YM!

PVOD for November cause Veterans Day.

Any odds of a The Bad Guys being fudged with Minions?

With anywhere from 115-120M OW, it’ll be Illumination’s biggest opener and out do Lightyear’s domestic total (hopefully The Bad Guys can get some fudge for 100M). Shit, honestly think Puss in Boots could outdo the first one domestically and worldwide and Mario being the first 100m+ video game opener if Comcast continues to market the shit out of their animations.

True Friday.

1B train for the Rise of Gru!!!

Guys, Gals and people, there’s a simple reason why Minions is succeeding and Lightyear is flopping. Pixar is known for touching and smart films but is most known for one thing. Having moms with dumptruck asses. Lightyear had no one, male, female or non-binary with the dumptruck but Minions did. Enter Michelle Yeoh’s Master Chow, she a Kung Fu master and pretty thicc. Her actress is a baddie in real life too. In short, She bad. She got the MILF angle down and can fight, you can bet in her past, she had that Chun-Li built. That’s why Minions blew up because they had baddies in more than one way.

I got a verbal warning for posting the ending scene of Kingsman 1, where Eggsy does the nasty.

I like Bob. The one good thing about Minions 1.

As for the Lightyear underperformance, I’m not denying that there’s some parents who couldn’t handle the concept of a gay kiss but at most, it wouldn’t be more than 5M at the OW for box office. Lightyear died because the signs for months were obviously pointing at an underperformance as the trailers never gained the momentum online like Detective Pikachu for instance (The warning signs were the memes of the concept and high views for just the teaser). It looked unappealing as fuck to every demographic and to add onto that Disney+ has trained the audience that it’ll be there 30-45 days later, it’ll take a few films to break that mold. If Strange World bombs it’s not because of the gay teens in that movie, it’s because the same reasons as Lightyear and probably because Disney will focus its marketing on Wakanda, Avatwo and the Holiday Disney+ slate.

“There’s no hard-and-fast evidence proving that the political conversation hurt Lightyear, although the film did under-index by a fairly large margin in the Midwest, according to a source with access to Comscore regional data. (Toy Story 4 was within the range of normal three years ago in the Midwest.) Disney insiders counter that red-leaning states contributed the same percentage of the overall gross for Lightyear as they did for Sonic 2. Lightyear also under-indexed in the Northeast, where many locales are Democratic-leaning, as well as in Canada. It overperformed in the West and in the Southeast, including in many Hispanic-led markets. (Hispanics made up more than 30 percent of the audience.)” from The Hollywood Reporter https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/lightyear-box-office-family-problem-1235169002/

Eh. I think Minions using the DM3 multiplier of a 100M OW as I think both had 4 days, it’d tap out at 360Mish. I can still see Thor over it, especially when Minions faces a wide family film every two weeks.

I mean I agree but at the end of the day, Chapek made the choice to accelerate with Soul, Luca and TR going to the plus. Iger isn’t totally innocent either but I place more of the blame on Chapek. Regardless of my feelings of Disney, I do hope WDAS and Pixar see a rebound.

Shit I hate Illumination too (I only like three films from them: Despicable Me, Grinch and Sing 2, the rest are shit). That said I’ve harden a little less as I had dumb shit as a kid too and tbf a lot of blockbusters more or less doing what Illumination has done but I don’t think animation will regress to Illumination levels of quality. There’s a lot of future from a lot of studios but the most important thing is for this was showing the families are still very much interested in the animation industry. Which makes me more confident in the 2023 roster of animated films doing well.

It’s sad Chapek basically has lowered Pixar and WDAS to no event due to fucking Disney+. Illumination has probably taking the crown of king of animation box office for a minute and tbh I think DWA can make a comeback. Strange World and Elemental can rebound just give them a 45 day window and like great marketing. (Strange World may have some trouble with marketing distribution as it’s in the middle of Wakanda and Avatwo)

Lack of big family films exploding since Sonic 2 helped it, Comcast puts in the effort for marketing and it helped that no streaming service to dilute its impact like Lightyear did (Man, Chapek really fucked up there). I think this shows theatrical animation is definitely alive, but it needs to be far away from a streaming window or more likely a big streamer. I mean Bad Guys legged it to almost 100M with a 70 day window and I think if it opened earlier, it’d do 125M minimum. Sonic 2 also exploded. I also think the five year wait helped increase demand rather than if it opened in 2020 in a pandemic less world. On a small note, I’m on Puss in Boots doing 150M now because of how good Comcast is at marketing.

Holy fucking shit, this is doing 100m OW!

Flop

Hatebox, being reasonable about discussing the realistic possibility of diminishing returns or not reaching the heights of Phase 3 makes you a hater, even though we have no idea how the movie will perform as it has a week left and could explode as ticket sales contain to be solid.

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-box-office-forecast-dc-league-of-super-pets-plus-the-latest-thor-love-and-thunder-tracking/ Super Pets - 40-60M OW/120M-210M DOM Thor - 140-167M OW/155M OW/345M-420M DOM/395M DOM

Better quality control for Feige, less dilution of the brand, thus movies and shows being more eventized. Seems like the big three.

Tbh the better solution would be to perhaps cut down the 10 MCU per year strategy and do like 5 (3 movies, 2 shows) a year.

Question: how many of these reactions are from RT verified critics and how many are from fans? I’m far more curious about the former than the latter.

I mean yes but I also felt signs of clear underperformance around April-ish. I said I wouldn’t be surprised at under 200m.

Minions is selling insane at my theater, forgot to mention it last night but it’s like 96.5% of Aladdin and 178% of Sonic 2’s ticket presales. I’m confident in 7-9m in previews.

Dude, you need to chill the fuck out.