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Everything posted by Eric the Clown
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric the Clown replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
What if it's 13%? -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric the Clown replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
My OW prediction at the moment is somewhere around 185M, give or take 10M. I'm also predicting an IM of about 11x, which is slightly above Beauty and the Beast, and is a good share above Incredibles 2 (these are the movies I've been using as reference for a while now), and I feel like Lion King won't have as much upfront demand for the weekend as those two. So basically, my own projection for previews at the moment is about 16.8M. Give or take 3M or so. If it reaches 20M in previews, then I'd say 200M is all but locked. -
https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-forecast-the-angry-birds-movie-2-47-meters-down-uncaged-good-boys-whered-you-go-bernadette/ Angry Birds Movie 2: 19/70 (Don't know if the 19's for the 3-Day or 5-Day) 47 Meters Down: Uncaged: 15/39 Good Boys: 15/43 Where'd You Go, Bernadette?: 11/45 Yesterday: 10 OW. N/A for total
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Julia Roberts didn't get a star until just now? I'm actually kind of surprised.
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When the first early numbers came in for Endgame, Charlie said 90M Friday was happening. Add that number to Endgame's 60M previews, and you got 150M. About 7M off of course, but he did divide this from previews to true Friday. He could be doing something different, but it would be weird of him to suddenly change his reporting with no warning nor clarification to others.
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No Time To Die | October 8 2021 | 82% on RT | RIP Sean Connery
Eric the Clown replied to Neo's topic in Box Office Discussion
@TMP -
Obviously it's important to kind of take early Deadline preview projections with a grain of salt, but that's still a very strong preview number. With about...let's say an 11.75x multiplier (I just spitballed that number) that would be about $141M. Hopefully the previews see an increase when we get the final numbers (although I think final previews have almost always increased from early Deadline projections)
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Part A: 1. Will Toy Story Open to more than $135M? 1000 Yes 2. Will Toy Story Open to more than $165M? 2000 No 3. Will Toy Story Open to more than $150M? 3000 No 4. Will Toy Story Increase on Saturday? 4000 Yes 5. Will Toy story make more than 8 times the gross of Child's Play? 5000 Yes 6. Will Child's Play open to more than $14M? 1000 Yes 7. Will Child's Play open to more than $24M? 2000 No 8. Will Child's Play open to more than $19M? 3000 No 9. Will Anna open to more than $4M? 4000 No 10. Will Child's Play + Anna's combined Weekend total come to more than half of Toy Story's Opening Sunday? 5000 Yes 11. Will MIB stay above SLOP? 1000 No 12. Will Shaft drop more than 65% 2000 Yes 13. Will Rocketman's PTA stay above $2,500? 3000 Yes 14. Will Dark Phoenix stay in the top 10? 4000 Yes 15. Will either Aladdin or Endgame (or both) increase this weekend? 5000 No 16. Will the Pikachu increase more than 125% on Friday? 1000 No 17. Will Godzilla decrease more than 50%? 2000 Yes 18. Will Late Night stay above Endgame? 3000 No 19. Will SLOP increase more than 100% on Saturday 4000 No 20. Will Anna turn out to be an Annabelle stealth release in order to get the murderous doll trifecta? 5000 I wish. Part B: 1. What will Toy Story make for its 3 day OW? 148.7M 2. What will Child's Play's OW be as a percentage of Toy Story's Saturday? 35% 3. What will Dark Phoenix's Percentage drop be? -57% Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. Child's Play 4. Men in Black International 6. Rocketman 8. Dark Phoenix 10. Shaft 12. Late Night
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I didn't ask for this.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric the Clown replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I've developed a database right here for everyone to look at. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Q-1UceCRkSh3BraIvvm0XDJyoUJsyrq8oOufQvjP7Qk/edit?usp=sharing There's also stuff from a guy called AK Valley who manged to get into the code of Pulse and helped us find exact data. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1zNm6jmYaVu4doQWQR6psnxz6f2AMSuKVlfEe6TOnZ5k/edit#gid=1758182291 https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1NBK-Sj8qK3GXl-iOdHYeD94YRNxWJ9HqZ9OKdGoSx2o/edit#gid=1246392742