a2k
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Posts posted by a2k
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Movie Distr Gross %YD %LW Thr Per
ThrTotal
GrossD - (4) The Way Back Warner Bros. $655,000 -68% 2,718 $241 $8,825,315 4 - (8) Birds of Prey (And the Fa… Warner Bros. $235,000 -60% -31% 2,173 $108 $82,773,376 32 Onward 2.6M (@Charlie) -75.3% from 10.51
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17 minutes ago, Plain Old Tele said:
what about sub-3x?
Pixar's lowest multis: Cars2 2.90x --> 113.4, Cars3 2.85x --> 111.4
Shrek3 2.65x --> 103.6
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14 hours ago, CoolK said:
not sure about that.
1983 if done well will work as it has a classic storyline of an underdog team winning world cup against all odds. The fact that it was THE reason for cricket craze in india cannot be understated.
what about 2011? India were fav to win anyways in home conditions
would love to see a movie about shoaib akhtar. rare talent and his team/management did not know how to use him. he said in a poignant interview that unlike with say more scientific management of pacers in england and australia, pcb didn't use scientific data to handle shoaib - what should be his exercise regimen, diet/nutrition, rest period etc going by his physique. for eg. they used to make him run rounds like all fast bowlers have to, but his build was different and it damaged his knees.
he came from a humble background and took time to learn how the world works. despite all odds he did make it to the list of greats but he could have been greater. then there was rivalry within the team like it often happens when spots are limited and selection is competitive. pakistan produces great bowlers as such but akhtar was still unique among them which makes his story interesting imo.
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4 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said:
... 2.55 needed for 100M
3.15x for TGD (123.1)
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2.90x, 515 dom
23 (22) Star Wars: The Rise o… Walt Disney $198,365 -45% 269 -124 $737 $515,028,178 12 -
Very good 2nd weekend hold for a horror film
2 (1) The Invisible Man Universal $15,132,340 -46% 3,610 n/c $4,192 $52,675,910 2 -
Sun drop for ONWARD was estimated at 30%
Date Rank Gross % Change Theaters Per Theater Total Gross Days Mar 5, 2020 P $2,000,000 0 $2,000,000 Mar 6, 2020 1 $12,096,726 4,310 $2,807 $12,096,726 1 Mar 7, 2020 1 $16,514,193 +37% 4,310 $3,832 $28,610,919 2 Mar 8, 2020 1 $10,508,942 -36% 4,310 $2,438 $39,119,861 3 3.5x gives 136.85
3.84x needed for 150
3.93x needed to beat Trolls (153.7)
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if films catering to kids and older audiences take a hit in legs, am prone to think it's the covid affect. those demos leg it very well usually and they happen to more vulnerable to the virus.
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Can see 250 ww happen for Onwards.
68 ow * 3.25x + remaining markets (Japan am guessing)
But that's an abysmal ww for a 175m prod budget film.
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Any Pixar original with 175 prod budget should be able to double Emoji dom (86) and ow (24.5) and thus matching it's legs (3.5x).
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6 minutes ago, Valonqar said:
Wrong. Opening weekend has nothing to do having seen the movie, but all to do with marketing. if something doesn't look appealing, people won't see it. I don't have to see the movie to say that previews look rancid. I agree that corona is affecting everything but I also think that Onward wouldn't do much better without it and would be among the lowest grossing Pixar movies because it just didnn't look like a must-see. And given that it received the lowest score for a Pixar movie, legs wouldn't be great. It's a Pixar filler.
Onward looked too off and unrelatable to me. It's idiosyncrasies didn't all come together. People used to ask about Cars - headlights as eyes vs being on the windshield, speed/performance being dependent on engine/body parts vs will power/emotions, etc - but those things didn't bother me much. Onward's universe seems just too weird for the heck of it.
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75 dom looks difficult for COTW and 80+ is too far away.
5 The Call Of The Wild $7,300,000 -45% 3,914 49 $1,865 $57,783,738 3 20th Century Studios -
16 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:
Many here were talking about Pixar high costs. Well Pixar is from Apple. It's iPhone and bound to be expensive from Android.
