CM opened with more than Shazam has earned in a weekend + thursday preview + special fandango preview in one single day.
That's really a poor comparison to make.
Kong's multiplier was 2.75x, so I am hoping somewhere between 2.6x to 2.75x multiplier for CM.
That will translate to:
153*2.6 = 397.8m to 153*2.75 = 420.75m.
It has already surpassed Civil War's legs, with less OW take. Really there is no single good comparison to these movie with the same range of OW.
These are probably the best comparisons we have, but none of them had Easter on the same weekend or the same competition.
ALICE did 2.87x OW
THG did 2.68x OW
BVS did 1.98x OW.
HG: 408m/152m = 2.68x
CF: 424m/158m = 2.68x
CM: 153m*2.68 = 410m
Even if it had HG legs it won't reach CF's 424m. Even CF's legs translate to the same as HG's.
Why would you predict less than 70% drop?
The logical drop would be around 70% to 74%.
And Tuesday drops have been (+33.3%, +46.3% and +49.5%) respectively.
CM
1st mon: -71.7%
2nd mon: -73.4%
3rd mon: -71.1%
It can really be expensive to have a season ticket, say if you support a big team. But if your supporting a local team here in Europe, it's very rewarding to go to matches every weekend.