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Aristis

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About Aristis

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  1. I think it was a Sunday event (which would make the PTA even crazier). I'm not totally sure though... I never really thought TLK would be huge here, though I'd love to be surprised like AEG did. But you really think AEG could be bigger than SW9? (I don't really like the acronym ROTS, to me that's SW3) AEG is on course for around 5M, SW8 had 5,9M so the 9th had to decrease another 15%! That seems highly unlikely to me...
  2. 15.05. - 19.05. 1 319.688 -54 1.056.262 2 Detective Pikachu 2 295.667 -61 6.296.672 4 AEG 3 284.029 -53 2.234.582 3 Little white Lies 2 4 171.166 --- 171.166 1 Dolor y gloria 5 162.800 --- 162.800 1 The Dead Don't Die 6 115.661 -48 369.070 2 Les Crevettes pailletees 7 99.188 --- 99.188 1 Long Shot 8 63.976 --- 63.976 1 Cold Blood Legacy 9 48.417 -65 201.100 2 Hellboy 10 37.183 -46 773.548 5 Llorona DP drop seems Ok considering OD was more than 40% of its OD. Maybe it can get close to 1,75M in the end. AEG dropped hard again. It passed 6M as the 2nd movie of the year though. It had a higher 4th WE than AIW (209k/-70%/4,59M). If AEG it dropped like AIW now it would get to 7M+. However, it's more frontloaded everywhere so maybe closer to 6,7M, which would still be enough to pass Serial (Bad) Wedding 2 and become first of the year. TOP10 2019: 1 6.668.514 Serial (Bad) Wedding 2 2 6.296.672 Avengers - Endgame 3 3.367.445 HTTYD3 4 3.298.512 Captain Marvel 5 2.323.402 Ralph2 6 2.276.946 Dumbo 7 2.234.582 Little white lies 2 8 2.035.046 Green Book 9 2.033.168 Alita 10 1.849.004 The Mule http://www.insidekino.de/BO/F2019.htm http://www.cine-directors.net/
  3. So Avatar has XR and 3D. XR must be the best argument against Avatar, they were great back then nearly everywhere. AEG has Inflation (some countries have higher TP even though 3D was at its peak back than), markets being developed much more (especially China)... I think this is the best argument for Avatar. Of course, we can just imagine how much it would have done with todays state of the markets. To sum up, it's especially visible that Avatar did much better in Europe and AEG does much better in Asia. There are many factors to be considered, which makes comparing both hard. But I think seeing that Avatar destroyed all previous records while for AEG it's still not safe to say if it can pass that movie, Avatar was more impressive... Still, AEG is huge, the OW was something unprecedented and I think the legs are okay for that movie. I already got to GA with its OW and those should be the ones to balance the drop.
  4. Before watching this I really hoped and thought I'd like AEG. After watching it (a week ago now) I lost almost all interest in BO. I was and am so disappointed, it's depressing. I really disliked AIW but thought this one could be good... One thing I hate about both movies is Thanos. When he appeared first and took his ridiculous glove out of the safe I really hoped that guy wouldn't become important in future movie. Well... Many say he'd be such a great villain and isn't as dumb as many others. But I have to say, I liked Ultron more. Thanos looks just too ridiculous (not only because of his glove) to be taken seriously. But I digress... I think the beginning of the movie, the scene with H and his family, was great, but most other stuff that followed was boring as hell. The 1st third of the movie just couldn't take off. Not