mahnamahna
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Posts posted by mahnamahna
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4 hours ago, stripe said:
What an AWFUL May
Worst since 2006.
Next May looks pretty barren, too. Granted, there's two possible $425 million+ DOM performers there (Avengers 3, Han Solo), but I'd almost say Ocean's 8 and Barbie might be two films to consider moving into May (Ocean's 8 swapping with Life of the Party, Barbie as counterprogramming to Han Solo over Memorial Day weekend). Given how crowded May 2013 was, it would certainly be possible for those two films to thrive amidst heavy competition.
But next Memorial Day should be at least respectable in size. If Pirates 5 can do $75-80 million 4-day, Han Solo should at least do $130-150 million 4-day ($180-225 million 4-day being my initial range given SW7, Rogue One and the popularity of Lord/Miller's directorial style).
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Agreed.
June 2017 looks to be the most well-rounded June slate since 2012/2013 while July 2017 should be able to keep pace with past Julys. August 2017 will likely go near or even below August 2015's dismal numbers.
My guess:
SpoilerJune ($1.55 billion)
- Despicable Me 3: $110 million/$315 million
- Wonder Woman: $115 million/$310 million
- Cars 3: $70 million/$205 million
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $50 million 3-day/$80 million 5-day/$165 million
- The House: $35 million/$115 million
- Captain Underpants: $35 million/$110 million
- The Mummy: $40 million/$105 million
- All Eyez on Me: $35 million/$85 million
- Rough Night: $20 million/$70 million
- Baby Driver: $10 million/$40 million
- It Comes At Night: $10 million/$25 million
- 47 Meters Down: $2.5 million/$5 million
July ($1.16 billion)
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $130 million/$340 million
- Dunkirk: $55 million/$230 million
- War for the Planet of the Apes: $80 million/$220 million
- The Emoji Movie: $45 million/$165 million
- Girls Trip: $25 million/$110 million
- Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets: $15 million/$40 million
- Atomic Blonde: $10 million/$35 million
- Wish Upon: $5 million/$10 million
- An Inconvenient Sequel: $3 million/$10 million
August ($612 million)
- The Dark Tower: $50 million/$175 million
- The Hitman's Bodyguard: $30 million/$110 million
- All Saints: $15 million/$75 million
- Annabelle - Creation: $30 million/$70 million
- Detroit: $20 million/$60 million
- The Glass Castle: $10 million/$40 million
- The Nut Job 2 - Nutty by Nature: $10 million/$35 million
- Logan Lucky: $5 million/$10 million
- Tulip Fever: $4 million/$12.5 million
- Kidnap: $3.5 million/$7.5 million
- Crown Heights: $3 million/$6 million
- Birth of the Dragon: $3 million/$6 million
- Polaroid: $2.5 million/$5 million
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7 hours ago, grim22 said:
I remember following the box office on and off at that time and no one was giving it a chance to win the weekend. Pretty out of nowhere huge opening since everyone expected Matrix Reloaded to dominate its second weekend as well.
Sounds like Bruce Almighty was the American Sniper of comedies - just an out-of-nowhere monster OW in a genre that usually relies upon WOM.
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Spoiler
6/2-6/4
- Wonder Woman: $113 million
- Captain Underpants: $36.5 million
- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $23.5 million ($112 million)
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $11 million ($354 million)
- Baywatch: $8 million ($38 million)
- Alien - Covenant: $4.5 million ($68 million)
- Everything, Everything: $3.5 million ($30 million)
- Diary of a Wimpy Kid - The Long Haul: $2.5 million ($18 million)
- Snatched: $2 million ($44 million)
- King Arthur - Legend of the Sword: $1.5 million ($38 million)
6/9-6/11
- Wonder Woman: $48 million ($198 million)
- The Mummy: $37 million
- Captain Underpants: $22.5 million ($74 million)
- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $13 million ($136 million)
- It Comes At Night: $7 million
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $6 million ($364 million)
- Baywatch: $5 million ($47 million)
- Everything, Everything: $2.5 million ($34 million)
- Alien - Covenant: $2 million ($72 million)
- Diary of a Wimpy Kid - The Long Haul: $1.5 million ($20 million)
6/16-6/18
- Cars 3: $73 million
- All Eyez on Me: $34 million
- Wonder Woman: $25 million ($245 million)
- Rough Night: $21 million
- The Mummy: $19 million ($72 million)
- Captain Underpants: $8 million ($88 million)
- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $7.5 million ($149 million)
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $5 million ($373 million)
- Baywatch: $2.5 million ($52 million)
- Everything, Everything: $1.5 million ($37 million)
6/23-6/25
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $44 million ($75 million)
- Cars 3: $38 million ($147 million)
- Rough Night: $13 million ($45 million)
- All Eyez on Me: $12.5 million ($59 million)
- Wonder Woman: $12 million ($269 million)
- The Mummy: $9 million ($89 million)
- Captain Underpants: $6 million ($99 million)
- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $3.5 million ($156 million)
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $2.5 million ($378 million)
- Baywatch: $1.5 million ($55 million)
6/30-7/2
- Despicable Me 3: $107 million
- The House: $30.5 million
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $19.5 million ($113 million)
- Cars 3: $16 million ($180 million)
- Baby Driver: $8 million ($15 million)
- Rough Night: $7 million ($58 million)
- Wonder Woman: $6.5 million ($282 million)
- All Eyez on Me: $5.5 million ($69 million)
- The Mummy: $5 million ($98 million)
- Captain Underpants: $2 million ($103 million)
7/7-7/9
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $127 million
- Despicable Me 3: $50.5 million ($208 million)
- The House: $17.5 million ($66 million)
- Cars 3: $9.5 million ($200 million)
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $8 million ($128 million)
- Baby Driver: $4.5 million ($24 million)
- Rough Night: $4 million ($66 million)
- Wonder Woman: $2.5 million ($287 million)
- All Eyez on Me: $2.5 million ($74 million)
- The Mummy: $2 million ($102 million)
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6
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If Baywatch and Pirates 5 both underperform, at least June 2017 is looking strong and well-rounded.
