BadAtGender

Wow.

Part 1 ~ answer yes/no unless otherwise stated (UOS) and are worth 1000 points each UOS. They also only refer to the top 12 UOS. (Read them carefully ) 1) Will Warcraft open to less than $35M? YES 2) Will Warcraft open to less than $27M? 2000 YES 3) Will Warcraft open to less than $19M? YES 4) Will The Conjuring open to less than $40M? NO 5) Will The Conjuring open to less than $32M? NO 6) Will The Conjuring open to less than $24M? NO 7) The Conjuring open to more than double Warcraft? YES 8) Will NYSM2 open to more than $22M? YES 9) Will NYSM2 Open to more than Warcraft? 3000 YES 10) Will the top 3 positions all be new entries? YES 11) Will Xmen stay above Me Before You? NO 12) Will Neighbours remain in the top 10? 2000 YES 13) Will Jungle Book cross $350M ON Saturday (not before, but on)? NO 14) Will Popstar have a weekend below $2M? YES 15) Will Civil War have a better Friday increase than Angry Birds? 3000 NO 16) Will Kung Fu Panda 3 finish above Deadpool? YES 17) Will Zootopis have a low weekend drop than every film that finishes above it (excluding any films that increase)? NO 18) Will The Huntsman have a Sunday drop above 31%? YES 19) Will Me Before you have a higher PTA within $1,000 of TMNT? 3000 YES, but you should figure out a better way to word this question 20) Will The Lobster drop less than 10% this weekend? NO 21) Will BvS stay above the Man who Knew Infinity? YES 22) Will Alice Stay above Angry Birds? 2000 NO 23) Will any of the 3 big new openers decrease on Saturday? YES 24) We me before You drop less than 25% on Sunday? YES 25) Will more than 31% of all words written in the upcoming weekend thread be the word: 'China'? Probably not, but it may account for 31% of the proper nouns. Bonuses 18/25 - 2000 19/25 - 4000 20/25 - 6000 21/25 - 9000 22/25 - 12000 23/25 - 15000 24/25 - 20000 25/25 - 25000 Part 2 ~ The closest predictor for each question scores 5000 UOS 1. What will be the combined weekend gross of the three main new openers? 84.63m 2. What will be the difference in dollars between NYSM2 and Warcraft's Saturday Gross? 2.34m 3. What will Popstar's percentage drop be? 65.4% Part 3 ~ predict which film finishes in the places given. (2000 per film) 1. The Conjuring 2 3. Warcraft 5. Me Before You 10. Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising 13. Popstar: Never Stop Never Stopping 15. The Lobster Bonuses: 3/6 ~ 2000 points 4/6 ~ 5000 points 5/6 ~ 9000 points 6/6 ~ 15000 points

Secret Life of Pets - 8000 Central Intelligence - 4000 The Conjuring 2 - 3000 Bad Moms - 2000 The Purge: Anarchy - 2000 The Shallows - 1000

Don't get hung up on it. Last summer I spent the bulk of the game hovering around 30th place. I started to move up in the last month, but even then I was still only in the 20s. It wasn't until the final calculation came in that I ended up in 6th (just behind @Telemachos). Conversely, in the Winter game, I spent much of the time in the top 5, only drop back to... 14th? at the end. (Just ahead of @Telemachos). While the weeklies and the SOTMs have an effect, they aren't the whole game. Your preseason predicts are going to have the biggest effect. Someone can easily vault several places by having a bit of foresight. Or, alternatively, they can fall back pretty hard.

2) Will TMNT open to more than $47.5M? 2000 NO 3) Will TMNT open to more than $55M? NO 5) Will Me Before You open to more than $20M? NO 7) Will Popstar open to more than $10? 3000 NO 8) Will Apocalypse have a weekend total above $30M? NO 16) Will The Darkness Drop less than 65% this weekend? NO 20) Will any film ever make the box office we hope it will ever again? That would be unpossible

