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    Weekend Prediction thread 5/3-5/5 Play the Derby

    in Box Office Derby

    Posted

    Spoiler

    3/29-3/31

    1. Dumbo: $61 million
    2. Us: $39 million ($132 million) 
    3. Captain Marvel: $23 million ($357 million) 
    4. Five Feet Apart: $6.5 million ($37 million) 
    5. Wonder Park: $5 million ($36 million) 
    6. How to Train Your Dragon - The Hidden World: $3.75 million ($152 million) 
    7. A Madea Family Funeral: $2.5 million ($69 million) 
    8. Unplanned: $2 million
    9. The Beach Bum: $1.5 million 
    10. Gloria Bell: $1.5 million ($4 million) 

    4/5-4/7

    1. Shazam!: $66 million 
    2. Dumbo: $32 million ($101 million) 
    3. Pet Sematary: $26 million 
    4. Us: $23 million ($168 million) 
    5. Captain Marvel: $10 million ($374 million) 
    6. The Best of Enemies: $7 million 
    7. Five Feet Apart: $4 million ($43 million) 
    8. Wonder Park: $3 million ($40 million) 
    9. How to Train Your Dragon - The Hidden World: $2 million ($155 million) 
    10. A Madea Family Funeral: $1.5 million ($72 million) 

    4/12-4/14

    1. Shazam!: $30.5 million ($112 million) 
    2. Dumbo: $20 million ($125 million) 
    3. Hellboy: $17 million
    4. Little: $15 million 
    5. Us: $13 million ($187 million) 
    6. Missing Link: $10.5 million 
    7. Pet Sematary: $9 million ($40 million) 
    8. Captain Marvel: $7 million ($385 million) 
    9. After: $3.5 million
    10. The Best of Enemies: $3 million ($10 million)

    4/19-4/21

    1. Breakthrough: $22 million ($34 million)
    2. Shazam!: $21 million ($146 million) 
    3. The Curse of La Llorona: $20.5 million 
    4. Dumbo: $14 million ($144 million) 
    5. Little: $10 million ($30 million) 
    6. Hellboy: $9 million ($31 million) 
    7. Us: $8 million ($199 million) 
    8. Penguins: $7 million ($10 million) 
    9. Missing Link: $6.5 million ($20 million) 
    10. Captain Marvel: $5,5 million ($393 million) 

    4/26-4/28

    1. Avengers - Endgame: $304 million
    2. Breakthrough: $10.5 million ($49 million) 
    3. Dumbo: $9 million ($155 million) 
    4. Shazam!: $7 million ($159 million) 
    5. The Curse of La Llorona: $6.5 million ($32 million) 
    6. Captain Marvel: $5 million ($401 million) 
    7. Little: $4.5 million ($38 million) 
    8. Penguins: $3.5 million ($15 million) 
    9. Us: $3.25 million ($204 million) 
    10. Hellboy: $3 million ($35 million) 

    5/3-5/5

    1. Avengers - Endgame: $138 million ($522 million) 
    2. Long Shot: $24 million 
    3. The Intruder:: $11 million 
    4. Breakthrough: $7 million ($59 million) 
    5. Uglydolls: $6.5 million 
    6. Dumbo: $6 million ($162 million) 
    7. Shazam!: $5.5 million ($167 million) 
    8. Captain Marvel: $4.5 million ($408 million) 
    9. The Curse of La Llorona: $4 million ($38 million) 
    10. Little: $2.5 million ($42 million)

    5/10-5/12

    1. Detective Pikachu: $76.5 million 
    2. Avengers - Endgame: $71.5 million ($631 million) 
    3. Long Shot: $15 million ($47 million) 
    4. Poms: $13 million
    5. The Hustle: $12 million 
    6. Breakthrough: $5 million ($66 million) 
    7. Shazam!: $4.25 million ($174 million) 
    8. Dumbo: $4 million ($167 million) 
    9. Captain Marvel: $3.5 million ($413 million) 
    10. Uglydolls: $3 million ($10 million) 

    5/17-5/19

    1. Detective Pikachu: $37 million ($126 million) 
    2. Avengers - Endgame: $36.5 million ($686 million) 
    3. John Wick - Parabellium: $35 million 
    4. Long Shot: $10 million ($62 million) 
    5. Poms: $9 million ($26 million) 
    6. The Sun is Also a Star: $8.5 million 
    7. A Dog's Journey: $8 million 
    8. The Hustle: $7 million ($22 million) 
    9. Breakthrough: $3 million ($70 million) 
    10. Shazam!: $2.5 million ($178 million) 

    5/24-5/27

    1. Aladdin: $46 million/$60.5 million
    2. Detective Pikachu: $25.5 million/$33 million ($166 million) 
    3. Avengers - Endgame: $25 million/$32.5 million ($731 million) 
    4. AD Astra: $23 million/$28 million 
    5. John Wick - Parabellium: $20.5 million/$25 million ($70 million) 
    6. Brightburn: $12 million/$14 million 
    7. Long Shot: $6.5 million/$8 million ($73 million) 
    8. Poms: $5.5 million/$7 million ($35 million)
    9. A Dog's Journey: $5.25 million/$6.5 million ($16 million) 
    10. The Sun is Also a Star: $4.5 million/$5.25 million ($17 million) 

    5/31-6/2

    1. Godzilla - King of the Monsters: $72 million 
    2. Rocketman: $33.5 million 
    3. Ma: $27 million 
    4. Aladdin: $22 million ($88 million) 
    5. Detective Pikachu: $13.5 million ($183 million) 
    6. Avengers - Endgame: $11 million ($748 million) 
    7. John Wick - Parabellium: $9.5 million ($84 million) 
    8. AD Astra: $8 million ($39 million) 
    9. Poms: $4 million ($40 million) 
    10. Long Shot: $3.5 million ($77 million) 

    6/7-6/9

    1. The Secret Life of Pets 2: $69 million 
    2. Dark Phoenix: $31.5 million 
    3. Godzilla - King of the Monsters: $26 million ($115 million) 
    4. Rocketman: $21 million ($68 million) 
    5. Ma: $15 million ($52 million) 
    6. Aladdin: $9 million ($105 million) 
    7. Detective Pikachu: $6 million ($194 million) 
    8. Avengers - Endgame: $5 million ($756 million) 
    9. John Wick - Parabellium: $5 million ($92 million) 
    10. AD Astra: $3 million ($44 million) 

    6/14-6/16

    1. Men in Black International: $48 million
    2. The Secret Life of Pets 2: $41 million ($136 million) 
    3. Shaft: $24.5 million 
    4. Rocketman: $13 million ($90 million) 
    5. Dark Phoenix: $12.5 million ($53 million) 
    6. Godzilla - King of the Monsters: $11 million ($134 million) 
    7. Ma: $8 million ($66 million) 
    8. Aladdin: $5.5 million ($115 million) 
    9. Detective Pikachu: $4 million ($201 million) 
    10. Avengers - Endgame: $3 million ($761 million) 

    6/21-6/23

    1. Toy Story 4: $134 million 
    2. Men in Black International: $26 million ($98 million) 
    3. The Secret Life of Pets 2: $19 million ($174 million) 
    4. Shaft: $12 million ($47 million) 
    5. Child's Play: $10 million 
    6. Rocketman: $9 million ($106 million) 
    7. Dark Phoenix: $6 million ($64 million) 
    8. Godzilla - King of the Monsters: $5 million ($143 million) 
    9. Aladdin: $5 million ($124 million) 
    10. Detective Pikachu: $3 million ($206 million) 

    6/28-6/30

    1. Toy Story 4: $66 million ($265 million) 
    2. Annabelle Comes Home: $32 million 
    3. Men in Black International: $17 million ($132 million) 
    4. The Secret Life of Pets 2: $13 million ($200 million) 
    5. Yesterday: $12 million 
    6. Shaft: $7 million ($61 million) 
    7. Rocketman: $6 million ($118 million) 
    8. Child's Play: $3.5 million ($17 million)
    9. Aladdin: $3.5 million ($131 million) 
    10. Dark Phoenix: $3 million ($69 million)

     

    • Thanks 2
    • Disbelief 1

    Weekend Prediction thread 5/3-5/5 Play the Derby

    in Box Office Derby

    Posted

    Spoiler

    3/22-3/24

    1. Us: $46 million
    2. Captain Marvel: $38 million ($331 million) 
    3. Wonder Park: $12 million ($37 million) 
    4. How to Train Your Dragon - The Hidden World: $8 million ($150 million) 
    5. Five Feet Apart: $7.5 million ($26 million) 
    6. A Madea Family Funeral: $5 million ($67 million) 
    7. No Manchas Fridas 2: $2 million ($7 million) 
    8. Captive State: $1.5 million ($5 million) 
    9. The LEGO Movie - The Second Part: $1.5 million ($104 million) 
    10. Alita - Battle Angel: $1.25 million ($84 million) 

    3/29-3/31

    1. Dumbo: $58.5 million 
    2. Us: $29 million ($94 million) 
    3. Captain Marvel: $24.5 million ($372 million) 
    4. Wonder Park: $6.5 million ($49 million) 
    5. Five Feet Apart: $5 million ($34 million) 
    6. How to Train Your Dragon - The Hidden World: $3.5 million ($157 million) 
    7. A Madea Family Funeral: $3 million ($72 million) 
    8. Unplanned: $2 million 
    9. No Manchas Fridas 2: $1.25 million ($9 million)
    10. The LEGO Movie - The Second Part: $1 million ($106 million) 

    4/5-4/7

    1. Shazam!: $61 million
    2. Dumbo: $31 million ($106 million) 
    3. Pet Sematary: $23.5 million
    4. Us: $18.5 million ($123 million) 
    5. Captain Marvel: $10 million ($391 million)
    6. The Best of Enemies: $7 million 
    7. Wonder Park: $4 million ($55 million) 
    8. Five Feet Apart: $3 million ($39 million) 
    9. How to Train Your Dragon - The Hidden World: $2 million ($160 million) 
    10. A Madea Family Funeral: $2 million ($75 million) 

    4/12-4/14

    1. Shazam!: $28 million ($103 million)
    2. Dumbo: $20 million ($133 million)
    3. Hellboy: $18 million
    4. Little: $16 million 
    5. Us: $10 million ($138 million)
    6. Pet Sematary: $8.5 million ($36 million)
    7. Missing Link: $7 million 
    8. Captain Marvel: $6 million ($400 million)
    9. The Best of Enemies: $3 million ($11 million)
    10. After: $2.5 million 

    4/19-4/21

    1. The Curse of La Llorona: $20.5 million
    2. Breakthrough: $20 million ($29 million)
    3. Shazam!: $19 million ($132 million)
    4. Dumbo: $13.5 million ($152 million)
    5. Little: $10 million ($31 million)
    6. Hellboy: $8 million ($30 million)
    7. Penguins: $6 million ($9 million)
    8. Us: $4.5 million ($145 million)
    9. Captain Marvel: $4 million ($406 million)
    10. Missing Link: $4 million ($13 million)

