Eric is Quiet
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@Blankments @WrathOfHan I know it's a little late in the weekend thread, but better late than never.
17x:
Inside Out 2: Wonka, The Boy and the Heron, Wonka Round 2, The Color Purple, Soul, Wish, Migration, Turning Red, Kung Fu Panda 4, Luca, Shrek 2, We Grown Now, Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes, Wildcat, IF, The Garfield Movie, Young Woman and the Sea
13x:
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes: Napoleon, Godzilla Minus One, The Iron Claw, Ferrari, Poor Things, Anyone But You, The Boys in the Boat, Dune, Dune: Part Two, All of Us Strangers, The First Omen, Civil War, Alien
11x:
Dune: Part Two: Fast X, Oppenheimer, Oppenheimer Round 2, Haunted Mansion, Blue Beetle, The Nun 2, The Iron Claw, Mean Girls, Anyone But You, Lisa Frankenstein, 2024 Oscar-Nominated Short Films: Animation
Furiosa: Ferrari, Drive-Away Dolls, Dune: Part Two, Dune: Part Two Round 2, Love Lies Bleeding, Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire, Monkey Man, Civil War, The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare, Alien, Challengers
10x:
The First Omen: Poor Things, The Book of Clarence, American Fiction, Lisa Frankenstein, Argylle, Drive-Away Dolls, All of Us Strangers, Dune Part Two Round 2, Love Lies Bleeding, Immaculate
Challengers: No Hard Feelings, Joy Ride, Barbie, Mean Girls, American Fiction, Anyone But You, The Boys in the Boat, The Beekeeper, The First Omen, Wicked Little Letters
9x:
Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire: Wonka Round 2, The Color Purple, Poor Things, The Book of Clarence, American Fiction, The Boys in the Boat, The Beekeeper, Dune: Part Two, Kung Fu Panda 4
8x:
The Fall Guy: The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes, The Iron Claw, Anyone But You, Dune, Argylle, Dune: Part Two, Monkey Man, The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare
The Garfield Movie: Soul, Wish, Migration, Turning Red, Kung Fu Panda 4, Luca, Shrek 2, We Grown Now
7x:
Arthur the King: The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes, Napoleon, The Iron Claw, The Boy and the Heron, Wonka Round 2, All of Us Strangers, Kung Fu Panda 4
Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire: Napoleon, The Book of Clarence, Anyone But You, The Boys in the Boat, Dune, Dune: Part Two, All of Us Strangers
Abigail: The Book of Clarence, The Beekeeper, The Zone of Interest, Lisa Frankenstein, Immaculate, The First Omen, Monkey Man
Despicable Me 4: Turning Red, Kung Fu Panda 4, Luca, Shrek 2, The Fall Guy, IF, The Garfield Movie
Alien: Romulus: Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire, The First Omen, Late Night with the Devil, Alien, Abigail, Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes, Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga
Beetlejuice Beetlejuice: Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire, We Grown Now, Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes, Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga, IF, The Garfield Movie, Young Woman and the Sea
6x:
Civil War: The Iron Claw, Ferrari, The Zone of Interest, Love Lies Bleeding, Ex Machina, Wicked Little Letters
The Bikeriders: The Creator, Ferrari, The Beekeeper, Dune: Part Two Round 2, Abigail, The Fall Guy
Twisters: Dune: Part Two Round 2, Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire, Civil War, Challengers, The Fall Guy, Ezra
The Wild Robot: Kung Fu Panda 4, Luca, Shrek 2, We Grown Now, Mars Express, Young Woman and the Sea
Elio: Frozen, Beauty and the Beast, The Incredibles, Coco, The Lion King, Moana
5x:
Problemista: Past Lives, Talk to Me, The Zone of Interest, Robot Dreams, Perfect Days
Kung Fu Panda 4: The Boy and the Heron, Wonka Round 2, Soul, Migration, Dune: Part Two Round 2
IF: Mean Girls, Dune: Part Two, Kung Fu Panda 4, Dune: Part Two Round 2, Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire
4x:
Luca: The Boy and the Heron, Wonka Round 2, Wish, Migration
The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare: Argylle, Drive-Away Dolls, Dune: Part Two, Dune: Part Two Round 2
The Strangers - Chapter 1: The First Omen, The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare, Challengers, Abigail
The Watchers: Dune: Part Two Round 2, The First Omen, Abigail, The Fall Guy
Deadpool & Wolverine: Monkey Man, The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare, Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes, The Fall Guy
White Bird: Thor: Love and Thunder, Are You There God? It's Me Margaret, The Little Mermaid, IF