- Wonder Woman looks to be in prime position to be the first major breakout hit this year (possible $125 million+ OW) since Alien and Pirates 5 aren't wowing audiences and Captain Underpants may get a $30-40 million OW solely by being the first major kids movie since March 31st.
- The Mummy should at least do ID42 numbers if it's not awful. Add in OS and it'll at least be enough not to be a bomb.
- Cars 3 should improve on Cars 2 since early screenings are pointing to it being the best film of the series while both All Eyez on Me and Rough Night have a lot of sleeper hit potential.
- Transformers 5 should ride the July 4th holiday to $150-170 million DOM - considering its huge appeal OS, that'll still result in the $750 million+ WW necessary for a 6th film to get the greenlight.
- While they'll make most of their money in July, Despicable Me 3 should at least come close to Minions and finish above the original. $275-325 million DOM is a solid finish while The House could either bomb hard or be the first comedy to do $100 million DOM this summer. Baby Driver is niche, so Nice Guys numbers are about where I expect it to go.
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Since Alien and Baywatch seem likely to miss the mark, I guess it's time to update projections:
Spoiler- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $180 million
- Wonder Woman: $285 million
- Captain Underpants: $105 million
- The Mummy: $110 million
- Cars 3: $215 million
- All Eyez on Me: $100 million
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $150 million
- Despicable Me 3: $310 million
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $355 million
- War for the Planet of the Apes: $225 million
- Dunkirk: $210 million
- The Emoji Movie: $160 million
- The Dark Tower: $155 million
- Girls Trip: $105 million
- The Hitman's Bodyguard: $100 million
- IT: $165 million
- Ninjago: $120 million
- Kingsman - The Golden Circle: $125 million
- Blade Runner 2049: $185 million
- Thor - Ragnorak: $275 million
- The Star: $245 million
- Murder on the Orient Express: $135 million
- Justice League: $305 million
- Coco: $235 million
- Star Wars - The Last Jedi: $875 million
- Pitch Perfect 3: $115 million
- Jumanji - Welcome to the Jungle: $170 million
- The Greatest Showman: $105 million
- The Post: $100 million
Spoiler- Star Wars - The Last Jedi
- Beauty & the Beast
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
- Spider-Man - Homecoming
- Despicable Me 3
- Justice League
- Wonder Woman
- Thor - Ragnorak
- The Star
- Coco
- Logan
- The Fate of the Furious
- War for the Planet of the Apes
- Cars 3
- Dunkirk
- Blade Runner 2049
- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales
- Get Out
- The LEGO Batman Movie
- The Boss Baby
- Jumanji - Welcome to the Jungle
- Kong - Skull Island
- IT
- The Emoji Movie
- The Dark Tower
- Transformers - The Last Knight
- Split
- Murder on the Orient Express
- Kingsman - The Golden Circle
- Ninjago
- Pitch Perfect 3
- Fifty Shades Darker
- The Mummy
- Captain Underpants
- The Greatest Showman
- Girls Trip
- The Hitman's Bodyguard
- The Post
- All Eyez on Me
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On 5/19/2017 at 8:34 PM, Amadeus said:
haha... welcome to BOT, the place where TDKR is #1 2012
I don't think Star Wars/CEO3K are equivalent to TDKR
but I agree #1-#3 will almost always be a summer blockbuster or the Best Picture winner from that year.
1997 makes more sense to do next before 1977, though, since they're easier to access via streaming, cable and the $3.74 bin at Wal-Mart.
Although I'd prefer 1982, 1992 or 2002 myself. Maybe we'll get around to a year ending in 2 soon?