    4/26-4/28

    1. Avengers - Endgame: $302.5 million
    2. Breakthrough: $11 million ($44 million) 
    3. Dumbo: $7.5 million ($162 million)
    4. The Curse of La Llorona: $6.5 million ($31 million) 
    5. Shazam!: $6 million ($144 million)
    6. Little: $4 million ($38 million)
    7. Captain Marvel: $3.5 million ($412 million)
    8. Penguins: $3 million ($15 million)
    9. Hellboy: $2.5 million ($35 million) 
    10. Us: $1.5 million ($147 million) 

    5/3-5/5

    1. Avengers - Endgame: $129 million ($506 million) 
    2. Long Shot: $21 million
    3. The Intruder: $12 million
    4. Uglydolls: $8.5 million 
    5. Breakthrough: $8 million ($55 million) 
    6. Dumbo: $4.5 million ($167 million) 
    7. Shazam: $4 million ($150 million)
    8. The Curse of La Llorona: $3.5 million ($36 million)
    9. Captain Marvel: $3 million ($417 million)
    10. Little: $2 million ($41 million)

    5/10-5/12

    1. Avengers - Endgame: $68.5 million ($611 million) 
    2. Detective Pikachu: $67 million
    3. The Hustle: $24.5 million 
    4. Long Shot: $12 million ($39 million)
    5. Poms: $8 million 
    6. The Intruder: $4.5 million ($19 million) 
    7. Breakthrough: $4 million ($61 million)
    8. Uglydolls: $4 million ($14 million)
    9. Dumbo: $2.5 million ($170 million)
    10. Shazam: $2.5 million ($154 million)
    11. Captain Marvel: $2 million ($420 million)
    12. All is True: $2 million

    5/17-5/19

    1. Avengers - Endgame: $42 million ($676 million) 
    2. Detective Pikachu: $40 million ($120 million) 
    3. John Wick - Parabellium: $37 million
    4. The Hustle: $16 million ($48 million) 
    5. The Sun is Also a Star: $11 million
    6. A Dog's Journey: $9 million 
    7. Long Shot: $7 million ($50 million) 
    8. Poms: $5.5 million ($16 million) 
    9. Uglydolls: $3 million ($18 million) 
    10. The Intruder: $2 million ($22 million)

    5/24-5/26

    1. Aladdin: $41 million/$55 million
    2. Detective Pikachu: $25.5 million/$33 million ($161 million) 
    3. Avengers - Endgame: $25 million/$31.5 million ($720 million) 
    4. AD Astra: $24 million/$30 million 
    5. John Wick - Parabellium: $21 million/$26 million ($74 million) 
    6. Brightburn: $15 million/$18.5 million 
    7. The Hustle: $11 million/$14 million ($68 million) 
    8. Booksmart: $7 million/$8.5 million
    9. The Sun is Also a Star: $6.5 million/$7.75 million ($22 million)
    10. A Dog's Journey: $6 million/$7.75 million ($18 million) 
    11. Long Shot: $5 million/$6.25 million ($58 million) 
    12. Poms: $4 million/$5 million ($23 million) 

     

    • Like 2

    Weekend Prediction thread 5/3-5/5 Play the Derby

    in Box Office Derby

    Posted

    Spoiler

    3/1-3/3

    1. How to Train Your Dragon - The Hidden World: $39.5 million ($112 million)
    2. A Madea Family Funeral: $26 million 
    3. Alita - Battle Angel: $8 million ($72 million)
    4. The LEGO Movie - The Second Part: $7.25 million ($92 million)
    5. Greta: $5.75 million
    6. Fighting With My Family: $5.5 million ($16 million)
    7. Isn't It Romantic: $5 million ($41 million)
    8. What Men Want: $2.5 million ($48 million) 
    9. The Upside: $2.25 million ($103 million) 
    10. Happy Death Day 2U: $2 million ($24 million) 

    3/8-3/10

    1. Captain Marvel: $164.5 million
    2. How to Train Your Dragon - The Hidden World: $23 million ($142 million)
    3. A Madea Family Funeral: $10.5 million ($42 million)
    4. The LEGO Movie - The Second Part: $4.25 million ($98 million)
    5. Fighting With My Family: $3 million ($21 million)
    6. Isn't It Romantic: $3 million ($46 million) 
    7. Alita - Battle Angel: $2.75 million ($76 million)
    8. Greta: $2.5 million ($9 million)
    9. The Upside: $1.5 million ($105 million) 
    10. What Men Want: $1.5 million ($50 million) 

    3/15-3/17

    1. Captain Marvel: $85 million ($301 million) 
    2. How to Train Your Dragon - The Hidden World: $17 million ($167 million) 
    3. Wonder Park: $11 million
    4. Five Feet Apart: $9 million 
    5. A Madea Family Funeral: $5.5 million ($51 million) 
    6. The LEGO Movie - The Second Part: $3 million ($102 million) 
    7. Fighting With My Family: $2.25 million ($24 million) 
    8. Isn't It Romantic: $2.25 million ($49 million) 
    9. Alita - Battle Angel: $2 million ($79 million) 
    10. Greta: $1.5 million ($11 million) 

    3/22-3/24

    1. Captain Marvel: $48 million ($381 million) 
    2. Us: $45.5 million 
    3. How to Train Your Dragon - The Hidden World: $14 million ($190 million) 
    4. Wonder Park: $8 million ($24 million) 
    5. Five Feet Apart: $5.5 million ($18 million) 
    6. A Madea Family Funeral: $3.5 million ($56 million) 
    7. The LEGO Movie - The Second Part: $2.25 million ($106 million) 
    8. Fighting With My Family: $1.5 million ($27 million) 
    9. Isn't It Romantic: $1.5 million ($52 million) 
    10. Alita - Battle Angel: $1.25 million ($81 million) 

    3/29-3/31

    1. Dumbo: $53 million 
    2. Captain Marvel: $30.5 million ($434 million) 
    3. Us: $28 million ($91 million) 
    4. How to Train Your Dragon - The Hidden World: $7 million ($202 million) 
    5. Unplanned: $5 million 
    6. Wonder Park: $4 million ($31 million) 
    7. Five Feet Apart: $3.5 million ($24 million) 
    8. A Madea Family Funeral: $2.25 million ($59 million) 
    9. The LEGO Movie - The Second Part: $1.5 million ($108 million) 
    10. Fighting with My Family: $1.25 million ($29 million) 

    4/5-4/7

    1. Shazam: $57 million
    2. Dumbo: $29.5 million ($99 million) 
    3. Pet Sematary: $16.5 million 
    4. Captain Marvel: $13.5 million ($458 million) 
    5. Us: $13 million ($112 million) 
    6. The Best of Enemies: $10.5 million 
    7. How to Train Your Dragon - The Hidden World: $4 million ($208 million) 
    8. Wonder Park: $3 million ($36 million) 
    9. Five Feet Apart: $2.5 million ($28 million) 
    10. Unplanned: $2 million ($8 million) 

    4/12-4/14

    1. Shazam: $27 million ($97 million) 
    2. Hellboy: $19 million 
    3. Dumbo: $17.5 million ($121 million) 
    4. Little: $17 million
    5. Captain Marvel: $9 million ($472 million) 
    6. Us: $8 million ($124 million) 
    7. Missing Link: $7 million 
    8. Pet Sematary: $5 million ($24 million) 
    9. The Best of Enemies: $4.5 million ($17 million) 
    10. After: $3 million 

    4/19-4/21

    1. The Curse of La Llorona: $42 million 
    2. Breakthrough: $20.5 million ($30 million) 
    3. Shazam: $17 million ($123 million) 
    4. Dumbo: $11 million ($135 million) 
    5. Hellboy: $9 million ($33 million) 
    6. Captain Marvel: $6.5 million ($482 million) 
    7. Penguins: $6 million ($8 million) 
    8. Us: $4.5 million ($131 million) 
    9. Missing Link: $4.5 million ($13 million) 
    10. The Best of Enemies: $3 million ($22 million) 

    4/26-4/28

    1. Avengers - Endgame: $291.5 million 
    2. The Curse of La Llorona: $13.5 million ($63 million) 
    3. Breakthrough: $11 million ($46 million) 
    4. Dumbo: $6.5 million ($143 million) 
    5. Captain Marvel: $5.5 million ($490 million) 
    6. Shazam: $4 million ($131 million) 
    7. Hellboy: $3 million ($38 million) 
    8. Penguins: $3 million ($13 million) 
    9. The White Crow: $2 million
    10. Us: $2 million ($134 million) 

    5/3-5/5

    1. Avengers - Endgame: $122 million ($489 million)
    2. The Intruder: $15 million 
    3. Longshot: $10.5 million 
    4. The Curse of La Llorona: $7.5 million ($74 million) 
    5. Breakthrough: $7 million ($56 million) 
    6. Uglydolls: $6 million 
    7. Dumbo: $4 million ($148 million) 
    8. Captain Marvel: $3 million ($494 million) 
    9. Shazam: $3 million ($135 million) 
    10. Hellboy: $2 million ($41 million) 

    5/10-5/12

    1. Avengers - Endgame: $57 million ($577 million) 
    2. Detective Pikachu: $52 million 
    3. The Hustle: $24.5 million 
    4. Poms: $12 million 
    5. The Intruder: $6 million ($24 million) 
    6. Longshot: $4.5 million ($17 million) 
    7. Breakthrough: $4.5 million ($62 million) 
    8. The Curse of La Llorona: $4 million ($80 million) 
    9. Dumbo: $3 million ($152 million) 
    10. Uglydolls: $3 million ($10 million) 

    5/17-5/19

    1. John Wick Chapter 3 - Parabellium: $36 million 
    2. Detective Pikachu: $29 million ($90 million) 
    3. Avengers - Endgame: $27.5 million ($619 million) 
    4. The Hustle: $16 million ($48 million) 
    5. The Sun is Also a Star: $10 million
    6. Poms: $8 million ($25 million) 
    7. A Dog's Journey: $7 million 
    8. The Intruder: $3 million ($28 million) 
    9. Breakthrough: $2.5 million ($66 million) 
    10. The Curse of La Llorona: $2 million ($83 million) 

    5/24-5/27

    1. Aladdin: $43 million/$55 million 
    2. Ad Astra: $24 million/$30 million 
    3. Detective Pikachu: $21 million/$28 million ($124 million) 
    4. John Wick Chapter 3 - Parabellium: $20 million/$24.5 million ($70 million) 
    5. Avengers - Endgame: $17 million/$22 million ($649 million) 
    6. The Hustle: $10 million/$12.5 million ($65 million) 
    7. Brightburn: $7 million/$8.25 million
    8. Booksmart: $5 million/$6 million 
    9. The Sun is Also a Star: $5 million/$6 million ($18 million) 
    10. Poms: $4 million/$4.75 million ($32 million) 

    5/31-6/2

    1. Godzilla - King of the Monsters: $55 million 
    2. Rocketman: $41 million 
    3. Aladdin: $24 million ($87 million) 
    4. Ma: $22 million 
    5. Detective Pikachu: $12.5 million ($140 million) 
    6. John Wick Chapter 3 - Parabellium: $9 million ($82 million) 
    7. Ad Astra: $8 million ($40 million) 
    8. Avengers - Endgame: $7 million ($658 million)
    9. The Hustle: $5.5 million ($72 million)
    10. Brightburn: $3 million ($12 million) 

