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TStechnij

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    2015 Best Picture predictions!

    in And The Winner Is...

    Posted

    Star Wars getting nominated is definitely an uphill battle, but I don't think that the "it is the seventh film in a series" argument is that well founded. This isn't like Fast and Furious; The Force Awakens is coming off of a series that has had a 10 year hiatus, presumably finished. It is more of a reboot or reimagining than a sequel. If it starts taking down Box Office records, we will definitely need to be including it in our conversation. 

    Also, completely dismissing the Danish Girl because the reviews aren't that great is really dumb. Let me point you towards: Les Miserables (by the same director), The Theory of Everything (starring the same lead), Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close, The Help, Precious-- the list goes on and on. Every year people fail to include tepidly received prestige films from Academy loved directors. Last year three mediocre-ly recievied films made it. 

    The Revenant will probably lead in noms, but I don't see a narrative for it to win. Leo is totally the front-runner though. :)

    2015 Best Picture predictions!

    in And The Winner Is...

    Posted

    Since Steve Jobs and Bridge of Spies are both getting noms I can only see one of Star Wars, inside Out, Mad Max and The Martian getting in. Despite better judgement I am going with Star Wars. 

     

    Caine and Sorrentino are having an extended Q&A and Caine is getting a tributeish thing. Maybe Youth will become the player I really want to be. :) 

    2015 Best Picture predictions!

    in And The Winner Is...

    Posted

    carol will get a nom. purely for the incredible RT and metacritic and blanchett/ mara are 'hot' in hollywood's eyes.

    brooklyn, room, beasts of no nation, son of saul are high RT movies that will get the snubs.

    in the heart of the sea sneaks in due to the box office/scale/scope of the thing(the moby dick book is incredible)

    the big short gets to top 5 based on latest screenings saying it is incredible. All star cast.

    inside out gets in due to sheer noms.

    the good dinosaur we will have to assess.

     

    I don't think you understand how this works at all. 

     

    Anyways, what if with your confidence in In The Heart of the Sea?

    Steve Jobs | October 9 limited, expands Oct 16, wide on Oct 23 | Teaser Trailer Page 9

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted · Edited by TStechnij

    That's a disaster for a film with a super strong limited release. I was expecting American Sniper numbers, but the box office acts in strange ways. All the Oscar baits are flopping: Steve Jobs, The Walk, Sicario, Black Mass, Bridge of Spies.

    Lol, the only thing flopping is this post. 

    Sicario is doing incredibly and isn't Oscar bait. Black Mass isn't Oscar bait. The Walk isn't Oscar bait. Bridge of Spies isn't Oscar bait and will have killer legs. So your point is beyond invalid. 

    • Like 3

    Steve Jobs (2015)

    in Review That Movie! (Spoilers Allowed)

    Posted · Edited by TStechnij

    It's a very stylized and artificial movie. I'm not sure why you automatically consider that a negative. 

    Is this in reference to me? If you read the review I posted above I actually really adored the film for its style and innovation. The only thing I don't like is the screenplay. And it being artificial is not my problem. 

    It is very organized and well done though. Also quite innovative. I love the cuts between the acts 

    Steve Jobs (2015)

    in Review That Movie! (Spoilers Allowed)

    Posted

    I have a huge problem with Sorkin because of this film. It makes me question all of his past work because of how self indulgent and... 

     

    I dont know. The screenplay of this film is a total mess. Sorkin is basically writing strings of words that sound nice, but don't mean anything. It's bullshit and he has fooled me for years, but now I know. 

    Best Actor predictions-2015

    in And The Winner Is...

    Posted

    This post was on a board discussing the Gotham nominations, it has a quick summary of the podcast. 

     

    In the Screen Talk podcast, Eric Kohn confirms Room was snubbed from Feature/Screenplay, meaning it was indeed eligible for all categories.

    They also talk about how Carol and Mad Max are indeed the critics faves of the season. Kohn is much more enthused by the film while Thompson believes it will play to the Academy but not broadly.

    One last thing, the casualties so far: Truth, Black Mass, Beasts of No Nation. Surefire contenders: The Martian and Steve Jobs.

    http://www.indiewire.com/article/pod...eason-20151023

    Best Actor predictions-2015

    in And The Winner Is...

    Posted

    Taking everything TStech says with grains of salt.

    Might want to actually cite to the actual pundit/podcast.

    I'll go find it. I listened to it a couple days, and found it on some AW thread. I'll be back with it. 

     

    However, the pundit stuff isn't my main evidence of anything. It just helps to illustrate my point and back up my credibility. I'm wasn't sure I had to because the lack of buzz for Deep is sort of deafening. There it is also nothing really supporting his chances either. The film won't get any other noms, he won't campaign for it and Hollywood isn't rushing out to reward him. 

    Even in this weak year, which is getting less weak and stranger by the day, it wasn't going to happen. Now industry officials are for sure saying it isn't going to happen. 

     

    Carrell, on the other hand, has a strong narrative. He missed about two AA noms because they were performance in straight up comedies and they've already proven they like his dramatic work. He could easily get an afterglow nom and maybe even contend for the win if the early reports are as good as people are saying. 

    • Like 1

    Best Actor predictions-2015

    in And The Winner Is...

    Posted

    Depp's still in the conversation for a nomination, granted it's #5 now but still.

    Depp isn't in the conversation anymore and never really was. His reviews were fine, but the movie was average and did poorly at the box office. Some pundit just had a podcast and apparently after initial screenings for guilds and such it has been determined that Truth, Black Mass and Beasts of No Nation are all DOA. 

    Depp is some delusioned fanboy thing. He has made a joke of his career and his performance wasn't good enough. 

    I don't see Redmayne missing and I really don't see Vikander missing. And I think Danish Girl will have a few below the line moms because it is really aesthetically pleasing and technically well made. And it hasn't came out yet, so of course buzz is down. 

    Remember, I am DG's biggest hater. These are predictions straight from the head. 

    Best Actress predictions-2015

    in And The Winner Is...

    Posted

    Yes, they don't.

    But I remember Weinstein promote Kate Winslet as supporting for The Reader...

    I know it's very unlikely, but could happen.

    If I remember correctly, the weird thing about Kate that year IS that Harvey pushed her lead when she was a supporting role. Fraud just usually goes the other way. 

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