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Media Demo
Posts posted by Eric the Marxist
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Had a feeling this could have been a smaller-scale TGM, but I chickened out last week and just thought it would get to Indy/NTTD numbers. It’s only a step above granted, but I still feel vindicated in my initial confidence
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Just now, filmlover said:
Between this and the recent Ghostbusters movies being nonstarters overseas, I'd say its more a limit on 80s/90s IP that have been inactive for decades. I would expect Beetlejuice Beetlejuice to be very domestic heavy as well.
I mean I guess? But Twister was a big hit OS back in the day. At 254M, it was only behind Independence Day and Mission: Impossible for movies that year. And like obviously Bill Paxton and Helen Hunt are great, they weren't Tom Cruise or Mel Gibson-level movie stars that sold the film on their presence.
Just seems weird to me that tornadoes would be totally cool and exciting outside of America back in 1996, but then only appeal to Americans in 2024. Maybe the country music is to blame here? Or maybe WB just didn't know what they were doing?
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9 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:
Friday makes me think it can do 20m True Friday. 70m+ OW is in play !!!
And y'all doubted our king @Shawn Robbins. Couldn't be me!
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Quorum Updates
1992 T-43: 20.08% Awareness, 45.16% Interest
Megalopolis T-71: 16.76% Awareness, 38.8% Interest
The Wild Robot T-71: 21.35% Awareness, 38.9% Interest
Flight Risk T-92: 22.14% Awareness, 46.33% Interest
Venom: The Last Dance T-99: 45.86% Awareness, 54.52% Interest
Paddington in Peru T-183: 28.75% Awareness, 35.25% Interest
Twisters T-1: 62.08% Awareness, 59.57% Interest
Final Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 89% chance of 30M, 86% chance of 40M, 75% chance of 50M, 57% chance of 60M, 46% chance of 70M
Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 30M, 91% chance of 40M, 82% chance of 50M, 73% chance of 60M, 45% chance of 70M
Final Interest: 78% chance of 20M, 61% chance of 30M, 48% chance of 40M, 35% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M, 17% chance of 70M
Tentpole Interest: 100% chance of 20M, 93% chance of 40M, 71% chance of 50M, 57% chance of 60M, 36% chance of 70M
Deadpool & Wolverine T-8: 69.24% Awareness, 68.4% Interest
Final Awareness: 29% chance of 100M
DC/MCU Awareness: 50% chance of 100M
Final Interest: 78% chance of 100M, 11% chance of 200M
DC/MCU Interest: 83% chance of 100M, 17% chance of 200M
The Crow T-36: 33.18% Awareness, 44.86% Interest
T-30 Awareness: 80% chance of 10M, 55% chance of 20M
Low Awareness: 50% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 90M
T-30 Interest: 60% chance of 10M, 35% chance of 20M
Low Interest: 29% chance of 10M, 7% chance of 20M
The Forge T-36: 14.98% Awareness, 39.92% InterestT-30 Awareness: 16% chance of 10M
Low Awareness: 12% chance of 10M
T-30 Interest: 32% chance of 10M
Low Interest: 25% chance of 10M
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3 minutes ago, Krissykins said:
Why would 70m be insane but 69m wouldn’t be?
69M is more insane when you really think about it 🤔
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2 hours ago, THUNDER BIRD said:
Like how many would be excited for Topher Grace in Venom in Spiderman NWH or general MCU Spiderman.
But Tom Hardy Venom interacting with either of the three Spidermen. Now that's gonna sell.
Interactions..... All Audience wants is Interactions between their loved characters played by their loved actors.
Honey, people could just write fanfiction if they really wanted this.
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2 hours ago, SpiderByte said:
Something about this one really feels fundamentally different
I love the quotes around "grown men". Even the author knows how ridiculous this is.
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20 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:
Trans Beasts
This needs to be a movie yesterday holy shit
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This is our generation's JFK. Everybody remembers where they were when this dropped.
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Legend.
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Snails can't write. This is unrealistic!
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20 minutes ago, Claire of Themyscira said:
Wait, you're short? 😐
SpoilerNo.
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1 hour ago, AnthonyJPHer said:
Longlegs will probably have a 55+ domestic total? I don’t see 100m happening but this is very good for this film
80M+ sounds about right. Would be bigger than any A24 film believe it or not
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Quorum Updates
Harold and the Purple Crayon T-16: 23.86% Awareness, 33.11% Interest
Borderlands T-23: 35.5% Awareness, 44.14% Interest
Cuckoo T-23: 17.06% Awareness, 41.47% Interest
It Ends with Us T-23: 25.2% Awareness, 40.97% Interest
Afraid T-44: 9.83% Awareness, 38.55% Interest
The Front Room T-51: 18.48% Awareness, 39.18% Interest
The Lord of the Rings: The War of the Rohirrim T-149: 17.96% Awareness, 42.07% Interest
Den of Thieves: Pantera T-177: 19.38% Awareness, 35.36% Interest
Captain America: Brave New World T-212: 48.34% Awareness, 54.83% Interest
Twisters T-2: 62.95% Awareness, 58.55% Interest
Final Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 89% chance of 30M, 86% chance of 40M, 75% chance of 50M, 57% chance of 60M, 46% chance of 70M
Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 30M, 91% chance of 40M, 82% chance of 50M, 73% chance of 60M, 45% chance of 70M,
Final Interest: 78% chance of 20M, 61% chance of 30M, 48% chance of 40M, 35% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M, 17% chance of 70M
Tentpole Interest: 100% chance of 20M, 93% chance of 40M, 71% chance of 50M, 57% chance of 60M, 36% chance of 70M
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IF YOU CAN FEEL IT...