    6/7-6/9

    1. The Secret Life of Pets 2: $71 million 
    2. Dark Phoenix: $36 million
    3. Rocketman: $28 million ($85 million) 
    4. Godzilla - King of the Monsters: $19 million ($85 million) 
    5. Aladdin: $10 million ($103 million) 
    6. Ma: $9 million ($36 million) 
    7. Detective Pikachu: $5.5 million ($149 million) 
    8. John Wick Chapter 3 - Parabellium: $5 million ($90 million) 
    9. Avengers - Endgame: $4.5 million ($665 million)
    10. The Hustle: $4 million ($79 million) 

    6/14-6/16

    1. Men in Black International: $47 million
    2. The Secret Life of Pets 2: $38.5 million ($131 million) 
    3. Shaft: $25 million 
    4. Rocketman: $17 million ($112 million) 
    5. Dark Phoenix: $14 million ($59 million) 
    6. Godzilla - King of the Monsters: $9 million ($100 million) 
    7. Aladdin: $5.5 million ($112 million) 
    8. Ma: $5 million ($44 million) 
    9. Detective Pikachu: $4 million ($155 million) 
    10. Avengers - Endgame: $3 million ($670 million) 

    6/21-6/23

    1. Toy Story 4: $112 million
    2. Men in Black International: $25 million ($95 million) 
    3. The Secret Life of Pets 2: $20 million ($174 million) 
    4. Child's Play: $12 million
    5. Rocketman: $11 million ($132 million) 
    6. Shaft: $10 million ($43 million) 
    7. Dark Phoenix: $6 million ($70 million) 
    8. Godzilla - King of the Monsters: $5 million ($109 million) 
    9. Aladdin: $5 million ($122 million) 
    10. Ma: $3 million ($49 million) 
    11. Detective Pikachu: $2 million ($159 million) 
    12. Avengers - Endgame: $2 million ($674 million) 

     

     

    • Like 1
    • Thanks 2

    Weekend Prediction thread 5/3-5/5 Play the Derby

    in Box Office Derby

    Posted

    Spoiler

    2/15-2/18

    1. Alita - Battle Angel: $25.5 million/$30.5 million ($40 million) 
    2. Happy Death Day 2U: $23 million/$27 million ($42 million) 
    3. The LEGO Movie - The Second Part: $20.5 million/$26 million ($66 million) 
    4. Isn't It Romantic: $15.5 million/$18.5 million ($32 million) 
    5. What Men Want: $11 million/$13 million ($39 million) 
    6. Cold Pursuit: $5 million/$6.25 million ($19 million) 
    7. The Upside: $4.5 million/$5.75 million ($94 million)
    8. Glass: $3.25 million/$4 million ($103 million) 
    9. Green Book: $3 million/$3.5 million ($67 million)
    10. Spider-Man - Into the Spider-Verse: $2 million/$2.5 million ($183 million) 

    2/22-2/24

    1. How to Train Your Dragon - The Hidden World: $52 million
    2. Alita - Battle Angel: $11.5 million ($55 million) 
    3. Happy Death Day 2U: $10.5 million ($56 million) 
    4. The LEGO Movie - The Second Part: $10 million ($79 million) 
    5. Isn't It Romantic: $8 million ($42 million)
    6. What Men Want: $6 million ($46 million)
    7. Cold Pursuit: $3 million ($23 million) 
    8. The Upside: $3 million ($98 million)
    9. Green Book: $2.5 million ($70 million)
    10. Glass: $1.75 million ($105 million)

    3/1-3/3

    1. A Madea Family Funeral: $32 million
    2. How to Train Your Dragon - The Hidden World: $30 million ($89 million)
    3. The LEGO Movie - The Second Part: $7.5 million ($89 million) 
    4. Alita - Battle Angel: $6.5 million ($65 million) 
    5. Happy Death Day 2U: $5.5 million ($64 million) 
    6. Greta: $5 million 
    7. Isn't It Romantic: $5 million ($49 million)
    8. What Men Want: $4 million ($52 million)
    9. The Upside: $2 million ($101 million) 
    10. Green Book: $2 million ($73 million) 

    3/8-3/10

    1. Captain Marvel: $163.5 million 
    2. How to Train Your Dragon - The Hidden World: $16.5 million ($110 million) 
    3. A Madea Family Funeral: $10 million ($48 million) 
    4. The LEGO Movie - The Second Part: $4 million ($94 million) 
    5. Alita - Battle Angel: $2.5 million ($69 million) 
    6. Happy Death Day 2U: $2.5 million ($68 million) 
    7. Greta: $2 million ($8 million) 
    8. Isn't It Romantic: $2 million ($52 million) 
    9. What Men Want: $2 million ($55 million) 
    10. The Upside: $1.5 million ($103 million) 

    3/15-3/17

    1. Captain Marvel: $85 million ($302 million) 
    2. Wonder Park: $12 million 
    3. How to Train Your Dragon - The Hidden World: $10.5 million ($125 million)
    4. Five Feet Apart: $9 million
    5. A Madea Family Funeral: $5 million ($56 million)
    6. The LEGO Movie - The Second Part: $3 million ($99 million)
    7. Alita - Battle Angel: $1.75 million ($72 million)
    8. Happy Death Day 2U: $1.5 million ($70 million)
    9. Greta: $1.5 million ($10 million)
    10. Isn't It Romantic: $1.5 million ($54 million)

    3/22-3/24

    1. Captain Marvel: $48 million ($380 million) 
    2. Us: $44.5 million 
    3. Wonder Park: $8 million ($24 million) 
    4. How to Train Your Dragon - The Hidden World: $8 million ($138 million) 
    5. Five Feet Apart: $6 million ($19 million) 
    6. Hotel Mumbai: $5 million 
    7. Sunset: $3.25 million 
    8. A Madea Family Funeral: $3 million ($61 million) 
    9. The LEGO Movie - The Second Part: $2.25 million ($103 million)
    10. Alita - Battle Angel: $1 million ($74 million)

    3/29-3/31

    1. Dumbo: $47 million 
    2. Captain Marvel: $29 million ($428 million) 
    3. Us: $27 million ($88 million) 
    4. Wonder Park: $5 million ($33 million) 
    5. How to Train Your Dragon - The Hidden World: $5 million ($147 million) 
    6. Unplanned: $4 million 
    7. Five Feel Apart: $3.25 million ($24 million) 
    8. Hotel Mumbai: $3 million ($10 million)
    9. Sunset: $2 million ($6 million) 
    10. A Madea Family Funeral: $1.5 million ($64 million) 

     

     

    • Like 1

    Weekend Prediction thread 5/3-5/5 Play the Derby

    in Box Office Derby

    Posted

    11/16-11/18

    1. Fantastic Beasts 2: $78 million

    2. Dr. Seuss' The Grinch: $39.5 million ($117 million)

    3. Instant Family: $21 million

    4. Bohemian Rhapsody: $20.5 million ($131 million)

    5. Widows: $18 million

    6. A Star is Born: $5.5 million ($186 million)

    7. Nutcracker: $5 million ($43 million)

    8. Overlord: $4.5 million ($17 million)

    9. The Girl in the Spider's Web: $4 million ($14 million)

    10. Venom: $2.5 million ($210 million)

    Weekend Prediction thread 5/3-5/5 Play the Derby

    in Box Office Derby

    Posted

    10/26-10/28

    1. Halloween: $32 million ($129 million)

    2. A Star is Born: $13.5 million ($146 million)

    3. Venom: $10.5 million ($186 million)

    4. Goosebumps - Haunted Halloween: $8 million ($39 million)

    5. Hunter Killer: $6 million

    6. First Man: $5.75 million ($39 million)

    7. The Hate U Give: $5.5 million ($19 million)

    8. Smallfoot: $5.25 million ($74 million)

    9. Johnny English Strikes Again: $3.25 million

    10. Night School: $3 million ($71 million)

     

     

    11/2-11/4

    1. Bohemian Rhapsody: $38 million

    2. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms: $26.5 million

    3. Halloween: $13 million ($152 million)

    4. Nobody's Fool: $10 million

    5. A Star is Born: $8.5 million ($159 million)

    6. Venom: $6.5 million ($197 million)

    7. The Hate U Give: $4 million ($25 million)

    8. First Man: $3.5 million ($44 million)

    9. Goosebumps - Haunted Halloween: $3 million ($44 million)

    10. Hunter Killer: $3 million ($11 million)

     

    11/9-11/11

    1. The Grinch: $94 million

    2. Bohemian Rhapsody: $17.5 million ($64 million)

    3. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms: $15 million ($46 million)

    4. The Girl in tthe Spider's Web: $11 million

    5. Overlord: $8 million

    6. A Star is Born: $6.5 million ($169 million)

    7. Nobody's Fool: $4 million ($16 million)

    8. Halloween: $3.5 million ($158 million)

    9. Venom: $3 million ($202 million)

    10. The Hate U Give: $2.75 million ($29 million)

     

    11/16-11/18

    1. Fantastic Beasts - The Crimes of Grindelwald: $82.5 million

    2. The Grinch: $54 million ($167 million)

    3. Widows: $27 million

    4. Instant Family: $17 million

    5. Bohemian Rhapsody: $10 million ($79 million)

    6. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms: $9 million ($58 million)

    7. The Girl in The Spider's Web: $4 million ($17 million)

    8. Overlord: $3.5 million ($13 million)

    39. A Star is Born: $3 million ($174 million)

    10. Nobody's Fool: $2 million ($19 million)

    Weekend Prediction thread 5/3-5/5 Play the Derby

    in Box Office Derby

    Posted

    Spoiler

    9/7-9/9

    1. The Nun: $48.5 million 
    2. Crazy Rich Asians: $16.5 million ($138 million) 
    3. Peppermint: $13 million 
    4. The Meg: $5.5 million ($131 million) 
    5. Searching: $4 million ($13 million) 
    6. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $3.5 million ($211 million) 
    7. Christopher Robin: $3 million ($91 million) 
    8. Operation Finale: $3 million ($12 million) 
    9. Alpha: $2.5 million ($32 million) 
    10. BlackKkKlansman: $2.5 million ($42 million) 

    9/14-9/16

    1. The Predator: $26 million 
    2. The Nun: $19.5 million ($78 million) 
    3. A Simple Favor: $17.5 million 
    4. Crazy Rich Asians: $13.5 million ($159 million) 
    5. Peppermint: $5.5 million ($21 million) 
    6. Unbroken - Path to Redemption: $3 million 
    7. Searching: $3 million ($17 million) 
    8. The Meg: $2.5 million ($135 million) 
    9. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $2.5 million ($214 million) 
    10. Christopher Robin: $2.25 million ($94 million) 
    11. Operation Finale: $2 million ($15 million) 
    12. Alpha: $1.5 million ($34 million) 
    13. BlacKkKlansman: $1.5 million ($44 million) 

