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MCKillswitch123

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Posts posted by MCKillswitch123

  1. Updated as of September 12th, 2023!

     

    Keynotes:
    - Air has been knocked off the Top 100 OW's list;
    - the opening weekend of The Automat has been knocked off the Top 100 PTA's list;
    - Old has been knocked off the Top 100 DOM list.

     

    No WW update yet, but sometime in the coming future, a large update for WW numbers is coming.

    • Heart 1
  2. @CJohn I see weekend results (8/24 to 8/27) here have yet to be released, but Gran Turismo wasn't doing too shabby a week ago, it's probably gonna finish somewhere between 80-100k tickets sold. For a movie that opened to under 30k, good legs.

     

    I don't really know everything that opened this week, I believe Talk to Me did? That probably did okay.

  3. Update: The Chinese films Oh My School!, Advancing of ZQ and The White Storm 3 surfaced on The Numbers as $280-300+ million worldwide grossers a few weeks ago. These numbers, barring any eventual update, seem to be incorrect, as EntGroup's China box office tracker reports much lower numbers for all of these films, all of them well under $100 million worldwide. No other OS territory numbers are known (if existant, probably not much higher than the usual numbers for Chinese films OS), and even checking the box office track records on The Numbers, they seem to not match the global numbers actually reported. So, I'm assuming henceforth that their box office numbers are not the ones you have seen on the list up to this point, and thus, I have removed these films from the Top 100 WW list.

     

    Therefore, almost all numbers have been updated as of August 23rd, 2023 (except for a few non-American films, including China's Lost in the Stars and Japan's The First Slam Dunk). Main keynotes being the reentries in the Top 100 WW of three films previously knocked out: Wonder Woman 1984, Scream VI and The Suicide Squad.

  4. I also am hoping that Killers of the Flower Moon breaks out. Not a huge OW hit, but anything at around $25-30 million and $140-150 million DOM would be solid for an R-rated 220 minute drama, even though it does boast a massive budget, but with Apple co-financing, I'm sure they're not actively expecting it to be a monster theatrically (though it should in an ideal world).

     

    For the next couple weekends, things are dour lol. Gran Turismo is DOA, assuredly. Equalizer 3 and Nun II might hit $90-100 million DOM, but September is pretty doldrummy, which hopefully will give The Creator a chance to breakout. Tbh I'm not expecting much more than Dungeons & Dragons numbers, best case scenario something like Lost City/Bullet Train in the low $100 million range, but hey, an original sci-fi film doing good numbers would be a win.

    • Like 2
  5. 1 hour ago, CJohn said:

    @MCKillswitch123 Gigabombs everywhere.

     

    Blue Beetle below Shazam 2 and in 5th place below GT and The Meg 2. Um Filme do Caraças in 8th place below Pôr do Sol's 3rd weekend. Strays in 13th (!!!!!!!!!!) and opening with little more than half of the already extremely low Cocaine Bear OW.

     

    Oppenheimer is 1st place in box office but 2nd in tickets sold (Barbie is first in tickets).

     

    Blue Beetle Blue Bombed. 👏

     

    Strays were found by the side of the road. 👏

     

    Um Filme do Caraças was a bomb do caraças. 👏

     

    Oppenheimer 1st probably due to IMAX/4DX, I assume?

  6. 23 minutes ago, CJohn said:

    The Nun is the biggest horror OW of all time here selling ~111.000 tickets on OW so... that, definitly that. That needs to carry September on its back. Equalizer and Haunting in Venice  should do decently. Saw X only opens in October here.

     

    Right now I think Um Filme do Caraças sells around 10.000 tickets on OW but maybe Pedro Alves will indeed pull a miracle. If anything the time is now since, like you said, he is hot from Festa é Festa and Curral de Moinas.

     

    Lmfao, 111k? That's batshit crazy lol. I had forgotten that the Conjuring franchise is massive here. But I'd be surprised if Nun 2 hits anywhere close to 1. Maybe 55-60k tickets (would still be the biggest since Barbenheimer, but 50% off from the first one).

     

    I'm expecting 20k from Filme do Caraças, though I have no pre-sales data so I'm guessing blindly lol. Don't know how the other Equalizers and Murder on the Orient Express + Death on the Nile did, so yeah.

  7. 3 hours ago, CJohn said:

    Even the live action Turtles flopped here so yeah, little surprise with this one, even with they went all in and in a few theaters MI and Elemental were replaced by TMNT, which was a mistake.

     

    The Summer desperately needs new hits to replace the Barbenheimer at the top (still going strong but losing steam) so Um Filme do Caraças breaking out would be good, even if it looks like the worst thing ever. However, I believe the Portuguese breakout slot was already filled with Pôr do Sol, which should push itself to over 100.000 tickets sold by the end of its run and I am fully expecting Um Filme do Caraças to tank. 

     

    The next two weeks look really rough for new releases. I don't see anything opening to half of what Gran Turismo did this weekend which for August is really bad. Curral de Moinas last year sold 100.000 tickets alone on this same week.