1) Will TMNT open to more than $40M? NO 2) Will TMNT open to more than $47.5M? 2000 NO 3) Will TMNT open to more than $55M? NO 4) Will Me Before You open to more than $15M? YES 5) Will Me Before You open to more than $20M? NO 6) Will Popstar open to more than $7M? NO 7) Will Popstar open to more than $10? 3000 NO 8) Will Apocalypse have a weekend total above $30M? NO 9) Will Alice cross $50M by the end of the weekend? 2000 NO 10) Will Angry Birds have a higher percentage drop than Zootopia? YES 11) Will Neighbours stay above Jungle Book? YES 12) Will The NIce Guys Increase more than 110% on Friday? YES 13) Will Love and Friendship have a weekend total above $2M? 3000 YES 14) Will Approaching the Unknown have a PTA above $3,500? NO 15) Will Mother's Day stay above the Boss? 2000 NO 16) Will The Darkness Drop less than 65% this weekend? NO 17) Will Zootopis pass $1B Worldwide by the end of the weekend? YES 18) Will The Huntsman have a Sunday drop above 31%? YES 19) Will Me Before you have a higher PTA within $1,000 of TMNT? 3000 YES 20) Will any film ever make the box office we hope it will ever again? That would be unpossible Bonuses 15/20 - 2000 16/20 - 4000 17/20 - 6000 18/20 - 9000 19/20 - 12000 20/20 - 15000 Part 2 ~ The closest predictor for each question scores 5000 UOS 1. What will TMNT's Saturday Gross Be? 10.359 2. What will Popstar's Sunday percentage drop be? 34.5% 3. What will Jungle Book's Total Domestic Gross be by the end of the weekend? 346.521 Part 3 ~ predict which film finishes in the places given. (2000 per film) 2. X-MEN: APOCALYPSE 6. CAPTAIN AMERICA: CIVIL WAR 9. THE JUNGLE BOOK 12. THE LOBSTER 14. ZOOTOPIA 16. THE DARKNESS Bonuses: 3/6 ~ 2000 points 4/6 ~ 5000 points 5/6 ~ 9000 points 6/6 ~ 15000 points

1) Will Xmen make more than $67.5m this weekend? YES 2) Will Xmen make more than $80m this weekend? 2000 NO 3) Will Xmen make above $92.5m this weekend? NO 4) Will Alice make more than $47.5m this weekend? NO 5) Will Alice make more than $60m this weekend? NO 6) Will Alice make more than $72.5m this weekend? NO 7) Will Alice make at least 70% of the gross of Xmen this weekend? 3000 NO 8) Will Angry Birds stay above $20m? YES 9) Will Nice Guys' total gross pass Keanu's total gross by the end of the weekend? 2000 YES 10) Will Jungle Book drop more than 40%? NO 11) WillCivil War's PTA stay above $4,500? YES 12) Will The Darkness drop more than Ratchett and Clank? NO 13) Will Neighbours remain within $7.5m of Civil War this weekend? 3000 YES 14) Will the two main new entries combine to more than $150m? NO 15) Will Money Maker drop less than 37% on Sunday? 2000 YES 16) Will The Wailing have a PTA above $6000? NO 17) Will Zootopia stay in the top 9? YES 18) Will The Huntsman have a PTA above $650? NO 19) Will Mother's Day stay above Barbershop? 3000 NO 20) Will the World End by Saturday? I kinda hope not. I'm meeting a friend I haven't seen in like nine years that evening. Bonuses 15/20 - 2000 16/20 - 4000 17/20 - 6000 18/20 - 9000 19/20 - 12000 20/20 - 15000 Part 2 ~ The closest predictor for each question scores 5000 UOS 1. What will be the gross of Alice be as a percentage of Xmen's? 63% 2. What will The Boss make on Sunday? $97k 3. What will Civil War's World Wide total be by the end of the weekend? $1,120m Part 3 ~ predict which film finishes in the places given. (2000 per film) 6. The Jungle Book 9. Zootopia 11. The Lobster 14. The Meddler 16. The Huntsman: Winter's War 19. The Man Who Knew Infinity Bonuses: 3/6 ~ 2000 points 4/6 ~ 5000 points 5/6 ~ 9000 points 6/6 ~ 15000 points