    9/21-9/23

    1. The House With a Clock In Its Walls: $35.5 million
    2. Crazy Rich Asians: $11.5 million ($176 million) 
    3. A Simple Favor: $11 million ($34 million) 
    4. The Nun: $10.5 million ($94 million) 
    5. The Predator: $10 million ($42 million) 
    6. Fahrenheit 11/9: $8 million 
    7. Life Itself: $4 million 
    8. Peppermint: $3.5 million ($26 million) 
    9. Searching: $2 million ($20 million) 
    10. Christopher Robin: $1.5 million ($96 million) 
    11. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $1.5 million ($216 million) 
    12. Unbroken - Path to Redemption: $1.5 million ($5 million) 

    9/28-9/30

    1. Night School: $27 million 
    2. The House With a Clock In Its Walls: $22 million ($65 million) 
    3. Smallfoot: $14.5 million 
    4. Crazy Rich Asians: $10 million ($191 million) 
    5. Hell Fest: $8 million 
    6. A Simple Favor: $7 million ($44 million) 
    7. The Nun: $5.5 million ($102 million) 
    8. The Predator: $4 million ($48 million) 
    9. Fahrenheit 11/9: $3 million ($13 million) 
    10. Life Itself: $2 million 

    10/5-10/7

    1. Venom: $63 million 
    2. A Star is Born: $42.5 million 
    3. Night School: $16 million ($51 million) 
    4. The House With a Clock In Its Walls: $14 million ($84 million) 
    5. Smallfoot: $9 million ($26 million) 
    6. Crazy Rich Asians: $7 million ($202 million) 
    7. Hell Fest: $3 million ($13 million) 
    8. A Simple Favor: $3 million ($49 million) 
    9. The Nun: $3 million ($107 million) 
    10. The Predator: $2 million ($51 million) 

    10/12-10/14

    1. First Man: $32 million 
    2. A Star is Born: $31 million ($90 million) 
    3. Venom: $25 million ($103 million) 
    4. Goosebumps - Haunted Halloween: $11 million 
    5. Night School: $10 million ($67 million) 
    6. The House With a Clock In Its Walls: $7.5 million ($95 million) 
    7. Bad Times at the El Royale: $7 million 
    8. Smallfoot: $5.5 million ($34 million) 
    9. Crazy Rich Asians: $5 million ($210 million) 
    10. A Simple Favor: $2 million ($52 million) 

    10/19-10/21

    1. Halloween: $76 million
    2. A Star is Born: $21.5 million ($122 million) 
    3. First Man: $20 million ($62 million) 
    4. Venom: $14.5 million ($125 million) 
    5. Goosebumps - Haunted Halloween: $7 million ($20 million) 
    6. Night School: $6.5 million ($77 million) 
    7. The Hate U Give: $5.5 million 
    8. The House With a Clock In Its Walls: $5 million ($102 million) 
    9. Smallfoot: $4 million ($39 million) 
    10. Crazy Rich Asians: $3.5 million ($215 million) 

    10/26-10/28

    1. Halloween: $33 million ($127 million) 
    2. A Star is Born: $14.5 million ($144 million) 
    3. First Man: $13 million ($81 million) 
    4. Hunter Killer: $11 million 
    5. Venom: $8.5 million ($138 million) 
    6. Goosebumps - Haunted Halloween: $5 million ($27 million) 
    7. Night School: $4.5 million ($84 million) 
    8. The House With a Clock In Its Walls: $4 million ($107 million) 
    9. Johnny English Strikes Again: $3.5 million 
    10. Smallfoot: $3 million ($43 million) 

    11/2-11/4

    1. Bohemian Rhapsody: $40.5 million 
    2. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms: $25 million 
    3. Nobody's Fool: $14.5 million 
    4. A Star is Born: $10 million ($159 million) 
    5. Halloween: $9 million ($146 million) 
    6. First Man: $8.5 million ($94 million) 
    7. Hunter Killer: $4.5 million ($18 million) 
    8. Venom: $4 million ($144 million) 
    9. Night School: $2.5 million ($88 million) 
    10. The House With a Clock In Its Walls: $2 million ($110 million) 

    11/9-11/11

    1. The Grinch: $112 million 
    2. Bohemian Rhapsody: $20 million ($70 million) 
    3. The Girl in the Spider's Web: $15 million 
    4. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms: $11 million ($40 million) 
    5. Overlord: $10 million 
    6. A Star is Born: $7.5 million ($170 million) 
    7. First Man: $6.5 million ($104 million) 
    8. Nobody's Fool: $5.5 million ($22 million) 
    9. Halloween: $4 million ($152 million) 
    10. Venom: $2.5 million ($148 million) 

    11/16-11/18

    1. Fantastic Beasts - The Crimes of Grindewald: $87 million
    2. The Grinch: $63 million ($194 million) 
    3. Widows: $38.5 million 
    4. Instant Family: $16.5 million 
    5. Bohemian Rhapsody: $10 million ($85 million) 
    6. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms: $6 million ($48 million) 
    7. A Star is Born: $4 million ($176 million) 
    8. Overlord: $3.75 million ($16 million) 
    9. First Man: $3.5 million ($109 million) 
    10. Nobody's Fool: $3.25 million ($27 million) 

    11/21-11/25

    1. Ralph Breaks the Internet: $45 million/$62 million 
    2. The Grinch: $41 million/$55.5 million ($258 million) 
    3. Fantastic Beasts - The Crimes of Grindewald: $36 million/$48 million ($143 million) 
    4. Creed II: $32 million/$43 million
    5. Widows: $25 million/$33 million ($76 million) 
    6. Instant Family: $12 million/$17 million ($36 million) 
    7. Second Act: $8 million/$11 million 
    8. Robin Hood: $7 million/$10 million 
    9. Green Book: $6 million/$8 million 
    10. Bohemian Rhapsody: $5.5 million/$7.5 million ($94 million) 

     

    Weekend Thread: HTM heading for about 10 mill..CRA killing it with projected 4% drop

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    7 hours ago, Steele131 said:

    Is it getting to 300M domestic?

    Hmm...

     

    $26.5 million

    $27 million ($79 million) 

    $29.5 million/$38 million ($131 million)

    $22 million ($161 million)

    $17.5 million ($187 million)

    $14.5 million ($209 million)

    $12 million ($227 million)

    $9 million ($240 million)

    $7.5 million ($252 million)

    $5 million ($260 million)

    $3 million ($264 million)

     

    I don't think anything over $100 million DOM is anything WB will be sad about, though 😋 realistically as far as best case scenarios go, Blind Side DOM unadjusted is possible with back-to-back weekend increases. But it also requires some absurd holds (7 weekends of $12 million+, likely in the top 12 until 10/26 or 11/2, etc). Then again, it's on pace to drop no more than 15% this weekend, which is unheard of on a non-holiday frame. 

     

    It's looking like $165-215 million DOM should happen, though. 

    Weekend Prediction thread 5/3-5/5 Play the Derby

    in Box Office Derby

    Posted · Edited by mahnamahna

    Spoiler

    8/31-9/3

    1. Crazy Rich Asians: $26.5 million/$33 million ($120 million) 
    2. The Meg: $11.5 million/$14 million ($124 million) 
    3. Operation Finale: $8 million/$10 million ($15 million) 
    4. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $7.5 million/$9.5 million ($207 million) 
    5. Christopher Robin: $6.75 million/$9.5 million ($89 million)  
    6. Kin: $5.5 million/$6.5 million
    7. Alpha: $5 million/$6.25 million ($29 million) 
    8. The Happytime Murders: $5 million/$6 million ($19 million) 
    9. BlacKkKlansman: $4.25 million/$5 million ($39 million) 
    10. Mile 22: $4 million/$4.75 million ($31 million) 

    9/7-9/9

    1. The Nun: $47 million
    2. Crazy Rich Asians: $18 million ($144 million) 
    3. Peppermint: $12.5 million 
    4. The Meg: $6.25 million ($132 million) 
    5. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $4 million ($213 million) 
    6. Christopher Robin: $4 million ($94 million) 
    7. Operation Finale: $3.5 million ($19 million) 
    8. Alpha: $3 million ($33 million) 
    9. BlacKkKlansman: $2.5 million ($42 million) 
    10. Kin: $2.5 million ($9 million) 

    9/14-9/16

    1. The Predator: $26 million 
    2. A Simple Favor: $20.5 million 
    3. The Nun: $18.5 million ($75 million) 
    4. Crazy Rich Asians: $12 million ($162 million) 
    5. Peppermint: $5 million ($20 million) 
    6. Unbroken - Path to Redemption: $4 million 
    7. Christopher Robin: $3 million ($98 million) 
    8. The Meg: $2.25 million ($136 million) 
    9. Operation Finale: $2 million ($22 million) 
    10. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $2 million ($216 million) 

    9/21-9/23

    1. The House With a Clock In Its Walls: $34 million
    2. A Simple Favor: $13.5 million ($41 million) 
    3. The Predator: $10.5 million ($42 million) 
    4. Crazy Rich Asians: $10 million ($177 million) 
    5. The Nun: $9.5 million ($89 million) 
    6. Fahrenheit 11/9: $7 million 
    7. Life Itself: $4 million 
    8. Peppermint: $3 million ($23 million) 
    9. Unbroken - Path to Redemption: $2 million ($7 million) 
    10. Christopher Robin: $1.5 million ($100 million) 

    9/28-9/30

    1. Night School: $32 million 
    2. The House With a Clock In Its Walls: $20.5 million ($61 million) 
    3. Smallfoot: $16 million 
    4. A Simple Favor: $9 million ($55 million) 
    5. Crazy Rich Asians: $8 million ($189 million) 
    6. Hell Fest: $6.5 million 
    7. The Nun: $5 million ($97 million) 
    8. The Predator: $4.5 million ($49 million) 
    9. Fahrenheit 11/9: $3 million ($11 million) 
    10. Life Itself: $2.5 million ($8 million) 

    10/5-10/7

    1. Venom: $71 million 
    2. A Star is Born: $36.5 million 
    3. Night School: $18.5 million ($60 million) 
    4. The House With a Clock In Its Walls: $13 million ($77 million) 
    5. Smallfoot: $10.5 million ($29 million) 
    6. Crazy Rich Asians: $5.5 million ($197 million) 
    7. A Simple Favor: $3.5 million ($61 million) 
    8. The Nun: $3 million ($101 million) 
    9. Hell Fest: $2.25 million ($10 million) 
    10. The Predator: $2 million ($52 million) 

    10/12-10/14

    1. First Man: $38 million
    2. Venom: $24.5 million ($108 million) 
    3. A Star is Born: $22 million ($70 million) 
    4. Goosebumps - Haunted Halloween: $14.5 million 
    5. Night School: $11 million ($76 million) 
    6. Bad Times at the El Royale: $8 million 
    7. Smallfoot: $6 million ($37 million) 
    8. The House With a Clock In Its Walls: $5.5 million ($84 million) 
    9. Crazy Rich Asians: $4 million ($203 million) 
    10. A Simple Favor: $2.5 million ($65 million) 