that I oppose a slow movie but it wasn't slow it was boring. There were some rays of hope (I liked IM with family) but most of the time nothing interesting happened. I really liked the 2nd act and thought the movie would turn out to become better (later I had to learn that I already saw the peak). I liked the explanation of time travel and why changing the past wouldn't affect the present (of course later there were some real points of logical failures...). It was fun to see them visit their old selfs. But then the 3rd part happened and the dream collapsed. I know all people loved the effects but I really didn't like them. I don't exactly know why but it all seemed to be totally fake (of course it is fake but other movies did a better job in hiding it - 10 years ago Avatar had a world being totally fake and it looked better...). I liked Cap holding Mjolnir and I liked all the portals opening, but the battle sequence (which mainly is the one I didn't like the look) was so awful. For example this female-superheros-are-coming-to-rescue scene. I know why they did this, but why would they all be at the same position? And why would Captain Marvel (who was used very unsatisfying) even need someone else as she just flew over the whole battlefield? She's just much to overpowered to not steel the show and this whole explanation of her being needed by other systems was extremely unsatisfying. And why this whole snapping thing?! That was much less ridiculous being just a saying... IM death was OK to me, but I hated the Cap thing. Maybe it's just me but I didn't want to see him old and he just should have send a message or something. The movie just ending with him dancing would have been better to me. Now to the time travel flaws: When you can save people from dying, why wouldn't you just go back to save the people that died from a time they hadn't like they did with Gamora? And this whole thing about bringing the stones back: Loki has one of them, how does Cap want to adjust that again?... Again, I really wanted to like the movie. Maybe I even liked it a bit more than AIW. I wanted to give a D first but I thought that wouldn't be fair since it may not be that bad and I'm just to disappointed. So I gave a C. To get back to the BO thing: I really can't understand how AEG can have good WOM and I have to try not to be mad about its success. I don't think it's worth it. And it doesn't seem like a good movie to be the biggest ever. So even though as a BO lover I should love seeing a movie breaking records, (somewhere deep inside) I still hope it won't pass Avatar... Among Avengers movies: I may be the only person with such a ranking but... AIW < Av1 & AEG <<< AOU (The only Avengers movie I really liked)
  5. 08.05. - 12.05. 1 749.629 -51 5.918.438 3 AEG 2 689.132 --- 689.132 1 Detective Pokémon 3 601.354 -43 1.863.055 2 Little White Lies 2 4 222.035 --- 222.035 1 Les Crevettes pailletees 5 137.105 --- 137.105 1 Hellboy 6 74.273 -44 1.167.276 4 After 7 73.400 -37 2.240.646 7 Dumbo 8 69.068 -41 728.025 4 Llorona 9 67.561 -35 1.335.937 6 Wonder Park 10 61.894 -37 781.106 5 Royal Corgi AEG passed AIW (5,14M) on Tuesday already. Its 3rd WE was higher than its predecessors despite that being inflated (694k/-7&/4,31M) and it'll have a much better 4th WE drop (AIW had -70%!). It passed SM2 to become the third biggest SH-movie ever: SM1 6,46M SM3 6,34M AEG 5,92M SM2 5,34M AIW 5,14M It'll pass 6M this week and should stille be on course for 7M. Other movies in short again: DP --> 2M+ After --> 1,3M Dumbo --> 2,35M http://www.insidekino.de/BO/F2019.htm