3x:
Boy Kills World: The First Omen, Monkey Man, The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare
Back to Black: Lisa Frankenstein, Drive-Away Dolls, Challengers
Daddio: Love Lies Bleeding, Immaculate, We Grown Now
Longlegs: Dune: Part Two Round 2, Immaculate, Abigail
2x:
SpoilerThe Teachers' Lounge: The Boy and the Heron, Perfect Days
Imaginary: The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes, Mean Girls
The American Society of Magical Negroes: Lisa Frankenstein, Drive-Away Dolls
Unsung Hero: Luca, Spider-Man
I Saw the TV Glow: Love Lies Bleeding, Civil War
Bad Boys: Ride or Die: Monkey Man, Civil War
A Quiet Place: Day One: Alien, Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga
MaXXXine: Challengers, The Fall Guy
Fly Me to the Moon: The Garfield Movie, Ezra
Borderlands: The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare, Wildcat
My Penguin Friend: The Garfield Movie, Young Woman and the Sea
The Crow: Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire, Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga
Speak No Evil: Alien, Abigail
Wicked: Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga, IF
Mufasa: The Lion King: Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes, Young Woman and the Sea
1x:
SpoilerWicked Little Letters: Perfect Days
Love Lies Bleeding: The Iron Claw
One Life: 2024 Oscar-Nominated Short Films: Animation, Wicked Little Letters
Monkey Man: Argylle, Love Lies Bleeding
Arcadian: Late Night with the Devil
Tarot: Alien
Not Another Church Movie: Challengers
The Blue Angels: Challengers
In a Violent Nature: Late Night with the Devil
Treasure: Ezra
Kinds of Kindness: Ezra
The Fabulous Four: Ezra
Harold and the Purple Crayon: The Garfield Movie
Cuckoo: Immaculate
Blink Twice: Challengers
Transformers One: IF
Joker: Folie a Deux: Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga
The Unbreakable Boy: King Richard
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Quorum Updates
Horizon: An American Saga Chapter 1 T-25: 21.61% Awareness, 36.11% Interest
Longlegs T-39: 13.85% Awareness, 41.97% Interest
Blink Twice T-81: 11.29% Awareness, 35.6% Interest
Wolfs T-109: 16.37% Awareness, 40.41% Interest
Gladiator 2 T-172: 28.87% Awareness, 46.14% Interest
Captain America: Brave New World T-256: 48.64% Awareness, 56.13% Interest
Bad Boys for Life T-4: 66.75% Awareness, 59.21% Interest
Final Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 88% chance of 30M, 85% chance of 40M, 73% chance of 50M, 58% chance of 60M, 46% chance of 70M
Medium Awareness: 100% chance of 70M
Final Interest: 79% chance of 20M, 60% chance of 30M, 45% chance of 40M, 31% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M, 16% chance of 70M
Medium Interest: 75% chance of 20M, 58% chance of 30M, 25% chance of 40M, 8% chance of 50M
The Watchers T-4: 29.63% Awareness, 45.72% Interest
Final Awareness: 16% chance of 10M
Horror Awareness: 33% chance of 10M
Final Interest: 49% chance of 10M
Horror Interest: 45% chance of 10M
Inside Out 2 T-11: 59.3% Awareness, 52.83% Interest
Final Awareness: 92% chance of 20M, 73% chance of 30M, 35% chance of 40M, 23% chance of 50M, 15% chance of 60M, 11% chance of 90M, 8% chance of 100M
Animation/Family Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 50% chance of 30M
Final Interest: 79% chance of 20M, 60% chance of 30M, 45% chance of 40M, 31% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M, 16% chance of 70M, 14% chance of 80M, 11% chance of 90M, 8% chance of 100M
Animation/Family Interest: 100% chance of 20M, 86% chance of 30M, 71% chance of 50M, 43% chance of 90M, 29% chance of 100M
Fly Me to the Moon T-39: 26.7% Awareness, 39.48% Interest
T-30 Awareness: 54% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M
Medium Awareness: 75% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M
T-30 Interest: 32% chance of 10M, 6% chance of 20M
Medium Interest: 50% chance of 10M
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On 5/31/2024 at 1:41 PM, Eric Lasagna said:
No offense, but I think you really need a break from this place if this is really hurting your mental health this badly. Your happiness being this reliant on box office numbers wouldn't even be good if the business was booming, and, like I always tell people, it's not like you can't just talk about movies elsewhere on other movie forums that aren't as focused on box office numbers. It makes no sense to hang out around a place you hate.
Still relevant Clay. You don’t seem very happy with box office stuff anymore, and I don’t think it’s good to spend time with a hobby that makes you miserable.