    10/19-10/21

    1. Halloween: $73 million 
    2. First Man: $25 million ($76 million) 
    3. A Star is Born: $14.5 million ($92 million) 
    4. Venom: $13 million ($129 million) 
    5. Goosebumps - Haunted Halloween: $9.5 million ($27 million) 
    6. Night School: $6.5 million ($86 million) 
    7. The Hate U Give: $6 million 
    8. Smallfoot: $4 million ($42 million) 
    9. The House With a Clock In Its Walls: $3.5 million ($89 million) 
    10. Bad Times at the El Royale: $3 million ($12 million) 
    11. Crazy Rich Asians: $2.25 million ($206 million) 

    10/26-10/28

    1. Halloween: $38 million ($131 million) 
    2. First Man: $16.5 million ($101 million) 
    3. A Star is Born: $9.5 million ($106 million) 
    4. Hunter Killer: $9 million 
    5. Venom: $8 million ($141 million) 
    6. Goosebumps - Haunted Halloween: $7.5 million ($37 million) 
    7. Night School: $4.5 million ($93 million) 
    8. Johnny English Strikes Again: $4 million 
    9. Smallfoot: $3 million ($46 million) 
    10. The Hate U Give: $2.5 million ($10 million) 
    11. The House With a Clock In Its Walls: $2.5 million ($92 million) 
    12. Indivisible: $2.25 million 

     

    • Like 4
    • Thanks 1

    Weekend Prediction thread 5/3-5/5 Play the Derby

    in Box Office Derby

    Posted

    Spoiler

    8/24-8/26

    1. Crazy Rich Asians: $16 million ($56 million)
    2. The Meg: $13 million ($102 million) 
    3. The Happytime Murders: $11.5 million 
    4. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $9.25 million ($195 million) 
    5. Christopher Robin: $8.25 million ($79 million) 
    6. Alpha: $5.5 million ($17 million) 
    7. Mile 22: $5 million ($22 million) 
    8. BlacKkKlansman: $4.5 million ($29 million) 
    9. A.X.L.: $3 million 
    10. Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $2.5 million ($156 million)

    8/31-9/3

    1. Crazy Rich Asians: $14 million/$18.5 million ($81 million)
    2. Operation Finale: $11.5 million/$14 million ($20 million) 
    3. Searching: $11 million/$13.5 million ($14 million) 
    4. The Meg: $9 million/$11.25 million ($118 million) 
    5. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $8.5 million/$10.5 million ($210 million) 
    6. Christopher Robin: $7.5 million/$10.5 million ($91 million) 
    7. The Happytime Murders: $6 million/$7.25 million ($21 million) 
    8. Kin: $5.5 million/$6.5 million
    9. Alpha: $4 million/$5 million ($24 million) 
    10. Ya Veremos: $3.5 million/$4.5 million 
    11. Mile 22: $3.5 million/$4.25 million ($28 million) 
    12. BlacKkKlansman: $3.25 million/$4 million ($35 million)

     

    Weekend Prediction thread 5/3-5/5 Play the Derby

    in Box Office Derby

    Posted

    Spoiler

    8/17-8/19

    1. Crazy Rich Asians: $29 million ($45 million)
    2. The Meg: $20 million ($75 million) 
    3. Mile 22: $17 million 
    4. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $11.5 million ($180 million) 
    5. Christopher Robin: $9 million ($63 million)
    6. BlacKkKlansman: $6.5 million ($20 million)
    7. Alpha: $5 million 
    8. Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $4 million ($152 million) 
    9. The Spy Who Dumped Me: $3.5 million ($30 million) 
    10. Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $3.5 million ($109 million) 
    11. Slender Man: $3.25 million ($16 million) 
    12. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $3 million ($208 million) 
    13. Incredibles 2: $2.75 million ($593 million)
    14. The Equalizer 2: $2.5 million ($93 million)

    8/24-8/26

    1. Crazy Rich Asians: $22.5 million ($79 million) 
    2. The Meg: $12 million ($93 million) 
    3. The Happytime Murders: $10.5 million 
    4. Mile 22: $10.25 million ($33 million) 
    5. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $9.75 million ($195 million) 
    6. Christopher Robin: $6.5 million ($72 million)
    7. BlacKkKlansman: $5 million ($27 million)
    8. A.X.L.: $3.5 million 
    9. Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $3 million ($155 million)
    10. Alpha: $2.5 million ($9 million) 
    11. Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $2.5 million ($113 million)
    12. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $2.25 million ($212 million) 
    13. Incredibles 2: $2 million ($595 million) 
    14. The Spy Who Dumped Me: $2 million ($33 million) 
    15. The Equalizer 2: $1.5 million ($95 million)

    8/31-9/3

    1. Crazy Rich Asians: $16.5 million/$22 million ($109 million) 
    2. Ya Veremos: $12.5 million/$15.5 million 
    3. Operation Finale: $11 million/$13.5 million ($20 million) 
    4. Searching: $10 million/$12 million ($15 million) 
    5. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $8.5 million/$10.75 million ($210 million) 
    6. The Meg: $8 million/$10 million ($107 million)
    7. Kin: $6.5 million/$8 million 
    8. Christopher Robin: $5.75 million/$8 million ($82 million) 
    9. The Happytime Murders: $5.5 million/$6.5 million ($19 million) 
    10. BlacKkKlansman: $4 million/$5 million ($34 million) 
    11. Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $3 million/$4.5 million ($160 million)
    12. Incredibles 2: $3 million/$4.5 million ($600 million) 
    13. A.X.L.: $2.5 million/$3.75 million ($7 million) 
    14. Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $2.25 million/$3 million ($117 million) 
    15. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $2 million/$3 million ($216 million) 

     

    Weekend Thread: | Estimates (per BOM) ~ M:I-F 35M, DCR 25.003M, TSWDM 12.35M, MM!HWGA 9.09M, TE2 8.83M, HT3:SV 8.2M, AMatW 6.188M, TDM 5.8M

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    2 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

    TFW you’re going to be spot on with MM and E2’s holds 

    I knew I should have gone a little higher on HT3. Oh well

    Insane holds for Incredibles and Ant-Man, especially when the former had a decent sized TC loss. Really curious to see when they’ll start dropping sub-20%

    8/17 or 8/24 seems like a prime candidate for I2, 8/24 for AM2. I still think 20-25% drops are more likely than 15-20%, though. August has quite a few releases taking up screens even if they're not doing well at the box office. 

     

    Incredibles 2 (from a $5.5 million W/E) 

    $4.25 million ($590 million)

    $3.25 million ($594 million) 

    $2.5 million ($598 million) 

    $3.25 million/$4.5 million ($603 million)

    $1.75 million ($605 million)

    $1.25 million ($606 million)

    $0.5 million ($607 million)

     

    Ant-Man 2 (from a $6.25 million W/E)

    $4.75 million ($203 million)

    $3.5 million ($209 million)

    $2.75 million ($213 million)

    $2.25 million/$3.25 million ($217 million)

    $1.25 million ($219 million)

    $0.75 million ($220 million) 

     

    Weekend Thread: | Estimates (per BOM) ~ M:I-F 35M, DCR 25.003M, TSWDM 12.35M, MM!HWGA 9.09M, TE2 8.83M, HT3:SV 8.2M, AMatW 6.188M, TDM 5.8M

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    Fantastic for Mission: Impossible - Fallout. Given its WOM, it could even move up to $35-36 million. If it weren't for Mile 22 directly targeting older men later this month, I'd say $230-250 million DOM is happening. However, a 45-50% 4th weekend drop is likely, making $220-225 million DOM the reasonable goal IMO - still stellar for a 6th installment of a 22-year-old franchise. I wouldn't be shocked if a hyped-up 7th installment as Tom Cruise's last hoorah as Ethan Hunt did $250-300 million DOM since, by now, people are well aware of M:I's steady level of high quality since the 3rd one. 

     

    Christopher Robin is doing fine. Admittedly, me and many others had high hopes for it after the first trailer, but none of the other Pooh movies have done $100 million DOM adjusted. Anything over Pete's Dragon OW/DOM is a big win. It'll even finish above the much better received Paddington DOM. For this to ride an empty August slate and no kid-friendly competition until Sept 21/28 to a likely $85 million+ DOM finish is quite an accomplishment on a likely $50-60 million budget. 

     

    Spy Who Dumped Me and Darkest Minds are the first signs of the August doldrums. Unless The Meg breaks out big time (40-45 OW, near 3x) or Crazy Rich Asians does turn into the next Help/Millers ($150-180 million DOM), Christopher Robin could end up being the only major release above $70 million DOM for the month. 

     

    Mamma Mia rebounded nicely. $120-130 million DOM is great for a sequel everyone was saying $55-75 million DOM for when it was first announced. 

     

    Equalizer 2 is going to come so close to $100 million, but KKKlansman and Mile 22 will take away some of its main audiences. 5.5 (89)/2.5 (93)/1.5 (95)/1 3-day, 1.3 4-day (97). Sony may move some Searching dollars to make a push for $100 million DOM, though. 

     

    Hotel Transylvania finally had a good hold. With no major kid-friendly competition for 7 weeks, $165-170 million DOM seems likely and so does a fourth one. This franchise is following Ice Age almost to a 'T' domestically.

     

    Ant-Man is going to start showing SM:H holds if the August slate is dismal sans Crazy Rich Asians and Slender Man. $220 million DOM and a tight race for #4/#5 DOM of summer should happen.

     

    Incredibles 2 will definitely get to $600 million DOM now. No competition and a Labor Day expansion should help it reach $605 million DOM. 

     

    Teen Titans did okay. No competition and a low budget makes an inevitable $30 million DOM seem fine enough. 