Pixar = iPhone
DW = Android (shuttles around and fits everywhere - opensource)
WAG/Sony = Windows (inconsistent, hit and miss, pricey enough)
Illumination = Samsung (BADA)
Blue Sky = Blackberry
WDAS = iPhone jailbreak
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Fri/Sat according to BOI
Fri 17.5
Sat 15.5-16
Sun 18-19 (imo)
= 51.5-53 ow
Am sure @Charlie's numbers are lower (and more accurate). Will aim to hit 100cr Nett with these numbers. Disappointing.
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So wanted to make a Soul > Onward + Min2 Dom club...Would have made more sense before Onward numbers came in. Maybe will go with Soul > 2xOnward
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3 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:
Lol, what's Deadline smoking? Sonic isn't crossing 8 mil with a 1.78 mil Friday. It's more likely that it doesn't even cross 7 mil with that number.
hmm...100%+ Sat bump feasible imo
1.78 + 3.56 (+100%) +2.46 (-31%) = 7.8
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Onward looking at 37.5-40 still
2
10.1
16 // Using upper-end of Charlie's 15-16
11 (-31.25%)
= 39.1
Jeez, just 5 more than Lego2's abysmal ow.
TGD opened much better considering it burned off demand on Wed+Thu
Date Rank Gross % Change Theaters Per Theater Total Gross Week Nov 27, 2015 2 $39,155,217 3,749 $10,444 $55,455,687 1 A Bug's Life
Date Rank Gross % Change Theaters Per Theater Total Gross Week Nov 20, 1998 27 $291,121 1 $291,121 $291,121 1 Nov 27, 1998 1 $33,258,052 +11,324% 2,686 $12,382 $46,111,456 2 Toy Story (collected 10 before FSS)
Date Rank Gross % Change Theaters Per Theater Total Gross Week Nov 24, 1995 1 $29,140,617 2,457 $11,860 $39,071,176 1 -
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Movie Distr Gross %YD %LW Thr Per
ThrTotal
GrossD 1 N Onward Walt Disney $12,100,000 4,310 $2,807 $12,100,000 1 2 (1) The Invisible Man Universal $4,310,000 +138% -57% 3,610 $1,194 $38,328,152 8 3 N The Way Back Warner Bros. $2,600,000 2,718 $957 $2,600,000 1 4 (2) The Call of the Wild 20th Century… $1,839,000 +117% -46% 3,914 $470 $52,322,738 15 5 (3) Sonic The Hedgehog Paramount Pi… $1,775,000 +119% -49% 3,717 $478 $134,593,152 22 6 (14) Emma Focus Features $1,670,000 +1,666% +377% 1,565 $1,067 $3,562,065 15 7 (4) Bad Boys For Life Sony Pictures $785,000 +130% -29% 2,159 $364 $199,763,103 50 8 (5) Birds of Prey (And the Fa… Warner Bros. $560,000 +73% -48% 2,173 $258 $80,960,582 29 - (7) 1917 Universal $360,000 +59% -49% 1,535 $235 $157,284,094 73 - (10) Jumanji: The Next Level Sony Pictures $325,000 +105% -35% 1,403 $232 $314,856,594 85 - (9) Fantasy Island Sony Pictures $250,000 +39% -61% 1,362 $184 $25,180,897 22 - (-) The Photograph Universal $96,000 +28% -68% 382 $251 $20,110,050 22 - (15) Dolittle Universal $88,000 +1% -59% 687 $128 $76,563,530 50 - (-) Star Wars: The Rise of Sk… Walt Disney $52,000 +67% -37% 269 $193 $514,881,813 78 - (-) Little Women Sony Pictures $41,000 +9% -61% 263 $156 $107,848,085 73 - (-) Frozen II Walt Disney $33,000 +35% -50% 229 $144 $477,161,380 106 - (-) Spies in Disguise 20th Century… $31,000 +104% -29% 187 $166 $66,541,714 73 - (-) Jojo Rabbit Fox Searchlight $23,000 +8% -66% 159 $145 $33,248,388 141 - (-) Wendy Searchlight … $17,000 +2,155% +74% 69 $246 $46,979 8 - (-) Ford v. Ferrari 20th Century… $14,000 +12% -47% 95 $147 $117,564,351 113 - (-) Downhill Searchlight … $5,000 -77% -91% 69 $72 $8,260,306 22 - (-) Underwater 20th Century… $5,000 +9% -55% 50 $100 $17,264,884 57 -
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4 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said:
My gut says this is on the A side of A- whereas Cars 2 was on the B+ side of A-.
