Eric is Quiet
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Posts posted by Eric is Quiet
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Quorum Updates
Inside Out 2 T-15: 57.24% Awareness, 51.97% Interest
It Ends with Us T-71: 16.41% Awareness, 38.23% Interest
Alien: Romulus T-78: 28.69% Awareness, 44.05% Interest
The Crow T-85: 32.33% Awareness, 42.53% Interest
Killer's Game T-106: 14.17% Awareness, 43.33% Interest
Joker: Folie a Deux T-127: 55.37% Awareness, 60.72% Interest
Piece by Piece T-134: 14.62% Awareness, 32.92% Interest
Venom: The Last Dance T-148: 32.62% Awareness, 53.5% Interest
Bad Boys for Life T-8: 65.02% Awareness, 57.79% Interest
Final Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 88% chance of 30M, 85% chance of 40M, 73% chance of 50M, 58% chance of 60M, 46% chance of 70M
Medium Awareness: 100% chance of 70M
Final Interest: 79% chance of 20M, 60% chance of 30M, 45% chance of 40M, 31% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M, 16% chance of 70M
Medium Interest: 75% chance of 20M, 58% chance of 30M, 25% chance of 40M, 8% chance of 50M
The Watchers T-8: 28.06% Awareness, 44.67% Interest
Final Awareness: 16% chance of 10M
Horror Awareness: 33% chance of 10M
Final Interest: 49% chance of 10M
Horror Interest: 45% chance of 10M
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Timothee should win, and the Academy are cowards because they won’t do it
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On 5/21/2024 at 10:01 PM, Scubasteve716 said:
Internet really went crazy about how the rock looks "unrecognizable" it literally looks exactly like the rock + hair - tattoos lol.
I mean I didn’t recognize him in that photo. 🤷
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I’m assuming this isn’t coming out this year after A24 dated a bunch of other movies? Little sad, but it’s fine.
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45 minutes ago, SaltyPistola said:
Damn I was gonna uhm actually you but it really did. I'm shocked GB snuck past 200. What a strangely consistent franchise
Just imagine what these things could do if they were actually good.
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Just now, ringedmortality said:
Post-pandemic movies have gotten leggier, what's up with that
Because movie theaters have nothing to replace them with.
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13 hours ago, Cmasterclay said:
Possible that Dune, KFP, Challengers,Beekeeper, Fall Guy, IF, Garfield, and Furiosa all hit 3x multipliers from their 3 days, and Godzilla and Civil War and Apes all have relatively nice legs too. One tiny bright spot in this shitty year is that only Marley and Ghostbusters truly died after OW.
Ghostbusters has better legs than Godzilla X Kong.
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10 hours ago, Pinacolada said:
See this is something I don't understand about Quorum
How does The Bikeriders which has a couple stars and 2 trailers have almost the same Awareness as Flight Risk, a movie that had no IP attachment, no trailer, and no stills.
Regardless, this bodes not well for the bikeriders
A movie can have tons of trailers and marketing and ads and so on, and just straight up not connect with audiences. Trailers can help boost a film's awareness and interest, and just as likely not do anything for a film. Sucks, but it is what it is.
