RascarCapat
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Posts posted by RascarCapat
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16 hours ago, Jake Gittes said:
Yeah on second thought maybe allow The Last Jedi the points it'd get from being #9 and throw out the rest
I have not been around in a while and I come back to see the Cameron trolls pulling another stunt
And what Jake
You liked The Last Jedi ?
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10 hours ago, That One Guy said:
It's really telling when the last 9 posts in this thread had an Avatar-related profile picture.
It's all Kal...
He thought it would look less weird to have multiple accounts when talking to himself.
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22 hours ago, Telemachos said:
I don't really care if it outgrosses the original or not, as long as I like it.
You don't care if a movie outgrosses the most grossing WW movie of all time ?
WHAT !!!
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I love Avatar and Im exited for the sequels but oh my god I really hate this thread. And its all because of you guys...
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My niece saw Moana today and told me "it's the best movie I've ever seen, Uncle Danny."
Alrright. You are now officially "Uncle Danny" for me too.
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Filming has completed on Episode 8, right?
Yep but not the reshoots [emoji6]
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I don't get why people are talking about 500M "maybe" being a "possibility" for R1.
Tele's model seems to be pretty acurate (at least until friday) and is blowing way past 500M.
just as a reminder :
12/19 -53.00% $17,709,211 $172,790,892
12/20 7.00% $18,948,856 $191,739,747
12/21 -24.00% $14,401,130 $206,140,878
12/22 8.00% $15,553,221 $221,694,098
12/23 45.00% $22,552,170 $244,246,268
12/24 -44.00% $12,629,215 $256,875,484
12/25 100.00% $25,258,430 $282,133,914
12/26 15.00% $29,047,195 $311,181,109
12/27 -25.00% $21,785,396 $332,966,505
12/28 -19.00% $17,646,171 $350,612,676
12/29 -2.00% $17,293,248 $367,905,923
12/30 20.00% $20,751,897 $388,657,820
12/31 -22.00% $16,186,480 $404,844,300
1/1 10.00% $17,805,128 $422,649,428
1/2 -55.00% $8,012,307 $430,661,735-
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Ok I tweaked it according to your prediction.
That is still a good looking 50M week.
Even if it drops 45% every week (which it won't) it will make another 110M.
So according to your prediction 570M is the minimum. And it's more looking like a 600M - 620M run.
Monday 02/01/17 -25,00% $8 012 307 $430 661 735 Tuesday 03/01/17 -43,00% $4 567 015 $435 228 750 Wednesday 04/01/17 -16,00% $3 836 293 $439 065 043 Thursday 05/01/17 -3,00% $3 721 204 $442 786 246 Friday 06/01/17 112,00% $7 888 952 $450 675 198 Saturday 07/01/17 74,00% $13 726 777 $464 401 975 Sunday 08/01/17 -36,00% $8 785 137 $473 187 112
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3 hours ago, Grand Moff Tele said:
Whoops, @redfirebird2008, I misread my table. It would be at 430m.
Just for total transparency:
12/19 -53.00% $17,709,211 $172,790,892
12/20 7.00% $18,948,856 $191,739,747
12/21 -24.00% $14,401,130 $206,140,878
12/22 8.00% $15,553,221 $221,694,098
12/23 45.00% $22,552,170 $244,246,268
12/24 -44.00% $12,629,215 $256,875,484
12/25 100.00% $25,258,430 $282,133,914
12/26 15.00% $29,047,195 $311,181,109
12/27 -25.00% $21,785,396 $332,966,505
12/28 -19.00% $17,646,171 $350,612,676
12/29 -2.00% $17,293,248 $367,905,923
12/30 20.00% $20,751,897 $388,657,820
12/31 -22.00% $16,186,480 $404,844,300
1/1 10.00% $17,805,128 $422,649,428
1/2 -55.00% $8,012,307 $430,661,735I was trying to continue your model to try to estimate the next week after it reaches 450M.
I got this :
Monday 02/01/17 -55,00% $8 012 307 $430 661 735 Tuesday 03/01/17 7,00% $8 573 168 $439 234 903 Wednesday 04/01/17 -24,00% $6 515 608 $445 750 512 Thursday 05/01/17 8,00% $7 036 857 $452 787 368 Friday 06/01/17 45,00% $10 203 442 $462 990 810 Saturday 07/01/17 25,00% $12 754 303 $475 745 113 Sunday 08/01/17 -22,00% $9 948 356 $485 693 469 I get 31K with a 58% drop how does it look ?
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54 minutes ago, Grand Moff Tele said:
I basically agree with you, and like to pretend Scott doesn't have such a definitive opinion in his interviews.
Although I do think the evidence (as presented from the DC onwards) points in one direction only.
As a slight digression (though it's another PKD adaptation), do you subscribe to the TOTAL RECALL theory that Verhoeven managed to slip a psycho trick ending past the studio? I scoffed when I first heard it years and years ago, but I've kinda come around to agreeing with it.