1) Will Angry Birds make more than $40m this weekend? YES 2) Will Neighbours 2 make more than $40m this weekend? 2000 NO 3) Will any film make above $50m this weekend? NO 4) Will at least two new entries open above Civil War? NO 5) Will The Nice Guys make more than $15m this weekend? YES 6) Will Civil War become the number 1 film of 2016 by the end of Saturday? NO 7) Will The Jungle Book overtake BvS's domestic total by the end of the weekend? 3000 NO 8) Will Zootopia remain in the top 8? YES 9) Will Huntsman increase more than 72% on Saturday? NO 10) Will Mother's Day drop down to 10th place or lower? NO 11) Will Money Monster drop more than 53%? 2000 NO 12) Will The Darkness drop more than Ratchett and Clank? 3000 NO 13) Will Barbershop have a better Friday increase than Keanu? YES 14) Will the three main new entries combine to more than $100m? NO 15) Will Greek Wedding 2 drop less than 37% on Sunday? 2000 NO 16) Will Jungle Book's weekend gross be within $24m of Civil War's? 3000 NO 17) Will Sing Street remain in the top 12? NO 18) Will The Boss have a PTA above $650? YES 19) Will Deadpool stay above Kung Fu Panda 3 this weekend? YES 20) Will all three films involve scenes that show the unwitting imbibing of urine? Depends on how far Shane Black wanted to push Russell Crowe. Bonuses 15/20 - 2000 16/20 - 4000 17/20 - 6000 18/20 - 9000 19/20 - 12000 20/20 - 15000 Part 2 ~ The closest predictor for each question scores 5000 UOS 1. What will be the gross of the number 1 film of the weekend? 43.2m 2. What will the top three new entries combined Saturday gross be? 36.9m 3. How far away from $1B Worldwide will Zootopia be by the end of the weekend? 23.4m Part 3 ~ predict which film finishes in the places given. (2000 per film) 1. Angry Birds 3. Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising 6. Money Monster 9. Mother's Day 11. Barbershop: The Next Cut 15. The Meddler Bonuses: 3/6 ~ 2000 points 4/6 ~ 5000 points 5/6 ~ 9000 points 6/6 ~ 15000 points

1) Will Civil War make more than $77m? YES 2) Will Civil War make more than $89m? 2000 NO 3) Will Money Monster open above $10m? 3000 YES 4) Will The darkness open above $6m? YES 5) Will Money Monster and The Darkness' combined opening weekends be higher than The Jungle Book's Weekend total? YES 6) Will Mother's Day remain in the top 5? YES 7) Will High Rise have a PTA above $15,000? NO 8) Will The Huntsman stay above Zootopia this weekend? 2000 NO 9) Will Ratchett and Clank increase more than 85% on Saturday? 3000 YES 10) Will Mother's Day have the biggest drop of any film in the top 8? YES 11) Will BvS's PTA stay above $400? YES 12) Will Sing Street increase this weekend? 2000 YES 13) Will Hologram for the king stay above The Meddler this weekend? 3000 NO 14) Will The Boss make $1m this weekend? YES 15) Will more people watch George Clooney in Nespresso commercials than in the cinema this weekend? Only now that you've mentioned the possibility Bonuses 11/15 - 2000 12/15 - 4000 13/15 - 6000 14/15 - 9000 15/15 - 12000 Part 2 ~ The closest predictor for each question scores 5000 UOS 1. What will be the difference between BvS and Civil War's total gross this weekend? 25.9m 2. What will Mother's Day's weekend drop be? 64.1% 3. What will Keanu make on Sunday? 587k Part 3 ~ predict which film finishes in the places given. (2000 per film) 4. The Darkness 7. The Huntsman: Winter's War 9. Barbershop: The Next Cut 12. Sing Street 14. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 17. Green Room

Money Monster: $28m HIGHER Nice Guys: $60m Popstar: $25m Me before You: $45m Now you see me 2: $65M Free State of Jones: $43M LOWER The Shallows: $28m HIGHER The purge: $42m HIGHER