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I mean, hot people being hot in movies sounds really fucking good if you ask me. 👅
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2 hours ago, Spidey Freak said:
I'll admit to not expecting Garfield to underwhelm like this. One, coz the family audience has been starved since KFP4 with IF being the only option that came out just a weekend prior. Secondly coz the IP is a merchandise juggernaut and its popularity had grown since the films from the 2000s
I was pretty high on Garfield too, but in hindsight, I'd argue it's the opposite. The last major Garfield thing to premiere is The Garfield Show on Cartoon Network, and that premiered in 2009, and last aired in 2016. That's a long time without any new major Garfield media to make kids familiar and aware of the character. The character is now owned by Nickelodeon, and I don't think they've made a new cartoon or done anything else with him since they bought the rights outside of a few cameos in some cheaply-made Nicktoon crossover games. At least before the Bay Turtles movies came out, there was a super popular Nickelodeon series airing on Saturday mornings. If anything, from what I can gather, Nick's marketing machine has been way more focused on advertising and hyping up IF over Garfield (understandable!)
The other cartoons and specials and movies might be on streaming, but it's hard to keep a franchise super relevant with modern generations when there's not a lot of prominence in the current pop culture landscape or a shiny new thing kids can claim as their own. Plus in 2004, even though Garfield and Friends was similarly off the air (though IIRC it was still airing reruns on Nick or Cartoon Network until 2001 or something), you could still rely on the character being relevant because you could still read the newest comic strip in your local newspaper. That idea is so foreign to today's kids that I don't even know if newspapers still put comics in their paper anymore.
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Moderation
Jumping to conclusions over reshoots is so 2017. Please don’t jump to conclusions y’all.
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5 minutes ago, dallas said:
Wasn't Bad Boys 3 only tracking for 35-40M before it opened to 62M? I think this will crack 50M just fine.
That was also four years ago and pre-COVID, when walkups were expected. Nowadays, walkups are only something you're lucky to get and movies are more presales-driven than ever. So yeah, 50M is still very much in doubt, and it's honestly easier to just expect the worst and just...pretend that opening in the 40s is good for this.
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7 minutes ago, grim22 said:
We should have realised that studios actually don't have any strategy when they refused to collaborate with one another and the theaters during Covid. If the studios had actually got together, discussed a way to have one big movie every 2 weeks with a smaller movie in between, they could have come out of the Covid lull stronger, theaters would have become the communal space again, and movies would have been saved from being looked at as "wait for streaming". The studios let the industry down during the recovery from Covid.
Let it be known, that four years ago, I warned everybody what was going to happen. And like...I'm not wrong!
On 3/12/2020 at 4:09 PM, Eric Lasagna said:Capitalism is gonna kill us faster than corona will
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1 minute ago, vafrow said:
My eldest son is 11, and likes going to the movies.
Last year at this time, there was no shortage of films in May/June to take him to. GOTG3, Fast X, ATSV, Transformers.
This year, there's nothing for that preteen/teenage boys, there's not much. Fall Guy aims older. Two over the hill cops on a last adventure isn't quite that appealing.
We saw POTA because it was the best option for him this period. And he hasn't seen any of the other Apes films.
It's really slim pickings for a demographic that drives a lot of theatre business.
Would love to know the strategy here where you only have a whopping four PG-13 action movies to choose from the entire summer (Fall Guy, Apes, Quiet Place, Twisters). And I'm stretching things here hard for Quiet Place. This is just frankly inexcusable for the summer time, even if you want to use the strike excuse. Even just adding in Ghostbusters some time in June or something would have made a world of difference.
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Planet of the Apes is gunning for 160M at this rate, right? Like at the very least, with Father's Day around the corner, that should be a good boost for it.
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38 minutes ago, ListenHunnyUrOver said:
Is it an A24 type of movie?
You’re an A24 type of movie.
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5 minutes ago, Barnack said:
They should have put Academy award winners Cuba Gooding Jr
The Brett Favre review quote SLAYED ME lmfao
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https://deadline.com/2024/05/box-office-garfield-furiosa-haikyu-dumpster-battle-1235945804/
QuoteFRIDAY AFTERNOON: Alcon/Sony’s The Garfield Movie is showing his teeth against Warner Bros’ Furiosa in a second weekend faceoff between the two, $12M+ to $11.3M.
Today Garfield is looking at $3.3M at 4,018 theaters, while Furiosa has $3M at 3,864. Garfield‘s week two hold is -53% off the 3-day, while Furiosa isn’t shabby at -57%. By Sunday, Garfield‘s running total will stand at $49.5M, while Furiosa will be at $50.2M.
