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Eric the Fall Guy

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Posts posted by Eric the Fall Guy

    The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    Quorum Updates

    Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes T-25: 62.22% Awareness

    Deadpool & Wolverine T-102: 46.14%

    Trap T-109: 12.3%

    Joker: Folie a Deux T-172: 46.61%

    Terrifier 3 T-193: 22.8%

     

    Abigail T-4: 35% Awareness

    Final Awareness: 39% chance of 10M, 7% chance of 20M

    Horror Awareness: 87% chance of 10M, 62% chance of 20M

     

    The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare T-4: 21.39% Awareness

    Final Awareness: 16% chance of 10M

    Low Awareness: 15% chance of 10M

     

    Challengers T-11: 26.47% Awareness

    Final Awareness: 16% chance of 10M

    Low Awareness: 15% chance of 10M

     

    Unsung Hero T-11: 15.54% Awareness

    Final Awareness: 0% chance of 10M

    Low Awareness: 0% chance of 10M

     

    IF T-32: 41.71% Awareness

    T-30 Awareness: 100% chance of 10M, 96% chance of 20M, 87% chance of 30M, 61% chance of 40M, 39% chance of 50M, 35% chance of 60M

    Animation/Family Awareness: 100% chance of 30M, 67% chance of 100M

    • Like 3

    Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (yes that's the subtitle) | May 24, 2024 | Anya Taylor-Joy is Furiosa + Chris Hemsworth

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    Love Anya and I'm excited to see what she does with the part, but it does kinda feel like not having Charlize in the part is really limiting its potential. Her performance specifically was arguably the main reason people loved Furiosa as a character, so taking her out with somebody else unproven in the part probably makes it harder for even Fury Road fans to get all jazzed.

     

    It's like a Solo situation, but at least you have a very good reason to recast in that movie. You probably could have used some makeup to make Charlize look younger and call it a day.

    • Like 1

    Weekend Numbers | actuals | 15.54M GODZILLA×KONG: THE NEW EMPIRE

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    2 hours ago, AniNate said:

    From 45% to 29% 🥴

     

    Deadline's walkup estimates suck. I think $200mil still on the table for Panda, definitely is again taking advantage of no other kids movies available

    I mean never say never, but it's honestly looking dicey. I said this before, but following Home's legs, which this has been relatively close to since its premiere, would get it to only 194.6M. And Home had two consecutive sub-20 weekends following its sixth that I don't see Panda achieving. Could be wrong though!

     

    2 hours ago, kayumanggi said:

     

    Curious to know from others who follow OS box office more how far this can go? Because this is looking like it could beat Afterlife's 75M. Don't think it'll get above 200M, but at least it shows franchise growth? I guess?

    • Like 1

    Weekend Numbers | actuals | 15.54M GODZILLA×KONG: THE NEW EMPIRE

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    2 hours ago, emoviefan said:

    Every time I lean back towards maybe seeing it I read something like this. 

    If it makes you feel better, I strongly disagree with Clay. I thought it was going to be eye roll worthy stuff, but I found the whole package fantastic. If anything, it has a ton to say about not just America, but just the universal concept of war and how we, directly or indirectly, are passive members of so many evil actions in our world. And how we have to step up and do our part, or otherwise let the abusive cycle continue.

     

    Im gonna be ride or die on this movie, because I loved the hell out of this.

    • Like 5
    • Heart 1

    Weekend Numbers | actuals | 15.54M GODZILLA×KONG: THE NEW EMPIRE

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    1 minute ago, emoviefan said:

    Crazy to think that we may have no movies do 60 m + on OW in May. Apes seems like the only one that has potential but it has to be good in order to do it. The Fall Guy even with the strong early buzz seems like 45-50 if the marketing clicks and breaks through to the GA in these next few weeks. WOM will hopefully kick in at that point. IF has to be better than it looks or sub 30 even 20 is very possible. Furiosa  would love for it to do as well as Fury Road but even that only opened to 45 and this does not seem to be breaking out like that did. Shudder at the thought Garfield is the biggest hit.

    Oh, because you like Mondays?

    • Haha 2

    Weekend Numbers | actuals | 15.54M GODZILLA×KONG: THE NEW EMPIRE

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    Obviously one day and I can't prove anything just yet, but Civil War kinda feels like a Hereditary thing where it has bad audience scores, but there's also people who really love it and it gets hype as a "see it to believe it" kind of movie and legs out to a decent multi. Just has those vibes, and it helps that May isn't looking all that huge and competitive, so it has room to grow.

    • Like 5

    Weekend Numbers | actuals | 15.54M GODZILLA×KONG: THE NEW EMPIRE

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    11 minutes ago, emoviefan said:

    I mean not surprising. Only one of the Monarch verse movies has done 200 DOM. I think some were hoping just like Dune  not having the Hybrid release factor for the follow-up was going to turbocharge  the numbers but it did  not happen. Some of the novelty was lost. A final total of 180-200 is nothing to be disappointed about though.

    @Jake Gittes brought up an interesting point where the Monsterverse movies are arguably like Fast and Furious where people will likely go once for some goofy dumb fun, but they aren't really all that rewatchable (for certain people. Hold your horses @Brainbug, I know you're special). F&F aren't the leggiest films out there.

    • Like 5

    Weekend Numbers | actuals | 15.54M GODZILLA×KONG: THE NEW EMPIRE

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, TMP said:

    I loved Civil War; my GF absolutely hated it. FWIW I’ve only lived in America for the last 3 years while she’s been here for the last 10. Idk how much of that played a role in our differing outlooks on the movie, but I will concede that between this and Men, I’m starting to think that Garland struggles with writing women

    WHAT

     

    Here I was thinking you were a Yankee this whole time.

    • Like 1
    • Haha 2

    The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    Quorum Updates

    Furiosa T-43: 29.52%

    The Garfield Movie T-43: 46.78%

    Horizon: An American Saga Part 1 T-78: 19.73%

    Maxxxine T-85: 15.41%

    Fly Me to the Moon T-92: 13.41%

    The Crow T-134: 31.06%

    Moana 2 T-230: 46.53%

     

    Civil War T-1: 36.74% Awareness

    Final Awareness: 38% chance of 10M, 5% chance of 20M

    Low Awareness: 26% chance of 10M, 4% chance of 20M

     

    Abigail T-8: 33.5% Awareness

    Final Awareness: 38% chance of 10M, 5% chance of 20M

    Horror Awareness: 87% chance of 10M, 62% chance of 20M

     

    The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare T-8: 20.67% Awareness

    Final Awareness: 16% chance of 10M

    Low Awareness: 15% chance of 10M

    • Like 3
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