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Aristis

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About Aristis

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  1. 05.12. - 09.12. 1 860.609 --- 860.609 1 Asterix 2 2 346.468 -37 927.582 2 Grinch 3 265.655 -42 3.336.526 4 FB2 4 201.167 --- 201.167 1 Pupille 5 173.089 -38 3.233.048 6 BR 6 170.242 -40 509.171 2 Sauver ou périr 7 145.147 -37 400.086 2 Nutcracker 8 99.198 -44 309.454 2 Widows 9 91.469 -47 288.829 2 Robin Hood 10 73.025 -49 4.063.733 7 Le grand bain Grinch had a not so great 2nd WE drop, even though it faced the local Animation Asterix: The Secret of the Magic Potion. DM1, the lowest of the bigger Illumination movies, dropped just 27% (facing another local movie, the third part of Arthur and the Invisibles movies that opened to 750k in 2010). It dropped around the same than Pets. A similiar multipler to that ones x4,57 would get Grinch around 2,5M. However, with Christmas holidays coming this might be able to do more than that. FB2 is just a little bit behind FB1 4th WE (270k/-41%/3,06M) and it still leads in cume by 270k. With holidays approaching it should be able to pass its predecessor to do around 4,2M. BR is still doing good business as it passed 3M and reached the yearly Top10. It still seems possible to reach 4M. http://www.insidekino.de/BO/F2018.htm
  2. Aristis

    BO Germany/Austria: Grinch climbs to #1

    That's great for the Grinch, up 8% from the OW (excluding previews). That should indicate a long run through Christmas - maybe we can even dream of 3M (just dream yet of course ). And FB2 is holding great, last two WE it mirrored FB1. 3,5M should be the least it'll do Germany is doing its Job on this Franchise (other than UK... )
  3. Aristis

    BO Germany/Austria: Grinch climbs to #1

    2nd Trend: Grinch 300k (-10% ecluding previews/ -26% incl.) FB2 240k (-38%) Around 2,86M after Sunday FB1 4th WE: 264k (-32%) 2,55M 100 Dinge 220k BR 120k (-11%) May be able to cross 2M this WE Tabaluga 110k Unknown User 65k Widows 45k Nutcracker 42,5k (-25%)
  4. 28.11. - 02.12. 1 547.494 --- 547.494 1 Grinch 2 461.491 -43 3.016.528 3 FB2 3 281.736 --- 281.736 1 Sauver ou périr 4 280.353 -20 2.999.617 5 Bohemian Rhapsody 5 229.166 --- 229.166 1 Nutcracker 6 175.870 --- 175.870 1 Widows 7 171.985 --- 171.985 1 Robin Hood 8 142.866 --- 142.866 1 Lola et ses freres 9 142.726 -40 3.965.228 6 Le grand bain 10 89.086 -47 290.203 2 Mauvaises herbes Grinch opened below most of the Illumination movies except The Lorax and Hop. Minions 1,77M / 6,59M (x3,72) --> 2,03M DM3 1,39M / 5,64M (x4,06) DM2 1,01M / 4,66M (x4,61) Pets 821k / 3,75M (x4,57) Sing 756k / 3,53M (x4,67) DM1 621k / 3,01M (x4,85) --> 2,65M Grinch 547k / Lorax 194k / 612k (x3,15) Hop 156k / 572k (x3,67) However, it was able to double the Grinch movie from 2000. Grinch (2000) 250k* / 921k (x3,7*) (277k for OWeek) Illumination multiplers would get it anywhere from 2M to 2,65M. Most of those opened earlier in the year though, so the multipler may change for the Grinch. Coco and Vaiana, that opened around the same time, had a multipler above x5. The same would get Grinch to around 2,7M. FB2 3rd WE still was a bit higher than FB1 (558k/-40%/2,74M). The total is around 10% above. FB1 made another 1,26M after that, a bit less may still get FB2 to 4,2M. However, without a SW movie this late year it may be able to hold a bit better over christmas... BR had another great hold and will have passed 3M untill now. It also passed LLL and should be one of the biggest musically movies. It seems that BR really could come close to 4M. Le grand bain will be another movie above 4M soon as it's on its way to 4,25M+. Yearly Top10 2018: 1 5.836.498 I2 2 5.687.076 Les Tuche 3 3 5.623.766 La ch'tite famille 4 5.141.500 AIW 5 3.965.228 Le grand bain 6 3.687.987 BP 7 3.653.933 Taxi5 8 3.641.125 JW 9 3.053.768 HT3 10 3.016.528 FB2 Without movies that are going to open, the yearly Top10 could end up like this: 1 5,85M I2 2 5,69M Les Tuche 3 3 5,62M La ch'tite famille 4 5,14M AIW 5 4,25M Le grand bain 6 4,20M FB2 7 4,00M BR 8 3,69M BP 9 3,65M Taxi5 10 3,64M JW2 http://www.insidekino.de/BO/F2018.htm http://www.cine-directors.net/index.htm
  5. Aristis

