tonytr87
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Posts posted by tonytr87
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1 hour ago, upriser7 said:
30M might be bit low but I wouldn't be surprised if Oppenheimer opens to just around $40M. Both Interstellar and Dunkirk opened to around $50M. I'd guess Oppenheimer appeals to slightly more older audience than your typical movie-going audience and considering older audience movie-going numbers have gone down post-covid, and this is R-rated, a $40M opening wouldn't surprise me. One advantage Oppenheimer has over Interstellar, Dunkirk is probably bigger star-cast but not sure how much that would help. I haven't even seen much RDJ content in advertising so far
My local IMAX showtimes are close to selling out already. Make of that what it's worth.
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I'm skeptical about the hosannas I'm hearing about this one. I liked Into the Spider Verse but wasn't crazy about it
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15 hours ago, noobmaster69 said:
Although zsjl is better than jl, it still not a great sh movie. Its score depends on the crazy behavior of fans, so its imdb ratio very strange.
I think it's as good as the original Avengers. Fight me.
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1 hour ago, excel1 said:
Theme of summer 2023: us all accepting that is not not 2019 any more. $100m opening weekend is really, really good in 2023. Something looking to 'break out' is looking at $100m ballpark. It is what it is.
I think we all know that FLASH will do more $7.6m previews and $67m that Black Adam hits. Doubling that, though, is a very heavy life. $115m is a reasonable true high end for opening weekend, with 90-100m more likely. Flash is doing pretty well compared to all non Marvel films. $135m would be a truly epic breakout though.
The recovery is in slow motion. It takes time. But also, I think Black Panther and Captain Marvel overperforming on opening weekend (not to mention the gargantuan success of Endgame and Infinity War) has trained people to believe any comic book movie can attain such heights right out of the gate. That window for Marvel was very special, and was never replicated for DC.
Consider:
Man of Steel - 115m
Dawn of Justice - 166m
Suicide Squad - 135m
Wonder Woman - 103m
Justice League - 94m
Aquaman - 72m
Shazam - 53m
Birds of Prey - 33m
(skipping Wonder Woman 1984 & Gunn's Suicide Squad for COVID reasons)
Black Adam - 67m
It's not a coincidence that the opening weekend returns became lower and lower following Dawn of Justice & Suicide Squad. Audiences did not invest in the DCEU like they did the MCU.
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52 minutes ago, Flopped said:
Using "woke" to call out Hollywood hypocrisy is ok. Margot Robbie at the peak of her powers where she can work with any director but still electing to do a David O Russell movie when everyone knows he is abusive towards women (and men, but especially women) while profiting from a Barbie movie about female empowerment is worth calling out.
Grow up, dude. People are more complicated that this.
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Don't underestimate the incoming reboot factor as a deterrent for some audiences. Also the fact that Justice League (the ONLY DCEU movie featuring Flash) was six years ago and was terrible. Most people haven't seen the better director's cut and think of Ezra's Flash as the fast dude from that terrible movie years ago.
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6 hours ago, Flopped said:
It's funny that people outside the US trash America as some racist hotzone, but having lived in various European countries, no amount of racism in America comes close to the racism I've witnessed in Europe. And that's not even Asia or Latin America.
I think it boils down to America's racist past being worse/more recent than some of these other places. Because of that, modern day racism feels worse here than in Europe or Asia. It's perception more than reality. Although, without knowing much about the way it is in Europe or Asia, I tend to think it must be worse here.
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On 5/10/2023 at 1:05 PM, Mojoguy said:
Wes needs to make another stop motion animated movie soon! Fantasic Mr Fox and Isle of Dogs are amazing!
I liked Isle of Dogs, but it felt like a dog movie made by a cat person.
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I'm not surprised. Mangold is a weird director. When he goes for Oscars (Walk the Line, 3:10 to Yuma, Ford v Ferrari) the results are exceptional. When he goes for broad adventure (Knight & Day, The Wolverine) the reception is typically middling. Logan was so good because he was combining those two modes.
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1 hour ago, CaptNathanBrittles said:
Let this be a reminder of how special a director Spielberg
wasand you can't just replace him and expect the same magic to reoccur.is
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4 hours ago, dudalb said:
Uh, this movie is a much a epic historical film as Oppenheimer is.
Where did I say it wasn't?