Furiosa still has Imax auditoriums, but Crunchyroll/Sony’s Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battlehas some of those, that pic looking at a No. 5 slot with $2M today and around $4M for the weekend. Remember when it comes to these anime movies, the U.S. market is simply gravy money, much like domestic is for Bollywood movies. Dumpster Battle has already made $75M from Japan, Vietnam, South Korea and Hong Kong
Paramount’s IF in weekend 3 is seeing $2.6M today at 3,783 theaters, and a 3-day of $9.8M, -39% for a running total of $79.4M by Sunday.
20th Century Studios’ Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes is seeing a fourth Friday of $2.1M at 3,450 theaters, 3-day of $7.8M, -41%, and running total of $138.9M. By Sunday through weekend 4, the sequel’s cume will be pacing 7% ahead of previous chapter War for the Planet of the Apes, that movie ending its run at $146.8M.
Outside the top 5, IFC’s horror movie In a Violent Nature is looking great. Last night the movie posted the best previews for an IFC movie ever at $410k for what’s shaping up to be a $1M. While their Late Night With the Devil posted IFC’s biggest opening ever at $2.8M and looks to be their highest grossing horror movie ever at $10M, In a Violent Nature is eyeing a very strong opening with an estimated $2.2M in 1,426 locations. -
47 minutes ago, ringedmortality said:
Mobile gaming towering over everything else is so depressing. People really just like staring at their phones all day. Why did Steve Jobs do this?
Capitalism. Easy answer for everything terrible.
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11 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:
It's not affecting my larger mental health, but I don't really get how much joy it can bring any of us when the numbers are this bad. We all deserve good numbers or else this entire premise of this great place is bleak. That's my point.
Well, I guess we'll have to move on, accept that the box office is dead forever, and perhaps just pretend to ourselves that Bad Boys opening in the 40s is good actually. I'm sure TV ratings forums, music sales forums, etc. have long accepted the old ways are dead and are never coming back and have found ways to cope with how low things are. And I suggest, at some point, you're gonna have to do the same. Whether you want to or not.
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9 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:
Shawn's latest forecast drops Bad Boys below 50 and Watchers down to nearly single digits. Quiet Place sales pacing ahead of Insidious last year, but that doesn't mean anything considering this will have a much weaker close and it's selling below Halloween Ends which also had a stronger close. It's just not good stuff, folks. I don't know how much longer I can keep doing this with these kind of shit numbers before I lose any pleasure in following this stuff and annoy the entire board if I haven't already.
No offense, but I think you really need a break from this place if this is really hurting your mental health this badly. Your happiness being this reliant on box office numbers wouldn't even be good if the business was booming, and, like I always tell people, it's not like you can't just talk about movies elsewhere on other movie forums that aren't as focused on box office numbers. It makes no sense to hang out around a place you hate.
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9 minutes ago, thajdikt said:
Mental breakdown in the forum Will get it to 20
I mean we already used all those up last weekend. Don't know if we have enough this weekend to get to 20 pages.
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Quote
The Weekly Unaided Awareness Chart includes any film more than six weeks from release, registering at least 1% unaided awareness (UA). This metric is highly correlated to opening weekend gross. Early signs of UA more than six weeks out often translate to box office success upon release.
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23 minutes ago, Hiccup23 said:
The Garfield Movie did 1.85 million on Thursday. I am guessing based off that number it should do a weekend number around $14.6 million.
Furiosa did 1.725 million on Thursday and I am thinking it is heading toward a $11.7 weekend number.
Pretty dull weekend. I am hoping In A Violent Nature can break out somewhat
Not sure about that. Following Little Mermaid, Garfield gets to 10.9M. Following Aladdin is 12.35M. Alice 2 is 11.3M, which is...basically what that movie's second weekend was lol. I guess it's not impossible, but it would need a really good Friday and Saturday bump, which I just don't see with its poor reception.
Furiosa would get to 10.7M if it follows Maverick, though I guess it could get an okay bit above that. A Quiet Place 2 brings it to 8.5M, which...nah, it can't go that low...I hope.
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Place your bets people. How many pages are we getting this weekend? I'm gonna say....8.
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6 minutes ago, filmlover said:
Is Disney not even bothering to report a theater count for Young Woman and the Sea? A rare total Dump & Run job from Mickey.
The tweet above mentions they have no plans to reveal a theater count nor any grosses. Funny how even ten years ago, this would have debuted in 2,000+ theaters and make a modest $45 million. Probably could have done something like that even today on an empty weekend and barren summer like this. But of course, these studios probably want movie theaters to die because capitalism or something. Pathetic.
Alien: Romulus | August 16, 2024 | Fede Alvarez | See the original Alien in theaters on April 26
in Box Office Discussion
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