    BO Germany/Austria: Grinch climbs to #1

    1st Trend: For now it seems FB2 will have the lead for the WE, however if Grinch has a better internal multipler it could still be first... FB2 400k (-37%) 2,53M FB1 3rd WE: 386k (-27%) 2,18M (Total: 3,48M) Grinch 350k BR 150k (-30%) 1,84M Nut 60k (-39%) Edit: One minute too late
  6. WE 21.11. - 25.11. 1 803.706 -46 2.453.322 2 FB2 2 348.895 -13 2.638.191 4 BR 3 236.028 -22 3.773.634 5 Le grand bain 4 167.927 --- 167.927 1 Mauvaises herbes 5 105.793 --- 105.793 1 Overlord 6 97.366 -30 567.067 3 Un homme presse 7 79.947 -25 1.534.727 6 Le Jeu 8 69.333 -13 1.710.929 8 A Star Is Born 9 68.574 -8 1.772.985 6 Smallfoot 10 68.538 -27 192.143 2 Les Chatouilles FB2 had an decent hold compared to FB1 (760k/-40%/2,18M). It's still 12% ahead (17% after OW), however, the 2nd WE is just 6% above Part one. It should still be able to beat FB1 with maybe around 4,25M+. BR had an other amazing hold and is just around 110k behind the endresult of LLL. A total around 3,5M+ is now probable. http://www.insidekino.de/BO/F2018.htm
  7. Aristis

    BO Germany/Austria: Grinch climbs to #1

    FB1 did 532k in its 2nd WE, dropping -36% (-49%, incl. previews). FB2 dropping -40% (-46%) wouldn't be bad at all. According to InsideKino it could be around 1,96M after the WE already whereas FB1 was at 1,655M (+18%). Hopefully that Trend holds or increases with bad weather forecasted for the WE...
  8. WE: 14.11. - 18.11. 1 1.485.824 --- 1.485.824 1 FB2 2 400.888 -33 2.201.351 3 BR 3 302.620 -40 3.478.430 4 Le grand Bain 4 138.534 -40 431.825 2 Un homme presse 5 106.139 -31 1.433.444 5 Le Jeu 6 94.482 --- 94.482 1 Les Chatouilles 7 83.523 -42 587.310 3 En liberte! 8 79.849 -31 1.620.654 7 A Star Is Born 9 78.010 --- 78.010 1 Spiders Web 10 74.414 -38 1.704.411 5 Smallfoot FB2 topped the first part by 17%, which is great with the circumstances it faced. It had the 5th biggest OW of the year: 1 2.015.704 Ch'tite famille 2 1.977.271 Les Tuche 3 3 1.841.295 AIW 4 1.516.963 I2 5 1.485.824 FB2 The internal WE-multi being much weaker than the first (4,6x vs. 6,05x) may partly be contributed to those strikes and demonstrations occuring nationwide, too. Maybe it can have a nice drop next WE therefore. FB1 dropped 40% in its 2nd WE, FB2 had to drop less than 49% to top that WE. Maybe it can get closer to a 45% drop. FB1 had a multipler of x3,15. The same would get FB2 to 4,68M. However, being a sequel it may be a bit more frontloaded than that. It just needs x2,69 to top FB1 (4M) which should be possible, maybe it can approach a x3 multipler for around 4,4M+,which, for now, would earn it a yearly Top5 position. BR had another great drop. FB2 big OW didn't hurt it. BR is 34% in front of LLL (330k/-26%/1,64M) and should pass it in one or two weeks. 3M is safe now and maybe it can even come close to 3,5M. However, around 3,25M+ is a safer bet. It'll get into the yearly Top10, too. http://www.insidekino.de/BO/F2018.htm
  9. Aristis

    BO Germany/Austria: Grinch climbs to #1

    3rd Trend: Just a few changes FB2 1,075M (no change, but at least it has stabilized above 1M - great OW!) BR 260k (-19%) Nutcracker 117,5k (-29%) 25km/h 90k (-26%) Simple Favor 77,5k (-20%/-47% incl. previews)
  10. Aristis