Zootopia has a massive 4.1x True IM, but imo this will be lucky to hit HTTYD3’s 3.6x.
2+9.5*3.6->36. 100 could be tough with covid
hyyd3 was a tri-quel. despite some pixar front-loading i don't think it will do that badly. maybe 37.5 odd minimum with 9.5 true-fri.
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With 9.5 true Fri / 11.5 od, 39-42 ow imo. Tough ask to hit 150 dom with that.
97% RT Aud after 700+ ratings.
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Thursday
Movie Distr Gross %YD %LW Thr Per
ThrTotal
GrossD - P Onward Walt Disney $2,000,000 $2,000,000 - (-) Bad Boys For Life Sony Pictures $340,000 -3% -15% 2,708 $126 $198,976,178 49 - (-) Birds of Prey (And the Fa… Warner Bros. $322,974 -6% -35% 3,124 $103 $80,400,582 28 - (-) Fantasy Island Sony Pictures $180,000 -10% -34% 2,724 $66 $24,930,840 21 - (-) Jumanji: The Next Level Sony Pictures $155,000 -8% -4% 1,811 $86 $314,528,255 84 - (-) Parasite Neon $136,457 -6% -42% 1,324 $103 $52,102,439 147 - (-) Portrait of a Lady on Fire Neon $86,192 -5% +23% 268 $322 $2,822,281 91 - (-) Little Women Sony Pictures $38,000 -9% -39% 432 $88 $107,807,322 72 - (-) The Lodge Neon $30,424 -20% -27% 395 $77 $1,601,887 28 - (-) Just Mercy Warner Bros. $21,277 +17% -44% 300 $71 $35,821,292 72 - (-) The Assistant Bleecker Street $14,356 +6% -34% 155 $93 $1,050,375 35 - (-) Ordinary Love Bleecker Street $10,300 -9% +129% 70 $147 $216,166 21 - (-) Uncut Gems A24 $3,619 +58% -32% 61 $59 $50,004,879 84 - (-) Joker Warner Bros. $3,207 +49% -19% 72 $45 $335,451,311 154 - (-) The Times of Bill Cunningham Greenwich $1,398 -22% -42% 10 $140 $110,703 21 - (-) Incitement Greenwich $1,124 -21% +28% 16 $70 $130,819 35 - (-) Weathering With You GKIDS $1,028 -61% -10% 15 $69 $7,787,532 51 -
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18 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:
Fell bang in the middle of the range. Thankfully MTC did not over index as much as Sonic did but it did not behave like Call of the Wind.
OD is looking like 10-11m to me. But its really early. Let us see where things are this evening.
What would be a good Sat bump from true Fri?
Edit (updating based on @keyser's reply to this post):
02
11 (13 od)
19.25 (+75%)
13.50 (-30%)
= 45.75 ow
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52 minutes ago, 1Robert1 said:
Fantastic weekdays for Jumanji. Last year in first wed of march spider-man made very similar number (167k), and after that made only 2.2m.😲 I hope that jumanji will do much better.
Onward will have some impact but anything aroudn 1.5m (316m cume) would be good for 320+ dom.
Weekday Numbers (3/9/2020 - 3/12/2020)
in Box Office Discussion
Posted
have to re-post it, sorry. it's important.
BREAKING: In response to the outbreak of Coronavirus COVID-19 Universal Pictures changes the title of the 25th James Bond film.