YM!
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Everything posted by YM!
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2023 Box Office Predictions and Discussion
YM! replied to The Wild Eric's topic in Box Office Discussion
Yeah the combination of both and the relative popularity of Jaime. Probably the third most popular new comic book character behind Miles and Kamala. -
2023 Box Office Predictions and Discussion
YM! replied to The Wild Eric's topic in Box Office Discussion
Blue Beetle is more likely to open to 100m than go under it in my opinion. -
I have been noticing Netflix has been a bit more wide in terms of releasing stuff in theaters. If iirc just Cinemark got their stuff but now I think Marcus and maybe Regal are too.
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While I think it’s far too early to be discussing Oscar nominations, you’re going to tell me the majority old conservative white male voters won’t eat Top Gun Maverick? I find that ludicrous.
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Because it didn’t meet the criteria?
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I really hope so, not going to pretend Disney was holy or something prior but fuck Bob Chapek and his whole team.
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It was kind of pre-announced already, Kilar said exactly 45 days for it and I believe the day but even in that case prior that’s like in the 10% range. Disney did the same but to a larger extent with Encanto which imho stopped it from getting to 100m domestic. Interestingly enough Shang-Chi didn’t collapse at its date being announced ahead of time, but that was outside the 45 day window.
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I feel there’s a difference in day and date release and a 45 day window on gross and legs.
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Tbf is Paramount+ even big enough to cause leg damage like if it were Disney+/HBO Max, I can get the argument (looking at The Batman and Encanto as clear examples) but those were had their dates publicized in advance but in the case of Maverick, I think if they kept mum for the first 30-40 days after release on release strategy I don’t think it’s legs would completely collapse and more likely than not gross would be the same, give or take like 5-10%. Yes theatrical is still the obvious goldmine but the two could go hand and hand.
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Dominion and Minions would help boost it, not hurt it, same studio = double feature fudge. Looking likely for ~95m, Lightyear will hurt it. If it continue a great hold against Lightyear, it’s plausible.
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How likely is that, is it like just rumors or little rumblings in the industry?
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My god, TGM not only has the best weekend hold for a 100m opener but a 28% drop on after a holiday weekend.
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The Bye Bye Bison Burger.
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Hold my Hand is playing in the grocery store this morning. I also bought Bison Burgers.
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@grim22 We all appreciate you for your very hard work as a moderation. Hope you stick around as well as having an awesome time with your family.
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I think Beasts will do exactly the same as Dumbledore.
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Paramount might be the comeback studio of the decade. Even their slate next year has a lot of potential hits.
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Calm down son, it’s just a kids movie.
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If things go as planned this weekend, Maverick will be seen a second time this weekend with family. Haven’t done that for a blockbuster since seeing Black Panther 3 times in 2018.
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TGM - $575m Thor - $435m Dominion - $425m Strange - $400m (that sweet Lightyear/Thor fudge) Lightyear - $275m Minions - $250m
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I think WW, Forever would have the edge still.
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There’s a very good chance Maverick wins the year (I have Avatwo at 700m but a percent of its money is in 2023, so Maverick wins on technicality). The only real competition it has domestically is Wakanda Forever which I think will be more or less neck and neck.
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I suspect Lightyear to play less like TS4 and a bit more like Sonic 2 or ITSV in terms of audience composition (while obviously gross more than either, was talking demographics).
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
YM! replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
I think same multi as MoM. -
$80m weekend here we come, and maybe the 600m train. My god, TGM is shaping to be the most impressive run of the pandemic. I do think Dominion and Lightyear may hurt a bit due to the breakout.
