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PierreHP

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  1.  

    Official weekend numbers are in..and Minions will pass 6 MILLION viewers in France this week! First movie to do this since 2012's Spectre and first animated film to cross that mark since 2012's IA4

     

     
     
    TOP 5 DU 19 AU 25 AOÛT 2015
    Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation 646 680 - total: 1 880 448 
     Une Famille à louer 303 670 - 303 670 3 
    Les Minions 271 821 - total: 5 927 637
     Le Petit Prince 207 715 - total:1 405 638
    Antigang 193 422 - total:193 422

     

    Very good for Minions!

    :)

    DM3 may be even bigger.

  2. An optimistic preview of 2016:

    1. Ice Age:Collision Course:$43M
    2. Batman v Superman:Dawn of Justice:$37M
    3. Captain America:Civil War:$36M
    4. X-Men: Apocalypse:$34M
    5. Finding Dory:$30M
    6. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them:$28M
    7. Alice Through the Looking Glass:$24M
    8. Kung Fu Panda 3:$22M
    9. The Jungle Book:$21M
    10. Moana:$20M

    loo.jpg

    • Like 1
  3.  

    The film had good opening in Brazil, placing second, second only to Tom Cruise and his Mission: Impossible. (Mission: Impossible had almost double rooms)

     

    Admissions: 390,000 (pre premieres included)

    $ 1.7 Million

     

    Also opened in second place in Argentina:

     

    Admissions:  71,324

    $ 0.5 Million

     

    After 4 weeks remains Top 10 in France, Belgium and Poland.

     

    Without even opening forecast for US, UK and Australia, major markets which could considerably increase the box office of the film. Does anyone believe that The Little Prince can make $ 100 Million in those countries?

     

    Expected more from Brazil but anyway.

    B)

  4. Given it's a movie surfing on the success of THG movies it's not a surprise to see it can get a share of its viewers. For some reason Brazil is not into science and technology, it's probably linked to the weakness of its education system and the strong prevalence of religion. R&D spending is under 1% as well, it's extremely weak.

     

    So it's not a friendly territory for sci-fi movies.

    What is R&D?

    :huh:

  5. LOL I went on Adorocinema, the most visited Brazilian website about cinema, and SW7 is only the 23rd anticipated movie o_o Brazil is likely to be one of the most disappointing territory for this movie. In a way, even if there is a fanbase it's probably not big enough to make a difference, just enough to make it profitable on this territory but not much else. It makes sense anyway given science fiction movies always bomb there, Brazilian are not interested in these movies for some reason, think about Interstellar and how pitiful its performance was..Brazil is more about football, religion and superheroes.

    Even the new Divergent movie is more anticipated.

    :ph34r:

  6. February is filled with dumpster movies.....movies that not many people will care about. (Deadpool), (Ben-Hur remake) etc.....

     

    So...just for that....give KFP3 a shot...cause it would play well and have legs against those puny, weak movies.

    I think that lots of people can't wait for Deadpool.

    Of course it won't be a big hit but it will make a decent amount of money.

  7. Well, why not. I'm more optimistic because unlike THG Star Wars already has a fanbase in Brazil, THG had nothing and that's why it got $10m despite a very advantageous exchange rate at that time, that's why I'm confident about SW.

    You don't live in Brazil and have never been there so how do u know?

    :rolleyes:

  8. Well, nobody expected SW to be huge in Brazil anyway, that doesn't change much, as long as it's huge in the US...SW will become increasingly bigger over time in Brazil, a bit like THG but with slightly bigger numbers.Something like $17m for SW7, $28m for SW8 and $38m for SW9.

    That seems more realistic and by the way MJ2 may not be the end of the HG Cinematic Universe.Since Lionsgate understood that they can't make any money from that Divergent(it doesn't deserve any money anyway)they will try to create more films based on the HG Universe.

    :D

    • Like 1
  9. Brazil was in a terrible situation before, but with the financial crisis in China it could be worse...I just learned Brazil lost 111,000 jobs in June and 160,000 in July, it's quite harsh...And of course that could affect the Brazilian box office despite it's already quite hit.

    That's bad for all 2015 films.

    Star Wars won't reach $20M and HG won't hit $35M

    :wacko:  :unsure:  :(  :angry:

  10. From Corpse:

     

    Weekend Estimates (08/22-23)

    01 (01) ¥564,000,000 ($4.6 million), -40%, ¥5,875,000,000 ($47.3 million), Jurassic World (Toho-Towa) Week 3

    02 (02) ¥345,000,000 ($2.9 million), -40%, ¥3,280,000,000 ($26.5 million), Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation (Paramount) Week 3

    03 (03) ¥230,000,000 ($1.9 million), -44%, ¥3,850,000,000 ($31.2 million), Minions (Toho-Towa) Week 4

    04 (05) ¥134,000,000 ($1.1 million), -43%, ¥5,065,000,000 ($41.0 million), The Boy and the Beast (Toho) Week 7

