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Cynosure

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Posts posted by Cynosure

    JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

    in International Box Office

    Posted · Edited by Cynosure

    this week will be another one both fun and hard to predict. Mon and Tues are holidays, wed-fri may have a gw boost effect or not. Will the weekend hold above OW one more time?Predictions due by 13:00 Tokyo time before Monday's numbers roll in.For the week. Mon-SunDamienroc........24.601mMurgatroyd.......23.10Mfantin..............22.98Omni..................22.22Godzilla.............22.00Rysu...................21.21Incardine...........21.12SanComedian...20.70Hans13..............20.50Kingslayer.........19.70tong Kosong.....18.88

     

    My prediction : $22.7 M

    JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

    in International Box Office

    Posted · Edited by Cynosure

    Mon-Tue should do slightly less than this weekend, so $9.5 or $10 M.

    Wed-Friday weren't holidays this week so the drop should be weaker than next weekend's. I'm gonna go with a 20% drop for these weekdays so around $5.5-6 M and a 30% for next weekend given how huge this one was, which, using the $11.1 M figure, would put it just slightly above its opening weekend at around $7.7-7.8 M.

     

    Going with the lower end each time, I get $22.7 M... ^_^

    JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

    in International Box Office

    Posted · Edited by Cynosure

    I found a few japanese sources :

     

    http://www.nikkansports.com/entertainment/news/p-et-tp1-20140504-1295499.html

    http://headlines.yahoo.co.jp/hl?a=20140504-00000011-nksports-ent

     

    This is the key sentence :

     

    米アニメ映画「アナと雪の女王」の今月１日時点での日本国内での興収が、１３３億円に達したことが３日、分かった。

     

    Which is basically saying it has passed the 13.3 billion yen mark. I don't see friday being mentioned though.

    JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

    in International Box Office

    Posted · Edited by Cynosure

    Last saturday there was a 22% boost from 19.00 to 00.30, so today we could have near 88000. Also 109 and kinezo are very high and we can have a toho x 66/67 for a total near 6M$ (new record). And tomorrow, if the increase sat/sun of last weeks will be repeated, for the first time in forever frozen could break 100000 toho admissions.

     

    First time a film would pass that mark since One Piece Z in december 2012. ^_^

    JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

    in International Box Office

    Posted · Edited by Cynosure

    According to Mojo, ASM opened to 7.4 mill.  This one looks to open to about 4 mill.

     

    Indeed. But taking exchange rates into account, today the first one would open with $5.7 million. So it's not as bad as the dollar gap suggests.

     

    @Rsyu : Well Roma Bath's first movie having great legs and a good final gross probably helped built the hype for the second movie hence the higher expected opening weekend. I agree about Conan, but I was just pointing out the same thing happened with IM3 last year.

    JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

    in International Box Office

    Posted · Edited by Cynosure

    Yea, but it's also getting spanked by two other movies.  And of course it's embarrassing.  This is Spider-man, not some third rate super hero movie.  

     

    Spanked is pushing it a bit. Also, the last Thermae Romae movie grossed almost twice as much as the last Spider-man movie in Japan. Conan is also a very popular franchise with last year's second weekend beating Iron Man 3's opening weekend. If it has a decent opening and better legs than the previous movie, then it will be fine.

    JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

    in International Box Office

    Posted · Edited by Cynosure

    Looking at past years, Conan movies typically drop around 35-40% in the 2nd weekend and increase around 7-8% during the Golden Week weekend. Based on last weekend's numbers, that puts Conan's second weekend between 473.599.380 yen and 513.065.995 yen. Given how big the OW was, I'm going to go with the 40% drop. In recent days, Frozen has been doing around twice as much as Conan in admissions so perhaps a 900-950 million yen weekend isn't out of reach ?

    JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    Toho 11474 +14 from last tues. -20% from monConan 7764 -37% From mon1.1m day2.0m week106.6m totProjections6.8.m midweek increase based on superb monday number, much better than last tues wed which should fall in line.9.2m weekend to be revised once labas procures seat countmfantin .......300.Boxx ............230 do you wish to revise?Omni ...........225Murgatroyd.200Chucky .......190corpse ........180 "and will never break 244"Ray subers..175 "200 is absurd"Catlover.......156 awaiting revisionLab276 .......147Labas...........130 awaiting revisionanyone else? Predictions due by friday.Prize is ray subers job♣

     

    I'll go for 185. ;)

    JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

    in International Box Office

    Posted · Edited by Cynosure

    Hello everyone,

     

    What LABAS says is true, as several japanese websites confirm :

    http://eiga.com/ranking/

    http://www.kogyotsushin.com/archives/weekend/

    http://movie.walkerplus.com/ranking/

     

    They all have Conan at #1 because Japan ranks by admissions. So the average japanese, the local media outlests and perhaps the people running the theaters will just see 'Conan #1, Frozen #2'.

     

    And yes, there is also the fact that Conan is issued by Toho. We'd need the screens and seats at other chains to have a better overall view.

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