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Spoiler
5/26-5/29
- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $63.5 million/$78 million
- Baywatch: $32 million/$39 million ($48 million)
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $22.5 million/$28.5 million ($342 million)
- Alien - Covenant: $16 million/$20 million ($65 million)
- Everything, Everything: $7.5 million/$9 million ($24 million)
- Diary of a Wimpy Kid - The Long Haul: $5 million/$6.5 million ($15 million)
- Snatched: $4.5 million/$5.5 million ($41 million)
- King Arthur - Legend of the Sword: $3.5 million/$4.25 million ($33 million)
- The Boss Baby: $2 million/$2.75 million ($169 million)
- The Fate of the Furious: $1.5 million/$2 million ($222 million)
6/2-6/4
- Wonder Woman: $106 million
- Captain Underpants: $34.5 million
- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $20 million ($104 million)
- Baywatch: $14 million ($68 million)
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $10 million ($355 million)
- Alien - Covenant: $6.5 million ($74 million)
- Everything, Everything: $4 million ($29 million)
- Diary of a Wimpy Kid - The Long Haul: $2.5 million ($18 million)
- Snatched: $2 million ($44 million)
- King Arthur - Legend of the Sword: $1.5 million ($35 million)
6/9-6/11
- Wonder Woman: $43 million ($181 million)
- The Mummy: $41 million
- Captain Underpants: $20 million ($66 million)
- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $9 million ($120 million)
- Baywatch: $8 million ($82 million)
- It Comes At Night: $7.5 million
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $5.5 million ($364 million)
- Megan Leavett: $2.5 million
- Alien - Covenant: $2.5 million ($79 million)
- Everything, Everything: $2.5 million ($33 million)
6/16-6/18
- Cars 3: $73.5 million
- All Eyez on Me: $41.5 million
- Wonder Woman: $22 million ($222 million)
- The Mummy: $18 million ($75 million)
- Rough Night: $14.5 million
- Captain Underpants: $8.5 million ($82 million)
- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $6.5 million ($131 million)
- Baywatch: $5 million ($91 million)
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $4 million ($371 million)
- It Comes At Night: $3.5 million ($14 million)
6/23-6/25
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $52 million ($85 million)
- Cars 3: $38 million ($149 million)
- All Eyez on Me: $16.5 million ($74 million)
- Wonder Woman: $10.5 million ($242 million)
- Rough Night: $9 million ($31 million)
- The Mummy: $8 million ($90 million)
- Captain Underpants: $6 million ($93 million)
- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $3 million ($137 million)
- Baywatch: $3 million ($96 million)
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $2 million ($375 million)
6/30-7/2
- Despicable Me 3: $108 million
- The House: $32 million
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $23 million ($130 million)
- Cars 3: $15.5 million ($182 million)
- Baby Driver: $10 million ($20 million)
- All Eyez on Me: $7 million ($88 million)
- Wonder Woman: $5.5 million ($253 million)
- The Mummy: $4 million ($98 million)
- Rough Night: $3.5 million ($38 million)
- Captain Underpants: $2 million ($97 million)
7/7-7/9
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $127.5 million
- Despicable Me 3: $50.5 million ($209 million)
- The House: $18 million ($67 million)
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $10 million ($151 million)
- Cars 3: $9 million ($199 million)
- Baby Driver: $6 million ($31 million)
- All Eyez on Me: $3.5 million ($95 million)
- Wonder Woman: $2 million ($257 million)
- Rough Night: $2 million ($42 million)
- The Mummy: $1.5 million ($101 million)
7/14-7/16
- War for the Planet of the Apes: $78 million
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $54 million ($236 million)
- Despicable Me 3: $23 million ($254 million)
- The House: $11 million ($88 million)
- Cars 3: $6 million ($211 million)
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $4.5 million ($159 million)
- Baby Driver: $4 million ($38 million)
- Wish Upon: $3.5 million
- All Eyez on Me: $2 million ($99 million)
- Rough Night: $1.5 million ($45 million)
7/21-7/23
- Dunkirk: $50.5 million
- War for the Planet of the Apes: $34 million ($145 million)
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $25 million ($285 million)
- Girls Trip: $22.5 million
- Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets: $14 million
- Despicable Me 3: $13.5 million ($281 million)
- The House: $5 million ($98 million)
- Cars 3: $4 million ($217 million)
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $2 million ($163 million)
- Baby Driver: $2 million ($42 million)
7/28-7/30
- The Emoji Movie: $42 million
- Dunkirk: $33 million ($114 million)
- War for the Planet of the Apes: $20.5 million ($185 million)
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $14.5 million ($313 million)
- Girls Trip: $13.5 million ($50 million)
- Atomic Blonde: $11 million
- Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets: $5.5 million ($26 million)
- Despicable Me 3: $5 million ($292 million)
