YM!

I remember that as well. People were disappointed with it doing just slightly higher than Doctor Strange. It’s kind funny and sad that now come six years later, FB3’s DOM gross will be less than the OW of Strange 2.

Historically, Good Friday acts like another Saturday due to a decent amount of children being off of school. Family films from Rio 2, Boss Baby, Smurfs, etc have followed that pattern. At best, it’ll have a light increase just o/u 5%, at worst a decrease of around 15%. Had it been any other weekend, Sonic would’ve been around a 35m second weekend with those weekdays.

Ehhhh, considering how Sonic 2 is performing as well as past performance of action animation outside of Christmas, while I don’t think Lightyear will be as frontloaded I think for 325m, I want an OW around 110m which I kind of doubt. Same for SpiderVerse 2 later this year.

I could go a bit higher for the former three, I feel I was fair for the last two. A $275m-290m gross is about the same as Lego Batman had from Lego 1, also like Sonic 2 I expect it to be more male skewing than female skewing which’ll hurt it’s legs. Also am kind of reminded of it by Monsters University in a way that it faced an illumination two weeks later and it’s legs gave out.

Eh, a 450m average for all three is still pretty good.

Exactly, saying a number is bad doesn’t mean oh no the universe is doom and gloom.

Summer should have a nice slate: Strange 2 and Dominion will be around 450m-500m domestic. Thor 4 around 380m-425m. Lightyear will probably be in the 275m as I doubt 300m for family films happening for the next five or so years. Minions 2 I’m thinking 200m as Illumination knows how to market. Crawdads could do 100m. Top Gun can do anywhere from 135m to 220m and I wouldn’t be surprised. Nope and Bullet Train should be over 100m and could breakout farther. Super Pets I think should do 100m as well. As well as a handful of mid size performers.

Not really; 4.4m (+143%) 10.7M (+6.9% (nice)) 11.43M (-42.7%) 6.55M $28.67m (-60.2% if it has the exact same drops as Shazam)

I’m not panicked to be clear; I’m just disappointed in it’s legs. Kind of like how Lost City is missing the 100m milestone. Both are great on paper but not enough for the glory days.

That was pre-Mickey’s law. I’m sorry but a 60%+ drop Easter weekend is bad no matter how you slice it. Yes it’s good a family film which skews heavily towards males is doing well-ish and should top Sing 2 but I'm not going to pretend it’s doing extraordinarily great just because the past few years have been shit.

There is no recovery for it. With Bad Guys next week, it’s another 45-50% drop and with Strange in a few weeks thats 60% added. Sonic 2 needed to be at the 180m range by Strange 2 opening. It can’t get there.

If it had been any other weekend, meh weekdays would be okay as it would’ve rebounded on the weekend but Easter makes the weekend highly frontloaded.

Morbius started at 4 iirc.

At absolute best it can increase to 158% for Good Friday giving it $11.3m and be flat on Saturday, and it gets a $28m weekend. And that is if it follows family film trajectory of five+ years ago. It would have to mathematically do the impossible for 30m this weekend.

I think the beans thing is a reference to the dude eating beans in a theater.

It played too much like a family film on the weekdays.

4.4M Thursday for Sonic 2. Yep sub 30m second weekend happening. 200m is dead.

Ehhhh it depends on WOM and fan rush. The verified audience score is at 84% which is kind of mediocre for a blockbuster.

4.4M (+22%)

That was a great move, that isn’t talked about enough. You cut out the oxygen supply to most of the worst posters causing them to either die out or get themselves banned eventually. Made the forum a better place.

Yeah I want Sonic to at least be in the $4.65m+ range today to feel confident in $30m second weekend given how Rio 2 and a bunch of other family April stuff has done.

I meant to type PLF screens, that’s on me. I still am unsure on how much of a jump it should have today but considering it’s playing like a family film, maybe today will be surprise.

It’s not that being the problem, the problem is the weekdays aren’t strong enough if it plays like a family film for 30m+, especially with Beasts having an early start and taking away screens.

I’m fully expecting 25m this weekend, as Sonic lost PLFs and had fans and should hurt due to Beasts earlier preview start so today should be flat or best case scenario slight increase. The muted Tuesday jump was more of a problem than the in line Wednesday drop for family films. 200m is dead though but mid 100s is very likely. Still disappointed with the results.

I mean Wednesday was more or less what I expected. It depends on how/if it jumps today and tomorrow Good Friday.