     

     

     

     

     

     

    • Like 2

    Weekend Prediction thread 5/3-5/5 Play the Derby

    in Box Office Derby

    Posted · Edited by mahnamahna

    Spoiler

    8/10-8/12

    1. The Meg: $24 million
    2. Slender Man: $22.5 million
    3. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $21 million ($160 million) 
    4. Christopher Robin: $17 million ($52 million) 
    5. The Spy Who Dumped Me: $7.5 million ($27 million) 
    6. Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $6.5 million ($104 million) 
    7. Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $6 million ($147 million) 
    8. The Equalizer 2: $5 million ($89 million) 
    9. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $4.5 million ($203 million) 
    10. Incredibles 2: $3.75 million ($589 million)

    8/17-8/19

    1. Crazy Rich Asians: $30.5 million ($44 million) 
    2. Mile 22: $18.5 million 
    3. Christopher Robin: $12 million ($67 million) 
    4. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $11.5 million ($177 million) 
    5. The Meg: $10 million ($41 million) 
    6. Slender Man: $9 million ($36 million) 
    7. Alpha: $5.5 million 
    8. Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $5 million ($112 million) 
    9. The Spy Who Dumped Me: $4.5 million ($34 million) 
    10. Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $4 million ($152 million)
    11. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $3.5 million ($208 million) 
    12. Incredibles 2: $2.75 million ($592 million) 

    8/24-8/26

    1. Crazy Rich Asians: $23 million ($78 million)
    2. The Happytime Murders: $13.5 million
    3. Mile 22: $11 million ($34 million) 
    4. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $9.5 million ($191 million) 
    5. Christopher Robin: $8.5 million ($77 million) 
    6. The Meg: $6.5 million ($51 million) 
    7. Slender Man: $5.5 million ($44 million) 
    8. A.X.L.: $4 million 
    9. Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $4 million ($118 million) 
    10. Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $3 million ($156 million) 
    11. Alpha: $2.5 million ($9 million) 
    12. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $2.5 million ($212 million) 
    13. Searching: $2.25 million
    14. The Spy Who Dumped Me: $2 million ($37 million) 
    15. Incredibles 2: $2 million ($594 million) 

    8/31-9/3

    1. Crazy Rich Asians: $17.5 million/$24 million ($110 million) 
    2. Ya Veremos: $12 million/$15.5 million 
    3. Operation Finale: $10 million/$12 million ($18 million) 
    4. Searching: $9 million/$11 million ($14 million) 
    5. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $8.5 million/$11 million ($206 million) 
    6. Christopher Robin: $7.25 million/$10 million ($89 million) 
    7. Mile 22: $6.5 million/$7.75 million ($45 million) 
    8. The Happytime Murders: $5.5 million/$6.75 million ($23 million) 
    9. The Meg: $4 million/$5 million ($58 million) 
    10. Slender Man: $3.5 million/$4.5 million ($50 million) 
    11. Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $3.25 million/$4.25 million ($124 million) 
    12. Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $2.75 million/$3.75 million ($160 million) 
    13. Incredibles 2: $2.5 million/$3.5 million ($598 million) 
    14. A.X.L.: $2.5 million/$3.5 million ($8 million) 
    15. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $2.25 million/$3 million ($216 million) 

     

    Weekend Prediction thread 5/3-5/5 Play the Derby

    in Box Office Derby

    Posted · Edited by mahnamahna

    Spoiler

    8/3-8/5

    1. Christopher Robin: $38.5 million
    2. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $32.5 million ($128 million) 
    3. The Spy Who Dumped Me: $25 million 
    4. Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $9.5 million ($89 million) 
    5. The Darkest Minds: $9 million 
    6. The Equalizer 2: $8.5 million ($81 million) 
    7. Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $7 million ($134 million) 
    8. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $6.5 million ($195 million) 
    9. Incredibles 2: $5 million ($583 million) 
    10. Death of a Nation: $5 million 

    8/10-8/12

    1. Christopher Robin: $27 million ($85 million)
    2. Slender Man: $23.5 million 
    3. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $19.5 million ($165 million)
    4. The Spy Who Dumped Me: $15.5 million ($54 million) 
    5. The Meg: $12 million 
    6. Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $6.5 million ($102 million) 
    7. The Equalizer 2: $5.5 million ($92 million) 
    8. Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $5 million ($143 million) 
    9. The Darkest Minds: $4.5 million ($18 million) 
    10. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $4.5 million ($204 million) 

    8/17-8/19

    1. Crazy Rich Asians: $30.5 million ($45 million)
    2. Christopher Robin: $20 million ($110 million) 
    3. Mile 22: $16.5 million 
    4. Slender Man: $11 million ($42 million) 
    5. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $9.5 million ($178 million) 
    6. Alpha: $8 million
    7. The Spy Who Dumped Me: $8 million ($68 million) 
    8. Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $4.5 million ($110 million)
    9. The Meg: $4 million ($19 million) 
    10. Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $3.5 million ($148 million) 

    8/24-8/26

    1. Crazy Rich Asians: $21 million ($77 million) 
    2. Christopher Robin: $14.5 million ($129 million) 
    3. The Happytime Murders: $12.5 million 
    4. Searching: $9.5 million 
    5. Mile 22: $9.25 million ($31 million) 
    6. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $7.5 million ($189 million) 
    7. Slender Man: $5.5 million ($50 million)  
    8. The Spy Who Dumped Me: $4.5 million ($75 million) 
    9. Alpha: $3.5 million ($13 million) 
    10. Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $3 million ($115 million) 

    8/31-9/3

    1. Crazy Rich Asians: $16 million/$21.5 million ($106 million) 
    2. Ya Veremos: $15.5 million/$20 million 
    3. Christopher Robin: $14 million/$19.5 million ($152 million) 
    4. Operation Finale: $10.5 million/$12.75 million ($18 million) 
    5. The Happytime Murders: $7 million/$8.5 million ($24 million) 
    6. Kin: $6.5 million/$7.5 million 
    7. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $6 million/$7.25 million ($199 million) 
    8. Searching: $5.5 million/$6.5 million ($19 million)
    9. The Spy Who Dumped Me: $3.5 million/$4.25 million ($81 million) 
    10. Slender Man: $3 million/$3.5 million ($55 million) 

    9/7-9/9

    1. The Nun: $46 million
    2. Crazy Rich Asians: $10.5 million ($120 million) 
    3. Christopher Robin: $9 million ($163 million) 
    4. Ya Veremos: $6.5 million ($29 million) 
    5. Peppermint: $5.5 million 
    6. Operation Finale: $5 million ($25 million) 
    7. The Happytime Murders: $4 million ($29 million) 
    8. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $3.5 million ($204 million) 
    9. Searching: $3 million ($23 million) 
    10. Kin: $3 million ($11 million) 

    9/14-9/16

    1. The Predator: $28.5 million 
    2. The Nun: $19 million ($76 million) 
    3. A Simple Favor: $15.5 million 
    4. Crazy Rich Asians: $8 million ($132 million) 
    5. Christopher Robin: $7.5 million ($172 million) 
    6. Unbroken - Path to Redemption: $5.5 million
    7. Ya Veremos: $4 million ($35 million) 
    8. Peppermint: $3.5 million ($10 million) 
    9. Operation Finale: $3 million ($29 million) 
    10. White Boy Rick: $2.75 million 

    9/21-9/23

    1. The House With a Clock In Its Walls: $33 million 
    2. The Predator: $12 million ($47 million) 
    3. A Simple Favor: $10 million ($30 million) 
    4. The Nun: $9.5 million ($90 million) 
    5. Crazy Rich Asians: $6.5 million ($142 million) 
    6. Fahrenheit 11/9: $6 million
    7. Christopher Robin: $5 million ($178 million) 
    8. Unbroken - Path to Redemption: $3.5 million ($10 million) 
    9. Life Itself: $3 million 
    10. Ya Veremos: $2.5 million ($39 million) 

    9/28-9/30

    1. Night School: $32.5 million 
    2. The House With a Clock In Its Walls: $20.5 million ($60 million) 
    3. Smallfoot: $16 million
    4. Hell Fest: $8.5 million 
    5. A Simple Favor: $6.5 million ($40 million) 
    6. The Predator: $5 million ($55 million) 
    7. Crazy Rich Asians: $4.75 million ($150 million) 
    8. The Nun: $4 million ($96 million) 
    9. Fahrenheit 11/9: $3 million ($11 million) 
    10. Little Women: $2.5 million 

    10/5-10/7

    1. Venom: $73.5 million 
    2. A Star is Born: $34 million 
    3. Night School: $16 million ($57 million) 
    4. The House With a Clock In Its Walls: $13 million ($77 million) 
    5. Smallfoot: $10.5 million ($29 million) 
    6. A Simple Favor: $4 million ($46 million) 
    7. Hell Fest: $3 million ($13 million) 
    8. Crazy Rich Asians: $2.75 million ($154 million) 
    9. The Nun: $2 million ($99 million) 
    10. The Predator: $2 million ($58 million) 

    10/12-10/14

    1. First Man: $29 million
    2. Venom: $26 million ($114 million) 
    3. Goosebumps 2 - Haunted Halloween: $16 million 
    4. A Star is Born: $15 million ($57 million) 
    5. Night School: $10.5 million ($73 million) 
    6. Bad Times at the El Royale: $7 million 
    7. The House With a Clock In Its Walls: $6.5 million ($86 million) 
    8. Smallfoot: $6 million ($37 million) 
    9. A Simple Favor: $3 million ($50 million) 
    10. Crazy Rich Asians: $2 million ($157 million) 

    10/19-10/21

    1. Halloween: $62 million 
    2. First Man: $19.5 million ($58 million) 
    3. Venom: $12.5 million ($134 million) 
    4. The Hate U Give: $11 million 
    5. Goosebumps 2 - Haunted Halloween: $10 million ($29 million) 
    6. A Star is Born: $9 million ($71 million) 
    7. Night School: $7 million ($83 million) 
    8. The House With a Clock In Its Walls: $4.5 million ($92 million) 
    9. Smallfoot: $3.5 million ($41 million) 
    10. Bad Times at the El Royale: $3 million ($12 million) 

    10/26-10/28

    1. Halloween: $27 million ($105 million) 
    2. Hunter Killer: $12.5 million 
    3. First Man: $12 million ($76 million) 
    4. Venom: $8 million ($146 million) 
    5. Goosebumps 2 - Haunted Halloween: $7 million ($38 million) 
    6. A Star is Born: $5.5 million ($79 million) 
    7. The Hate U Give: $5 million ($19 million) 
    8. Night School: $4.5 million ($90 million) 
    9. Johnny English Strikes Again: $4 million 
    10. The House With a Clock In Its Walls: $3.5 million ($96 million) 

    11/2-11/4

    1. Bohemian Rhapsody: $43 million 
    2. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms: $22 million 
    3. Nobody's Fool: $14 million 
    4. Halloween: $10.5 million ($124 million) 
    5. First Man: $8 million ($88 million) 
    6. Suspiria: $7 million 
    7. Venom: $4.5 million ($153 million) 
    8. A Star is Born: $3.5 million ($84 million) 
    9. The Hate U Give: $3 million ($24 million) 
    10. Night School: $3 million ($94 million) 

    11/9-11/11

    1. Dr. Seuss' The Grinch: $112 million
    2. Bohemian Rhapsody: $20 million ($73 million) 
    3. The Girl in the Spider's Web: $16.5 million 
    4. Overlord: $13 million 
    5. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms: $9 million ($34 million) 
    6. First Man: $6 million ($97 million) 
    7. Nobody's Fool: $5 million ($22 million) 
    8. Halloween: $4 million ($130 million) 
    9. Suspiria: $3 million ($12 million) 
    10. Venom: $2.5 million ($157 million) 

    11/16-11/18

    1. Fantastic Beasts - The Crimes of Grindelwald: $88.5 million 
    2. Dr. Seuss' The Grinch: $67 million ($198 million) 
    3. Widows: $33.5 million
    4. Bohemian Rhapsody: $9 million ($87 million) 
    5. The Girl in the Spider's Web: $6.5 million ($27 million) 
    6. Overlord: $5 million ($21 million) 
    7. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms: $4.5 million ($40 million) 
    8. First Man: $4 million ($103 million) 
    9. Nobody's Fool: $3 million ($26 million) 
    10. Halloween: $2 million ($133 million) 