I'm not sure what you are refering to but as of Total Recall we discussed it many times with my friends :
SpoilerFrom my perspective, the movie hints several times that Schwarzenegger is inside the machin the whole time.
The biggest detail is seconds before he enters the machine, the technician looks at the screen and says something like "Oh an atmosphere on Mars ? That's new !". We also get a glimpse at the screen and we can clearly see the ice melting machine that is used at the end.
However, beeing a PKD adaptation we can always argue that this scene is shown from his perspective, and if he really was a spy he already got his memory erased and is not a reliable narrator.
Anyhow, even if I feel Verhoeven hints strongly that Doug was inside the machine the whole time, I think it doesnt fuck up the message like in Blade Runner so I don't mind it.
It even gives another reading to the movie especially if you take into account the fade to white mentionned by The stingray.
Kinda reminds me of the end of A day in the Life from Sgt. Pepper's
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3 hours ago, Grand Moff Tele said:
Personally, I feel the Final Cut made it a touch too obvious and unambiguous, especially with Scott's emphatic comments in interviews and so forth. It was a bit more fun when you could argue persuasively either way.
I definitely feel it should be ambiguous. (It seems we are talking with spoiler tags for a 1982 movie so let's go on with it).
SpoilerAs I said previously one of the reasons I love Blade Runner, apart from the amazing sci fi city visuals and that neo-noir, cynical, slow paced vibe, is the whole ambiguity about who is human and who is not.
Even the runners need to use a special machine to detect replicants as they so humanized.
I think it's great to see Deckard fall in Love with a Replicant, especially if you think he is a human.
It's also great that Replicant act as humans with the good sides, but also the sociopath cruel sides, and that some humans act as cold, calculating machines (again, I think it should be ambiguious that Deckard is a replicant).
Also I'm an enormous fan of Philip K. Dick and one of his big ideas is that "Reality is just an Illusion, created by the imperfect and innacurate human perception of the narrator".
In most of his work we get the point of view of a narrator who is either crazy, drugged, inside a machine, a robot or just an human with an imperfect perception of reality.
It results in an always ambiguious narration that can be interpreted in different way. He always leaves a doubt on purpose.
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3 hours ago, DAR said:Spoiler
I think my wife got the message of the film.
When I asked her wether Deckard was a Replicant or not she answered :
"Well, the point of the movie is that it doesn't matter"
And I think she is spot on, it doesn't matter if they are Replicants or made of flesh, the characters in the movie think, fear, love, hate and act like human beings.
In my opinion, they should keep that message and we should never know.
However, it is a good point and I hope we will see some other "Old" replicants in the movie to keep the question living.
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Allright I was curious, now I'm exited.
This teaser has a good Blade Runner Vibe.
Can't wait for a full trailer.
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17 minutes ago, NCsoft said:
Is there an average WW prediction for Rogue one (Total WW not OW)? despite all the cheering for its performance so far, I suspect average WW predictions on this forums will be largely over-predicted.
Here is what I have :
WW
stripe 1.5B
robertman2 1.5B
SWXII 1.5B
DAJK 1.48B
The Panda Knight 1.45B
junkshop36 1.4B
Biph Shmata 1.4B
Rallax 1.4B
DAR 1.4B
bapi 1.4B
grey ghost 1.375B
feasby007 1.314B
CoolEric258 1.3B
Jake Gittes 1.325B
Arlborn 1.3B
nilephelan 1.3B
Heretic 1.3B
Giesi 1.3B
Daxtreme 1.3B
MCKillswitch123 1.3 B
Marek the Jedi 1.297B
RascarCapat 1.27B
jb007 1.260B
Jayhawk 1.256B
Jay Hollywood 1.25B
Gokai Red 1.25B
Claudio 1.25B
Wrath 1.25B
RandomJC 1.13B
Truckasaurus 1.1B
Goffe 1.1B
Blankments 1.081B
Baumer 1.058B
TalismanRing 1.05B
Captain H 1.02B
angeldelmito 990M
Goffe 975M
Dexter of Suburbia 900M
The Futurist 900M
ecstasy 890M
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I made average prediction for fun : 160,61M
Not bad BOT
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Allright then.
