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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric the Clown replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
No showtimes appear anywhere near my area. Fandango only has its FanAlert message. Maybe it's just your area being special, being in Cali and whatnot. Besides, I'm not gonna bother tracking it until release week. 3-Day range from BOP doesn't come anywhere close to 40M -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric the Clown replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Terminator: Dark Fate Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-27 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 30 25 8,099 0.31% Comp 0.050x of It: Chapter Two 27 days before release (528K) Adjusted Comp 0.417x of Hobbs & Shaw 27 days before release (2.42M) BOP's range has it at 35-45M. The 40M+ rule applies. I'm tracking it. Anyways, the movie clearly didn't rock the boat here, but that It2 comp is pretty lol, so don't take it super seriously. The Hobbs & Shaw one is a pretty solid one so far though. Both are action-heavy, male-targeted franchises with IMAX, 7PM previews, and no 3D. Though admittedly, while I have no idea how frontloaded the film will be, I'm confident that that 2.42M would not be very good for this movie. We'll see how the coming weeks do -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric the Clown replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Maleficent: Mistress of Evil Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-13 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 32 124 8,464 1.47% Total Seats Sold Today: 4 Comp 0.159x of It: Chapter Two 14 days before release (1.68M) Adjusted Comp 0.051x of Lion King 14 days before release (1.18M) 0.613x of Hobbs & Shaw 14 days before release (3.56M) -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric the Clown replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
For those who care -
https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-forecast-knives-out-queen-slim/ 8-Week Forecast Release Date Title 3-Day (FSS) Opening Range 3-Day (FSS) Opening Forecast % Chg from Last Week Domestic Total Forecast % Chg from Last Week Estimated Location Count Distributor 10/11/2019 The Addams Family (2019) $23,000,000 – $28,000,000 $25,000,000 9% $88,000,000 3,800 United Artists Releasing 10/11/2019 Gemini Man $26,000,000 – $31,000,000 $28,000,000 $85,000,000 3,500 Paramount 10/11/2019 Jexi $5,000,000 – $10,000,000 $6,500,000 -13% $17,000,000 -15% 2,300 Lionsgate / CBS Films / Entertainment One 10/18/2019 Maleficent: Mistress of Evil $40,000,000 – $55,000,000 $40,000,000 $120,000,000 4,000 Disney 10/18/2019 Zombieland 2: Double Tap $24,000,000 – $34,000,000 $30,000,000 $77,000,000 3,700 Sony / Columbia 10/25/2019 Black and Blue $8,000,000 – $13,000,000 $11,000,000 -8% $32,000,000 -8% Sony / Screen Gems 10/25/2019 Countdown $13,000,000 – $18,000,000 $14,000,000 $33,000,000 STX 10/25/2019 The Current War: Director’s Cut n/a n/a n/a 101 Studios 10/25/2019 The Last Full Measure n/a n/a n/a Roadside Attractions 11/1/2019 Arctic Dogs $5,000,000 – $10,000,000 $7,000,000 $24,500,000 Entertainment Studios 11/1/2019 Harriet n/a n/a n/a Focus Features 11/1/2019 Motherless Brooklyn n/a n/a n/a Warner Bros. 11/1/2019 Terminator: Dark Fate $35,000,000 – $45,000,000 $38,000,000 $85,000,000 Paramount 11/8/2019 Doctor Sleep $20,000,000 – $30,000,000 $25,000,000 $92,000,000 Warner Bros. 11/8/2019 Last Christmas $12,000,000 – $17,000,000 $15,000,000 $80,000,000 Universal 11/8/2019 Midway $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $13,000,000 $47,000,000 Lionsgate 11/8/2019 Playing with Fire $7,000,000 – $12,000,000 $8,000,000 $33,000,000 Paramount 11/15/2019 Charlie’s Angels (2019) $25,000,000 – $35,000,000 $29,000,000 $78,000,000 Sony / Columbia 11/15/2019 The Good Liar n/a n/a n/a Warner Bros. 11/15/2019 Ford v. Ferrari $25,000,000 – $35,000,000 $32,000,000 $115,000,000 Fox 11/22/2019 21 Bridges $9,000,000 – $14,000,000 $10,000,000 $34,000,000 STX 11/22/2019 A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood $16,000,000 – $21,000,000 $19,000,000 $105,000,000 Sony / Columbia 11/22/2019 Frozen 2 $115,000,000 – $145,000,000 $125,000,000 $450,000,000 Disney 11/27/2019 Knives Out $15,000,000 – $20,000,000 $17,500,000 NEW $70,000,000 NEW Lionsgate 11/27/2019 Queen & Slim $7,000,000 – $12,000,000 $8,000,000 NEW $30,000,000 NEW Universal