Here we go... Part 1 ~ answer yes/no unless otherwise stated (UOS) and are worth 1000 points each UOS. They also only refer to the top 12 UOS. 1) Will Civil War open to more than $150m? YES 2) Will Civil War open to more than $175m? YES 3) Will Civil War open to more than $200m? 3000 NO 4) Will Civil War open to more than $220m? NO 5) Will Civil War's OW account for more than 82% of the total weekend Box office take? 2000 YES 6) Would Civil War's Thursday Preview total be within $5m of being enough to win the weekend on its own? YES 7) Will Civil War drop less than 25% on Saturday? 2000 YES 8) Will Civil War's Sunday make more than $50m? NO 8) Will Jungle Book drop more than 43% this weekend? NO 9) Will Huntsman finish above Keanu this weekend? 3000 NO 10) Will Mother's Day drop less than 57% this weekend? YES 11) Will Zootopia make more than $4m this weekend? YES 12) Will Zootopia pass Batman vs Superman's total gross by the end of the weekend? 2000 YES 13) Will Ratchet and Clank stay above the Boss this weekend? NO 14) Will at least 4 films increase over 200% on Friday? NO 15) Will Barbershop cross $50m by the end of Saturday? NO 16) Will Star Wars the force awakens increase this weekend? 2000 YES 17) Will hardcore Henry make less than $12,500 this weekend (getting pulled from theatres counts as a yes for this question)? YES 18) Will BvS have a PTA above $1,200? YES 19) Will Hologram for the king finish in the top 12 this weekend? 2000 NO 20) Will 1920 London have a PTA above $6,500? NO 21) Will Kung Fu Panda end the weekend in the top 25? YES 22) Will 3rd -8th place's weekend gross combine to be higher than Jungle Book's Weekend Gross? 2000 NO 23) Will Green Room Finish in the top 10? NO 24) Will any film in the top 20 drop more than 70%? 3000 NO 25) Will Civil War be universally accepted as the film to end all wars and disagreements for films ever? It's not even going to end disagreements about MCU films. Bonuses 16/25 - 2000 17/25 - 3000 18/25 - 4000 19/25 - 5000 20/25 - 7000 21/25 - 10000 22/25 - 12000 23/25 - 15000 24/25 - 17000 25/25 - 20000 Part 2 ~ The closest predictor for each question scores 5000 UOS 1. What will Civil War gross opening Friday (including previews)? 78.37m 2. What will be the difference in total domestic gross between Civil War and Jungle Book by the end of the weekend? 101.01m 3. How far away from making its (BOM stated) budget will Huntsman be after this weekend? 74.47m 4. What will Zootopia's weekend Drop be this weekend? 23.45% 5. How many films (out of all the films that BOM gives a gross for) will drop more than 57.5% this weekend? 27 Part 3 ~ predict which film finishes in the places given. (2000 per film) 3. Mother's Day 6. Zootopia 8. The Boss 10. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice 13. Green Room 17. Papa: Hemingway in Cuba Bonuses: 3/6 ~ 2000 points 4/6 ~ 5000 points 5/6 ~ 9000 points 6/6 ~ 15000 points

Part 1 ~ answer yes/no unless otherwise stated (UOS) and are worth 1000 points each UOS. They also only refer to the top 12 UOS. 1) Will keanu open to more than $18m? NO 2) Will keanu open to more than $22.5m? 2000 NO 3) Will mothers day open to more than $10m? NO 4) will the 3 openers' combined OW be higher than jungle book's weekend gross? 3000 NO 5) Will all 3 wide openers finish in the top 5? YES 6) Will huntsman drop less than 47.5%? NO 7) Will Zootopia drop more than 20%? NO 8) Will BvS have a sub-$1M day this weekend? YES 9) Will Barbershop have a higher Saturday gross than Zootopia this weekend? 3000 NO 10) will miracles from heaven have a better Sunday drop than gods not dead 2? NO 11) Will deadpool have a better Friday percentage increase than BvS? NO 12) Will criminal stay above my big fat gel wedding? YES 13) Will allegiant stay above Cloverfield lane? YES 14) Will hardcore Henry make less than $100k this weekend? 2000 YES 15) Will any film below the top 12 last weekend, move up into the top 12 this weekend? 2000 NO 16) Will the boss have a PTA above $1,500? NO 17) Will 2 films have a Friday increase above 200%? NO 18) Will KFP3 have a Saturday increase over 98.5%? 3000 YES 19) Willthe man who knew infinity have a PTA above $5000? YES 20) Will the hologram for the king turn out to be a threatening message from Lord Snoke? Probably not, but when you're dealing with an Abrams mystery box, anything's possible. Bonuses 14/20 - 2000 15/20 - 3000 16/20 - 5000 17/20 - 7000 18/20 - 10000 19/20 - 12000 20/20 - 15000 Part 2 ~ The closest predictor for each question scores 5000 UOS 1. What will keanu gross OW? 14.7m 2. What will Huntsman's weekend percentage drop be? -67.8% 3. What well be the difference in dollars of the total domestic grosses of BvS and zootopia after this weekend? 932k Part 3 ~ predict which film finishes in the places given. 3. Mother's Day 5. The Huntsman: Winter's War 8. The Boss 10. Criminal 13. Green Room