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9 hours ago, JustLurking said:
I still don't really know what the story is about but the trailer was awesome.
There's a book. Look it up.
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3 hours ago, Valonqar said:
I have doubts about Oppenheimer's chances, not due to quality, but due to the Academy trending away from epic historical films towards smaller modern films. Assuming they're great, would be nice to see the Academy embrace epics like that one and this movie again though.
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2 hours ago, Maggie said:
I just wanna say this May and June are way gonna be way crowded than July. May and June are full of potential Billion dollar movies. July looks like a waste land compared. Unless barbie breaks out big
Barbie is going to break out so this comment is moot.
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1 hour ago, excel1 said:
Bale would never do it. And if for some reason he would, it would not be in this film. It would be in his own solo THE DARK KNIGHT RETURNS
I'm convinced a Batman Beyond movie would work best if Bale ever decided to come back.
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2 hours ago, PrinceRico said:
Would not be shocked if this got better reviews. The director is pretty good and getting Michael Bay out of the directors chair is a good thing.
This guy clearly doesn't now visual effects.
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42 minutes ago, poweranimals said:
Yeah, that was one of the worst times they could've picked to release it. With all of those major releases, if any movie was going to end up as a casualty it was going to be that.
Over or under 100 mil?
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On 5/9/2023 at 5:02 PM, Mojoguy said:
Animated films not included, obviously.
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24 minutes ago, Mojoguy said:
Thank God for the short under 2 hour runtime!
PLEASE no more overlong 2.5-3 hour movies this year.
Wick 4, GOTG3, FAST X, Spiderverse, Flash, Indy, and Mission 7 got hit by the stupid long runtime stick this year.
More movies need to be 1.5-2 hours MAX.
I prefer to get more for my money. No more 90 minute blockbusters, thanks. Fortunately, we haven't gotten those in some time.
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47 minutes ago, MyMovieCanBeatUpYourMovie said:
Huge mistake, IMO. They should have done a "regular" Avengers movie (i.e., not universe-ending stakes) in between Endgame and Kang Dynasty.
Part of what made the MCU the MCU was seeing all the disparate characters coming together. If they had put out an Avengers film this year, bringing whoever is left from Phase 1 along with all the new characters, would given a huge boost to all of them.
As for best trilogy, it's probably going to be GOTG (assuming 3 as good as advertised), but give me Homecoming, Far From Home, and No Way Home over Cap or any other three films.
Such a weird decision of theirs to abandon the franchise structure that got them to the dance. Phase 4 is essentially a random assortment of characters and plotlines. There could've been an interesting throughline via the multiverse stuff, but instead they gave us like 5 different reasons for the incursions, worsening the already fractured nature of the phase.
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Writers are a lot like journalists/film critics (who are often writers themselves), they're very sensitive. Only way to explain how they turned a harmless throwaway comment from her into something more.
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41 minutes ago, excel1 said:
Leaked.
Looks like a good, typically Nolan well-made film. But it also looks so small in scale. It is clearly a serious drama more than summer blockbuster tentpole.
90% of the trailer are random shots of Murphy monologging with Matt Damon, Josh Hartnett, Emily Blunt, Kenneth Branagh, and the guy who plays Einstein. The entire scale looks so small, like a random October release from 2005. 1 brief shot of RDJ.
The first trailer did not look small in scope. So I predict you're full of it.
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5 hours ago, Jeight said:
Bad? No. Underwhelming or OK. The truly bad cbms are usually the rotten ones. Shazam, black Adam, dark phoenix, bvs, new mutants, John, ww84
LOL What the hell is John?
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19 minutes ago, GOGODanca said:
how so? movies like fabelmans, northman, bros, are you there god?, etc , etc, etc have flopped post pandemic despite good reviews/good audience scores and being aimed at demos that aren't 18-34 male
I'm not here to point out for you all of the films not only aimed at the 18-34 demo that have performed well over the past two years.
Father’s Day/Juneteenth Weekend Thread | Flash implodes with 55M, Elemental bombs with 29M, holdovers hold atrociously | Theaters are dead, streaming is dead. Everything is dead really.
in Numbers and Data
Posted
This thread is why I barely come here anymore. Nothing but negativity. Flash bombed for reasons that have nothing to do with the health of moviegoing right now. Fingers crossed Elemental can have good legs, excellent and underrated movie.