- An Inconvenient Sequel: $3.5 million
- The House: $3 million ($103 million)
8/4-8/6
- The Dark Tower: $47 million
- The Emoji Movie: $26 million ($91 million)
- Dunkirk: $20.5 million ($152 million)
- Detroit: $15 million
- War for the Planet of the Apes: $10 million ($203 million)
- Girls Trip: $9.5 million ($68 million)
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $8 million ($327 million)
- Atomic Blonde: $5.5 million ($22 million)
- Despicable Me 3: $3.5 million ($298 million)
- Kidnap: $3 million
8/11-8/13
- Annabelle - Creation: $30 million
- The Dark Tower: $25.5 million ($93 million)
- The Emoji Movie: $15.5 million ($117 million)
- Dunkirk: $13 million ($174 million)
- The Nut Job 2 - Nutty by Nature: $9.5 million
- The Glass Castle: $9 million
- Girls Trip: $7 million ($81 million)
- Detroit: $6.5 million ($28 million)
- War for the Planet of the Apes: $6 million ($214 million)
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $5 million ($336 million)
8/18-8/20
- The Hitman's Bodyguard: $24 million
- The Dark Tower: $15.5 million ($117 million)
- Annabelle - Creation: $12.5 million ($51 million)
- The Emoji Movie: $10 million ($130 million)
- Dunkirk: $9.5 million ($189 million)
- The Glass Castle: $6.5 million ($20 million)
- The Nut Job 2 - Nutty by Nature: $6 million ($17 million)
- Girls Trip: $5 million ($89 million)
- War for the Planet of the Apes: $4 million ($220 million)
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $3.5 million ($342 million)
8/25-8/27
- All Saints: $16 million
- The Hitman's Bodyguard: $15 million ($48 million)
- The Dark Tower: $10 million ($133 million)
- The Emoji Movie: $7.5 million ($140 million)
- Dunkirk: $7 million ($200 million)
- Annabelle - Creation: $6.5 million ($61 million)
- The Glass Castle: $5 million ($28 million)
- Tulip Fever: $4 million
- The Nut Job 2 - Nutty by Nature: $4 million ($22 million)
- Girls Trip: $3.5 million ($94 million)
9/1-9/4
- All Saints: $15 million/$20.5 million ($43 million)
- The Hitman's Bodyguard: $10 million/$12.5 million ($65 million)
- The Dark Tower: $7.5 million/$9 million ($145 million)
- Renegades: $7 million/$8.5 million
- The Emoji Movie: $6.5 million/$8.5 million ($150 million)
- Dunkirk: $5.5 million/$6.5 million ($209 million)
- Annabelle - Creation: $4 million/$4.75 million ($68 million)
- The Glass Castle: $4 million/$4.75 million
- Leap!: $3.5 million/$4.5 million ($6 million)
- Girls Trip: $3 million/$3.5 million ($99 million)
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$20 million OW
$65 million DOM
With how empty August is, this could surprise us all and perform like a mini-Kingsman ($80-105 million DOM) if it gets good WOM.
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I didn't realize how many 1987 films I've yet to see until I made a running list (in order by runtime):
Spoiler- The Monster Squad - 82 minutes
- The Dead - 83 minutes
- Radio Days - 86 minutes
- Evil Dead 2 - 87 minutes
- Throw Momma From the Train - 88 minutes
- Mannequin - 90 minutes
- Red Sorghum - 91 minutes
- Flowers in the Attic - 92 minutes
- Over the Top - 93 minutes
- Some Kind of Wonderful - 94 minutes
- Blind Date - 95 minutes
- A Chinese Ghost Story - 98 minutes
- Dirty Dancing - 100 minutes
- My Life as a Dog - 101 minutes
- Au Revoir Les Enfants - 104 minutes
- Brightness - 105 minutes
- Dragnet - 106 minutes
- Master of the Universe - 106 minutes
- Predator - 107 minutes
- Roxanne - 107 minutes
- Withnail & I - 107 minutes
- La Bamba - 109 minutes
- Hamburger Hill - 110 minutes
- The Secret of My Success - 111 minutes
- Overboard - 112 minutes
- Hope & Glory - 113 minutes
- Housekeeping - 116 minutes
- Innerspace - 121 minutes
- Wings of Desire - 128 minutes
- The Living Daylights - 131 minutes
- Empire of the Sun - 152 minutes
- Cry Freedom - 157 minutes
- The Last Emperor - 219 minutes
I'll have seen over 50 if I actually complete this whole list by June 23rd (10-15 being my goal).
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2 hours ago, nomyth said:
This month has been so weak outside of GOTG and I'm really starting to doubt next week as well. Looks like it's continuing the streak of weak Memorial Day weekends.
oh well. Leaves the market wide open for WW to explode.
It leaves room for June in general to explode.
June 2017's lineup is arguably stronger/more well-rounded than June 2012/June 2013.
Despicable Me 3: $105 million/$310 million
Wonder Woman: $100 million/$255 million
Cars 3: $70 million/$220 million
Transformers - The Last Knight: $50 million 3-day/$80 million 5-day/$165 million
The Mummy: $40 million/$110 million
Captain Underpants: $35 million/$100 million
All Eyez on Me: $35 million/$90 million
The House: $25 million/$85 million
Rough Night: $15 million/$50 million
Baby Driver: $10 million 3-day/$17.5 million 5-day/$45 million
It Comes At Night: $10 million/$30 million
Megan Leavitt: $3.5 million/$7.5 million
That would be roughly $1.5 billion if you add in all the limited/platform releases. Considering there's no JW or Dory-sized mega-blockbuster on the horizon unless DM3/WW surprise us all, that's a remarkably balanced slate.
