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Everything posted by Eric Quinn
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I mean Blue Beetle is still an obscure, D-List character. At least Black Adam was still in stuff like Injustice. And I know there’s stuff like Shang-Chi or Captain Marvel, but the Marvel brand is way bigger and boosts the name of everybody. DC is still at the point where they are more hero-conscious to get a big hit. Not that it’s a bad thing. Shazam numbers for Blue Beetle would still be great!
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric Quinn replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-20 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 246 6135 42932 14.29% Total Seats Sold Today: 122 Comp 1.534x of The Batman T-20 (33.15M) 0.705x of Doctor Strange 2 T-20 (25.4M) 1.337x of Thor 4 T-20 (38.79M) -
I'm very excited for Banshees of Inisherin, but I get why things seem muted, because the whole thing feels pretty lowkey. Three Billboards had a big ensemble, with Rockwell and McDormand as frontrunners IIRC (been five years, don't yell at me if I got it wrong), a really strong hook (and meme potential) with its billboard premise that made it eye-catching and memorable, and brought up topical issues that mad Banshees is a movie about an Irish guy wondering why he's no longer best friends with another Irish guy. Like I'm hoping to take my mom to this, but that's not as exciting of a hook for her compared to what Three Billboards offers and nothing about the movie has been pushed as "frontrunner". Like the main hype for Tar is Cate Blanchett being the big frontrunner and giving one of her, if not her best performance ever. Brendan Fraser has all the Best Actor hype at the moment, and a comeback narrative, so Colin Farrell's performance isn't getting the hype it usually would. So with little to hook non-film buffs in, I think 30K+ PTA would be very good for Banshees.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric Quinn replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Quorum Updates Tar T-7: 12.54% Awareness, 4.20 Interest The Menu T-28: 19.25%, 5.05 She Said T-28: 13.69%, 4.51 House Party T-84: 22.52%, 5.27 Creed III T-133: 37.06%, 5.69 The Little Mermaid T-217: 57.97%, 6.11 Black Adam T-1: 59.19% Awareness, 6.34 Interest Comps (All Final): Shang-Chi w/ 43.04% Awareness & 5.56 Interest, Venom 2 w/ 54.39% & 5.78, Eternals w/ 41.7% & 5.89 Final General Awareness: 63% chance of over 50M, 53% chance of 70M, 37% chance of 100M General Interest: 64% chance over 50M, 57% chance over 70M, 50% chance of 100M DC/MCU Awareness: 100% chance of 70M DC/MCU Interest: 100% chance of 100M Ticket to Paradise T-1: 40.05% Awareness, 5.52 Interest Comps (All Final): Respect w/ 40.28% Awareness & 5.53 Interest, The Lost City w/ 58.17% & 6.13, Elvis w/ 49.07% & 5.9, Amsterdam w/ 32.14% & 5.62 Final General Awareness: 95% chance of double-digit opening, 81% chance of 20M General Interest: 86% chance of double-digit opening, 74% chance of 20M Original - High Awareness: 80% chance over double-digits and 20M Original - High Interest: 57% chance over double-digits and over 20M Prey for the Devil T-7: 24.62% Awareness, 5.38 Interest Comps (All Final): Don't Breathe 2 w/ 30.47% Awareness & 4.94 Interest, The Night House w/ 18.09% & 5.17, Candyman w/ 38.61% & 4.67, The Black Phone w/ 40% & 5.94 *Note that Prey for the Devil's Final numbers are subject to change* Final General Awareness: 5% chance of double-digit opening General Interest: 68% chance of double-digit opening Horror Awareness: 12.5% chance of double-digit opening Horror Interest: 60% chance of double-digit opening -
Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile | Sony | October 7, 2022
Eric Quinn replied to Box Office Hit's topic in Box Office Discussion
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric Quinn replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-box-office-forecast-the-menu-and-she-said-will-fight-for-runner-up-in-black-panther-wakanda-forevers-second-frame/ Long Range Box Office Forecast & 2022’s Upcoming Calendar (as of 10/20/22) Release Date Title 3-Day (FSS) Opening Low/High Range Pinpoint % Chg from Last Week Domestic Total Low/High Range Pinpoint % Chg from Last Week Distributor 10/28/2022 Prey for the Devil $4,000,000 – $9,000,000 -12% $8,700,000 – $20,500,000 -12% Lionsgate 10/28/2022 Tár (Wide Expansion; Limited on October 7) Focus Features 10/28/2022 Till (Wide Expansion; Limited on October 14) MGM / UAR / Orion 11/4/2022 Armageddon Time (Wide Exp; Limited on Oct. 28) Focus Features 11/4/2022 One Piece Film Red $9,000,000 – $15,000,000 $15,750,000 – $30,000,000 Crunchyroll / Sony 11/11/2022 Black Panther: Wakanda Forever $180,000,000 – $225,000,000 $445,000,000 – $590,000,000 Disney / Marvel Studios 11/11/2022 Spirited Apple Original Films 11/18/2022 The Menu $7,000,000 – $12,000,000 $25,000,000 – $50,000,000 Disney / Searchlight Pictures 11/18/2022 She Said $4,000,000 – $9,000,000 $14,000,000 – $34,000,000 Universal Pictures -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric Quinn replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-21 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 246 6013 42932 14.01% Total Seats Sold Today: 169 Comp 1.668x of The Batman T-21 (36.03M) 0.705x of Doctor Strange 2 T-21 (25.38M) 1.366x of Thor 4 T-21 (39.63M) -
Discuss!
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Discuss the hierarchy of power of the DC universe over here!
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric Quinn replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Ticket to Paradise Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 44 213 5531 3.85% Total Seats Sold Today: 111 Comp 0.304x of Free Guy (669K) 0.680x of Dear Evan Hansen (544K) 0.354x of House of Gucci (461K) 0.552x of West Side Story (441K) 0.556x of Death on the Nile (612K) 1.401x of Marry Me (736K) 0.772x of Dog (972K) 0.208x of The Lost City (677K) 0.198x of Elvis (694K) 0.370x of Crawdads (852K) 2.393x of Easter Sunday (1.2M) 1.299x of Bros (649K) 0.888x of Amsterdam (488K) -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric Quinn replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Black Adam Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 129 3532 24783 14.25% Total Seats Sold Today: 1,216 Comp 0.779x of F9 (5.53M) 0.465x of Black Widow (6.14M) 1.737x of The Suicide Squad (7.12M) 0.743x of Shang-Chi (6.54M) 0.674x of Venom 2 (7.82M) 1.214x of No Time to Die (7.65M) 0.669x of Eternals (6.36M) 1.293x of Morbius (7.37M) 1.499x of Fantastic Beasts 3 (8.99M) 0.562x of Jurassic World 3 (10.11M) Ignoring F9, which overperformed big time in Philly, there's a tale of two cities right here. Does this follow like an MCU movie because of its superhero background? Or is it like a non-MCU film and the casuals are invested to come in? I...hope it's the latter? Probably is the latter? I don't know