Aristis
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Posts posted by Aristis
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24 minutes ago, Fullbuster said:
That's horrible for IA5...I knew that some people could have lost interest but I expected a much smaller fall....$1B WW is dead I guess.
I didn't even think of $1B for this. There is too much against it. It would need to make $850M to $900M OS (probably rather the latter one) to get to $1B.
With falling exchange rates that is impossible.
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Well, as for Ice Age I would say 2M are still possible. 3M would need to have a multipler of 7 already, so... Could be down more than 70% in admissions in the end! (If it reaches 2M) But most of the Ice Age movies had great multiplers - still, all is possible.
But it will certainly end as the least successfull IA movie - and that by far
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Now it seems that it had 440k
5,6M won't happen for OW...
MbY 250k without previews that means a 3% increase! (cume 780k, not bad)
CI 95k -23%
C2 70k -29%
AiW 25k -36%
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Weekend 22.06 - 26.06 (InsideKino)
1 715.264 --- 715.264 1 Finding Dory 2 184.865 -29 1.566.252 4 Retour chez ma mère 3 111.817 -33 1.055.495 4 AiW2 4 89.683 -26 1.517.140 5 Warcraft 5 78.929 --- 78.929 1 L'Outsider 6 78.779 -22 379.390 2 Bienvenue à Marly-Gomont 7 70.419 -26 1.977.866 6 X-Men 6 8 60.016 --- 60.016 1 Tout de suite maintenant 9 35.612 -43 116.045 2 Dans les forets de Sibérie 10 32.305 --- 32.305 1 Love & Friendship -
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I totally forgot Ice Age! The previous parts were huge here. The second one still holds the crown for the biggest Opening Week (3.612.053), which is crazy. With the fourth it began to sink though. Still, interest should be there. But I wouldn't be surprised if it would open to "only" 800k admissions - while I hope for a million of course. Soccer on Saturday could have a big impact, bad weather predicted as well.
I hope it'll land on the bright side.
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1 hour ago, fmpro said:
When does ID:R open?
Should be 14th July.
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OS number should be of today. With US ($285M - $290M) there is a slim chance for $400M I think. But I would think it'll be rather at $397M. Maybe with OS actuals.
Domestic: $236,525,059 68.2% + Foreign: $110,300,000 31.8%
= Worldwide: $346,825,059 -
13 hours ago, Jason said:
15 (15) 4,643 (+15%), [28/90], Er ist wieder da (Gaga) WK2
That movie is released in Japan?
Great! -
3. Trend
MbY 325k
CI 110k -42%
C2 95k -53%
Batille Day 52,5k
AB 40k -45%
AiW 40k -51%
WC 35k -58%
Some up, some down - still not great...
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2. Trend
MbY 340k
CI 100k -57%
C2 100k -51%
Batille Day 50k
AB 40k -45%
AiW 40k -51%
WC 30k -64%
Not so good drops this weekend...
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1st Trend
MBY could have about 375k admissions
C2 and CI will fight for second with 75k each (Would be hard drops if that hold, -62% and -66%)
Anything can happen though
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On 20.5.2016 at 5:47 PM, Fullbuster said:
EUROPEAN UNION ALL-TIME BOX OFFICE (CONSTANTLY UPDATED)
Well, Fullbuster it seems that much work is up to you now...
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Time for the Brexit! Britain has to be chuck out this thread now...
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9 minutes ago, cannastop said:
It's not getting back to £1.5/$1 anytime soon, I'll tell you that much.
That's shocking
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Hopefully the Pound can recover...
Maybe a late change in decission? I can't believe that... Pound at 1,33/1,34 
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1 hour ago, kswiston said:
Looks like China is not going to deliver. ID4 is trailing Now You See Me 2 in its first day.
Looks like nobody really delivers...
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At last it's continuing again!
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6 minutes ago, cannastop said:
They have those in Germany? Like Drive-ins?
It's can't be double features, because Finding Dory isn't out yet in Germany.
I've never heard of Drive-ins in Germany yet. It's just that you sit outside while watching a movie
But I have no idea if its such outside showings whick explain that increase
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Transformers 4 came just before XR collapsed. It was really lucky...
Russia: $45M vs $24M
China: $320M vs $300M (Obviously in China everything could happen, no matter XR)
Germany: $32M vs $38M
GB: $29M vs $33M
I don't think this can increase again OS (Maybe if China makes $450M) I'd say $200M US + $750M OS ($350M-$400M from China). This won't come to 1B
(Changing XR could change my opinion though)
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3 hours ago, Fullbuster said:
Tomorrow in France, I hope it will be big here
Finding Nemo was 2003's biggest movie with $65m
I'll watch it on Friday with my family and I know I'll enjoy it : it's Pixar after all
Nemo bigger than ROTK
Even if Pixar is great - that's going to far -
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3 hours ago, Giesi said:
I just looked up some numbers on insidekino, and the Independence Day numbers are crazy, over 9mio admissions for this movie, I didn't remember that movie being so popular. What are the expectations for the sequel?
Germany was the second biggest market for that movie OS with more than $70M - I think that's huge for that time. It made 2.543.713 in its Opening Week. And for now I think - while I hope that I'm wrong - that it won't make more than that. 2M admssions I would call a success. But if things are good, maybe JW numbers are in play
Maybe there is potential - but we thought that for TJB, too. So my hopes aren't too high for that one.
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So, with Monday numbers things are looking even better for the Top Movies!
Central Intelligence with 230k, Conjuring seems to crack 200k.
Warcraft with 85k falls a bit more than 30%.
For the rest no numbers or no change.
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Deadline: "CinemaScore projects that the Andrew Stanton-Angus MacLane movie can clear anywhere between $446M-$629M at the domestic box office alone. "
That's not a very precisely forecast
With the latter one OS would have to make only $371M for $1B...
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Great! 
(Changing XR could change my opinion though)
Finding Nemo was 2003's biggest movie with $65m 
Brazil Box Office Thread
in International Box Office
Posted · Edited by Aristis
Great work!
A few things:
Are you going to include the fourth Hunger Games movie?
Is it possible to include local currency in the growth statistics of the markets? ($ seems to change things in that case) But only if it's not to much
With 171M admissions there isn't at least one admission per person per year yet (so probably still much potentail for growing), but: Do you (or anybody else) know if moviegoing is affordable for many Brazilians?