BobDole
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Posts posted by BobDole
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The game saw another strong week with season-bests set for Top Score, Best Worst Score (non-zero), and average score
The season's first perfect 6 in part C came from Sheikh who guessed the correct movie in every even-numbered position #2-12, netting them 50k points. Strong week for part C with plenty of 4 & 5s correct.
3 players got 14/15 correct in part A with chasmmi getting the best mix of point values correct to get the most points out of the three (missing only a low 1000-pointer)
There was also plenty of points to go around in part B with nearly every active player scoring points here, though it was a ho-hum scoring with no one really nailing their predictions. Part B was good for a total of 56k points amongst the players, not the best, not the worst. BobDole got the most points (12k) and Fancyarcher was the only one scoring points from more than one question.
In the pre-season, not one guess had Jumanji coming in under a $70M opening (average guess of $77M with one $100M+ guess) while predictions had significantly dampened to an average $50M guess this week with the movie coming in somewhere between.
No surprise, Sheikh holds on to their lead and extends it to a nearly six-digit distance over second-place (98k)
As always, everyone is encouraged to double-check my work given the amount of inputting figures (google docs link in first post)
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Week 7: December 13th Weekend: - Will Jumanji manage to more than triple the combine OW of the next two highest New Releases? No
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I believe these are the all-time standing instead of the weekly scores (unless that was intended)
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Both are platform, last week thenumbers had it at 4 and Uncut is probably looking at the same. Bombshell goes wide next week
would recommend against rely solely BoxOfficeMojo for determining pcoming wide releases, their wide vs limited updated have been very spotty/non-existent as of late, thenumbers has a solid, listing that they update (not to sound like a shill)
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1. Will Jumanji make more than $37.5M? Yes
2. Will Jumanji make more than $52.5M? No
3. Will Jumanji make more than $45M? Yes
4. Will Jumanji make more than all other new entries combined? Yes
5. Will Jumanji increase on Saturday from its 'true Friday' (Friday gross minus Previews total)? Yes
6. Will Richard Jewel open to more than $12M? Yes
7. Will Richard Jewel open to more than $15M? No
8. Will Black Christmas open to more than $12M? No
9. Will Black Christmas open to more than $15M? No
10. Will Richard Jewel open to more than Black Christmas? Yes
11. Will Frozen stay in the top 2? Yes
12. Will Bombshell enter the top 5? No
13. Will Ford vs Ferrari stay above Queen and Slim? No
14. Will Playmobil drop more than 77%? Yes
15. Will this be the final wide release worth talking about in 2019? No
Bonus:
9/15 5000
10/15 8000
11/15 12,000
12/15 16,000
13/15 20,000
14/15 24,000
15/15 30,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1. What will Jumanji's OW be? $42,900,000
2. What will Frozen' percentage drop be? -37.9%
3. What will Knives Out's PTA be? $2636
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
2. Frozen II
4. Black Christmas
6. Ford v Ferrari
8. Dark Waters
10. 21 Bridges
12. Playing with Fire
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
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Spoiler
Thailand
Singapore
Colombia
Mexico
Russia
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Two more players scored 6-digit point tallies after none in the first 4 weeks (which included 2 expanded weeks) as well as new highs set for average score and lowest non-zero score.
BobDole joins the 15 club becoming the second player this season to get everything correct in Part A
BobDole however had to settle for second twice in Part B, coming behind Chasmmi both times. Chasmmi gets 15k points for Part B, tied with ZeeSoh who got within $8 of Knives Out's PTA. Sheikh ties BobDole in part B with 9k points, behind ZeeSoh & Chasmmi.Multiple players got 4/6 right in Part C, no one guessed the 10th-place film correctly with most players putting down PlayMobil.
ZeeSoh gets the best score of the week with 108k points followed by BobDole's 102k.Despite a rare week not having the best score (or even top 3), Sheikh still expands their lead slightly going from a 78k to 80k-point distance over second place
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Week 6: December 6th Weekend: - Will Playmobil's OW make more than 4% of Frozen's OW? No
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1. Will PlayMobil make more than $3M? No
2. Will Playmobil make more than $4.25M? No
3. Will Playmobil make more than $5.5M? No
4. Will Playmobil enter the top 3? No
5.Will Playmobil make more than Dark Waters? No
6. Will Frozen stay above $50M? No
7. Will Queen of Slim stay above Beautiful Day? Yes
8. Will Knives Out drop more than 50%? No
9. Ford vs Ferrari's PTA stay above $2,500? No
10. Will Charlie's Angels drop more than 70% Yes
11. Will Maleficent have a bigger percentage drop than Last Christmas? Yes
12. Will 21 Bridges drop more than 52.5%? No
13. Will Joker stay above Harriet? Yes
14.Will Frozen 2 overtake Aladdin domestically by the end of the weekend? No
15. Will Playmobil shock the world and become the family animated choice for the rest of 2019? No
Bonus:
9/15 5000
10/15 8000
11/15 12,000
12/15 16,000
13/15 20,000
14/15 24,000
15/15 30,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1. What will PlayMobil's OW be? $1,666,666
2. What will Charlie's Angels' percentage drop be? -79%
3. What will Knives Out's PTA be? $4254
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
3. Ford v Ferrari
5. A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
7. 21 Bridges
8. Midway
10. Playmobil
12. Last Christmas
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
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15 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:
You did part C wrong. It was 2,3,5,7,9,11. Not 2,4,6,8,10,12
fixed, thanks
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With 2 days of numbers providing guidance for the new openers' trajectories, week 5 proved to be bountiful for those who played, with new highs set for best individual score, average score, and best worst >0 score.