    11/21-11/25

    1. Dr. Seuss' The Grinch: $44 million/$70 million ($285 million) 
    2. Ralph Breaks the Internet: $41 million/$57 million
    3. Fantastic Beasts - The Crimes of Grindelwald: $34 million/$48 million ($147 million) 
    4. Creed II: $27 million/$38 million
    5. Widows: $19 million/$26.5 million ($65 million) 
    6. Robin Hood: $8 million/$11 million 
    7. Second Act: $6.5 million/$8.5 million
    8. Green Book: $6 million/$8 million 
    9. Bohemian Rhapsody: $5.5 million/$8 million ($97 million) 
    10. The Girl in the Spider's Web: $4.5 million/$6.5 million ($35 million) 
    11. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms: $3.5 million/$5.5 million ($46 million) 
    12. First Man: $2.5 million/$3.5 million ($107 million) 

    11/30-12/2

    1. Dr. Seuss' The Grinch: $23 million ($315 million) 
    2. Ralph Breaks the Internet: $17.5 million ($80 million) 
    3. Fantastic Beasts - The Crimes of Grindelwald: $14 million ($167 million) 
    4. Creed II: $13 million ($57 million) 
    5. Widows: $10 million ($80 million) 
    6. Robin Hood: $3.5 million ($16 million) 
    7. Second Act: $3.5 million ($14 million) 
    8. Green Book: $3 million ($12 million) 
    9. Bohemian Rhapsody: $3 million ($101 million) 
    10. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms: $2.5 million ($49 million) 

    12/7-12/9

    1. Dr. Seuss' The Grinch: $17 million ($338 million) 
    2. Ralph Breaks the Internet: $13 million ($97 million) 
    3. Fantastic Beasts - The Crimes of Grindelwald: $10 million ($182 million) 
    4. Creed II: $9.5 million ($71 million) 
    5. Widows: $7.5 million ($91 million) 
    6. The Silence: $5 million 
    7. Second Act: $2.5 million ($18 million) 
    8. Bohemian Rhapsody: $2 million ($104 million) 
    9. Green Book: $2 million ($15 million) 
    10. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms: $2 million ($52 million) 

    12/14-12/16

    1. Mortal Engines: $24 million 
    2. Spider-Man - Into the Spider-Verse: $21 million 
    3. Dr. Seuss' The Grinch: $11 million ($353 million) 
    4. Ralph Breaks the Internet: $8 million ($108 million) 
    5. Creed II: $6 million ($80 million) 
    6. Widows: $5.5 million ($99 million) 
    7. Fantastic Beasts - The Crimes of Grindelwald: $5 million ($190 million) 
    8. The Silence: $2.5 million ($9 million) 
    9. Second Act: $1.75 million ($20 million) 
    10. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms: $1.5 million ($54 million) 

    12/21-12/23

    1. Aquaman: $66 million 
    2. Mary Poppins Returns: $47 million ($75 million) 
    3. Bumblebee: $22 million 
    4. Spider-Man - Into the Spider-Verse: $10 million ($36 million) 
    5. Mortal Engines: $9.5 million ($39 million) 
    6. Welcome to Marwen: $9 million 
    7. Dr. Seuss' The Grinch: $6 million ($362 million) 
    8. Ralph Breaks the Internet: $5 million ($115 million)  
    9. Creed II: $3 million ($85 million) 
    10. Widows: $3 million ($104 million) 

    12/28-12/30

    1. Mary Poppins Returns: $58.5 million ($219 million) 
    2. Aquaman: $43 million ($173 million) 
    3. Holmes and Watson: $25 million ($47 million)
    4. Bumblebee: $16 million ($59 million)
    5. Spider-Man - Into the Spider-Verse: $15 million ($69 million)
    6. Welcome to Marwen: $11.5 million ($33 million) 
    7. On the Basis of Sex: $8 million ($14 million) 
    8. Mortal Engines: $6.5 million ($53 million)
    9. Ralph Breaks the Internet: $6 million ($128 million)
    10. Dr. Seuss' The Grinch: $2.5 million ($369 million) 
    11. Creed II: $2 million ($90 million) 
    12. Widows: $2 million ($109 million) 

     

    MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE FALLOUT WEEKEND THREAD | 23 Friday...MM2 4.8...TT 4.25 EQ2 4.0

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    $16 million for Mamma Mia 2 seems a bit low considering general box-office trends for adult-skewing films in the summer, especially since there's no direct competition.

     

    $6.5 million (near-70% bump) 

    $9 million (near-40% bump)

    $7 million (just-over-20% drop) 

    $22.5 million ($78 million 10-day)

     

    That might be a bit bullish, but still, $18-20 million seems more likely to me. 

    Weekend Prediction thread 5/3-5/5 Play the Derby

    in Box Office Derby

    Posted · Edited by mahnamahna

    Spoiler

    7/27-7/29

    1. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $73 million 
    2. Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $25 million ($92 million)
    3. Teen Titans Go! to the Movies: $17.5 million 
    4. The Equalizer 2: $16 million ($67 million)
    5. Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $12 million ($116 million)
    6. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $9.5 million ($184 million)
    7. Jurassic World - Fallen Kingdom: $7.5 million ($402 million)
    8. Incredibles 2: $6.75 million ($571 million)
    9. Skyscraper: $4.25 million ($55 million)
    10. The First Purge: $2.5 million ($64 million)

    8/3-8/5

    1. Christopher Robin: $60.5 million
    2. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $35.5 million ($145 million)
    3. The Spy Who Dumped Me: $23 million
    4. Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $15.5 million ($123 million)
    5. The Darkest Minds: $10.5 million
    6. The Equalizer 2: $9 million ($85 million)
    7. Searching: $7.5 million 
    8. Teen Titans Go! to the Movies: $6.5 million ($32 million)
    9. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $6.25 million ($196 million)
    10. Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $5.5 million ($127 million)
    11. Jurassic World - Fallen Kingdom: $4.75 million ($411 million)
    12. Incredibles 2: $4.25 million ($580 million)

    8/10-8/12

    1. Christopher Robin: $43 million ($137 million)
    2. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $21 million ($184 million)
    3. The Meg: $16 million
    4. The Spy Who Dumped Me: $14 million ($49 million)
    5. Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $10.5 million ($143 million)
    6. The Equalizer 2: $6 million ($97 million)
    7. The Darkest Minds: $5 million ($20 million)
    8. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $4.5 million ($205 million)
    9. Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $4 million ($134 million)
    10. Searching: $3.5 million ($14 million)
    11. Teen Titans Go! to the Movies: $3 million ($38 million)
    12. Incredibles 2: $3 million ($585 million)

     

    • Like 1

    Weekend Prediction thread 5/3-5/5 Play the Derby

    in Box Office Derby

    Posted

    Spoiler

    7/20-7/22

    1. Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $40.5 million 
    2. The Equalizer 2: $26.5 million 
    3. Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $24.5 million ($94 million)
    4. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $16 million ($165 million) 
    5. Skyscraper: $12.5 million ($51 million) 
    6. Incredibles 2: $11 million ($558 million) 
    7. Jurassic World - Fallen Kingdom: $9 million ($381 million) 
    8. The First Purge: $4.25 million ($58 million) 
    9. Sorry to Bother You: $3 million ($11 million) 
    10. Three Identical Strangers: $2.5 million ($5 million)

    7/27-7/29

    1. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $67 million 
    2. Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $22 million ($84 million) 
    3. Teen Titans Go! To the Movies: $20.5 million 
    4. The Equalizer 2: $12 million ($51 million) 
    5. Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $11 million ($119 million) 
    6. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $10 million ($186 million) 
    7. Skyscraper: $7 million ($66 million) 
    8. Incredibles 2: $5 million ($570 million) 
    9. Jurassic World - Fallen Kingdom: $4.5 million ($391 million) 
    10. Three Identical Strangers: $3 million ($10 million) 

    8/3-8/5

    1. Christopher Robin: $60.5 million 
    2. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $34 million ($135 million) 
    3. The Spy Who Dumped Me: $23.5 million 
    4. The Darkest Minds: $12.5 million
    5. Searching: $11 million 
    6. Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $10.5 million ($105 million) 
    7. The Equalizer 2: $7 million ($65 million) 
    8. Teen Titans Go! To the Movies: $6.5 million ($35 million) 
    9. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $6 million ($198 million) 
    10. Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $5 million ($130 million) 

    8/10-8/12

    1. Christopher Robin: $41 million ($134 million) 
    2. The Meg: $22 million 
    3. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $20.5 million ($174 million) 
    4. The Spy Who Dumped Me: $14 million ($50 million) 
    5. Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $7 million ($118 million) 
    6. The Darkest Minds: $6 million ($24 million) 
    7. The Equalizer 2: $4.5 million ($74 million) 
    8. Searching: $4 million ($19 million) 
    9. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $4 million ($206 million) 
    10. Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $3.5 million ($137 million) 

    8/17-8/19

    1. Christopher Robin: $30.5 million ($174 million) 
    2. Crazy Rich Asians: $27 million ($39 million)
    3. Mile 22: $17 million 
    4. Mission : Impossible - Fallout: $10 million ($190 million) 
    5. Alpha: $9 million 
    6. The Meg: $7 million ($35 million) 
    7. The Spy Who Dumped Me: $5.5 million ($59 million) 
    8. Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $4.5 million ($125 million) 
    9. The Darkest Minds: $3 million ($29 million) 
    10. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $3 million ($211 million) 

    8/24-8/26

    1. Christopher Robin: $23 million ($203 million) 
    2. Slenderman: $22 million 
    3. The Happytime Murders: $21 million 
    4. Crazy Rich Asians: $16 million ($63 million) 
    5. Mile 22: $8 million ($29 million) 
    6. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $7 million ($200 million) 
    7. Alpha: $3.5 million ($14 million) 
    8. The Spy Who Dumped Me: $3.5 million  ($64 million) 
    9. The Meg: $3 million ($39 million) 
    10. Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $3 million ($129 million) 

    8/31-9/3

    1. Christopher Robin: $17 million/$24.5 million ($231 million) 
    2. Ya Veremos: $15 million/$19 million 
    3. Crazy Rich Asians: $13.5 million/$17 million ($86 million) 
    4. Slenderman: $12 million/$14 million ($42 million) 
    5. The Happytime Murders: $11 million/$13 million ($40 million) 
    6. Kin: $6.5 million/$7.75 million 
    7. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $5.5 million/$6.5 million ($210 million) 
    8. Mile 22: $5 million/$6 million ($37 million) 
    9. The Spy Who Dumped Me: $3 million/$3.75 million ($69 million) 
    10. Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $2.5 million/$3.25 million ($134 million) 

     

    • Like 1

    Weekend Actuals (Page 92): Ant-Man and the Wasp 75.8M (#CRUMBLING EVEN MORE) | Jurassic World 28.6M | Incredibles 2 28.4M | The First Purge 17.4M

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    1 hour ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

    Only BOT to turn a Marvel opening thread into a Twilight wankfest. Well at least it's not fanboy wars, so there's that. Hell, the absence of the Asgardians means this movie is #NotAnEvent :sparta:

     

    I mean, it obviously won't be a bomb like Wrinkle or Solow, but the streak of 600+ movies followed by smaller scale hits (well, AM2 is still pretty big) or straight up flops continues for Disney this year. I guess this means Christopher Robin will outgross Beauty And The Beast :ph34r:

     

    In all seriousness, the movie is doing really well, There's like zero reason to find the numbers disappointing, if you set your expectations too high for a sequel to a 57 million OW and 190 total maker, that's on you, not on them, 80M+ is a really good number for it. Even a little under 80 would still be great. It's hard to ask for much more when the original didn't do that amazing despite great legs, it was promoted like a side story from the rest of the MCU and you already had two back-to-back 150 range or above openers in the last three weeks that are still doing pretty strongly.... why did it need to open to 100M? To feed your fanboy ego? It would've been great if it did, but it doesn't need to in order to be a solid smash hit. The only thing that's kinda underwhelming about it is the internal multiplier, but I imagine it's gonna pull a Homecoming + Deadpool 2 and make up for bleh early staying power (I actually think it'll have a steep drop next weekend) with tremendous legs. It's a perfect movie for that kind of thing.