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Even with bad legs, Alien should finish at $80-85 million DOM.
It might hold better than I'm predicting for next weekend, though ($15 million/$19 million). POTC 5 isn't really in its target demo and neither is Baywatch. GotG Vol. 2 is family-oriented and the other releases aren't making enough to make an impact.
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A
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (A+)
Split (A)
Logan (A-)
B
The LEGO Batman Movie (B+)
The Case for Christ (B+)
Monster Trucks (B-)
C
Going in Style (C)
SpoilerTo see
January
A Dog's Purpose
February
A United Kingdom
Get Out
March
Before I Fall
Kong - Skull Island
Beauty & the Beast
Power Rangers
The Boss Baby
The Zookeeper's Wife
April
Gifted
May
Strangely... none (already seen GotG Vol. 2)
June
Wonder Woman
Captain Underpants
The Mummy
Cars 3
Despicable Me 3
The Book of Henry
My Cousin Rachel
July
Spider-Man - Homecoming
War for the Planet of the Apes
Dunkirk
Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets
A Ghost Story
August
The Dark Tower
Detroit
All Saints
The Glass Castle
September
Ninjago
The Solutrean
Samson
Battle of the Sexes
October
2017 Cloverfield Movie
mother!
Blade Runner 2049
The Snowman
Geostorm
Granite Mountain
November
Coco
Thor - Ragnorak
The Star
Murder on the Orient Express
Goodbye Christopher Robin
Wonder
December
The Disaster Artist
Ferdinand
Star Wars - The Last Jedi
Jumanji - Welcome to the Jungle
The Post
The Greatest Showman
Untitled PTA
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If it weren't for Cars 3 two weeks later and DM3 four weeks later, this could probably do $120-150 million DOM. Now Angry Birds/Epic numbers are probably the ceiling since it'll drop 55%+ its 3rd and 5th weekends.
Fox should have swapped this with Wimpy OR released it over Memorial Day weekend.
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8 hours ago, lab276 said:
An uninteresting week IMO. They need to start opening stronger movies in the second week of May, The Great Gatsby opened to $50m in IM3's second weekend, I don't know why everyone seems to be so scared of the Marvel movies and giving them unnecessary space. It sucks the momentum out of the box office. Compare it to March, when Logan was followed by Kong which was followed by Beauty and the Beast which was followed by Power Rangers which was followed by Boss Baby and Ghost in the Shell. The market will totally expand for movies people want to see.
They're following that model from May 26 until August 4th.
May 26th: POTC5 ($70 million+ 4-day) and Baywatch ($30 million+ 4-day)
June 2nd: Wonder Woman ($75 million+ OW) and Captain Underpants ($25 million+ OW)
June 9th: The Mummy ($40 million+ OW)
June 16th: Cars 3 ($55 million+ OW) and All Eyez on Me ($20 million+ OW)
June 23rd: Transformers 4 ($45 million+ OW/$70 million+ 5-day)
June 30th: Despicable Me 3 ($95 million+ OW) and The House ($25 million+ OW)
July 7th: Spider-Man - Homecoming ($110 million+ OW)
July 14th: War for the Planet of the Apes ($70 million+ OW)
July 21st: Dunkirk ($40 million+ OW) and Girls Trip ($20 million+ OW)
July 28th: The Emoji Movie ($35 million+ OW)
August 4th: The Dark Tower ($40 million+ OW)
Other than the last four weekends of summer, everything looks solid from Memorial Day on. At the very least, June 2017 is much stronger than last June's lineup (Dory being the only film to finish above $130 million DOM vs. a possible 4 releases doing it this June - WW, Cars 3, TF5, DM3)
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Spoiler
5/19-5/21
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $38.5 million ($305 million)
- Alien - Covenant: $37.5 million
- Everything, Everything: $16 million
- Snatched: $10 million ($35 million)
- Diary of a Wimpy Kid - The Long Haul: $7.5 million
- King Arthur - Legend of the Sword: $6.5 million ($27 million)
- Beauty & the Beast: $3.5 million ($499 million)
- The Boss Baby: $3 million ($166 million)
- The Fate of the Furious: $3 million ($219 million)
- How to Be a Latin Lover: $2 million ($29 million)
5/26-5/29
- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $77.5 million/$95 million
- Baywatch: $31 million/$38 million ($47 million)
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $26 million/$33 million ($351 million)
- Alien - Covenant: $17 million/$21.5 million ($69 million)
- Everything, Everything: $10 million/$12 million ($33 million)
- Snatched: $6 million/$7.5 million ($45 million)
- Diary of a Wimpy Kid - The Long Haul: $6 million/$7.5 million ($17 million)
- King Arthur - Legend of the Sword: $3.5 million/$4.25 million ($33 million)
- Beauty & the Beast: $2.5 million/$3 million ($503 million)
- The Boss Baby: $2 million/$2.5 million ($169 million)
6/2-6/4
- Wonder Woman: $98 million