TOP 15 ETC PREDICTION TEMPLATE Below is a helpful template to use for making predictions. All Players who use this template for their predictions will receive 10,000 bonus points for making my life easier when I have to score everything at the end of the game. A: Domestic top 15: 1) Finding Dory 468m 2) Captain America: Civil War 432m 3) Independence Day: Resurgence 306m 4) The Secret Life of Pets 252m 5) Suicide Squad 234m 6) X-Men: Apocalypse 214m 7) Jason Bourne 195m 8) Star Trek: Beyond 186m 9) Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows 161m 10) Ghostbusters 149m 11) Neighbors 2 135m 12) Central Intelligence 123m 13) Ice Age: Collision Course 111m 14) The Conjuring 2 100m 15) Angry Birds 94m B: Top 7 Domestic OW: 1) Captain America: Civil War 184m 2) Independence Day: Resurgence 159m 3) Finding Dory 135m 4) X-Men: Apocalypse 88m 5) Suicide Squad 82m 6) The Secret Life of Pets 73m 7) Jason Bourne 67m C: Worldwide top 10: 1) Captain America: Civil War: 1,357m 2) Finding Dory 1,234m 3) Independence Day: Resurgence 1,111m 4) The Secret Life of Pets 931m 5) Ice Age: Collision Course 842m 6) X-Men: Apocalypse 753m 7) Suicide Squad 666m 8) Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows 567m 9) Star Trek: Beyond 468m 10) Central Intelligence 456m D: Worldwide Weekends: 1) Captain America: Civil War 345m 2) Independence Day: Resurgence 288m 3) Finding Dory 252m 4) X-Men: Apocalypse 234m 5) Suicide Squad 198m E: China Box Office: 1) ABSTAIN 2) ABSTAIN 2: THE QUICKENING 3) 4BST4IN 4) ABSTAIN (2009 REMAKE) 5) ABSTAIN: TOKYO DRIFT 6) THE LAST OF THE ABSTENTIONS 7) FINDING ABSTAINS F: Total Grosses: Top 15 Dom) 3,160m Top 7 W/E) 800m Top 10 WW) 8,385m Top 5 China) 1,010m G: Around The World in 80 Box Offices: South Korea #1) Independence Day: Resurgence South Africa #1) Independence Day: Resurgence Brazil #1) Captain America: Civil War Mexico #1) Finding Dory Australia #1 ) Captain America: Civil War Italy #1 ) Finding Dory Pre-season Questions: A generous risk-free question to start you off: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones domestically by the end of the game: A: 100M The Conjuring 2 B: 200M Jason Bourne C: 300M Independence Day: Resurgence D: 400M Captain America: Civil War E: 500M Finding Dory Each correctly predicted film scores you 15,000 points, get all four correct and receive 25,000 bonus points for 100k total. (This is the only preseason question where there is no penalty for being wrong so enjoy it). 1) Tell me which of these will be the highest grossing film of the summer domestically: 1) Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 2 2) Independence Day Resurgence 3) Angry Birds Movie4) Ghostbusters Answer correctly: 12,000 points Answer incorrectly: -5,000 points State that you abstain: 2,000 points Correctly predict the films gross to within 20M and receive a 13,000 point bonus, Predict to within 10M and receive 23,000 points bonus. 2) Tell me which of these will be the lowest grossing film of the summer domestically: 1) Free State of Jones 2) Purge: Election Year 3) Popstar: Never Stop Not Stopping 4) Nine Lives Answer correctly: 12,000 points Answer incorrectly: -5,000 points State that you abstain: 2,000 points Correctly predict the films gross to within 10M and receive a 13,000 point bonus, Predict to within 5M and receive 23,000 points bonus 3) Will at least 3 films make more than 300M domestically by the end of the game? ABSTAIN Answer correctly: 15,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 10,000 points State that you abstain: 3,000 points 4) Will animated films combine to make more than 800M domestically by the end of the game? YES Answer correctly: 15,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 10,000 points State that you abstain: 3,000 points 5) Will at least 3 films make more than 100M OW domestic? YES Answer correctly: 20,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 15,000 points State that you abstain: 4,000 points 6) Will any film have either a second domestic 3 day weekend or a second worldwide weekend that would have qualified for its respective top X table if multiple entries had been allowed? YES Answer correctly: 20,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 15,000 points State that you abstain: 4,000 points 7) Will at least 3 of the top 5 domestic films of the summer NOT be comic book films? YES Answer correctly: 20,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 15,000 points State that you abstain: 4,000 points 8) Will the top 3 films of the summer’s combined gross be higher than the combined gross of Batman vs Superman, Jungle Book and Zootopia? YES Answer correctly: 20,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 15,000 points State that you abstain: 4,000 points 9) Will any film have a domestic Opening Weekend above $50M but not open to number one at the box office? ABSTAIN Answer correctly: 25,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 10) Will at least 2 sequel/prequel/reboots drop more than 33.33% Domestically from the previous installment in its franchise (Civil War is vs Winter Soldier, Apocalypse is against DOFP and Bourne is vs Ultimatum for this question)? ABSTAIN Answer correctly: 25,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 11) Will at least 2 DOMESTIC titles make over $150M in China? YES Answer correctly: 25,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 12) Will at least 3 animated films open to number one at the domestic box office? ABSTAIN Answer correctly: 25,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 13) Will any film with a budget above $120M (according to BOM or another credible source) gross less than $60M domestically? ABSTAIN