  6. 01.05 - 05.05. 1 1.514.539 -47 4.863.010 2 Avengers: Endgame 2 1.056.143 --- 1.056.143 1 Little White Lies 2 3 133.200 -44 1.061.169 3 After 4 117.766 -26 635.980 3 Llorona 5 115.633 -44 2.156.724 6 Dumbo 6 104.280 -47 1.266.434 5 Wonder Park 7 98.856 -41 717.316 4 Royal Corgi 8 67.441 -35 770.775 4 Pet Sematary 9 66.057 -52 939.329 4 Tanguiy 2 10 49.421 -37 149.500 2 L'Adieu a la nuit AEG dropped less than AIW in its 2nd WE (748/-59%/3,31M), however, AEG was inflated this WE due to May 1st being on Wednesday. Still, it's a huge weekend (82% of AIW OW) and after two WE it made 94,6% of AIW total! title / OD / OW (5-day) / OWeek (7-day) / (multipler from OW) Av1 333k 1,56M 2,04M 4,51M (x3,13) Av2 303k 1,44M 1,93M 4,33M (x2,78) Av3 405k 1,84M 2,57M 5,14M (x2,79) Av4 692k 2,85M 3,35M 6,70M (x2,46) AIW did 2x its OWeek, the same for AEG would mean 6,7M. Maybe for now that would be a good guess. That'd be around $59M, so $60M should be the goal! Good OW for Little White Lies 2. Maybe 3M? After --> 1,25M Dumbo --> 2,35M (Still 4th biggest Disney LA Movie) http://www.insidekino.de/BO/F2019.htm
  7. MarkG forecasts 1M (-40%) for 2nd WE and 3,7M and a lifetime of 5,25M... Might be a bit optimistic but it seems there's nothing too optimistic for this movie Some actuals: 30th biggest OW ever: position / WE-admissions / cinemas / average / year / title 26 1.718.673 950 1.809 02 MIB2 27 1.690.853 814 2.077 08 Quantum of Solace 28 1.682.806 982 1.714 07 Harry Potter 5 29 1.681.087 857 1.962 15 Spectre 30 1.671.661 717 2.331 19 Avengers - Endgame 31 1.670.397 754 2.215 07 Simpsons 32 1.627.277 814 1.999 17 Star Wars 8 33 1.607.782 909 1.769 11 Harry Potter 7.2 34 1.565.655 777 2.015 04 7 Zwerge 35 1.539.943 703 2.191 09 New Moon ... 80 1.075.122 700 1.536 18 Avengers - Infinity War http://www.insidekino.de/DJahr/DBOStartrekord.htm 2nd Biggest April OW ever: position / WE-admissions / cinemas / average / year / title 1 2.395.588 1.061 2.258 06 Ice Age 2 2 1.671.661 717 2.331 19 Avengers - Endgame 3 1.334.183 642 2.078 15 Fast & Furious 7 4 1.144.880 661 1.732 17 Fast & Furious 8 5 1.075.122 700 1.536 18 Avengers - Infinity War 6 1.049.479 712 1.474 00 Pokemon 7 823.733 633 1.301 11 Fast & Furious Five 8 749.797 686 1.093 17 Guardians of the Galaxy 2 9 745.709 602 1.239 07 300 10 679.800 778 874 03 Johnny English http://www.insidekino.de/DJahr/DBOStartrekordMonat.htm#APRIL 3rd biggest OW ever in €: 1 25.345.223 15 Star Wars 7 2 19.755.398 17 Star Wars 8 3 19.223.781 19 Avengers - Endgame 24.321.864 5-days 4 17.733.509 15 Fack Ju Göhte 2 5 16.666.356 01 Harry Potter 1 6 16.636.145 12 Skyfall 18.502.953 incl. Previews 7 16.590.492 15 Spectre 18.614.747 incl. Previews 8 16.500.000 05 Harry Potter 4 estimate, 18.497.906 5-day 9 16.175.918 02 Harry Potter 2 10 15.402.670 17 Fack Ju Göhte 3 ... 27 12.556.887 18 Avengers - Infinity War http://www.insidekino.de/DJahr/DBOStartrekordBO.htm 5th biggest OD (admissions) and 3rd biggest OD (€): position / admissions / € / year / OD / title / admissions i.P. before midnight 1 616.021 03 Wed LOTR3 2 613.462 02 Wed LOTR2 3 585.586 99 Thu Star Wars -1 4 562.319 6.675.000 15 Thu Star Wars 7 5 461.885 5.098.083 19 Wed Avengers - Endgame 6 461.024 12 Thu Skyfall 689.541 7 460.102 04 Thu (T)Raumschiff Surprise 625.000 8 435.258 5.253.000 17 Thu Star Wars 8 9 434.586 01 Thu Harry Potter 1 10 426.708 2.784.216 06 Thu POTC2 620.521 11 425.966 01 Wed LOTR1 12 406.692 15 Thu Fack Ju Göhte 2 ... 225k / Avengers - Infinity War http://www.insidekino.de/DJahr/DBOStarttag.htm