    BO Germany/Austria: Grinch climbs to #1

    1st Trend looks great for FB2! It could get to more than 1M over five days (FB1: 911k). InsideKino predicts 1,075M with a 4-day OW of 965k (FB1: 827k). It's not safe yet, but it really should open stronger than FB1! BR has a good drop again with 260k (-19%). Should be around 1,25M after Sunday. Nut115k (-31%) 500k+ 25km/h 95k (-21%) Simple Favor 75k (-23%)
  11. The first one opened to 1,27M OW (around €8,55M, $9,05M). While Euro isn't great it's better than in 2016 (1,13 vs 1,06). FB2 may be more frontloaded than FB1, it should open to at least 1,5M after such an OD, though... So maybe €10M+ and $11,5M+. The OD at least is very promising, now I'm hoping for good numbers in Germany too!
  12. 07.11. - 11.11. 1 597.519 -36 1.675.180 2 Bohemian Rhapsody 2 501.598 -46 3.075.228 3 Le Grand Bain 3 230.950 --- 230.950 1 Un homme presse 4 152.847 -44 1.293.488 4 Le Jeu 5 145.211 -49 473.406 2 En liberte! 6 120.520 -70 1.627.166 4 Smallfoot 7 116.136 -39 1.510.404 6 A Star Is Born 8 82.451 -65 2.208.264 5 Venom 9 75.804 -72 779.703 3 Halloween 10 72.890 --- 72.890 1 Un Amour impossible With last WE being inflated by holiday, this WE has some bad drops... BR stayed on top - having the best drop in the Top10. It already passed ASIB. LLL held better on its 2nd WE (445k/-26%/1,2M) but BR is still in front by 40%. As it occurs now, passing LLL shouldn't be a problem and it could even reach 3M+. The local title Le Grand Bain still does big numbers and should reach the yearly Top5 soon, passing BP (3,69M). It'll get anywhere at 4M+. Smallfoot had a huge drop this WE after being massively inflated before. This WE is still did around 52% of its OW. It had some interesting holds yet... 1st WE 230k 2nd WE 463k (+101%) 3rd WE 407k (-12%) 4th WE 120k (-70%) It should reach 1,9M+. ASIB had an other good hold, 2nd best of the Top10 behind only BR. It already did 5,34x its OW. It may not reach 2M (it could however) but it's still on course for 1,85M+, which would be enough for 6,5x its OW. Venom hadn't had a good drop this WE. However, with 2,21M it's still above SS (83k/-43%/2,17M), SM:H (89k/-34%/2,13M) and Logan (93k/-42%/2,1M), all of which landed around 2,3M. Venom should become the biggest of those with around 2,35M. Halloween, as I thought, had a big drop this WE - the biggest in the Top10. It probably won't reach 1M but should pass 900k. http://www.insidekino.de/BO/F2018.htm
  13. Aristis

    BO Germany/Austria: Grinch climbs to #1

    I don't think that's too bad since last WE was inflated. However, it's worse than other holds so it's not too good either... Could be close to 500k after 2nd WE, 1M, sadly, may not happen.
  14. 31.10. - 04.11. 1 937.273 --- 937.273 1 Bohemian Rhapsody 2 922.294 -22 2.354.823 2 Le Grand Bain 3 407.154 -12 1.501.094 3 Smallfoot 4 285.217 --- 285.217 1 En liberte! 5 273.239 -17 1.100.625 3 Le Jeu 6 269.590 -10 683.444 2 Halloween 7 234.085 -27 2.105.910 4 Venom 8 230.634 -26 2.237.085 5 Alad' 2 9 189.582 -7 1.359.444 5 A Star Is Born 10 175.735 -18 475.769 2 Goosebumps 2 BR has a great OW, 3,3x ASIB and 1,5x LaLaLand. LLL did 4,5x its OW, ASIB should do around more than 6x its OW. Probably BR won't come close to those numbers, but it may reach LLL 2,75M+. However, if it isn't as frontloaded as I fear and has good WOM it may do even more... Halloween had a great hold (probably because wednesday, when Halloween occured this year, is part of the WE here). It may have a big drop next week. Maybe it still can reach 1M. ASIB accidently didn't occur in the TOP10 last week (it was though with around 200k/+10%). It didn't fall much this WE, even facing BR. It should do at least 1,85M+, but I could see around 2M too. http://www.insidekino.de/BO/F2018.htm
  15. Aristis

    BO Germany/Austria: Grinch climbs to #1

    Probably not. I2 has mediocre holds while HT3 still has some admissions left - it'll get to 2,55M-2,6M, while I2 may reach around 2,3M...
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