7/16
7/21-7/23
7/28-7/30
8/4-8/6
8/11-8/13
8/18-8/20
8/25-8/27
9/1-9/4