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Everything posted by Eric the Clown
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Guys Gokira is always doing a dumb bit. A couple years back, he was parading on about how Kong Skull Island was set to be a bomb for the ages and that Power Rangers was going to be a mega smash even after both movies came out. Just ignore him and then he’ll eventually tire himself out or realize nobody finds his schtick amusing
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric the Clown replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-box-office-forecast-marvel-studios-shang-chi-and-the-legend-of-the-ten-rings/ Long Range Box Office Forecast & 2021 Calendar (as of 8/13/21) Release Date Title 3-Day (FSS) Opening Forecast Range Domestic Total Forecast Range Estimated Location Count Distributor 8/20/2021 The Night House $1,000,000 – $6,000,000 $2,500,000 – $15,000,000 2,000 Searchlight Pictures 8/20/2021 Paw Patrol $4,000,000 – $9,000,000 $12,000,000 – $32,000,000 2,700 Paramount Pictures 8/20/2021 The Protégé $3,000,000 – $8,000,000 $8,000,000 – $25,000,000 2,500 Lionsgate 8/20/2021 Reminiscence $7,000,000 – $12,000,000 $20,000,000 – $40,000,000 3,300 Warner Bros. Pictures 8/27/2021 Candyman $9,000,000 – $14,000,000 $24,000,000 – $35,000,000 3,400 Universal Pictures 8/27/2021 Together Bleecker Street 9/3/2021 Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings $35,000,000 – $55,000,000 $100,000,000 – $165,000,000 Disney / Marvel Studios 9/10/2021 The Card Counter Focus Features 9/10/2021 Malignant $11,000,000 – $16,000,000 $25,000,000 – $45,000,000 Warner Bros. Pictures 9/10/2021 Queenpins $3,000,000 – $8,000,000 $6,000,000 – $25,000,000 STXfilms -
Because they're not actually projecting this stuff, but just talking about the tracking expectations prior to opening. Even before COVID, when the trades talk about a movie even after the previews drop, they just say what the movie's tracking projections were and don't adjust when previews land. Endgame could have earned $3 million in previews and Deadline would have still been all "The film is still tracking for a $300M opening weekend". Don't ask me why they do it. Maybe they're only allowed to report what they were given or don't have a model to adjust or something along those lines.
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Gotta admit here that Don't Breathe's number was something I expected until yesterday, but the walk-ups I had yesterday for Don't Breathe were so otherworldly that I'm kind of confused and bummed that it just missed 1M. Yes I know that this number is still fine and the film will be profitable and yadda yadda yadda.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric the Clown replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Respect Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 27 480 3910 4.65% Total Seats Sold Today: 298 Comp 0.373x of Spiral Thu+Fri (1.39M) 1.174x of Cruella's Thu (1.64M) 0.109x of Space Jam 2 (1.42M) -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric the Clown replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Free Guy Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 47 700 9187 7.62% Total Seats Sold Today: 396 Comp 0.356x of A Quiet Place 2 (1.71M) 1.711x of Cruella (2.40M) 1.074x of Snake Eyes (1.50M) 0.888x of Jungle Cruise (2.40M) The Disney comps point in a good direction, while the older-skewing comps point elsewhere. Free Guy probably won't have as large of a family audience compared to the other two, so I guess lean more on Quiet Place 2 I suppose? -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric the Clown replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Don't Breathe 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 25 1025 3497 8.49% Total Seats Sold Today: 728 Comp 0.521x of Quiet Place 2 (2.50M) 0.400x of Conjuring 3 (3.92M) 1.400x of Forever Purge (1.86M) 1.773x of Escape Room 2 (2.13M) 1.200x of Old (1.80M) Umm...wow. -
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