  8. 24.04. - 28.04. 1 2.844.886 --- 2.844.886 1 AEG 2 237.439 -55 861.952 2 After 3 208.271 +13 2.003.750 5 Dumbo 4 197.810 +46 1.134.095 4 Wonder Park 5 166.337 +60 597.857 3 Royal Corgi 6 159.761 -36 475.836 2 Llorona 7 137.229 -8 838.992 3 Tanguy 2 8 103.195 -26 672.707 3 Pet Sematary 9 78.316 --- 78.316 1 L'Adieu a la nuit 10 75.734 -42 990.154 4 Shazam! AEG had a huge OW (as it could have been expected) but surpassed most predictions, too... It had the 6th biggest OW ever and the 2nd best for a non-french movie just behind SW3. TOP10 OW: 3.586.497 Sticks 3.235.559 Les Bronzés 3 2.960.046 Asterix & Obelix 2 2.951.255 Taxi Taxi 5 2.878.764 SW3 6 2.844.886 AEG 7 2.802.529 HP4 2.711.869 Asterix & Obelix 3 9 2.705.096 SW7 10 2.532.629 HP7.2 Just its OW was enough to become the 9th biggest MCU movie: #8 CA3 (2,98M), #9 AEG (2,85M), #10 IM2 (2,58M). title / OD / OW (5-day) / OWeek (7-day) / (multipler from OW) Av1 333k 1,56M 2,04M 4,51M (x3,13) Av2 303k 1,44M 1,93M 4,33M (x2,78) Av3 405k 1,84M 2,57M 5,14M (x2,79) Av4 692k 2,85M 3,60M 7,00M (x2,46) After its OWeek it'll be 6th (#5 BP (3,68M), #6 AEG (3,6M), #7 CM (3,25M). A final of 7M+ should be assured now even with worse legs than AIW. This would put it as the biggest CBM ever in front of the three SM movies and its predecessor (#1 SM1 6,48M, #2 SM3 6,34M, #3 SM2 5,34M, #4 AIW 5,14M). Still, many other movies had decent (or great) drops this weekend. After isn't really among them. However, it still could get around 1,25M. Dumbo even had an increase this WE and has assured itself to become the 4th biggest Disney LA in the next days surpassing Maleficent (2,05M). It should easily reach 2,5M+, maybe it can even try to approach 2,75M... However, 2,6M seems safe. Great run as it reaches a bigger multipler than Christmas boosted MP... TOP10 2019: 6.654.936 Serial (Bad) Wedding 2 2 3.362.823 HTTYD3 3 3.220.670 Captain Marvel 4 2.844.886 AEG 5 2.260.960 Ralph2 6 2.033.017 Alita 7 2.003.750 Dumbo 8 1.989.752 Green Book 9 1.848.912 The Mule 10 1.733.124 Creed 2 In just one weekend AEG reached the 4th position on the yearly chart and will be 2nd after the whole week. I tought S(B)W2 would be safe for some time but it seems it isn't... However, SW9 should top that list at the end of the year. TOP OW 1M+ 2019: 1 2.844.886 AEG 1.852.556 Serial (Bad) Wedding 2 3 1.125.726 Captain Marvel 4 1.020.715 HTTYD3 No movie will challenge that record this year... http://www.insidekino.de/BO/F2019.htm
  9. Monday Update: AEG: 1,675M (4-day), 2,135M (5-day) --> AIW had 1,33M 5-day After 117,5k (775k cume) S(B)W2 115k (865k) Collini 115k (265k) Wonder Park 95k (320k) Dumbo 60k (600k)
  10. Well, as expected I was off For now it seems for AEG: Wed 460k / 460k (--> passed Hulk, CA1) Thu 310k / 770k (--> passed IM1, AM1) Fri 475k / 1,25M (--> passed IM2, Thor1, CA2, SM:H, AM2) Sat 500k / 1,75M (--> passed Thor2, CA3, DS, Thor3) Sun 350k / 2,1M (--> passed IM3, GOTG1, BP, CM) Av1 (2,25M), AOU (2,42M), GOTG2 (2,52M), AIW (3,4M) are about to be passed soon, optimistically (or maybe realistically ) all of them until next Sunday... As a comparison AIW: Thu 225k / 225k Fri 250k / 475k Sat 325k / 800k Sun 275k / 1,075M *Sat and Sun are just estimates...
  11. 3rd Trend: AEG: As Rth said, 2,1M 5-day. 58% more than AIW 5-day. After Sunday it should be around $25,5M. After 115k (+2%) Collini 107,5k (+36%/+0% i.P.) S(B)W2 105k (+7%) Wonder Park 90k (+200%) Dumbo 55k (+72%) PS 37,5k (-34%)
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