The Fall Guy for instance had its trailers fail to move the needle in terms of awareness. That was an early premonition the film wasn't going to be all that. https://thequorum.com/film/?filmID=453
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Quorum Updates
The Bikeriders T-23: 17.55% Awareness, 34.04% Interest
Despicable Me 4 T-35: 61.24% Awareness, 58.97% Interest
Fly Me to the Moon T-44: 21.97% Awareness, 37.67% Interest
Longlegs T-44: 13.19% Awareness, 42.74% Interest
Flight Risk T-142: 15.17% Awareness, 44.17% Interest
Nosferatu T-210: 17.67% Awareness, 36.33% Interest
The Wolf Man T-233: 15.5% Awareness, 40.33% Interest
A Quiet Place: Day One T-30: 38.34% Awareness, 51.05% Interest
T-30 Awareness: 82% chance of 10M, 56% chance of 20M, 32% chance of 30M, 12% chance of 40M
Horror Awareness: 89% chance of 10M, 55% chance of 20M, 33% chance of 30M, 11% chance of 40M
T-30 Interest: 95% chance of 10M, 86% chance of 20M, 76% chance of 30M, 70% chance of 40M
Horror Interest: 80% chance of 10M, 40% chance of 30M, 20% chance of 40MMaxxxine T-37: 17.55% Awareness, 34.65% Interest
T-30 Awareness: 15% chance of 10M
Horror Awareness: 11% chance of 10M
T-30 Interest: 32% chance of 10M
Horror Interest: 33% chance of 10MDeadpool & Wolverine T-58: 58.26% Awareness, 66.56% Interest
T-60 Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 93% chance of 40M, 86% chance of 50M, 64% chance of 60M, 57% chance of 70M, 50% chance of 90M, 43% chance of 100M, 7% chance of 200M
DC/MCU Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 83% chance of 100M, 17% chance of 200M
T-60 Interest: 100% chance of 100M
DC/MCU Interest: 100% chance of 100M-
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13 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:
Why do I feel this is very personal to Eric?????
Because it's quite frustrating to spend hours of my own personal free time, compiling and reviewing and looking over information, for something I have strong interest and passion in, only to have somebody mock and degrade it all for no reason when they have made their point very, very clear and could have just ignored these posts.
Plus, if you really must know, it makes perfect sense for Bad Boys to have more awareness than Deadpool, because that's almost always how this works. Generally speaking, the closer you are to a movie's release date, the higher the Quorum awareness number is. That's because the earlier movie will have more ads, more promos, a bigger push compared to the movie that's coming out much later, so it will be in the public conscious way easier. Plus, if you want to look at Interest, which is as much, if not more important of a barometer, Deadpool is in fact #1, while Bad Boys is all the way at #5. It's not just who is aware a movie is coming out, but whether they want to see it. So yeah, those Quorum people you think are hacks? They have data that believes Deadpool will be a bigger opener than Bad Boys. And I'm sure their projections have that, despite Bad Boys having more awareness, due to the fact it's dropping in a week.
And again, if you look at the data I have, it indicates that Bad Boys 4's mid-60s awareness would mean an almost certain chance of 40M, 50M is super super likely, and even 60M isn't out of the question. I still don't think it's perfect for this film, as there aren't a lot of great comps at the moment for this range for a Medium-sized movie like this, but the indication is that it should open in the 40s at worst, the 60s at best, likely the 50s when all is said and done. Which uh...yeah, that's what the trackers here are saying.
You can ignore or disregard their work all you want, but I have the right to post what I think is interesting and I don't need to get this kind of berating. I'm sure you didn't mean to, but intentions don't equal actions.
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Not gonna happen, but it would be hilarious if this becomes an Elemental and inexplicably legs out like crazy.
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9 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:
Already has ten times the buzz in the places I follow (too many Disney adults around me because of theater + Florida) than Inside Out 2 trailer did. I know Moana made less money than IO in theaters but I've seen a decade worth of Moana themed parties and costumes and watch parties that I never saw for Inside Out. I think this ends up bigger assuming Trump doesn't outlaw Disney once he gets elected.
Princess stuff has always had the hugest longevity and staying power with kids and Disney Adults regardless of box office. Bolt made more money than Princess and the Frog, and you probably forgot Bolt was a thing until just now.
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5 minutes ago, AniNate said:
Ha, they knew they would get people on board addressing that criticism about Pua getting shafted in the first
lol was about to say. Was really mad the pig didn’t do fun stuff in the ocean last time.
Trailer itself? Looks like a Moana sequel alright. Which is a good thing! If you like Moana. If you don’t? Well…why would you watch this lol
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Will say before the teaser potentially dashes my hopes that I would think going from TV series to movie may actually be a blessing for this creatively? The big issue most of these Disney+ shows have is that their pacing drags, as they all feel like movies being bloated and padded out to be 6 episode TV shows. You could take Obi-Wan or Falcon and the Winter Soldier, remove a subplot here and there, and get a 2.5 hour movie that, at the very least, fixes pacing issues. Condensing a bloated Moana sequel from 130 minutes to about 95 or 100 minutes? Sounds good to me!