Answer correctly: 25,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 14) Will any domestic film get more than 8 million admissions in South Korea? ABSTAIN Answer correctly: 25,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 15) Will any film make more than $45M in Germany? NO Answer correctly: 30,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 16) Will at least 3 comedy films (as listed by BOM) make over $100M domestic? ABSTAIN Answer correctly: 30,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 17) Will any film open to 1st place domestically in its opening weekend and then drop more than 64% in its second week? YES Answer correctly: 30,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 18) Will any film in the worldwide top 10 NOT be in the domestic top 15 films at the end of the game? ABSTAIN Answer correctly: 30,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 19) Which combination of films will gross the most amount of money domestically during the game? 1) Finding Dory, Civil War, Popstar: Never stop Never Stopping, Mike and Dave need Wedding Dates 2) Apocalypse, Star Trek 3, Sausage Party, Alice Through the Looking Glass 3) Warcraft, Neighbours 2, Tarzan, Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 2 4) Jason Bourne, Central Intelligence, Secret Life of Pets, Conjuring 2 Answer correctly: 30,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 20) Which combination of films will gross the smallest amount of money during the game? ABSTAIN 1) Pete’s Dragon, Keanu, The Shallow, Nine Lives, 2) Legend of Tarzan, Ratchett and Clank, Me Before You, Arms and the Dudes 3) Ice Age, Money Monster, Lights Out, The Space Between Us, 4) Ben Hur, Now You See Me 2, The Shallows, Mechanic: Resurrection, Answer correctly: 30,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points Jajang’s (JJ-8) little set of Questions. Answer if you Dare! Part A: A Fish called Dory 1) Will Finding Dory produce the biggest “animated” opening weekend of 2016 ? (Current Record – 2016 = Zootopia 75.1m) YES 2) Will Finding Dory produce the biggest “animated” opening weekend ever ? (Current Record = Shrek the Third : 121.6m) YES 3) Will Finding Dory make more than 300m domestically ? YES 4) Will Finding Dory make more than 400m domestically ? YES 5) Will Finding Dory top the Summer Game domestically ? (ie. #1 film for the game) YES 6) Will Finding Dory make more than 1B worldwide ? YES 7) Will Finding Dory become the #1 Animated Film Worldwide (Current #1 = Frozen 1.277B) NO 8) How many weekends will an Animated Film be on top of the weekend chart ? (You have a Cushion of 1 Weekend – so if you are off by 1 you still get this correct) FOUR 9) Will any of the listed Animated Films have a weekend drop of “< 30%” in their 2nd weekends ? YES 10) How many Animated Films will be in the top 15 for the summer game ? (you have a Cushion of 1 Film) FOUR Part B: It’s a Comic Book World 1) A comic book film is expected to make the highest opening weekend during the summer game (Many of you will have it as your number 1 Weekend). Name that Film OR if you don’t think a Comic Film will be the number 1 weekend this summer, then put NONE. NONE 2) Will Captain America: Civil War make more than Iron Man 2 (128.1m) on Opening Weekend? YES 3) Will Captain America: Civil War make more than Iron Man 3 (174.1m) (and inherently more than BVS) on Opening Weekend? YES 4) Will Captain America: Civil War make more than Captain America: The Winter Soldier (259.8m)? YES 5) Will Captain America: Civil War become the biggest MCU film which doesn’t have “The Avengers” in its title (ie. More than Iron Man 3 (409m)) YES 6) Will X-Men: Apocalypse make more than X-Men: Days of Future Past (90.8m) on Opening weekend? NO 7) Will X-Men: Apocalypse make more than Deadpool (132.4m) on Opening weekend (this would make it the largest of the X-Men series)? NO 8) Will X-Men: Apocalypse make more than X-Men: The Last Stand (234.4m)? NO 9) Will X-Men: Apocalypse become the biggest of the X-Men series/franchise (Deadpool – Final number isn’t done yet)? NO 10) Will Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows make more than Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) (65.6m) on Opening weekend? NO 11) Will Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows make more than Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) (191.2m)? NO 12) Will Suicide Squad make more than Captain America: The First Avenger (65.1m)? YES 13) Will Suicide Squad (Total) make more than Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice Opening Weekend (170m – estimate)? YES 14) Will All Comic Book films (Total) make more than 1 Billion domestically (Total of all 4 films together)? YES 15) Will any Comic Book film drop more than 62% in it’s second weekend? (this will always reference 3 day totals only) YES 16) In how many of the following markets will a Comic Book film be the number 1 film (Total Gross) during the Game? (You have a cushion of 1 country) (Australia; Brazil; China; France; Germany; Mexico; Russia; South Korea; United Kingdom) FIVE 17) Will Captain America: Civil War make more than 1 Billion Worldwide? YES 18) Will Captain America: Civil War (Worldwide Total) OR X-Men: Apocalypse (Worldwide Total) make than Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows (Worldwide Total) AND Suicide Squad (Worldwide Total) Worldwide? YES 19) Will at least 2 Comic Book films receive a Cinema Score of at least “A”? YES 20) How Many Comic Book films will be in the ALL 3 of the main game charts? (there is no Cushion for this one!) THREE REMEMBER!!! USE THIS TEMPLATE (WITHOUT DELETING ANYTHING) AND RECEIVE 20,000 BONUS POINTS ABSOLUTELY FREE!!!

