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Everything posted by Eric Prime
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric Prime replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Been thinking somewhere in the 60s IMO. Which fun fact, would make it the first 60s opening since Bad Boys 3 nearly three years ago. Weird. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric Prime replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Quorum Updates Till T-11: 24.35% Awareness, 5.49 Interest Bones and All T-37: 13.84%, 4.84 M3gan: T-88: 25.76%, 5.46 Dungeons and Dragons: Honor Among Thieves T-137: 31.3%, 4.97 Transformers: Rise of the Beasts T-235: 35.23%, 5.79 Oppenheimer T-277: 16.49%, 5.1 Black Adam T-3: 60.58% Awareness, 6.32 Interest Comps (All Final): Shang-Chi w/ 43.04% Awareness & 5.56 Interest, Venom 2 w/ 54.39% & 5.78, Eternals w/ 41.7% & 5.89 *Note that Black Adam's Final Awareness and Interest is subject to change* Final General Awareness: 100% chance of over 50M, 90% chance of 70M, 70% chance of 100M General Interest: 100% chance of 30M, 86% chance of 40M, 64% chance over 50M, 57% chance over 70M DC/MCU Awareness: 100% chance of 100M DC/MCU Interest: 100% chance of 100M Ticket to Paradise T-3: 39.56% Awareness, 5.5 Interest Comps (All Final): Respect w/ 40.28% Awareness & 5.53 Interest, The Lost City w/ 58.17% & 6.13, Elvis w/ 49.07% & 5.9, Amsterdam w/ 32.14% & 5.62 *Note that Ticket to Paradise's Final Awareness and Interest is subject to change* Final General Awareness: 26% chance of double-digit opening, 2% chance of 20M General Interest: 86% chance of double-digit opening, 74% chance of 20M Original - High Awareness: 14% chance over double-digits Original - High Interest: 57% chance over double-digits and over 20M -
Creed III | March 3, 2023 | MBJ will direct
Eric Prime replied to TMP's topic in Box Office Discussion
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric Prime replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-25 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 246 5468 42932 12.74% Total Seats Sold Today: 162 Comp 0.703x of Doctor Strange 2 T-25 (25.33M) -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric Prime replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Black Adam Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 89 1392 18518 7.52% Total Seats Sold Today: 148 Comp 0.993x of F9 T-4 (7.05M) 0.414x of Black Widow T-4 (5.47M) 2.297x of The Suicide Squad T-4 (9.42M) 0.702x of Shang-Chi T-4 (6.17M) 0.975x of Venom 2 T-4 (11.31M) 1.054x of No Time to Die T-4 (6.64M) 0.558x of Eternals T-4 (5.3M) 1.255x of Morbius T-4 (7.15M) 1.188x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-4 (7.13M) 0.512x of Jurassic World 3 T-4 (9.22M) -
Can confirm. I got the trailer for this in front of TGM and my parents and I were laughing our butts off at how dumb the concept was. A bunch of creepy smiles? That’s a whole horror movie? They ran out of ideas at this rate. But then I saw that reviews were good and I was taken aback by it. Made me legit intrigued. Ended up just thinking the movie was a fine 6/10 like Black Phone. But like Black Phone, I get the legs. Simple, easy to convey premise, a strong emotional backstory for the main character, a lot of good scares peppered in. There’s little reason for people not to like it, outside of just not liking scary movies altogether.
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That's still 74%. An 80+% drop would mean an 8.25M weekend. Only 15 movies have dropped more than 80% on their second weekends. And of them I only recognize like...six of them off the top of my head. Two of them are re-releases of classic films, so they don't even count. Plus these are films that seem to be from smaller studios, lost theaters in their second weekend, and only played in a couple hundred theaters anyways. Halloween Kills is almost guaranteed to retain almost all its locations, so an 80+% drop is nearly impossible. It would have to have as good a calendar for its opening as Friday the 13th (it didn't) or have WOM as atrocious as Gigli (it doesn't). If even The Devil Inside, a film with perhaps the worst WOM in cinema history, only dropped 76%, I think Halloween Kills isn't going to fall worse than that.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric Prime replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-26 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 246 5306 42932 12.36% Total Seats Sold Today: 81 Comp 0.701x of Doctor Strange 2 T-26 (25.25M)