a2k
-
Posts
22,318 -
Joined
-
Days Won
3
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Events
Blogs
Gallery
Annual Subscriptions
Media Demo
Posts posted by a2k
-
-
Sonic
3
18 (21 od = 7x previews)
21.5 (+19%)
17.5 (-19%)
= 60
11 (-37%)
= 71
-
If BOP Fri is 5.9 don't see how it does only 15.3 FSS.
5.9 + 6.5 (+10%) + 4.2 (-35%) = 16.6
optimistically,
5.9 + 7.1 (+20%) + 5.0 (-30%) = 18.0
-
1
-
-
56 minutes ago, cdsacken said:
No worries gonna increase like 1000% for Friday per Variety.
that was a happy emotional expression for 300 dom.
-
-
3
-
-
7 hours ago, Ryan Reynolds said:
93% verified rating on RT
94% after 450+ ratings. These scores are getting zany. Am certain Cars3/DM2 sort of movies would be hovering around 90% on the verified scale.
-
LW, TROS take a sizable hit
Little Women Sony Pictures 1,035 1,805 -770 Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Walt Disney 992 1,746 -754 Frozen II Walt Disney 716 1,131 -415 JUM2 holds on well
Jumanji: The Next Level Sony Pictures 2,410 2,729 -319 
Parasite Neon 2,001 1,060 +941 -
3
-
-
8 hours ago, kitik said:
The Rhythm Section Paramount Pictures 94 3,049 -2,955 That can't be right. Losing 2955, down to just 94 left, would be beyond epic.
From Paramount. Maybe they are freeing as much space as possible for Sonic.
-
50 * 3.50 = 175 Onward
65 * 2.85 = 185 Min2
Onward + Min2 = 360
85 * 4.25 = 361 Soul
Spoiler
-
1
-
1
-
-
1 hour ago, Arendelle Legion said:
On the other hand, Pika did just 9.5 as a non-sequel. Seems almost unbelievable in retrospect.
The Fri and Sat PS make me think 50s for the true FSS should be the most likely, would be mid 60s+ for 4.5-day
true dat. video game effect. sonic multi could suffer from that too. pika was may 2nd week where i feel previews are heavier and hope that sonic makes it to 12x+ if not 15x+. if pika had a 20% sun drop would have done 10x multi. Valentine Day inflation could have pushed it a little higher than that.
-
Malef2 did 16.1x previews as a sequel without holiday boost.
F2 did 15.3x again as a sequel and no holiday boost in ow.
Sonic will have no sequelitis, VD boost on Fri and PD boost on Sun.
It will have Sonic fans front-loading somewhat but 15-16x is a given over FSS no?
3.5 previews, 3.5*15-16 = 52.5-56 fss, high-60s/low-70s 4-day.
-
3
-
-
26 minutes ago, 1Robert1 said:
Flat Thu? Based on 2014 should be 5-10% up.
Going conservative due to Sonic but yeah it could do better.
-
1
-
-
JUM2
6 (7) Jumanji: The Next Level Sony Pictures $350,779 -30% -1% 2,729 $129 $299,679,892 62 say 0.350 Thu // 300+
1.50 (+329%)
2.10 (+40%)
1.65 (-21%)
= 5.25 // 305.25+
-
2
-
-
Wednesday
Movie Distr Gross %YD %LW Thr Per
ThrTotal
GrossD 1 (1) Birds of Prey (And the Fa… Warner Bros. $1,826,055 -46% 4,236 $431 $40,377,616 6 2 (2) Bad Boys For Life Sony Pictures $775,133 -39% -42% 3,530 $220 $169,180,956 27 3 (3) 1917 Universal $759,880 -37% -28% 3,548 $214 $135,553,359 50 4 (4) Parasite Neon $475,991 -28% +186% 1,060 $449 $37,170,827 125 5 (5) The Gentlemen STX Entertai… $367,951 -37% -37% 2,557 $144 $28,179,016 20 6 (7) Jumanji: The Next Level Sony Pictures $350,779 -30% -1% 2,729 $129 $299,679,892 62 7 (6) Dolittle Universal $309,010 -47% -34% 3,462 $89 $65,091,965 27 8 (8) Little Women Sony Pictures $245,643 -34% -34% 1,805 $136 $103,576,712 50 9 (9) Gretel & Hansel United Artists $231,393 -36% -42% 3,007 $77 $12,459,198 13 - (11) Star Wars: The Rise of Sk… Walt Disney $190,456 -29% -33% 1,746 $109 $511,292,996 55 - (12) Just Mercy Warner Bros. $136,024 -39% -42% 1,315 $103 $33,841,438 50 - (14) Jojo Rabbit Fox Searchlight $134,672 -29% -28% 1,096 $123 $30,722,111 118 - (13) The Rhythm Section Paramount Pi… $110,061 -44% -56% 3,049 $36 $5,318,896 13 - (15) The Turning Universal $94,170 -34% -55% 1,848 $51 $14,447,665 20 - (-) Uncut Gems A24 $88,940 -25% +72% 1,142 $78 $49,522,261 62 - (-) Frozen II Walt Disney $76,251 -38% -32% 1,131 $67 $474,603,482 83 - (-) Ford v. Ferrari 20th Century… $62,257 -31% -41% 743 $84 $116,566,378 90 - (-) Spies in Disguise 20th Century… $47,434 -41% -27% 800 $59 $65,097,648 50 - (-) Like a Boss Paramount Pi… $20,320 -32% -57% 295 $69 $22,038,768 34 - (-) The Assistant Bleecker Street $14,094 -8% +94% 25 $564 $261,829 13 - (-) Once Upon a Time…in Holly… Sony Pictures $13,422 -19% -49% 583 $23 $142,442,605 202 - (-) Joker Warner Bros. $11,453 -5% -61% 501 $23 $335,241,261 132 - (-) A Beautiful Day in the Ne… Sony Pictures $11,381 -22% -40% 155 $73 $61,361,760 83 - (-) Underwater 20th Century… $11,332 -28% -67% 226 $50 $17,057,334 34 - (-) Cats Universal $3,885 -3% -43% 85 $46 $27,162,810 55 - (-) Panga FIP $2,189 -55% -69% 37 $59 $581,156 20 - (-) Maleficent: Mistress of Evil Walt Disney $1,893 -20% -30% 68 $28 $113,927,549 118 -
2
-
-
1 hour ago, Gavin Feng said:
"It seems all but certain that Harley Quinn will at least crack the top ten. And if the film can approach the $300 million mark domestically, then the film could very well near Wonder Woman territory."
He seems more certain about 300 dom than making it to top 10 this weekend.
-
1
-
-
BOP guess
1.9 (-44%); 40.5
1.9 ; 42.4
5.2 (+175%)
6.5 (+25%)
4.6 (-30%)
= 16.3 (-51%) ; 58.7
-
6 (6) Jumanji: The Next Level Sony Pictures $501,652 +47% -19% 2,729 $184 $299,329,113 61 Smaller Tue bump than expected. Hopefully Wed doesn't fall more than 40%.
Using a flat Thu due to Sonic instead of a pre-Valentine bump JUM2 should target 4.5 weekend if not 5.0.
0.30 (-40%) + 0.30
1.275 (+325%)
1.785 (+40%)
1.428 (-20%)
= 4.488
-
3
-
-
5 (5) Jumanji: The Next Level Sony Pictures $340,371 -79% -8% 2,729 $125 $298,827,461 60 bit higher than charlie's 0.32 number. would be fun if it can make it to 5 3-day (-10%). Sonic will be comp but weekend should be inflated nevertheless.
0.34 + 0.56 (+65%) + 0.32 (-43%) + 0.35 (+10%)
1.4 (+300%) + 2.0 (+40%) + 1.6 (-20%) = 5.0
-
2
-
-
JUM2 should add 6 Mon-Sun which will take it to 304.5
0.32 + 0.52(+62%) + 0.29(-44%) + 0.32(+10%) = 1.45
About +300%, +40%, -20% gives >4.5 FSS
-
1
-
-
53 minutes ago, OncomingStorm93 said:
Can you tone down the saturation?
my post was sarcastic 😜 but done:
-
Harley Quinn : R-Rated Wonder Woman
-
Don't know if anyone can tell but I made a subtle change to the poster which WB is free to use.
-
1
-
1
-
-
BOP's RT aud score not keeping healthy:
81% verified compared to Joker's 88%.
75% unverified compared to Shazam's 83%.
-
1
-
-
revised BOP
Date Rank Gross % Change Theaters Per Theater Total Gross Days Feb 7, 2020 1 $12,960,000 4,236 $3,059 $12,960,000 1 Feb 8, 2020 1 $12,190,000 -6% 4,236 $2,878 $25,150,000 2 Feb 9, 2020 1 $7,850,000 -36% 4,236 $1,853 $33,000,000 3 JUM2 5.550
Feb 7, 2020 5 $1,245,000 +238% -18% 2,729 $456 $294,175,411 57 Feb 8, 2020 5 $2,725,000 +119% -17% 2,729 $999 $296,900,411 58 Feb 9, 2020 5 $1,580,000 -42% +33% 2,729 $579 $298,480,411 59 Actuals
11 (14) Parasite Neon $1,560,237 +7% 1,060 n/c $1,472 $35,532,515 18 16 (10) The Rhythm Section Paramount… $1,014,767 -63% 3,049 n/c $333 $4,907,758 2 -
1 hour ago, DAJK said:
I could see Sonic having a Friday # that skews heavily to Thursday previews for a kids film (say, 3.5M Thursday, 13M Friday total) but then having a great Saturday bump like 18.5M, and a Sunday around 13M and Monday around 8M.
That would be a great opening (44.5/52.5) and put it on path to challenge Pikachu with 3.25x multi. Any idea what the prod budget is after design change?
Weekend Thread (14 Feb - 17 Feb) - Sonic 58M/70M
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Sonic verified score is 95% after 2.1k ratings and unverified is 94% after 4.4k ratings.