Eric Prime

I feel like every time I see this dude, it's always to post the most random rumors that never actually come true. So like...why are we paying attention to them?

Don't think I noticed any of that stuff. Last I saw was this blog post where Guardians had 6.7% unaided awareness. https://thequorum.com/this-week-in-unaided-awareness-some-good-news-for-barbie/

Okay

The Little Mermaid Greater Phialdelphia Area Seat Report T-27 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 153 609 28586 2.13% Total Seats Sold Today: 56 Comp - First Three Days 2.137x of Sonic the Hedgehog 2 (13.35M) 0.146x of Black Panther 2 (4.23M) 0.503x of Avatar: The Way of Water (8.55M) 0.709x of Mario (22.48M) Comp - T-27 0.116x of Black Panther 2 (3.26M) 1.678x of Mario (53.19M)

Fast X Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-20 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 95 550 20135 2.73% Total Seats Sold Today: 12 Comp - T-20 1.032x of F9 (7.33M) 0.388x of Jurassic World: Dominion (6.99M) 2.209x of Nope (14.14M)

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 221 4116 39919 10.31% Total Seats Sold Today: 206 Comp - T-6 1.436x of Black Widow (18.95M) 2.460x of Shang-Chi (21.65M) 1.885x of Eternals (17.91M) 0.333x of Doctor Strange 2 (11.98M) 0.581x of Thor 4 (16.85M) 0.451x of Black Panther 2 (12.63M) 0.786x of Ant-Man 3 (13.76M)

So sorry I didn't get to this earlier, but I've been swamped with work all day and didn't have time to get it up in time. I hope you understand and will still post regardless.

Only 12 out of 31 MCU movies have 90% or higher reviews on RT. That’s less than 40%. So cool it with all this hyperbole, alright?

So at 46% awareness, it has a 75% chance of 60M, 50% chance of 90M and 25% chance of 100M. And at 6.16 Interest, that would be an automatic 100% chance of 100M. Awareness has been the more reliable of the two in terms of defining an opening weekend, with Interest being more of a "this is how likely it will reach a certain Awareness threshold". So I don't think a 100M opening is going to happen just yet, but I see 60M as the floor so far, with 70M+ more likely.

I mean I'm super bullish on it, but I do agree that Shawn's projections would still make it a great success. Just because it doesn't hit my super high-end stuff doesn't mean the film's a failure.

Quorum Updates About My Father T-29: 16.33% Awareness, 4.86 Interest Kandahar T-29: 15.95%, 5.14 Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part 1 T-76: 34.77%, 5.98 The Meg 2: The Trench T-99: 30.62%, 5.34 A Haunting in Venice T-141: 12.98%, 5.28 The Color Purple T-242: 18.66%, 4.81 Are You There God? It's Me, Margaret T-2: 29.1% Awareness, 4.91 Interest Final Awareness: 17% chance of 10M Final Interest: 21% chance of 10M Known IP Awareness: 0% chance of 10M Known IP Interest: 0% chance of 10M Big George Foreman T-2: 39.89% Awareness, 5.44 Interest Final Awareness: 36% chance of 10M Final Interest: 41% chance of 10M Original - Low Awareness: 29% chance of 10M Original - Low Interest: 33% chance of 10M Love Again T-8: 20.64% Awareness, 5.02 Interest Final Awareness: 17% chance of 10M, Final Interest: 41% chance of 10M Original - Low Awareness: 20% chance of 10M Original - Low Interest: 33% chance of 100M Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse T-36: 45.87% Awareness, 6.16 Interest T-30 Awareness: 45% chance of 50M, 36% chance of 60M, 27% chance of 90M, 18% chance of 100M T-30 Interest: 92% chance of 50M, 75% chance of 70M, 67% chance of 100M Animation/Family Awareness: 100% chance of 100M Animation/Family Interest: 100% chance of 50M

The Little Mermaid Greater Phialdelphia Area Seat Report T-28 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 153 553 28586 1.93% Total Seats Sold Today: 202 Comp - First Two Days 2.266x of Sonic the Hedgehog 2 (14.16M) 0.141x of Black Panther 2 (3.94M) 0.497x of Avatar: The Way of Water (8.45M) 0.765x of Mario (24.25M)

Fast X Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-21 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 95 538 20135 2.67% Total Seats Sold Today: 13 Comp - T-21 1.093x of F9 (7.76M) 0.386x of Jurassic World: Dominion (6.94M) 2.214x of Nope (14.17M)

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-7 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 221 3910 39919 9.79% Total Seats Sold Today: 157 Comp - T-7 1.479x of Black Widow (19.52M) 2.539x of Shang-Chi (22.34M) 1.865x of Eternals (17.72M) 0.330x of Doctor Strange 2 (11.89M) 0.581x of Thor 4 (16.85M) 0.452x of Black Panther 2 (12.65M) 0.778x of Ant-Man 3 (13.62M)

Moderation Can we please stop with the accusations that people think this will do NWH numbers? Because literally nobody has been saying that. This handwringing of "nobody's nostalgic for Michael Keaton" and "reviews aren't saying this is the greatest superhero movie ever" is frankly bordering on concern trolling and it's not funny anymore. Please stop with this, or warning points will be thrown out.

I'm sorry, young Optimus Prime? How can a robot age? That doesn't make any sense!

Well I overslept and missed the two openers I was tracking...but I don't think I was missing much anyways. Hopefully I can get all three other movies done in a timely manner. Thank goodness I now work the dayside shift.

The Little Mermaid Greater Phialdelphia Area Seat Report T-29 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 153 351 28586 1.23% Comp - First Day 2.017x of Sonic the Hedgehog 2 (12.61M) 0.391x of Avatar: The Way of Water (6.65M) 0.967x of Mario (30.65M) This is very all over the place, though keep in mind that Mario weirdly did poor on the first day only to explode on the second day, so that comp will go way down tomorrow. But double Sonic despite a couple extra days head start sounds decent to me IMO. Excited to see what's in store for us in the days ahead.

Fast X Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-22 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 95 525 20135 2.61% Total Seats Sold Today: 3 Comp - T-22 1.220x of F9 (8.67M) 0.381x of Jurassic World: Dominion (6.85M) 2.303x of Nope (14.74M)

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-8 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 221 3753 39919 9.40% Total Seats Sold Today: 116 Comp - T-8 1.495x of Black Widow (19.74M) 2.663x of Shang-Chi (23.44M) 1.882x of Eternals (17.88M) 0.336x of Doctor Strange 2 (12.09M) 0.581x of Thor 4 (16.84M) 0.452x of Black Panther 2 (12.66M) 0.772x of Ant-Man 3 (13.5M)

Big George Foreman Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 37 50 4286 1.17% Total Seats Sold Today: 11 Comp - T-1 0.017x of Creed III (96K) Well that was a waste. Now to go into the big boys.

Are You There God? It's Me, Margaret Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 46 215 5695 3.78% Total Seats Sold Today: 0 Comp - T-1 0.821x of Death on the Nile (903K) 2.048x of Marry Me (1.07M) 0.955x of Dog (1.2M) 0.278x of The Lost City (903K) 0.292x of Elvis (1.02M) 0.653x of Where the Crawdads Sing (1.5M) 0.150x of Don't Worry Darling (464K) 2.108x of Ticket to Paradise (2.32M) Sigh...this is just depressing.

Now I want this to happen, because the karma is hilarious.

Bookmark this post and laugh at me when I'm wrong, but the Next Goal Wins trailer reminded me of this post and I think we have our next winner here. Seems like it checks all the boxes of wholesome and emotional fun. It's frankly destined to be the TIFF Audience Award winner, Taika still has a fanbase within the industry. We obviously can't say it's a lock, but I think we can't ignore it as a contender.