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric the Clown replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Maleficent: Mistress of Evil Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-14 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 32 120 8,464 1.42% Total Seats Sold Today: 4 Comp 0.161x of It: Chapter Two 14 days before release (1.69M) Adjusted Comp 0.052x of Lion King 14 days before release (1.19M) 0.661x of Hobbs & Shaw 14 days before release (3.83M) It's good to have something you can look at for 20 minutes and do comps for in 10 minutes again. -
Not entirely convinced. Like I said, my comps are very optimisitc with most others saying somewhere around 11.5M or so. If it follows Venom with a non-inflated Sunday (It opened on Columbus weekend, which Joker won't have the luxury of): 11.5 37.4 inc. previews 30.3 (-19%) 19.7 (-35%) 87.4M OW 90M+ can still happen, but unless preview numbers are super high, I don't see 100M. But that's my own personal opinion of course
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I truly, deeply love the love here. Like not even joking, I saw my notifications blown up after I got out of Hustlers (fantabulous movie btw), and I was tearing up by all the love here. I just sent in my application. If accepted, I promise that I will take my leadership and moderation duties and perform them to the absolute best of my ability, and try and make this forum the best I can possibly make it. As for my own nominations, I already sent them through PM, but might as well say it here. Both @ZeeSoh and @cax16 seem like perfect candidates for mods, and I hope other people are with me on that decision. Well-liked, willing to call out bad behavior, contribute to the forums/conversation often, all that good stuff.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric the Clown replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Joker Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 168 4,910 31,750 15.46% Total Seats Sold Today: 1,471 Comp 2.581x of Once Upon's final count (14.97M) 1.417x of It: Chapter Two's final count (14.88M) Adjusted Comp 0.508x of Lion King's final count (11.68M) 2.410x of Hobbs & Shaw's final count (13.98M) Fantastic final day here. Once Upon started at 4, while It 2 started at 5, and had IMAX and PLFs and no 3D, so 15M seems like the probable answer...but everyone else's comps are pointing to somewhere around 11M, so I do think Philly is overperforming this time around, so don't take my numbers too seriously. But watch me being right and this ends up making 15M tonight 🙄 -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric the Clown replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Maleficent: Mistress of Evil Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-15 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 32 116 8,464 1.37% Total Seats Sold Today: 2 Comp 0.162x of It: Chapter Two 15 days before release (1.7M) Adjusted Comp 0.051x of Lion King 15 days before release (1.19M) 0.661x of Hobbs & Shaw 15 days before release (3.83M) Well...at least it gained seats today. That's something? -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric the Clown replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Joker Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 168 3,439 31,750 10.83% Total Showings Added Today: 13 Total Seats Added Today: 1,153 Total Seats Sold Today: 881 Comp 2.512x of Once Upon 1 day before release (14.57M) 1.439x of It: Chapter Two 1 day before release (15.11M) Adjusted Comp 3.123x of Hobbs & Shaw 1 day before release (18.11M) If one were to follow my data, this seems like something that would do bonkers numbers. But compared to so many other posters here with their own sets of data, it seems like it's just a case of overperformance on my end, at least for the time being. But obviously we should still see bigly numbers this weekend -
https://www.boxofficepro.com/weekend-forecast-joker/ Weekend Forecast Film Distributor 3-Day Weekend Forecast Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, September 29 % Change from Last Wknd Joker Warner Bros. $90,000,000 $90,000,000 NEW Abominable Universal $13,700,000 $40,200,000 -34% Downton Abbey Focus Features $7,800,000 $72,900,000 -46% Hustlers STX $7,100,000 $92,200,000 -38% It: Chapter Two Warner Bros. / New Line $6,200,000 $203,300,000 -39%