With the actuals these are the final results :
Blue underligned : WINRAR (congratulations bapi)
Blue : Very Close (+/- 5M)
Green : Close (+/- 10M)
Yellow : Meh (+/- 20M)
Red : Bad (+/- 30M)
Pink : LoL (Worse)
OW
@JohnnyGossamer 215M
@Gokira2012 214M
@theStun 190M
@WrathOfHan 190M
@grey ghost 190M
@SWXII 185M
@Yandereprime10189 180M
@EmpireCity 180M
@Daxtreme 180M
@Biph Shmata 175M
@robertman2 175M
@That One Guy 175M
@Porthos 175M
@DAR 175M
@RascarCapat 174M
@feasby007 172M
@DAJK 171M
@junkshop36 170M
@The Futurist 170M
@ecstasy 170M
@Wrath 170M
@nilephelan 168M
@Ethan Hunt 168M
@Marek the Jedi 166M
@druv10 165M
@Claudio 163M
@Heretic 160M
@Jayhawk 160M
@bapi 155M
@Jake Gittes 154M
@Jay Hollywood 152M
@Blankments 152M
@Arlborn 150M
@Gokai Red 150M
@Water Bottle 150M
@a2knet 149M
@angeldelmito 146M
@The Panda Knight 145M
@Captain H 145M
@jb007 145M
@CJohn 141M
@CoolEric258 140M
@TalismanRing 140M
@Goffe 140M
@Rallax 135M
@Kalo 135M
@hasanahmad 125M
@Baumer 125M
@RandomJC 120M
@Dexter of Suburbia 115M
@Truckasaurus 112M
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41 minutes ago, Daxtreme said:
Rogue One is already the 15th biggest domestic release of 2016 after 3 days
12 Moana BV $161,858,745 3,875 $56,631,401 3,875 11/23 - 13 Star Trek Beyond Par. $158,848,340 3,928 $59,253,211 3,928 7/22 10/20 14 X-Men: Apocalypse Fox $155,442,489 4,153 $65,769,562 4,150 5/27 7/28 15 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story BV $155,000,000 4,157 $155,000,000 4,157 12/16 - Out of like but I like your post.
How much do I have to donate to the site to get likes ?
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10 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:
I'm not upset or anything lol, here's a link so you know I'm not bullshitting.http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/search/?&q=150ow&author=IronJimbo
Appreciate if you add me!
Also I closed the list at the end of November.
Got any pre December post ?
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16 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:
Why am I not on this list, I said 150m OW about 10 times!
I can't read every post of every thread.
And it's not like I didn't post this list 100 times in the RO thread asking if I forgot anyone's prediction.
If you had pinged me or quoted me, I wouldn't have missed your prediction.
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Yes I know this is still an estimation.
I will update it when we have the actuals but here it is.
How to read it :
Underligned Blue : WINRAR
Blue : Very Close (-/+ 5M)
Green : Close (+/- 10M)
Yellow : Meh (+/- 20M
Red : Bad (+/- 30M)
Pink : Lol (Worst than +/- 30M)
OW
JohnnyGossamer 215M
Gokira2012 214M
theStun 190M
WrathOfHan 190M
grey ghost 190M
SWXII 185M
Yandereprime10189 180M
EmpireCity 180M
Daxtreme 180M
Biph Shmata 175M
robertman2 175M
That One Guy 175M
Porthos 175M
DAR 175M
RascarCapat 174M
feasby007 172M
DAJK 171M
junkshop36 170M
The Futurist 170M
ecstasy 170M
Wrath 170M
nilephelan 168M
Ethan Hunt 168M
Marek the Jedi 166M
druv10 165M
Claudio 163M
Heretic 160M
Jayhawk 160M
bapi 155M
Jake Gittes 154M
Jay Hollywood 152M
Blankments 152M
Arlborn 150M
Gokai Red 150M
Water Bottle 150M
a2knet 149M
angeldelmito 146M
The Panda Knight 145M
Captain H 145M
jb007 145M
CJohn 141M
CoolEric258 140M
TalismanRing 140M
Goffe 140M
Rallax 135M
Kalo 135M
hasanahmad 125M
Baumer 125M
RandomJC 120M
Dexter of Suburbia 115M
Truckasaurus 112M
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8 minutes ago, FilmBuff said:
^^^^Real Grand Moff Tarkin
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2 minutes ago, Grand Moff Tele said:
If John C-Nah shows up, we're in trouble. @CJohn
Was that CJohn 's double when he got banned ?
...
Why did he get banned again ?
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2 minutes ago, Grand Moff Tele said:
After? People sometimes applaud and cheer during the movie (as they did repeatedly during my first viewing of R1).
In France there's none of that.
Except in Big Night Previews. I went to see last Superman (Snyder) in The Great Rex and people cheered and clapped each time Superman saved someone or kissed Lois.
It was pretty fun.
I didn't really like the movie but the ambiance did it for me.
Actually, I think the biggest screams and cheers were during the Hobbit preview we got before.
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5 minutes ago, James said:
The guy who discovered fire about 350.000 years ago.
You really got me here.
Those Tele jokes will never get old.
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Although I do think the evidence (as presented from the DC onwards) points in one direction only.
BOT's Top 100 Movies of All-Time: 2018 Edition - DEADLINE IS TODAY! SEND A LIST!
in Box Office Discussion
Posted
Mac and Me ?
Really ...
How can anyone pick Mac and Me over ET ?