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Moderation
Things are getting a little too spoiler-y in here. I'm hiding a few posts and am gonna set up the spoiler thread for this movie now.
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3 hours ago, VanillaSkies said:
Right out of Mission Impossible’s playbook last year. Which just begs the question, why didn’t they just open it last weekend?Despicable Me. That's why.
Universal's not gonna hurt one of their own movies, especially a potential billion-dollar hit. If they put the movie out last week, then DM4 loses all its PLFs to Twisters and gets hit with a potentially bad second weekend drop. By having it on DM4's third weekend, DM4 gets a little more IMAX/Dolby play, resulting in the great second weekend hold it just had, and then will hold well yet again this week thanks to double features with Twisters, and therefore more cash money. From what I can gather, almost every market that got the movie last week got DM4 earlier than its domestic debut.
Twisters' release date still isn't perfect, but last week isn't as ideal as it seems, at least for Uni's bigger picture.
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Quorum Updates
Trap T-18: 27.73% Awareness, 50.65% Interest
Piece by Piece T-88: 14.47% Awareness, 30.79% Interest
Terrifier 3 T-88: 23.06% Awareness, 38.44% Interest
Gladiator II T-130: 33.8% Awareness, 45.67% Interest
Mickey 17 T-200: 8.29% Awareness, 31.95% Interest
Twisters T-4: 61.24% Awareness, 57.5% Interest
Final Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 89% chance of 30M, 86% chance of 40M, 75% chance of 50M, 57% chance of 60M, 46% chance of 70M
Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 30M, 91% chance of 40M, 82% chance of 50M, 73% chance of 60M, 45% chance of 70M,
Final Interest: 78% chance of 20M, 61% chance of 30M, 48% chance of 40M, 35% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M, 17% chance of 70M
Tentpole Interest: 100% chance of 20M, 93% chance of 40M, 71% chance of 50M, 57% chance of 60M, 36% chance of 70M
Deadpool & Wolverine T-11: 71.28% Awareness, 68.55% Interest
Final Awareness: 100% chance of 90M, 80% chance of 100M, 20% chance of 200M
DC/MCU Awareness: 100% chance of 100M, 50% chance of 200M
Final Interest: 78% chance of 100M, 11% chance of 200M
DC/MCU Interest: 83% chance of 100M, 17% chance of 200M
Alien: Romulus T-32: 30.49% Awareness, 43.81% Interest
T-30 Awareness: 80% chance of 10M, 55% chance of 20M, 33% chance of 30M, 14% chance of 40M
Horror Awareness: 82% chance of 10M, 54% chance of 20M, 36% chance of 30M, 18% chance of 40M
T-30 Interest: 60% chance of 10M, 35% chance of 20M, 20% chance of 30M, 10% chance of 40M
Horror Interest: 67% chance of 10M, 37% chance of 20M, 15% chance of 30M, 4% chance of 40M
Blink Twice T-39: 20.66% Awareness, 42.82% Interest
T-30 Awareness: 54% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M
Low Awareness: 38% chance of 10M, 12% chance of 20M
T-30 Interest: 60% chance of 10M, 35% chance of 20M
Low Interest: 29% chance of 10M, 7% chance of 20M
Beetlejuice Beetlejuice T-53: 60.98% Awareness, 64.66% Interest
T-60 Awareness: 100% chance of 100M
Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 100M
T-60 Interest: 100% chance of 100M
Tentpole Interest: 100% chance of 100M
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I mean I remember Amazon Studios went through some restructuring after a few flops IIRC. Maybe I’m wrong, but I can’t imagine some changes will happen in Apple’s movie/streaming division if things keep going poorly.
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Just now, lorddemaxus said:
Didn’t people like Blue Beetle?
Earned a B+ Cinemascore (same as Shazam 2, Love and Thunder, et al), though I know it has its fans like almost every other CBM has tbf
Weekend Numbers | Actuals | 81.3M TWISTERS | 24.4M DESPICABLE ME IV | 12.8M INSIDE OUT II | 12.0M LONGLEGS
in Numbers and Data
Posted
I mean even if it was ready for Memorial Day, which I doubt it was, there would still be a conflict of interest because Twisters and Furiosa are both WB movies overseas. And while I know Furiosa didn't do anything, I'm sure Warner had higher expectations, and it's not like these studios have an obvious crystal ball that can predict everything that will happen. In the end, while we're probably not gonna get a sequel, Twisters is likely going to be a strong performer domestically to make up for OS shortcomings, locked to be in the top 10 for the summer, will probably be a big hit on PVOD in a month. I don't think Uni/Warner's kicking themselves because they didn't have it open on a holiday...well, okay Uni's not kicking themselves, but the Zas sucks, so that's an even nicer win lol