Sheikh got the first perfect section A of the season, going 15-for-15 and the fourth 15-correct of the season after three 15/20s in the expanded weeks 1 & 4. Three of those 15 corrects are from Sheikh while ZeeSoh is the only other player to have gotten 15 correct (week 4).
Sheikh also managed to score points for all three questions in section B, though none of them particularly lucrative with two 3rd-placers. Inceptionzq murdered section B, with two closest estimates and one getting the max 15k points for coming within 0.52% of Frozen II's Friday gross
Sheikh was the first player since week 1 to get 5 right in part C with Inceptionzq (4 correct) being the only other player to get more than half correct in the last part.
Close Calls:
#13 (Will Last Christmas stay above Joker?) Yes, by $57,797
Sheikh keeps their vice grip on #1 for the season, increasing the lead over second place to 78k points from last week's 69k and cracking 400k in the process with 3 other players having 300k+
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1. Will Knives Outs make more than $13M? Yes
2. Will Knives Out make more than $20M? Yes
3. Will Knives Out make more than $16M? Yes
4. Will Frozen make more than $65M? Yes
5. Will Frozen cross $250M domestic by end of Saturday? Yes
6. Will Queen of Slim make more than $7M? Yes
7. Will Queen of Slim make more than $9M? Yes
8. Will Queen of Slim open in the top 3? No
9. Will Beautiful Day in Neighbourhood overtake Doctor Sleep domestically by the end of the weekend? Yes
10. Will Jojo Rabbit overtake Parasite domestically by the end of the weekend? Yes
11. Will Midway have a bigger percentage drop than Playing with Fire? Yes
12. Will Terminator drop more than 52.5%? Yes
13. Will Last Christmas stay above Joker? Yes
14.Will Charlie's Angels have a PTA above $500? No
15. Will Galaxy Quest shock us all and enter the top 1, winning winter in the process? No
Bonus:
9/15 5000
10/15 8000
11/15 12,000
12/15 16,000
13/15 20,000
14/15 24,000
15/15 30,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1. What will Knives Out's? $28,500,000
2. What will Charlie's Angels' percentage drop be? -53%
3. What will Frozen make on Friday? $33,100,000
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
2. Knives Out
3. Ford v Ferrari
5. Queen & Slim
7. Playing with Fire
9. The Good Liar
11. Joker
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
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Week 5: November 29th Weekend: - Will Frozen drop more than 52.5%? No
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With more points up for grabs from an expanded part A, were players able to take advantage of it?
No.
Players averaged 47k points, down from last week's 65k and above only week 2's bloodbath 32k
Part A proved tricky with only a little more than half the players getting any bonus and even then it was towards the lower end of the bonus scale. ZeeSoh & Sheikh got a weekend-best 15 questions correct with ZeeSoh getting a better mix of questions correct garnering 57k points to Sheikh's 53k.
Sheikh once again played second fiddle in Part B whose 11k points (tied with BobDole) was slightly below Fancyarcher's 12k.
It was in Part C that Sheikh managed tops with 3 correct predictions, tied with WrathOfHan (entering the weekly game) and Fancyarcher.
With that consistency, Sheikh leads the weekly game and of course the cumulative scoring with Fancyarcher placing 2nd in each. Distance between 1st & 2nd place expands to 69k from 46k last week.
Close calls of the week: #5 most of the weekend it looked like Frozen would get 74%+ of the Top 5 but with the finals it comes in at 75.23756% of the Top 5.
#12 Ford v Ferrari dips 50.0216%
With 319 values to input, a typo or miskey is always a possibility. As always, feel free/encouraged to take a look over your scores & answers to double-check the work.
