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We'll have to wait for 'Challengers' but April is not delivering big numbers outside of maybe 'Civil War' ($60-70m DOM). May does look much better but not 2023 level either. My predictions (all DOM): The Fall Guy: $100-125m Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes: $150-175m IF: $50-70m Furiosa: $120-140m Garfield: $140-180m
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Yeah I don't expect Moana 2 and Inside Out 2 to be as good or better than their originals but I hope they are good. I think both will be well received and make a lot of money and if they reach the level of their originals then...the sky is the limit. I have a range of $350-$425m for Inside Out 2 if it is well received but no idea about Moana 2. It is the most watched movie on streaming which would point to a massive jump from the first ($248,7m DOM) but idk...
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I understand, also a massive Tolkien fan here. I've read almost every book there is of Middle Earth (Lord of the Rings, Hobbit, Silmarillion, Unfinished Tales, Children of Hurin) and I just love this world so much that I will take every opportunity that I have to revisit it (even if it is not 100% faithful). I obviously loved the LOTR trilogy, I thought the Hobbit trilogy was pretty strong although with some unnecessary additions and I personally was fine with the Rings of Power show although they need to pick up their pace on future seasons. The War of the Rohirrim being animated and with an anime style like animation peaked my interest quite a bit.
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Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse | Currently undated
AN9815 replied to BadOlCatSylvester's topic in Box Office Discussion
I worry that the cliffhanger factor might hurt it a bit if they delay it too much (2026-2028). 2025 is the latest that it can go without it being a problem I think. The ending was very abrupt and something like an Infinity War-Endgame situation would have worked perfectly for this. -
I also think The Fall Guy and Twisters are the best contenders for +$200m if the movies are great. Garfield and Bad Boys will probably clear $100m with ease unless everything goes wrong (reviews, toxic WOM, something else overperforming and sucking all the money). No idea about Furiosa and IF, but the later looks like a $70m DOM movie. Really curious about A Quiet Place: Day One. Part II was heavily affected by COVID, like Godzilla vs Kong and Dune, will it increase from Part II or decrease because it is a spin-off? IMO that can hurt it but the cast is as strong as the main saga and I'm actually quite curious to see how it all started, it looks action packed and a great disaster invasion movie. I'm also a bit worried for Deadpool and Wolverine. My friends are all quite fans of the MCU and I don't see the excitement anywhere close to No Way Home or Multiverse of Madness. This may change as we get closer to the release date but I had it crossing $400m DOM and maybe it'll "just" do $300-350m DOM
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That is great for Godzilla x Kong. I hope Summer 2024 continues delivering some true hits like March 2024. Outside of Despicable Me 4, Deadpool and Wolverine, and Inside Out 2, which should at least make +$250m DOM I have no idea which other movies might break out. I would not be surprised if The Fall Guy/Furiosa/Garfield/Twisters/IF/Bad Boys go <$100m or >$200m DOM.
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I think the Monsterverse movies have gotten progressively worse with each movie. I liked Godzilla (2014) despite very few Godzilla in it. I thought Skull Island was good, then King of the Monsters was meh and Godzilla vs Kong was pretty bad. This new movie doesn't look any better but I hope it does good at the Box Office.
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The fact that this was initially supposed to be a TV show does worry me, hopefully it will be good. I think all this movie needs to succeed is a good soundtrack, story can be weak as long as the songs are great (similar to Frozen 2). However, if this gets amazing reviews then I do agree it will hit a billion and probably start a "sequel era" at WDAS, if it hasn't already started.
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I think the only movie that is completely safe from this year no matter what the reviews are is Despicable Me 4. The other potential big players (Deadpool 3, Inside Out 2, Gladiator 2, Joker 2, Beetlejuice 2, Mufasa...) will need good critics and audience scores to live to their full potential. Some will just do just ok if reviews are bad (Inside Out 2, Joker 2...) and some will straight up bomb (Gladiator 2, Mufasa).
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Horror tends to be successful so Imaginary, The First Omen and Abigail can also be consider hits if the budgets are not too high
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Just cause I am bored and February looks so bad for the box office, some predictions for the movies in March (OW/DOM): Dune: Part II - $78m/ $225m Kung Fu Panda 4 - $43m / $146m Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire - $35m / $92m Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire - $51m / $110m