    Christopher Robin probably won't do that much, but it's in a PERFECT position to be a $250 million+ DOM surprise blockbuster.

    • Winnie the Pooh's beloved status
    • Last major family film until Grinch (House With Clock and Goosebumps have niche appeal, Smallfoot will likely do $50-70 million DOM like the other non-LEGO Movie-connected WAG films)
    • Breath of fresh air from SFX/action-based tentpoles
    • Almost assured to be a heartwarming, tear-jerking crowdpleaser
    • Stellar marketing campaign thus far
    • Will likely have a small enough OW to develop stellar legs 
    • Last four-quadrant film of the summer 

    I'm thinking 60/285 right now. 

    • Like 2
    • Astonished 1

    The Nutcracker and the Four Realms | Nov 2 2018 | Lasse Hallstrom

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    The lone sub-$100 million DOM performer for Disney this year - no way it goes past $75 million DOM. Grinch is going to be HUGE (SLoP/DM2 DOM is what I'm expecting) and directly targets anyone looking for a fun holiday movie, Fantastic Beasts 2 directly targets Nutcracker's fantasy pre-teen/teen crowd, then Wreck-it Ralph 2 takes up whatever family audience is left. And Spidey-Verse kills its late legs. It's just going to get lost in the shuffle. If Disney had released WiR2 in its original date, Nutcracker could probably do Good Dino DOM numbers with a Thanksgiving launch, but Wrinkle in Time prevented that from being an option. 

     

    I don't think Disney is gonna be upset with 700/100/675/610/230/275/65/160/425 ($3.2 B+ DOM from their 2018 slate) 

     

    November-December 2018 looks jam-packed, though. Easily the most family-friendly films coming out during the holidays since 2011. I also wonder if there will really be 4 SFX-based tentpoles coming out over Christmas. Aquaman is the only one I see doing well, but Bumblebee could be a nice hit over MLK or in September/October. 

    Spoiler
    1. Mary Poppins Returns: $425 million 
    2. Dr. Seuss' The Grinch: $380 million 
    3. Aquaman: $255 million 
    4. Fantastic Beasts - The Crimes of Grindewald: $220 million 
    5. Widows: $135 million 
    6. Bohemian Rhapsody: $130 million 
    7. Holmes & Watson: $110 million 
    8. Spider-Man - Into the Spidey-Verse: $105 million 
    9. Creed 2: $100 million 
    10. Mortal Engines: $75 million 
    11. Bumblebee: $70 million 
    12. The Girl in the Spider's Web: $55 million 
    13. Welcome to Marwen: $50 million 
    14. Alita - Battle Angel: $45 million 
    15. Nobody's Fool: $40 million 

     

    Weekend Actuals (Page 92): Ant-Man and the Wasp 75.8M (#CRUMBLING EVEN MORE) | Jurassic World 28.6M | Incredibles 2 28.4M | The First Purge 17.4M

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    Ant-Man 2 is doing solid. With summer weekdays and no kid-friendly tentpoles until Teen Titans/Christopher Robin, I can see 32/17.5/9/5.5/4 for its 2nd-6th weekends ($218 million DOM by August 12th, $225-230 million DOM total). 

     

    Incredibles 2 is holding excellently. $600-605 million DOM doesn't seem too crazy anymore. Since HT3 and Teen Titans aren't anywhere near as big as SLoP, I2 will likely outpace Dory's late legs if WOM is as solid as the CinemaScore indicates. I can see 16.5/11/7/5/4/3/2 ($602 million DOM by August 26th, $610 million DOM total) 

     

    Jurassic World 2 doing $31 million 3rd weekend against its biggest competition for the rest of summer is fantastic. I can see it having some 35-38% drops the next two weeks. I'm thinking 17/10.5/6/3.5/1.5/1 ($422 million DOM by August 19th, $425-427 million DOM total) 

     

    First Purge, Sicario and Uncle Drew are all doing fine. $45-55 million DOM isn't a bad place to end up for how their respective budgets are. 

     

    Ocean's 8 continues to hold well. Won't You Be My Neighbor? keeps chugging. Hopefully, it can eek out one more expansion as a final push to $20 million+ DOM. 

     

    Tag plummeted, but it's still on its way to a 3.5x+, great for a middle-of-the-road comedy that got lost in the shuffle of O8/I2/JW-FK

     

    July 2018 could end up being pretty well-rounded for the first time in a while. Nothing huge, but just about every major release being a solid success is better than one monster hit and a bunch of underperformers, 

    Spoiler

    Ant-Man and the Wasp: $225 million

    Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $205 million 

    Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $155 million 

    Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $135 million 

    Skyscraper: $125 million 

    The Equalizer 2: $70 million 

    The First Purge: $55 million 

    Teen Titans Go! To the Movies: $45 million 

    Sorry to Bother You: $25 million

    Eighth Grade: $20 million 

    Three Identical Strangers: $10 million 

    Unfriended - Dark Webs: $10 million 

     

     

     

     

     

    • Like 5

    Weekend Prediction thread 5/3-5/5 Play the Derby

    in Box Office Derby

    Posted

    Spoiler

    7/13-7/15

    1. Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $44 million 
    2. Skyscraper: $41 million 
    3. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $31 million ($146 million) 
    4. Incredibles 2: $16 million ($540 million) 
    5. Jurassic World - Fallen Kingdom: $15.5 million ($368 million) 
    6. The First Purge: $5.5 million ($42 million) 
    7. Sicario - Day of the Soldado: $4.5 million ($45 million) 
    8. Ocean's 8: $4 million ($135 million) 
    9. Uncle Drew: $4 million ($38 million) 
    10. Won't You Be My Neighbor?: $2 million ($16 million) 

    7/20-7/22

    1. Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $36.5 million 
    2. Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $26.5 million ($97 million) 
    3. The Equalizer 2: $24 million 
    4. Skyscraper: $17 million ($76 million) 
    5. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $16 million ($179 million) 
    6. Incredibles 2: $11 million ($562 million) 
    7. Jurassic World - Fallen Kingdom: $9.5 million ($388 million) 
    8. Unfriended - Dark Webs: $4 million 
    9. The First Purge: $3 million ($48 million) 
    10. Ocean's 8: $2.5 million ($140 million) 

    7/27-7/29

    1. Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $64.5 million 
    2. Mamma Mia - Here We Go Again: $21 million ($79 million) 
    3. Teen Titans Go! To the Movies: $17.5 million 
    4. Hotel Transylvania - Summer Vacation: $11.5 million ($122 million) 
    5. The Equalizer 2: $10 million ($44 million) 
    6. Skyscraper: $9 million ($94 million) 
    7. Ant-Man and the Wasp: $8.5 million ($196 million) 
    8. Incredibles 2: $7 million ($576 million) 
    9. Jurassic World - Fallen Kingdom: $5.5 million ($399 million) 
    10. Sorry to Bother You: $3 million ($10 million) 

     

    • Like 1

    Tuesday's Numbers (JW 11.9, I2....10.2....Purge 2.5 previews)

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    Excellent for Jurassic World 2 - a $28-32 million 3rd weekend against Ant-Man 2's OW would be excellent. $335-340 million DOM after 17 days makes $400-420 million DOM pretty likely. If it gets a 40-45% drop against Skyscraper and a sub-40% drop the following week, $400 million DOM is a lock. 

     

    Solid for Incredibles 2 - $600 million DOM isn't going to happen, but $575-585 million DOM is a distinct possibility. Ant-Man 2, Hotel Transylvania and Teen Titans are all targeting its secondary primary audiences (Ant-Man 2 targeting both its main demos). While it will likely get a boost from Christopher Robin double-features and the typical Labor Day expansion good for a $2.5-3.5 million 4-day, that won't be enough for $600 million DOM, I don't think. 

     

    Purge is doing fine. It'll likely do enough for a fifth to be greenlit. 

     

    Uncle Drew is holding solidly, I think it'll likely do $50-60 million DOM. Same goes for Sicario 2. 

     

    Ocean's 8, Tag and Deadpool 2 are all holding strong late in their runs. MoviePass seems to be increasing the likelihood of people going to see mid-level films in theaters and just late legs of well-liked movies in general. 

     

    Solo is almost done. Hereditary has had spectacular legs despite its D CinemaScore. 

     

    Won't You Be My Neighbor? keeps impressing me. I hope Focus gets it into 900-1,200 theaters for this weekend. I'd like to see it do $20 million+ DOM. 

     

     

     

     

     

    • Like 2

    Best films of 2018!

    in Lights, Camera, Favorites!

    Posted

    1. Won't You Be My Neighbor?: A+
    2. Incredibles 2: A
    3. Avengers - Infinity War: A
    4. Black Panther: A
    5. I Can Only Imagine: B+
    6. Rampage: B+
    7. Deadpool 2: B
    8. Solo - A Star Wars Story: B-
    9. Ready Player One: B-

     

     

    Spoiler

    Movies to See

    1. Paddington 2
    2. Early Man
    3. A Wrinkle in Time
    4. Isle of Dogs
    5. A Quiet Place
    6. RBG
    7. Adrift
    8. Ocean's 8
    9. Jurassic World - Fallen Kingdom
    10. Uncle Drew
    11. Ant-Man and the Wasp
    12. Skyscraper
    13. Generation Wealth
    14. Mission: Impossible - Fallout
    15. Christopher Robin 
    16. The House With a Clock in its Walls
    17. The Old Man and the Gun
    18. Venom
    19. First Man
    20. Mowgli
    21. Bohemian Rhapsody
    22. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
    23. Dr. Seuss' The Grinch
    24. Fantastic Beasts - The Crimes of Grindewald
    25. Widows
    26. Creed 2
    27. Ralph Breaks the Internet - Wreck-it Ralph 2
    28. Spider-Man - Into the Spider-Verse
    29. Aquaman
    30. Holmes and Watson
    31. Welcome to Marwen
    32. Mary Poppins Returns
    33. Backseat
    34. Roma
    35. AD Astra
    36. If Beale Street Could Talk
    37. Beautiful Boy
    38. Can You Ever Forgive Me? 
    39. Mary Queen of Scots

     

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