1. BvS Domestic Opening Weekend (including Thursday previews) vs Civil War Opening Weekend (excluding Thursay Previews) 2. BvS Total Domestic Gross vs Angry Birds, Neighbours 2 and Nice Guys total combined domestic gross 3. BvS Total Worldwide Gross vs Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles and Conjuring 2's combined total Worldwide gross 4. BvS Opening Day (including previews) vs Alice Through The Looking Glass Opening Weekend 5. BvS China Gross vs Xmen Apocalypse Domestic Opening Weekend 6. BvS UK Gross vs Keanu's Total Domestic Gross

Actually, I thought they chose it because they'd promised a 2015 release date. Abrams wanted them to delay it until May 2016, but got nixed, and December was the latest they could delay. It worked out well for them, though.

Eh... right now there's no conflict. December 2016 - Rogue One December 2017 - Episode 8 May 2018 - Han Solo December 2018 - Avatar 2 May 2019 - Episode 9 December 2019 - Nothing December 2020 - Avatar 3 December 2021 - Nothing December 2022 - Avatar 4 December 2023 - Avatar 5 By leaving 2019 free, they're acknowledging that Episode 9 will probably shift to that date. That means the only film that's left in any sort of crunch is the Han Solo film. Disney may not want to blink, but while they can be pretty assured that a Saga Star Wars film is bigger than an Avatar film, there's no guarantee that the offshoots have the same benefit. Especially one that's recasting an iconic role.

They'd probably be shooting for that same pre-Christmas weekend that Avatar, LotR, Hobbit, and TFA all mostly hit. In 2018, that'd likely be the 14th. In 2020, it'd be the 18th. In 2022, the 16th. And in 2023, the 15th.