     

    Big shame on the Turtles side, though, since I'm pretty sure they're popular amidst our generation, and even the younger kids have the Nickelodeon show. I guess kids these days don't care anymore lol.

     

    Eh, given that the kind of movie Um Filme do Caraças is, I'd hardly be surprised if it came close to Pôr do Sol numbers. Maybe not that high, but like 23-25k tickets. The leads are Herman José and Pedro Alves aka Zeca Estacionâncio/Bino from Festa é Festa, after all. Alves literally had the Curral de Moinas hit last year.

     

    And yeah, probably nothing will do substantial numbers anytime soon. Maybe only in September when Saw X comes out?

  8. 1 hour ago, CJohn said:

    @MCKillswitch123 TMNT tanked badly with just ~12.300 tickets sold on OW. Below Elemental's 5th weekend (and barely above MI's 5th weekend).

     

    Putting Dracula in the title of Demeter was pointless as it bombed with ~7.900 tickets sold. The lack of space (it was not a ultra wide release and many of the theaters where it is were only showing it at night) and the fierce competition certainly didn't help but there is no scenario where this would go much above ~10.000 tickets sold on OW.

     

    GT was OK but nothing special, following the same that happened in many other European markets. It was 4th on the weekend in tickets sold with ~26.500.

     

    This weekend sees the arrival of two new wide bombs (Um Filme do Caraças and Blue Beetle) and a major dump (Strays).

     

    Not surprised with Turtles, it presumably has little OS appeal, a very Spider-Verse-ish run. And Demeter always screamed bomb lol.

     

    Gran Turismo didn't come that far off from 2014's Need for Speed in tickets sold, which given ticket price inflation and the bigger popularity of the NfS franchise is positive imo 👏

     

    Um Filme do Caraças looks like a fucking abomination lol. Is it really a bomb in the making, though? That kind of movies always performs well. I've seen ads attached to Liga Portugal games on Sport TV too. As for Blue Beetle and Strays, RIP.

    • Like 1
  9. Updated as of August 8th, 2023!

     

    Keynotes:

    • Violent Night and Snake Eyes have been knocked off the top 100 OW's list;
    • The third weekend of The Super Mario Bros. Movie has been knocked off the top 100 PTA's list;
    • Ticket to Paradise, Morbius and the Chinese film Sacrifice have all been knocked off the top 100 WW list.
    • Like 2
  10. 16 hours ago, CJohn said:

    @MCKillswitch123 MEG opened a bit below the first one (~42.000 tickets sold vs ~57.000 tickets sold) but it was insanely screwed by screen space (many theaters only had it in rooms with under 100 seats). The first one had no competition. Still, this is a bigger OW than D&D, Scream, Flash and Transformers and just below Spider-Verse and Quantumania.

     

    Pôr do Sol sold ~32.000 tickets (it was almost first on Thursday) but it seems to be heavily frontloaded. Still, it is a great result.

     

    Barbie and Oppenheimer destroying in the top 2. 

     

    The Meg numbers are decent, all things considered. Given the lack of screens and the diminishing return factor, that's still a decent opening.

     

    Doesn't surprise me regarding Pôr do Sol tbh lol, but still, 32k tickets is probably the biggest Portuguese movie debut since the Curral de Moinas movie, proving that RTP is the absolute Gawd of Portuguese audiovisual :ohmygod:

    • Like 2
  11. 17 minutes ago, CJohn said:

    @MCKillswitch123 MEG and Por do Sol sold out everywhere. Insane weekend ahead. Absoluty insane. Top 6 might be all over 20.000 tickets sold. Theaters struggling with space.

     

    TMNT and GT are ultra wide next weekend which means Elemental and MI will have to leave some places while selling out shows.

     

    MOVIES ARE BACK

  12. Updated as of August 1st, 2023!

     

    Keynotes:

    • PAW Patrol: The Movie was knocked off the Top 100 OW's list.
    • The OW of Return to Seoul and the 2nd weekend of Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness were knocked off the Top 100 PTA's list.
    • Suzume's WW run was updated.
    • Space Jam: A New Legacy, The Black Phone and the Chinese film A Writer's Odyssey have been bumped off the Top 100 WW list.
  13. 19 hours ago, FunkMiller said:

     

    There's very little that's come out of a high enough standard to convince me that I can't just wait 60 days for it. I don't think I'm the only one who feels that way, given recent box office returns.

     

    The recent box office returns you speak of are literally because of the mentality that you will get it for free on streaming.

     

    Companies changed consumer habits purposefully with the introduction of streaming service-friendly short theatrical windows. Not even just crippling the physical media and PVOD businesses, but also decreasing theatrical revenue (numerous films had their runs shortened because of this). They are doing it under the usual assumption that it's more profitable for themselves. While I doubt it's not making them money, it's a hurtful model for literally every cogwheel involved.

     

    Now, if you feel happy that you're getting movies at home sooner than you used to, good for you, and I can't blame you for having different consuming habits, but I hope you're not one of the people lamenting the theatrical model's decline, then.

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