XXR vs XXR
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Posts posted by XXR vs XXR
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11 minutes ago, Jake4 said:
"unless I am mistaken a couple of shows have given way to Godzilla instead"
Sorry i was not clear.
It means some shows that didn’t have any sales were taken away and those times where switched over to Godzilla Minus One.-
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9 minutes ago, Jake4 said:
What does this mean? thanks
What does what mean?
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Has anyone ever accrued enough points to get a thread ban for continual derailment of the tracking thread? We may find out soon!
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45 minutes ago, harry713 said:
Under 20m would be what, maybe 700k tickets given the atp? I think demand will be higher than that over OW.
I think all the data points to $18-22M but it seems like people don’t want it to be that low so they’re throwing $30M+ guesses out as a wishful number. IMO, my $25M target is on the high side. We know it had first day sales of around ~$6.5M and I’m just not sure why we should expect the pattern to be markedly different from Eras. Slightly different sure, but not enough to hit some of the numbers I’m seeing. -
9 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:
Last I checked a while ago MTC1 itself was 2.1m for previews 🙂 but like Eras these movies seem to have limited appeal outside hardcore fans and so Its going to behave similar to Eras. That said one thing Beyonce did it right is release. There is no need to move up release at the 11th hour to thursday from Friday.
If MTC1 is $2.1M then overall previews is probably right about $3M. Like Eras, I can’t imagine there will be a ton of sales growth after the first few week of ticket sales. Overall previews might hit $4M by November 30. I expect Renaissance to have less frontload due to slightly less fandom fervor and an older base, but I still can’t see it going beyond 5x previews. Had Eras done a “normal” theatrical OW it would have very likely been under a 3.5x previews multiplier. -
2 hours ago, Taylor89 said:
2.1m for first week previews? or it's the total?
For Thursday -
‘Five Nights At Freddy’s’ Frenzy Fires Up With Around $7M+ In Previews – Box Office
https://deadline.com/2023/10/box-office-five-nights-at-freddys-1235584788/
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7 hours ago, Taylor89 said:
Oh so it can be less than 20m? That's horrible. She should have sold the movie to streaming services.
Could. My bet is around $25M but I wouldn’t be shocked if it was $18M or something. -
I’m halting all tracking if this is even remotely accurate….
Tonight, box office sources tell us that Thursday previews are racking up north of$7M but warn “are very frontloaded.”
https://deadline.com/2023/10/box-office-five-nights-at-freddys-1235584788/
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On 10/23/2023 at 9:00 AM, Jake4 said:
i saw this on the other forum, is still looking like renaissance will debut no 1 with over 20 million?
It’s definitely going to open #1 but it’s also definitely possible it misses $20M. -
If anyone who tracked Eras Tour for last Friday and Saturday, could check this Friday and Saturday, we could probably get a pretty good extrapolation of this weekend’s numbers, considering the lack of walk ups.
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11 minutes ago, SpiderByte said:
Big question is how this holds week 2. Concert movies don't usually totally collapse till the third week, but this could be more frontloaded
I am expecting a 70-75% drop.-
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1 hour ago, Taylor89 said:
I'm really scared for Beyonce..I really don't think it will even do more than 15m now.
I doubt it’s that low, but I don’t expect it to hit $30M. Currently thinking $24-28M.
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1 hour ago, Borobudur said:
This certainly underperform internationally. MJ's This is it has significant bigger international gross that I doubt Eras will come close.
It's important to remember that in many international markets there is a lot of her fanbase (around 4 million people) that have tickets to her concerts that probably don't want to see the movie before they see the live show. Given how "fan driven" this film is, that very well could knock $40-80M off the international total.
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6 minutes ago, Bobzaruni said:
shes probably bigger in china alone than they are in europe, she's unfathomably massive there
Yep. 2nd biggest artist ever in China. Not 2nd biggest international artist, I’m talking all artists. The only one with more sales is Chinese singer Jay Chou.-
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19 minutes ago, Dreamss said:
Guys is it possible for Renaissance to do $50 million opening weekend (including Thursday)?
No.
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2 minutes ago, El Gato said:
She has actually, only Madonna has sold more than her. I like Taylor and she could very well beat both Madonna and Rihanna (and Mariah, who is above Taylor currently) but right now, as of 2023, she hasn’t.
Taylor is definitely the biggest artist currently active however and she’s a lot bigger than the names mentioned before (Britney, Lady Gaga, Katy Perry…etc).
Taylor is ahead of everyone under 50.
https://chartmasters.org/best-selling-artists-of-all-time/?slk=hm -
11 minutes ago, Dreamss said:
This is incorrect.
Which part was incorrect because your comment is just an elaboration on what Madhuvan said. -
9 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:
I suppose only the US. Not an exact science or ultimate measure but worldwide Beiber seems a lot higher than Taylor, though recently Swift ahead.
Nah, worldwide. You can look at the Spotify streaming numbers and see that even outside the US she beats him out by a large margin.
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16 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:
Is Justin Beiber over?
Yes, though he was never on her level anyway.-
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Bigger OD than the previous record for a concert film OW.
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23 minutes ago, interiorgatordecorator said:
it better not have been released in over 4k theaters; there's no way I can afford tens of millions of tickets
3850
The $600M, A+, 4K theater magic lives on.-
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17 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:
Is there any song of her that is universally big outside her fans? Have seen many Justin Beiber and couple of Ed Sheeran songs that are quite widely famous in India, never really saw any her song play.
I have no idea how well it's known in India of course but Blank Space is probably her biggest overall song.
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The Marvels | November 10, 2023 | Abandon All Hope Ye Who Enter
in Box Office Discussion
Posted
I have arrived. Heed my warning, mortals.
Thou ist being "too much" on many fronts. Stop it. Stop it or I'll throw things at you. Potentially rocks! Those could hurt.