Eric is Quiet
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Posts posted by Eric is Quiet
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19 minutes ago, emoviefan said:
I mean yeah it's easy to do this in the moment but like I said a few posts ago 3 weeks from now if IO 2 and Bad Boys break out it will be much better. Can hollywood survive with a 3 or 4 good weekends and then 10 bad weekends depends on how good those good weekends are I guess.
"if" is the big key word here. And those movies aren't looking too good either. We're probably going back to 2021 where audiences are too stupid to watch anything that doesn't have the Marvel logo on it. Oh well.
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So I saw the signs from Quorum and shit that Furiosa wasn't going to open to all that...but I still expected it to at least open in the 30s. Like this kind of flat-out rejection, opening below fucking Tomorrowland, is absurd, and I genuinely can't grasp why for a movie that's still attached to one of the most beloved action movies of all time. It can't just be because this doesn't have any of the old cast. Planet of the Apes still opened on par with its predecessors and it didn't have the old cast. What the hell happened?
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11 minutes ago, JimmyB said:
My theater was dead last night but holy hell Deadline early estimates.
Ouch, it’s looking really bad. Warner Bros.’ Furiosa is possibly posting the lowest opening for a Memorial Day movie in 41 years with a 4-day between $31M-$35M. How the holy heck is that? If the George Miller directed prequel comes in on the low end, the last time a No. 1 movie or Memorial Day opening title filed a 4-day gross take that was lower was back in 1983 with 1983’s Return of the Jedi when it made $30.5M — and that was a lot of money back then.
If Furiosa hits at the high end of its current range at $35M, then that’s the lowest Memorial Day weekend opening since 1984’s Indiana Jones and the Temple which did $33.9M. Those ’80s grosses are unadjusted for inflation.
Honestly, I'd just give up if I wanted to make it in Hollywood. This whole industry's fucking cooked. What's the point anymore?
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9 minutes ago, Unfitclock said:
So deadline just put up there estimates ummmm their 3 day weekends make no sense considering Sunday will be a single percentage drop or increase did they forget that
I mean...it seems legit. Furiosa's estimated at 27, following TGM with a 7.5 True Friday gives it 28M. Garfield's estimated at 24, following Little Mermaid gives you...20M. So yeah, expecting a better IM from that, since there's no Disney Adults rushing to see it...24M for the 3-Day also sounds likely.
But yeah, lol Deadline is probably gonna be lol Deadline, so...hopefully these can still get to Prince of Persia numbers...maybe? Hopefully? Maybe?
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1 minute ago, Speedorito said:
I think Timothee Chalamet and Zendaya shouldn’t be here, they’re definitely not “new.” They’ve consistently had critical and commercial success since around 2017.
No, Timothee should be there because he's really cute.
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2 minutes ago, dudalb said:
TitTok has become a sign that the apocalypse is upon us.
dude chill out lol
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No offense, but studios aren't going to extend the theatrical windows. I know you all want it to happen, and I know you all have good reasons why it should happen. But they've been movies things come to PVOD in 45 days, sometimes less, for three whole years now. And they haven't changed their tune whatsoever. If it was hurting their movies and their profits, they would have stopped. At some point, you have to accept the new normal. They see shortened windows and potentially smaller box office as more beneficial. You're just gonna have to deal with it. 🤷♂️
SpoilerVery excited for all the "Knock It Off" reactions I'm about to get.
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2 hours ago, cookie said:
Not gonna go into spoilers, but having seen the movie, I don’t think this argument holds up all that well. I think they could’ve made Theron work if they wanted to.
Just got out and...yeah. They could have worked a way to get Theron cast here in this, though Anya does do great stuff. Guess the silver lining in all this is now two great actresses get to do wonderful stuff with a wonderful character. And that's all pretty swell.
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4 minutes ago, YM! said:
Feel like Horizon two-parter’s target audience likely won’t give a shit about reviews and could be too soon to write off.
The target audience, like all target audiences, only want to see nostalgic toy commercials. Horizon ain’t that. It’s dead mate.
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6 minutes ago, Alexander said:
Furiosa, Fall Guy... Most of these are clearly 'good' but there never was any chance these would connect with general audience. But kbviously it's not money so...
lol I love that a movie based off 350M+ grossing critical and commercial darling is apparently too risky and unappealing to general audiences.
Are you doing a bit? Are you trying to troll? Because that’s what it’s looking like. And I’m not very fond of it.
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5 minutes ago, Alexander said:
Furiosa is this year's Flash for WB. Genuinely believe Twitter and 'Film Twitter' is one of the worst things that happened to studios' decision-making in last 10-12 years.
I love how "Film Twitter" has become this weird, vague nothingness people love to randomly blame a problem over. You can stub your toe, get divorced by your wife, lose your job, and just use that pesky Film Twitter as a scapegoat.
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1 minute ago, Cmasterclay said:
Yeah for what it's worth I actually think Zaslav probably WOULD have greenlit this project, I just don't think we should endorse the idea that he shouldn't have. I agree Furiosa kind of always had a ceiling tbh but I can't even imagine the discourse on these boards prior to the release of like, the Godfather, Jaws, Star Wars, or Titanic - all of which looked to everyone in the industry like expensive flops. I do remember it about Avatar! Risk is required for greatness.
