TLK
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Posts posted by TLK
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3 hours ago, el sid said:
I know I should not have laughed but I had to when I saw this picture posted by Porthos...
Again I can only say sorry. It's still all black no matter which gadget I use
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On the one hand I'm also becoming discouraged but actually I was interested how Bloodshot and I Still Believe are doing. I counted I Still Believe on February the 25th and back then it had 29/19 sold tickets (with back then only a few showtimes but playing in all of my 10 theaters, a good sign). I remember that I Can Only Imagine did very well presales-wise at Pulse but OTOH Overcomer was the worst doing title of all movies that I counted: It had on Thursday, the day of its release, only 91/34 sold tickets and still a decent weekend (8.1M). So if I Still Believe is looking quite ok judging from the reports of keyser it could still surprise (but of course the circumstances are very difficult).
Bloodshot should normally have - as several other action movies which looked mediocre at best presales-wise - nice walkups but now Idk.Here in Germany the coronavirus gets enormous coverage in the media (especially from online magazines - it's more or less the only topic).
This is only anecdotal: Yesterday I was at the same Chinese restaurant as some weeks ago and I would say that it was indeed a bit less attended. But it's a very popular restaurant and therefore hard to evaluate.
My brother who works for a big car company reported that the mood is not the best (e.g. because of the DAX – our pendant to the DOW) but the people are calm, all works normal (beyond that the production is a bit lower because China is missing at the moment as a sales market) and not more people do home office than usual.
Our guru of insidekino still sees pretty normal holds in Germany this weekend but several theater chains let one seat free next to a reserved seat which some moviegoers may like and probably most not. I understand that everybody wants to do the best and cause the best safety conditions but OTOH our trains, buses, stores, markets etc. e.g. in Munich but also smaller towns are overcrowded anyway, especially in the rush hours (Germany has ca. ¼ of the population of the USA but only 1/27 of the land area). But as last week, I hope for the best worldwide.Have you tried using VPN with American IP address ?
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4 minutes ago, RealLyre said:
Paramount hates money indeed.
Movies of this size can have a global marketing budget of up to $100 million. They are going to lose at least $50 million because of this move.
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It is a potential $1 billion movie. Sending it directly to Disney+ means they will lose hundreds of millions in theatrical revenue. That's not gonna happen. Most likely scenario is that they will move it to a late summer slot (late July/ early August) . The next likely scenario is that it will take The Eternals date.
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There are no good options for this movie. It will under-perform if it keeps this date and it will cost a lot of money to move it to a better release date.
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How are its trailer views so far compared to captain marvel ? Youtube views seem a bit weak but I wasn't tracking Captain Marvel.
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It may be too late to move AQP2 without taking a big hit. A sequel like this will probably have a $80-100 million global marketing budget and they must have already spend most of it by now.
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What's the point of making a Furiosa movie without Charlize ?
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$225 million budget ??
BREAKING: Per , the budget on Scorsese's KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON has soared to $225M (not far off from The Irishman, mind you) & Paramount is getting nervous (even with Leo starring), and Marty wants to move it to Netflix (which doesn't know how to say "no").-
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I have been a fan of Bong ever since I saw Memories of Murder , which is every bit as good as Zodiac. Well deserved wins for Parasite.
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Will Disney go ahead with the Mulan release if they can't release it simultaneously in China ? It may make more sense to move it to November/December.
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6 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:
That era never existed. It's always been a marriage of actor and project (a combination of genre, director, producer, writer, tone, co-stars, quality etc). It's less than it used to be (with IP now king) but it still exists - and studios know it exists which is why they pay stars more, and they pay different salaries for different kinds of projects.
There was a time back in the 80s and 90s when a handful of actors would carry anything. I mean Kindergarten Cop did $200 million Worldwide 30 years ago.
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The era of actors being draws on their own is over. Either they need to pick an IP or pick good projects with good directors. Blake Lively needs to pick better projects and she'll be fine.
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7 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:
I doubt it's as frontloaded as Joker. Should be a lot closer to Shazam.
It will be more frontloaded than Shazam as it is a sort of sequel. Shazam was a completely unknown property for most non-comic book reading public.
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Joker also had 8-9 days of sales so BOP is going to be a direct comparison.
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Congratulations on TROS becoming the last Star Wars movie to ever cross a billion dollars worldwide.
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3 hours ago, Eric Dolittle said:
Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting
Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 27 62 5,331 1.16% Total Seats Added Today: 59
Total Seats Sold Today: 5
Comp
0.660x of Dora 3 days before release (824K)
1.348x of Abominable (876K)
0.653x of Addams Family (816K)
0.283x of Maleficent (651K)
2.296x of Playing with Fire (1.03M)
0.266x of Jumanji (1.25M)
So...yeah, more comps doesn't really help this movie's case. But hey, maybe it'll do better in the next couple days. Crazier things have happened.
Only 5 seats sold on Monday from Philly market is legit bad. It is going to play as a family film so there's still hope.
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Dolittle will still make a good bit of money for a January movie even if it flops relative to its budget. $30 million 4-day may not be impressive for a $175 million movie but it will have an impact on the MLK weekend boxoffice.
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On 1/11/2020 at 3:36 AM, dudalb said:
It all depends on the movie, you can't criticize Disney for refusing to spend money on a film they think is crappy and is going to bomb no matter what.
Here's my problem. This is the third Fox movie to open under $10 million in the past 6 months and none of them were outright terrible movies. Worse movies from other studios have done better because they made some effort. There are going to be more Fox movies that will bomb in the next few months. There is a larger dynamic in play here and that's Disney doesn't know what to do with movies that don't fit under Disney umbrella of movies. It is what it is.
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I wonder if Disney will treat other finished Fox movies similarly or make more effort for some of them. I expect them to make some effort for Call of The Wild because it is something that will also play at Disney+ later on. Woman in the Window may be DOA unfortunately because it ain't ever gonna play on Disney+. The King's Man is a question mark after they inexplicably delayed it by 7 months and gave it the Ad Astra release date.
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8 hours ago, filmlover said:
Also:
Like a Boss: $10-12.5M
Just Mercy: $7.5M (possibly $10M)
Underwater: single digits
They are underestimating 1917 for sure.
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1917 is breaking out for sure. Just Mercy is an interesting one for me. Its limited release PTA isn't all that impressive but there is an audience for it. $4k PTA from 2500 screens is a possibility but I don't see it going any higher than that.
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1 hour ago, JB33 said:
Getting a very healthy 3,200+ theatre wide expansion on the 10th.
I've been pretty bullish on this movie's prospects at the box office. I think we could very well see a $40M+ wide opening. Lone Survivor almost did it 6 years ago($37.85M wide opening on January 10, 2014) and that was in roughly 400 less theatres. Factor in some serious Oscar hype and this could be massive!
I think it will be massive but more of a $30-35 million massive with around $10k PTA but $40 million can easily happen if it wins Golden Globes Best Picture on Sunday.
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^^^ Ford v Ferrari is the best comparison IMO but watch out for Golden Globe boost on Monday.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
in Numbers and Data
Posted
There doesn't seem to be much interest in Jungle Cruise based on trailer views. Disney has bigger movies that they can slot in the December holiday frame.