    05 (04) ¥131,000,000 ($1.1 million), -46%, ¥2,560,000,000 ($20.7 million), Attack on Titan - Part 1 (Toho) Week 4

    06 (06) ¥129,000,000 ($1.1 million), -45%, ¥1,915,000,000 ($15.5 million), Boruto: Naruto the Movie (Toho) Week 3

    07 (09) ¥103,000,000 ($845,000), -42%, ¥3,555,000,000 ($28.9 million), Inside Out (Disney) Week 6

    08 (07) ¥102,000,000 ($840,000), -48%, ¥4,120,000,000 ($33.7 million), Hero 2 (Toho) Week 6

    09 (08) ¥91,000,000 ($745,000), -49%, ¥850,000,000 ($6.9 million), Japan's Longest Day (Shochiku) Week 3

    10 (10) ¥66,000,000 ($540,000), -34%, ¥710,000,000 ($5.9 million), Kamen Rider Drive The Movie: Surprise Drive (Toei) Week 3

    Harsh drops across the board, but that's unsurprising following Obon Festival and a weekend that received a boost from the holiday period last week.

    A few weekend notes:

    >Jurassic World will have overtaken Cinderella over the weekend, making it the biggest live-action release this year, and that's unlikely to change. It's also outgrossed Jurassic Park III, but it'll need some very strong late-legs if it wants to reach the heights of The Lost World: Jurassic Park.

    >Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation should have exceeded the ¥3 billion milestone and keeps it chances of once again reaching the ¥5 billion blockbuster milestone alive. All the Mission: Impossible films reached the blockbuster milestone, so having a fifth-consecutive installment get there is very, very impressive. It's one of the most consistent and biggest imported franchises in the market. 

    >The Boy and the Beast probably exceeded the ¥5 billion blockbuster milestone over the weekend, becoming the third film this calendar year to reach the mark (fifth overall). And having earned over ¥5 billion, it's also become the first domestic animated film to ever achieve blockbuster status that isn't apart of a franchise or established brand (Ghibli, Pokemon, etc.). Needless to say, that Mamoru Hosoda and Studio Chizu will certainly be an established brand after this. 

    >Boruto: Naruto the Movie will soon outgross The Last: Naruto the Movie to become the highest-grossing film in the Naruto film franchise. The fact that it's going to clear ¥2 billion quite easily is pretty surprising.

    Decent drop for IO compared to the other films.

    :)

  11. HARRY POTTER FILMS IN FRANCE:

    Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2:$67.3M

    Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince:$54.1M

    Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets:$53.1M

    Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix:$51.8M

    Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1:$51.1M

    Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire:$50.7M

    Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's/Philosopher's Stone:$48.1M

    Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban:$46.9M

     

    harry-potter-and-the-sorcerer-s-stone-th

    • Like 2
  12.  

    2016.jpeg

     

    My forecast for 2016 movies :

     

    -The Hateful Eight : $11m

    -Kung-Fu Panda 3 : $20m

    -Deadpool : $15m

    -Zootopia : $17m

    -Batman vs Superman : $30m

    -The Jungle Book : $18m

    -Captain America 3 : $33m

    -X-Men Apocalypse : $30m

    -TMNT 2 : $16m

    -Finding Dory : $25m

    -Ice Age 5 : $38m

    -Suicide Squad : $18m

    -Star Trek 3 : $9m

    -Doctor Strange : $13m

    -Fantastic Beasts : $24m

    -Moana : $20m

    -Star Wars Rogue One : $15m

     

    I know, these numbers are pretty low and these forecasts are pretty pessimistic, particularly for such a market, but given we're unlikely to see a real improvement in terms of exchange rates (the opposite is more likely) we can't expect a phenomenal year, unfortunately...

     

    That would be the worst scenario  :wacko:

    Deadpool won't be as big as Rogue one. :ph34r:

  13. Shouldn't be off by more than 5% either way

        Est Est Est Est Est Est Proj Proj         Wknd (m) M (m) T W Th F S Su Wknd %Chg Total Proj Tot JW 7.6 1.75 1.36 1.64 1.19 1.22 2.24 2.73 4.97 -34.6% 47.2 72.0+ MI5 5.2 1.02 0.78 0.96 0.65 0.72 1.52 1.67 3.19 -38.7% 27.3 40.0+ Minions 3.4 1.01 0.77 1.13 0.76 0.66 0.85 1.10 1.95 -42.6% 31.3 41.0+ IO 1.5 0.43 0.34 0.56 0.35 0.30 0.37 0.48 0.85 -43.3% 28.6 32.0+

     

    Not as tight as I hoped but not bad either considering last week bumped across the board. That means they only dropped an average of 18-23% per week from 2 weeks ago. The projected totals are the floor not the target IMO.

     

    JW was the best hold from last Saturday, impressive considering it had such large numbers to maintain. WOM is still on.

    MI5 was a close second from sat to sat.

    Minions, Monster, Titan and IO in a virtual tie for 3rd for % hold

    IO has the biggest drop.

    :ph34r:

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