Also Furiosa isn't even that big of a risk? Even remotely? Like in 2019 or 2020 or whenever this was greenlit, if I was given a pitch for a movie that was a prequel to an Oscar-winning film, a film considered one of the greatest in its entire genre, that made a ton of money, was a massive hit in the home video and television market, and starred a rising actress who has been in several hits movies and TV shows...yeah, I'd probably give that a greenlight. Like how pathetic must our industry/moviegoers have to be when this pitch is "too risky" or "destined to bomb"? Honestly?
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No offense to @charlie Jatinder, but I think you need to figure out your projections or just keep it to yourself, because this is like the third time or so that you overpredicted a movie's previews on social media, and that's really not helpful to anybody.
I also think we need to stop opening up threads when Charlie posts his numbers on Twitter. It's just making things way worse and way more miserable for all parties.
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https://deadline.com/2024/05/box-office-furiosa-garfield-memorial-day-1235938017/
QuoteDespite more movies in the marketplace, we’re still feeling the aftermath of the strikes. How is that? Many aren’t in the habit of moviegoing yet, and while content is king, neither of this weekend’s releases are expected to create a stampede.
Warner Bros’ Geroge Miller prequel Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga did $3.5M at 3,400 locations that began previews at 3PM.
Meanwhile Alcon/Sony’s The Garfield Movie posted $1.9M in shows that started at 2PM yesterday. That’s a tad higher than IF’s previews last Thursday of $1.75M.
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3 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:
Love vague wording with recent preview gross announcements where I have no clue if it includes Early Access shows or not. Totally doesn't make things a headache to follow or predict. Nope. No siree.
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8 minutes ago, ringedmortality said:
I was not following the box office at the time, but I don't think Lego Batman would have benefited from Lego Movie 2 coming out before it? Feel like Lego Batman did as well as it could.
IIRC, there were tons of people on the forum who expected it to do as big as 300M+, just on the popularity of the first Lego Movie and the Batman brand alone. Which like...yeah, that was kind of stupid to expect in hindsight for a spin-off. And yeah, I guess 175M does sound right. Maybe it could have gotten to 200M Lego Movie 2 came out in 2017 and Batman came out in 2019? It certainly hurt Lego Movie 2 though, and will likely hurt a Hardy-led Mad Max sequel. By the time it dropped, it didn't really feel like the big direct sequel to a hit movie anymore.
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1 minute ago, filmscholar said:
Funny people had a lot to say about "TLM" but that MD Holiday Opening is looking like Gold right now.
Alas, none of us can be as awesome as Halle 😎
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Hot take: I know that the script for Furiosa had been in the works for decades and Miller's way more passionate over that idea than a direct Fury Road sequel, but I feel like Furiosa would have done way better if it had came out after a second Hardy-Mad Max film was released. That would have benefited way more from the goodwill of Fury Road, made the franchise more popular and relevant, and then would have made people more eager to see a Furiosa prequel that has none of the actors people are familiar with.
This whole situation is basically like when Lego Batman came out before Lego Movie 2.
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5 minutes ago, YM! said:
Keysersoze seemed hopeful for 30m+ OW after strong preview walkups.
Well I trust Keysersoze with my life, so I'll believe him. (The user, not the guy from the movie
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Furiosa I can kind of see (TGM did 6.6x w/ Early Access, 7.5x isn't too crazy IMO), but I call BS on Garfield only getting 10x. This isn't going to play like Little Mermaid or even Aladdin. I can buy it doing worse than IF's IM, but surely something like Cruella's 15.35x IM makes way more sense, right?
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Quorum Updates
The Watchers T-15: 29.44% Awareness, 44.24% Interest
Harold and the Purple Crayon T-71: 15.76% Awareness, 33.81% Interest
The Fire Inside T-78: 12.89% Awareness, 37.56% Interest
Trap T-78: 25.04% Awareness, 47.14% Interest
White Bird T-133: 12.55% Awareness, 38.98% Interest
Mufasa: The Lion King T-211: 48.2% Awareness, 56.14% Interest
Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga T-1: 44.67% Awareness, 44.06% Interest
Final Awareness: 46% chance of 20M, 25% chance of 30M, 16% chance of 40M, 9% chance of 70M
Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 20M
Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M, 9% chance of 30M, 4% chance of 70M
Tentpole Interest: 100% chance of 30M
The Garfield Movie T-1: 61.28% Awareness, 51.29% Interest
Final Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 92% chance of 30M, 88% chance of 40M, 76% chance of 50M, 60% chance of 60M, 48% chance of 70M, 36% chance of 80M, 28% chance of 100M
Animation/Family Awareness: 100% chance of 50M, 60% chance of 70M, 40% chance of 100M
Final Interest: 79% chance of 20M, 61% chance of 30M, 46% chance of 40M, 33% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M, 16% chance of 70M, 15% chance of 80M, 11% chance of 90M, 8% chance of 100M
Animation/Family Interest: 100% chance of 30M, 83% chance of 50M, 50% chance of 90M, 33% chance of 100M
Sight T-1: 12.89% Awareness, 29.62% Interest
Final Awareness: 0% chance of 10M
Low Awareness: 0% chance of 10M
Final Interest: 0% chance of 10M
Low Interest: 0% chance of 20M
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Weekend Numbers [05.24 - 05.27, 2024] | 4-day actuals | 32.3M FURIOSA: A MAD MAX SAGA | 31.3M THE GARFIELD MOVIE | 22.3M IF | 17.6M KINGDOM OF THE PLANET OF THE APES
in Numbers and Data
Posted
That CinemaScore for Garfield has me legit curious on what could be in it that would isolate family audiences. Doesn’t seem to have anything objectionable in it.