- Captain Underpants: $34.5 million
- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $25 million ($120 million)
- Baywatch: $14 million ($67 million)
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $11 million ($366 million)
- Alien - Covenant: $7.5 million ($80 million)
- Everything, Everything: $5 million ($40 million)
- Snatched: $3 million ($49 million)
- Diary of a Wimpy Kid - The Long Haul: $3 million ($21 million)
- King Arthur - Legend of the Sword: $1.5 million ($35 million)
6/9-6/11
- The Mummy: $42 million
- Wonder Woman: $39 million ($167 million)
- Captain Underpants: $20 million ($67 million)
- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $14 million ($145 million)
- Baywatch: $9 million ($83 million)
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $6 million ($377 million)
- Alien - Covenant: $4 million ($87 million)
- It Comes At Night: $3.5 million
- Everything, Everything: $3 million ($45 million)
- Snatched: $2 million ($52 million)
6/16-6/18
- Cars 3: $74 million
- All Eyez on Me: $42.5 million
- Wonder Woman: $20 million ($205 million)
- The Mummy: $19 million ($78 million)
- Rough Night: $12.5 million
- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $9 million ($162 million)
- Captain Underpants: $8.5 million ($84 million)
- Baywatch: $5.5 million ($93 million)
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $5 million ($386 million)
- Alien - Covenant: $2 million ($91 million)
6/23-6/25
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $48 million ($75 million)
- Cars 3: $39.5 million ($151 million)
- All Eyez on Me: $17 million ($76 million)
- Wonder Woman: $11 million ($226 million)
- The Mummy: $10 million ($97 million)
- Rough Night: $7.5 million ($26 million)
- Captain Underpants: $5.5 million ($95 million)
- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $5 million ($172 million)
- Baywatch: $3.5 million ($100 million)
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $2.5 million ($391 million)
6/30-7/2
- Despicable Me 3: $109 million
- The House: $35 million
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $21 million ($116 million)
- Cars 3: $17 million ($185 million)
- Baby Driver: $11.5 million ($18 million)
- All Eyez on Me: $7.5 million ($91 million)
- Wonder Woman: $5.5 million ($237 million)
- The Mummy: $5 million ($107 million)
- Rough Night: $4 million ($34 million)
- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $2.5 million ($177 million)
7/7-7/9
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $127 million
- Despicable Me 3: $50.5 million ($210 million)
- The House: $20 million ($74 million)
- Cars 3: $9.5 million ($203 million)
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $7 million ($129 million)
- Baby Driver: $6 million ($29 million)
- All Eyez on Me: $3 million ($96 million)
- Wonder Woman: $2.5 million ($241 million)
- Rough Night: $2 million ($38 million)
- The Mummy: $1.5 million ($110 million)
7/14-7/16
- War for the Planet of the Apes: $79.5 million
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $53 million ($233 million)
- Despicable Me 3: $23 million ($255 million)
- The House: $12.5 million ($98 million)
- Wish Upon: $6.5 million
- Cars 3: $6 million ($214 million)
- Baby Driver: $3.5 million ($36 million)
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $2.5 million ($134 million)
- Wonder Woman: $1.5 million ($244 million)
- Rough Night: $1 million ($40 million)
7/21-7/23
- Dunkirk: $50.5 million
- War for the Planet of the Apes: $34 million ($147 million)
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $24 million ($280 million)
- Girls Trip: $22.5 million
- Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets: $15 million
- Despicable Me 3: $13 million ($280 million)
- The House: $6 million ($110 million)
- Cars 3: $4 million ($222 million)
- Wish Upon: $2.5 million ($11 million)
- Baby Driver: $2 million ($40 million)
7/28-7/30
- The Emoji Movie: $44 million
- Dunkirk: $33 million ($113 million)
- War for the Planet of the Apes: $20.5 million ($186 million)
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $15 million ($310 million)
- Girls Trip: $13.5 million ($48 million)
- Atomic Blonde: $9 million
- Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets: $7 million ($29 million)
- An Inconvenient Sequel: $4 million
- The House: $3 million ($116 million)
- Cars 3: $1.5 million ($225 million)
8/4-8/6
- The Dark Tower: $47 million
- The Emoji Movie: $27 million ($95 million)
- Dunkirk: $21.5 million ($153 million)
- Detroit: $13 million
- War for the Planet of the Apes: $11 million ($207 million)
- Girls Trip: $9 million ($65 million)
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $8.5 million ($327 million)
- Atomic Blonde: $4 million ($17 million)
- Kidnap: $3.5 million
- Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets: $3 million ($35 million)
8/11-8/13
- Annabelle - Creation: $30.5 million
- The Dark Tower: $26 million ($93 million)
- The Emoji Movie: $15 million ($119 million)
- Dunkirk: $12.5 million ($175 million)
- The Nut Job 2 - Nutty by Nature: $11 million
- The Glass Castle: $8 million
- Girls Trip: $7 million ($77 million)
- Detroit: $6 million ($24 million)
- War for the Planet of the Apes: $5.5 million ($217 million)
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $4.5 million ($335 million)
8/18-8/20
- The Hitman's Bodyguard: $22 million
- The Dark Tower: $15 million ($116 million)
- Annabelle - Creation: $11 million ($49 million)
- The Emoji Movie: $10 million ($134 million)
- Dunkirk: $9 million ($190 million)
- The Nut Job 2 - Nutty by Nature: $6.5 million ($21 million)
- The Glass Castle: $5.5 million ($17 million)
- Girls Trip: $5 million ($85 million)
- War for the Planet of the Apes: $4 million ($223 million)
- Spider-Man - Homecoming: $3 million ($340 million)
8/25-8/27
- All Saints: $16.5 million
- The Hitman's Bodyguard: $13 million ($42 million)
- The Dark Tower: $9.5 million ($131 million)
- The Emoji Movie: $7 million ($143 million)
- Dunkirk: $6 million ($199 million)
- Annabelle - Creation: $5 million ($57 million)
- Tulip Fever: $4.5 million
- The Glass Castle: $4 million ($23 million)
- The Nut Job 2 - Nutty by Nature: $4 million ($26 million)
- Girls Trip: $3.5 million ($90 million)
9/1-9/4
- All Saints: $15 million/$20.5 million ($43 million)
- The Hitman's Bodyguard: $9 million/$11 million ($58 million)
- Renegades: $8 million/$9.5 million
- The Dark Tower: $7.5 million/$9 million ($144 million)
- The Emoji Movie: $6.5 million/$8.5 million ($153 million)
- Dunkirk: $5 million/$6 million ($207 million)
- The Glass Castle: $3.5 million/$4.25 million ($29 million)
- Leap!: $3 million/$4 million ($6 million)
- Girls Trip: $3 million/$3.5 million ($95 million)
- Tulip Fever: $2.5 million/$3 million ($8 million)
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1 hour ago, Goffe said:
when I say it's like Deadpool in spirit, I mean it makes fun of genre conventions but deep down it's still that dork fantasy film that it is trying to mock.
It's not like meta-humor can't work. Monty Python and The Muppets were both practically built on cheeky winks to the audience. The Princess Bride is in the vein of the Muppets' brand of poking fun - a biting yet gentle ode to old-fashioned entertainment/storytelling.
The Princess Bride is a solid film IMO, but I agree on Deadpool being one of the most overrated films of the 21st century (Inception and Avatar being #1 and #2
)
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7 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:
Why such a big drop for Bad Moms?
It reminds me of Horrible Bosses 2. Plus, Suburbicon and Murder on the Orient Express should draw in a similar adult demographic.
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12 hours ago, YourMother said:
I know I been called crazy with my predictions for The Star but if it looks good and is good to the GA, I can see it over Coco.
November 2017 just looks all-around strong. It reminds me of a larger November 2012.
I could see:
Justice League - $150 million/$310 million
Coco - $65 million/$255 million
Thor: Ragnorak - $105 million/$245 million
The Star - $45 million/$185 million
Murder on the Orient Express - $50 million/$155 million
Daddy's Home 2 - $25 million/$80 million
A Bad Moms Christmas - $15 million/$50 million
The Star is the wild-card IMO. It could shock us all and do $225-275 million DOM (causing Coco to do 'only' $150-180 million DOM), or it could do Storks numbers and get its own WWW thread.
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12 hours ago, YourMother said:
How?
$38-41 million this next weekend would put it on pace for $395-410 million DOM.
Given the jump in actuals these past two weekends, I could potentially see a 35-40% drop next weekend since Alien is R-rated, EE is a teen romance and Wimpy 4 will possibly only open to $6 million.
POTC5 will be paired with it in double-features, so that should help it gain another strong hold over Memorial Day (likely still in the top 3, possibly top 2 if Baywatch underperforms).
It'll likely drop 54-57% its fifth weekend, but if it gets a sub-50% drop the following weekend and has a tiny drop alongside Cars 3/Father's Day (Disney holdovers tend to get a boost if another Disney film opens Father's Day weekend), $400-405 million DOM could happen if Disney pushes it.
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Unfortunately, the only two 1987 films I've not seen yet that are available on Netflix and Hulu were:
Adventures in Babysitting
Radio Days
Does Amazon Prime have more 1987 films?