Better? Though it didn't have that run that says it was going to live historic. I think part of it is that box office tracking is considerably newer than baseball. It doesn't have a century of analysis to lead to the state of the current day. And it doesn't have the benefit that other sports do which is a lateral shift of analysis from baseball. Another part is that sabermetricians probably trend older than box office trackers. They're equally nerdy, but their brand affinity sense has been tempered by a bit more experience. Plus in sports, there's an inherent understanding that sometime your team will lose. With geek media, that's not the case, and that makes the internalized labels harder to accept criticism for. (Related: see the difficulty of gamers as a collective to accept critique of games.)

Ah, yes. The sports metaphor. Sadly, box office tracking doesn't yet seem to be at the point that healthy sabermetrics is. People who are hardcore about baseball numbers will (usually) have their favorite team, but the love of the numbers broadens out that interest so that they come to appreciate the game as a whole in a deeper manner. I love the Mariners, but that doesn't force me to come up with reasons why, say, Mike Trout is a horrible player, just because he plays for a contender. I'm not going to massage that data. I get wanting to have box office stand in for that team feeling. When the stars align and a film that I love does something amazing in the box office, it's great. But to get limited to that mindset doesn't allow for healthy analysis or discussion.

This gets to a bit of an interesting philosophical question: why do we track the box office? The answers could vary a lot. In many people, they might not be defined. But two possible answers are "To find out how much a movie made." or "To find out how many people saw a film." For me, it's pretty much the latter. The box office gross of a film is a rough indication of popularity. We generally don't have accurate admission numbers, except in a few territories (S. Korea, for instance), but we can get estimates by doing some work. We don't always WANT to do that work, and sometimes there's contextual reasons to choose either adjusted or unadjusted numbers. As Peludo says, on a worldwide basis, inflation adjusting is hard. It would be nice if we had a really accurate box office breakdown by country in a database that could look at inflation adjustments and exchange rates and then spit out numbers automatically. We don't have that, though, so we generally need to do all the math each time we want to figure it out. Few people have the time or inclination. If, however, your interest is just in seeing how much a film made, then you probably don't want to use adjusted numbers lists at all. Those are based on ticket price inflation, which doesn't necessarily follow actual inflation. If that's your interest, then you should take the original number and apply ongoing US dollar inflation since it was released to get an idea of what it made in today's dollars. (It would still be nice to have a country-by-country breakdown, but it's possibly less necessary, here.)

Tortured logic to justify whitewashing. Japan is a pretty homogenous country. Foreigners who live there account for under 2% of the total population, and the vast majority of those are either from other East Asian countries (Korea, China), or have some Japanese ancestry already. Even if you assumed that everyone from a majority-white nation living in Japan was white (which isn't the case), you'd still get... ~100k people. In a country with a population of over 125m. That's, um, .08%. Yeah. Those people aren't white. You may project and think they look white, but you're making the same mistake as people who watch Avatar: The Last Airbender and think that Aang is white. (Well, I've thought that Batou could be half-Chinese/half-Russian, but even in such a case he'd not necessarily be white at all; Russia covers a lot of races, many of them not white. Still, at best you could get away with a token white person.)

You've discovered that RT score isn't really great for comparing two movies over time.

Yeah, with names like Kusanagi, Aramaki, Saito, Togusa, and Ishikawa, it's readily clear that they're not Japanese.

Except, uh, the Japan setting IS central to the story. Much as Akira is a commentary on the bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, GitS is commentary on Japan's post-WW2 militarization with non-military forces (and maybe something about the bubble economy. I don't know). If they want to keep that context, then it has to be set in Japan. And in that case, the cast should be Japanese. If they aren't keeping the setting, then it's nothing more than the attempts to make Akira set in New York. With the cultural context removed, it isn't the same story, and the only reason to keep the name is to cash in on some mild nostalgic popularity. Sure, you might be right that the film wouldn't be made without a star of ScarJo's caliber. And the only stars of such size are all white because Hollywood tends to be pretty damn racist (not aggressively so, but passively.) The solution to such an issue isn't to push forward, doubling down on the racism, and make the movie just because it's the only way. The solution is to not make the movie at all. It's not like they need to adapt something for a ScarJo starring action vehicle to succeed. Lucy showed they could be completely original and it's cool.