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1 minute ago, keysersoze123 said:
Bad Boys OW > Deadpool & Wolverine confirmed by QuoLOLrum.
That is very much not what that data implies whatsoever, and I’ve explained this numerous times already, but go off I guess. 🙄
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11 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:
Maybe this is it. Maybe this is the weekend where we all kind of realize at once that the bottom fell out and it's not coming back. I had hope as of two weeks ago. Did a whole post on it. Now I'm just in acceptance stage. I think it's all probably winding down and we are about to see things collapse "slowly, then all at once" over the next year or two for this industry as we know it and love it. That's how it usually goes. It's just so incredibly bleak. I wish the boards weren't so depressing. I wish I personally wasn't so depressing in how I post on them. I just don't see the light at the end of the tunnel at this point for the box office anymore. Even with all the bad over the last two years, this month is the first month where I do not see any light.
I mean I warned you in that post a couple weeks earlier nothing changed. Shoulda listened to ol' Mr. NTC. 🍵
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56 minutes ago, harry713 said:
This would have been the funniest Vine of 2015...I miss Vine.
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Quorum Updates
Twisters T-53: 46.87% Awareness, 55.02% Interest
The Forge T-88: 13.3% Awareness, 36.58% Interest
Beetlejuice Beetlejuice T-102: 57.29% Awareness, 64.67% Interest
Speak No Evil T-109: 20.25% Awareness, 47.81% Interest
Here T-184: 8.33% Awareness, 34.17% Interest
Kraven the Hunter T-200: 27.52% Awareness, 39.64% Interest
Bad Boys for Life T-11: 64.06% Awareness, 58.03% Interest
Final Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 88% chance of 30M, 85% chance of 40M, 73% chance of 50M, 58% chance of 60M, 46% chance of 70M
Medium Awareness: 100% chance of 70M
Final Interest: 79% chance of 20M, 60% chance of 30M, 45% chance of 40M, 31% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M, 16% chance of 70M
Medium Interest: 75% chance of 20M, 58% chance of 30M, 25% chance of 40M, 8% chance of 50M
The Watchers T-11: 28.53% Awareness, 44.61% Interest
Final Awareness: 16% chance of 10M
Horror Awareness: 33% chance of 10M
Final Interest: 49% chance of 10M
Horror Interest: 45% chance of 10M
Horizon: An American Saga Part 1 T-32: 20.91% Awareness, 36.31% Interest
T-30 Awareness: 54% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M
Medium Awareness: 75% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M
T-30 Interest: 32% chance of 10M, 6% chance of 20M
Medium Interest: 50% chance of 10M-
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I mean I know from experience that outside of Harry Potter, the one non-Disney thing most Disney Adults adore is Broadway. And Wicked is one of the most iconic for that demographic. It's basically a Disney movie when you get down to it (not helped by Disney ripping it off like 5 times). At the very least, both dropping on the same day may not cause either movie to bomb, but it's still pretty foolish IMO
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21 minutes ago, toutvabien said:
This and Wicked sticking with 11/27 when they have a lot of crossover audience is wild... the rest of that month could use a family blockbuster that can keep playing over the holidays!! I know it could turn into a big weekend of musical family entertainment but damn, it probably won't!
Disney's got such a weird thing going on where they just keep the same release dates for everything. Which like in the 2018 was reasonable, but they are way more vulnerable to competition now. Elemental got a lucky break where everything surrounding it ended up bombing, but Moana's probably not looking likely, at least at the moment. And either way, having it out in early November, getting IMAX and all of Dolby to itself, makes way more sense box office wise, especially since you should still get a good Thanksgiving hold. But I guess Disney's too stubborn or stupid to do it? It's dumb!
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Weekday Numbers [05.28 - 05.30, 2024] | Thursday | 1.85M THE GARFIELD MOVIE | 1.73M FURIOSA: A MAD MAX SAGA
in Numbers and Data
Posted
I'm seeing Ezra tomorrow, because my mom said she saw an ad for it and thought she had to see it. I have no clue what it is, other than it has Robert De Niro in it.