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Posts posted by AN9815
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Considering a year ago I was unsure if IW was going to hit AOU's 459M DOM and it is about to do it in 10-11 days I'd say the numbers are fantastic. Thinking of a 1.9-2.2b depending on how China does, huge!! Also the 2nd weekend drop (115-120M) seems fine to me, it just had the biggest opening of all time and the movie was supposed to be super frontloaded (I remember people were saying +60% drop was assured prior to its release).
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I see people doing a lot of spoilers about 'Avengers: Infinity War' and it is so stupid, like come on don't ruin someone's experience just because you think it is funny or because you're so stupid that you cannot keep your mouth closed. This is a movie that must be seen without knowing anything about it, basically every second of the film is a potential spoiler. This is why I wanted to watch the movie ASAP, on Instagram, Facebook and Twitter the first comments on a AIW post are all spoilers, if you want to talk about the movie do it with someone who has watched it outside of public who hasn't.
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'A Quiet Place' is really good, deserves that 50m OW. April this year is going to destroy March, 'A Quiet Place' is breaking out, 'Rampage' will likely do good business and then on the last weekend a little movie called 'Avengers: Infinity War' opens which might break out as well
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I mean last year we had B&TB (175m OW), Logan (88m OW), Kong (61m OW), Boss Baby (50m OW), Power Rangers (40m OW). This year we have WiT (33m OW), Tomb Raider (22-26m OW), Pacific Rim (14-16m OW) and RPO (40-50m OW).
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Black Panther is going to stay #1 until RPO. This march looks so bad compared to last year's, but again February was huge and April and May seem to be pretty solid with Infinity War (+475m DOM), Deadpool 2 (+300m DOM), Solo (+270m DOM), Rampage, RPO and A Quiet Place.
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Rank Disney Original Bombs:
1. John Carter (such a mess but enjoyable haha)
2. Tomorrowland
3. The Lone Ranger
4. Alice Through the Looking Glass
Haven't watched WiT yet and I wouldn't consider TGD to be in this list.
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14 minutes ago, Chewy said:
Yeah but I mean the mega-openers. Homecoming is a top 5 July opening now at only 117. July OW record is still holding strong from 2011, the oldest one, and there is nothing in sight that's going to come anywhere close
The Lion King live action movie is probably going to take that record
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I think this will do well in April, there is always space for a blockbuster even if a big Marvel movie is opening on first week of May, plus this year March doesn't look that strong (unless RPO breaks out and dominates April). In 2017 Fast 8 did 223m DOM before GOTG.V2 did 389,8m DOM and in 2016 TJB did 364m DOM before Civil War 408m DOM. Now, I am not saying this will do +250m DOM but I can see something like 140-175m DOM.
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Black Panther DOM over RPO, WIT, Tomb Rider, Rampage and Pacific Rim 2 DOM grosses combined
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- Black Panther
- Infinity War
- Fallen Kingdom
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I was the one that started the Marvel ranking , sorrynotsorry
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I think IW2 (or Avengers 4) will decrease from IW. People don't know that it will be split in two parts (is it?). I have some friends who are Marvel fans and they didn't know that it was going to be split in two. IW: 430-525M DOM, Avengers 4: 375-450M DOM
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After watching BP: Marvel Ranking (in my opinion):
1. Captain America: The Winter Soldier
2. Iron Man
3. Black Panther
4. Guardians of the Galaxy
5. The Avengers
6. Captain America: Civil War
7. Ant-Man
8. Guardians of the Galaxy. Vol 2
9. Spider-Man: Homecoming
10. Thor: Ragnarok
11. Doctor Strange
12. Avengers: Age of Ultron
13. Captain America: The First Avenger
14. Thor
15. Iron Man 3
16. The Incredible Hulk
17. Iron Man 2
18. Thor: The Dark World
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Disney must be crying so hard about all this conversation about BP outgrossing IW or not. I mean they must be super worried to have two +430m DOM Marvel movies this year instead of just one.
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Just now, Boxofficerules said:
What about IT?
I knew I was forgetting one, then that would take BATB out of the TOP5
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Next week my closest theatre is having showtimes for classic movies such as 'The Godfather' and 'Silence of the Lambs'. I am planing to go on Monday for 'Silence of the Lambs', 'The Godfather' on Tuesday and 'Black Panther' on Wednesday, perfect week.
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'Jumanji' is a monster, these holds are amazing. TOP 5 stories of 2017 would be: 'Jumanji', 'Wonder Woman', 'Get Out', 'The Greatest Showman' and 'Beauty and the Beast' (504m DOM in March for a Live Action movie is amazing)
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The teaser trailer was ok but a bit disappointing. It's like releasing a Batman trailer and only showing Bruce Wayne on it, or only showing Peter Parker on a Spider-Man trailer, with the difference that Venom is not near as popular as those characters.
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Maze Runner (7/10), Maze Runner: Scorch Trials (7/10), Maze Runner: The Death Cure (7/10). It has been a really enjoyable and consistent franchise. Overall I think the first one is the best.
Hunger Games (8/10), Catching Fire (9/10), Mocking-Jay 1 (5/10), Mocking-Jay 2 (6/10)
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I would love to see a Black Widow movie focused on her past and with great action scenes. I also wouldn't mind if they included Hawkeye on the movie but it certainly has to have a serious tone, like 'The Winter Soldier'.
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That is a really good number for 'Insidious: The Last Key', should do +18M OW which is more than I initially predicted (11-13M OW).
I watch 'Jumanji' yesterday and I am so glad it is doing so good. It is not an excellent movie but it is a really entertaining and fun movie to watch, specially in theaters.
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I watched 'The Last Jedi' again in theaters and I absolutely loved it this time. Though it was a better movie than 'Force Awakens', I had issues on my first time but many of them were solved on this second viewing.
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Top 10 2018:
1. Avengers: Infinity War - 465M DOM / 1.5b WW
2. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - 435M / 1.3b WW
3. Incredibles 2 - 420M / 950-1b WW
4. The Grinch - 370M / 720M WW
5. Han Solo - 350M / 830M WW
6. Deadpool 2 - 315M / 775M WW
7. Aquaman - 305M / 700M WW
8. Mary Poppins Returns - 285M / 665M WW
9. Black Panther - 280M / 670M WW
10. Ant Man and the Wasp - 240M / 675M WW
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I think I predicted 217M OW and 735M DOM so not bad. TLJ was going to decrease from TFA, it was a safe bet. I mean TFA had everything going for it (nostalgia, fantastic release date, really good audience reviews...) .
Weekend Thread | Avengers 2nd Weekend - 114.774 only a 21.5% drop on Sunday
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Is IW gonna more than double Solo domestically (and worldwide)? IW: 625-675m DOM, 1.850-2.150b WW. Solo: 250-350m DOM, 750-850m WW. I love Star Wars and Marvel but literally everyone I talked to is not interested on watching Solo, even Star Wars fans.