I searched the following and none came up on either streaming platform:
Spoiler- Baby Boom (1987)
- Empire of the Sun (1987)
- Innerspace (1987)
- La Bamba (1987)
- My Life as a Dog (1987)
- Overboard (1987)
- Predator (1987)
- Roxanne (1987)
- Some Kind of Wonderful (1987)
- The Secret of My Success (1987)
- The Witches of Eastwick (1987)
- Throw Momma From the Train (1987)
- Wings of Desire (1987)
- Withnail & I (1987)
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Don't even think I've seen 25 films from 1987. Even weirder since I've seen more from 1986 and 1988. Here's the 21 I've seen so far (not an actual ranking). Any suggestions?
Spoiler- Raising Arizona
- Project A, Part II
- The Princess Bride
- Full Metal Jacket
- Broadcast News
- Moonstruck
- Wall Street
- Good Morning, Vietnam
- Three Men & A Baby
- Babette's Feast
- The Untouchables
- Fatal Attraction
- Robocop
- Planes, Trains and Automobiles
- The Running Man
- Spaceballs
- *batteries not included
- Can't Buy Me Love
- Harry & the Hendersons
- The Chipmunk Adventure
- The Brave Little Toaster
I've seen parts of Adventures in Babysitting and Overboard, but not their entirety.
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9 hours ago, The Panda said:
I think people are misjudging how well the Star can play with the religious crowd and how well it can cross-over to the not as religious as well.
Since it has quite a few non-religious celebrities and a major studio behind it, I think it could be a kid-friendly equivalent to Blind Side or American Sniper if the film actually turns out to be a solid, heartwarming Christmas movie.
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Spoiler
5/19-5/21
- Alien - Covenant: $46 million
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $35 million ($298 million)
- Everything, Everything: $16.5 million
- Diary of a Wimpy Kid - The Long Haul: $8.5 million
- Snatched: $7.5 million ($27 million)
- King Arthur - Legend of the Sword: $5.5 million ($22 million)
- The Boss Baby: $2.5 million ($164 million)
- The Fate of the Furious: $2 million ($217 million)
- Beauty & the Beast: $2 million ($496 million)
- Lowriders: $1.5 million ($4 million)
5/26-5/29
- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $77 million/$94 million
- Baywatch: $29.5 million/$35.5 million ($42 million)
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $22.5 million/$29 million ($348 million)
- Alien - Covenant: $21 million/$25.5 million ($82 million)
- Everything, Everything: $10.5 million/$13 million ($34 million)
- Diary of a Wimpy Kid - The Long Haul: $6 million/$7.5 million ($18 million)
- Snatched: $4.5 million/$5.5 million ($35 million)
- King Arthur - Legend of the Sword: $3 million/$3.5 million ($27 million)
- The Boss Baby: $1.5 million/$2 million ($166 million)
- Beauty & the Beast: $1.5 million/$2 million ($499 million)
6/2-6/4
- Wonder Woman: $91 million
- Captain Underpants: $33 million
- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $26.5 million ($134 million)
- Baywatch: $14 million ($63 million)
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $10 million ($362 million)
- Alien - Covenant: $7.5 million ($93 million)
- Everything, Everything: $5.5 million ($42 million)
- Diary of a Wimpy Kid - The Long Haul: $3 million ($22 million)
- Snatched: $2.5 million ($38 million)
- King Arthur - Legend of the Sword: $1.5 million ($29 million)
6/9-6/11
- The Mummy: $45.5 million
- Wonder Woman: $36.5 million ($156 million)
- Captain Underpants: $20 million ($65 million)
- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $13.5 million ($156 million)
- Baywatch: $9 million ($79 million)
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $5.5 million ($371 million)
- It Comes At Night: $3.5 million
- Alien - Covenant: $3 million ($98 million)
- Everything, Everything: $3 million ($47 million)
- Diary of a Wimpy Kid - The Long Haul: $1.5 million ($24 million)
6/16-6/18
- Cars 3: $74 million
- All Eyez on Me: $39 million
- The Mummy: $21 million ($84 million)
- Wonder Woman: $17.5 million ($188 million)
- Rough Night: $13 million
- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $9 million ($172 million)
- Captain Underpants: $7.5 million ($78 million)
- Baywatch: $4.5 million ($87 million)
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $4 million ($378 million)
- 47 Meters Down: $2 million
6/23-6/25
- Transformers - The Last Knight: $48 million ($75 million)
- Cars 3: $39.5 million ($150 million)
- All Eyez on Me: $17.5 million ($73 million)
- The Mummy: $10 million ($102 million)
- Wonder Woman: $8.5 million ($203 million)
- Rough Night: $8 million ($27 million)
- Captain Underpants: $4.5 million ($86 million)
- Pirates of the Caribbean - Dead Men Tell No Tales: $3 million ($178 million)
- Baywatch: $2.5 million ($92 million)
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $1.5 million ($381 million)
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but I agree #1-#3 will almost always be a summer blockbuster or the Best Picture winner from that year.
BOT: THE REVISITING -- now up, 1987! MINI-EXTENSION, deadline is tonight, June 25!
in The Speakeasy
Posted · Edited by mahnamahna
Now I've seen (new films in bold):
Still planning to see: