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Everything posted by Eric Quinn
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric Quinn replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Been thinking somewhere in the 60s IMO. Which fun fact, would make it the first 60s opening since Bad Boys 3 nearly three years ago. Weird. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric Quinn replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Quorum Updates Till T-11: 24.35% Awareness, 5.49 Interest Bones and All T-37: 13.84%, 4.84 M3gan: T-88: 25.76%, 5.46 Dungeons and Dragons: Honor Among Thieves T-137: 31.3%, 4.97 Transformers: Rise of the Beasts T-235: 35.23%, 5.79 Oppenheimer T-277: 16.49%, 5.1 Black Adam T-3: 60.58% Awareness, 6.32 Interest Comps (All Final): Shang-Chi w/ 43.04% Awareness & 5.56 Interest, Venom 2 w/ 54.39% & 5.78, Eternals w/ 41.7% & 5.89 *Note that Black Adam's Final Awareness and Interest is subject to change* Final General Awareness: 100% chance of over 50M, 90% chance of 70M, 70% chance of 100M General Interest: 100% chance of 30M, 86% chance of 40M, 64% chance over 50M, 57% chance over 70M DC/MCU Awareness: 100% chance of 100M DC/MCU Interest: 100% chance of 100M Ticket to Paradise T-3: 39.56% Awareness, 5.5 Interest Comps (All Final): Respect w/ 40.28% Awareness & 5.53 Interest, The Lost City w/ 58.17% & 6.13, Elvis w/ 49.07% & 5.9, Amsterdam w/ 32.14% & 5.62 *Note that Ticket to Paradise's Final Awareness and Interest is subject to change* Final General Awareness: 26% chance of double-digit opening, 2% chance of 20M General Interest: 86% chance of double-digit opening, 74% chance of 20M Original - High Awareness: 14% chance over double-digits Original - High Interest: 57% chance over double-digits and over 20M -
Creed III | March 3, 2023 | MBJ will direct
Eric Quinn replied to TMP's topic in Box Office Discussion
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric Quinn replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-25 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 246 5468 42932 12.74% Total Seats Sold Today: 162 Comp 0.703x of Doctor Strange 2 T-25 (25.33M) -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric Quinn replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Black Adam Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 89 1392 18518 7.52% Total Seats Sold Today: 148 Comp 0.993x of F9 T-4 (7.05M) 0.414x of Black Widow T-4 (5.47M) 2.297x of The Suicide Squad T-4 (9.42M) 0.702x of Shang-Chi T-4 (6.17M) 0.975x of Venom 2 T-4 (11.31M) 1.054x of No Time to Die T-4 (6.64M) 0.558x of Eternals T-4 (5.3M) 1.255x of Morbius T-4 (7.15M) 1.188x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-4 (7.13M) 0.512x of Jurassic World 3 T-4 (9.22M) -
Can confirm. I got the trailer for this in front of TGM and my parents and I were laughing our butts off at how dumb the concept was. A bunch of creepy smiles? That’s a whole horror movie? They ran out of ideas at this rate. But then I saw that reviews were good and I was taken aback by it. Made me legit intrigued. Ended up just thinking the movie was a fine 6/10 like Black Phone. But like Black Phone, I get the legs. Simple, easy to convey premise, a strong emotional backstory for the main character, a lot of good scares peppered in. There’s little reason for people not to like it, outside of just not liking scary movies altogether.
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That's still 74%. An 80+% drop would mean an 8.25M weekend. Only 15 movies have dropped more than 80% on their second weekends. And of them I only recognize like...six of them off the top of my head. Two of them are re-releases of classic films, so they don't even count. Plus these are films that seem to be from smaller studios, lost theaters in their second weekend, and only played in a couple hundred theaters anyways. Halloween Kills is almost guaranteed to retain almost all its locations, so an 80+% drop is nearly impossible. It would have to have as good a calendar for its opening as Friday the 13th (it didn't) or have WOM as atrocious as Gigli (it doesn't). If even The Devil Inside, a film with perhaps the worst WOM in cinema history, only dropped 76%, I think Halloween Kills isn't going to fall worse than that.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric Quinn replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-26 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 246 5306 42932 12.36% Total Seats Sold Today: 81 Comp 0.701x of Doctor Strange 2 T-26 (25.25M) -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric Quinn replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Black Adam Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-5 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 89 1244 18518 6.72% Total Seats Sold Today: 122 Comp 0.961x of F9 T-5 (6.83M) 0.406x of Black Widow T-5 (5.36M) 2.434x of The Suicide Squad T-5 (9.98M) 0.696x of Shang-Chi T-5 (6.13M) 0.979x of Venom 2 T-5 (11.36M) 1.023x of No Time to Die T-5 (6.44M) 0.534x of Eternals T-5 (5.08M) 1.228x of Morbius T-5 (7M) 1.197x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-5 (7.18M) 0.498x of Jurassic World 3 T-5 (8.96M) -
I'm not saying it'll have an amazing drop, but I don't see 80% for its second weekend at all? Like the only comparable was the 2009 Friday the 13th, which dealt with the 13th on its Friday and to an extent Valentine's Day the next day. That's some big holidays to help boost the film's opening, and it's not like Halloween will be over tomorrow. There's sure to be some people who will visit the film next week to get into the Halloween spirit. A drop in the 70s makes more sense.
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The Nun 2 | September 8, 2023
Eric Quinn replied to The Horror of Lucas Films's topic in Box Office Discussion
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric Quinn replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-27 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 246 5225 42932 12.17% Total Seats Sold Today: 114 Comp 0.716x of Doctor Strange 2 T-27 (25.77M) -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric Quinn replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Black Adam Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 89 1122 18518 6.06% Total Seats Sold Today: 90 Comp 0.983x of F9 T-6 (6.98M) 0.391x of Black Widow T-6 (5.17M) 2.434x of The Suicide Squad T-6 (9.98M) 0.671x of Shang-Chi T-6 (5.9M) 1.004x of Venom 2 T-6 (11.65M) 0.985x of No Time to Die T-6 (6.21M) 0.514x of Eternals T-6 (4.88M) 1.172x of Morbius T-6 (6.68M) 1.160x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-6 (6.96M) 0.478x of Jurassic World 3 T-6 (8.61M)