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On 11/20/2019 at 10:55 PM, Wrath said:
5. Will Frozen make more than 75% of the total gross of the top 5 movies of the weekend? 5000 NO (I mean, this includes Frozen since it'll be in the top 5, so everything else's total gross would have to be less than 1/3 of what Frozen opens to. Ford vs Ferrari should be easily over 50M by then, so Frozen would have to open over 150M just to hit that mark between it and Ford vs Ferrari. Add in everything else and there's just no way)
I read the question as will Frozen 2 make more than 75% of the Top 5 grosses for the weekend, not cumulative, so FvF would only count for the $18M-23M it made this weekend NOT the $50M it'll cumulatively gross by Sunday
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Part A:
1. Will Frozen to more than $120M? Yes
2. Will Frozen Open to more than $150M? No
3. Will Frozen Open to more than $135M? Yes
4. Will Frozen increase on Saturday? No
5. Will Frozen make more than 75% of the total gross of the top 5 movies of the weekend? No
6. Will Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood open to more than $13M? Yes
7. Will Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood open to more than $16M? Yes
8. Will 21 Bridges open to more than $6M? Yes
9. Will 21 Bridges open to more than $9M? No
10. Beautiful day open to more than double 21 Bridges? Yes
11. Will Beautiful Day open in 2nd place? No
12. Will Ford vs Ferrari drop less than 50%? Yes
13. Will Dark Water Open above Charlie's Angels? No
14. Will Midway stay in the top 5? No
15. Will Playing with Fire stay in the top 5? Yes
16. Will Ford vs Ferrari's Domestic Total overtake Terminator's by the end of Sunday? Yes
17. Will Charlie's Angels have the worst PTA in the top 10? Yes
18. Will Maleficent stay above Harriet? Yes
19. How many films will make more than $4M this weekend? 7
20. Will this weekend get back to normal Yes, or is Frozen opening to $52,5M million because cinema is dead?
Bonus:
12/20 3000
13/20 5000
14/20 8000
15/20 12000
16/20 16,000
17/20 20,000
18/20 26,000
19/20 32,000
20/20 40,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1. What will Frozen make for its 3 day OW? $135,000,001
2. What will Last Christmas's Sunday gross be? $1,150,00
3. What will Joker's PTA be for the 3 day weekend? $2050
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
2. Ford v Ferrari
4. 21 Bridges
5. Playing with Fire
7. Last Christmas
9. The Good Liar
11. Doctor Sleep
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
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Week 4: November 22nd Weekend: - Will Frozen make more on Sunday than the next two highest New entries' combined total weekends? Yes
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Link - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1mtMM-AmLLtYIym3lsIULzZ-t-T9aWNM6J-xfotB3Npw/edit?usp=sharing
Charlie's Angels underperformed even its expected underperformance while Ford v Ferrari beat predictions that had been tempered by a string of November underperformances. In spite of that, scores bounced back from the lows of last weekend with new highs set for best score (Inceptionzq), best low score, and best average score in the early goings of the season.
Inceptionzq also got the best Part A score (14 right, only missing question 11 (Will Jojo Rabbit have a better percentage change than Parasite) which everybody got wrong thanks to Parasite dropping 28.2% vs JJR's 30.2% despite JJR adding far more theaters this weekend (197 vs Parasite's 17). Looks like both specialty features are hitting the upper bounds of their expansion at least prior to the Oscars).
chasmmi got the best Part B score thanks to being within .2% of Last Christmas's 43.2% drop, netting them 15k points and the 3rd best score of the week.
Multiple players got 4/6 in part C
With the absolute trash fire that has been the start of the winter box office season, how badly are our Preaseason Predictions going?
Taking a look at the number of times players picked Charlie's Angels/Doctor Sleep/Terminator: Dark Fate/Last Christmas:
chasmmi -7 (3x Dom / 3x WW / 1x Multiplier)
Mike Hunt - 7 (4x Dom / 1x OW / 2x WW)
Kalo - 5 (4x Dom / 1x OW)
BobDole - 8 (3x Dom / 1x OW / 3x WW / 1x Multi)
Wrath - 4 (2x Dom / 1x WW / 1x Multi)
glassfairy - 7 (3x Dom / 2x OW / 2x WW)
bcf26 - 8 (3x Dom / 2x OW / 3x WW)
ZeeSoh - 3 (2x Dom / 1x WW)
Inceptionzq - 6 ( 3x Dom / 1x OW / 2x WW)
Fancyarcher - 4 (2x Dom / 1x OW / 1x WW)
JJ-8 - 6 (3x Dom / 1x OW / 2x WW)
The Panda - 6 (3x Dom / 2x WW / 1x Multi)
captainwondyful - 4 (1 each Dom/OW/WW/Multi)
Sheikh - 4 (2x Dom / 1x WW / 1x Multi)
WrathOfHan - 4 (2x Dom / 1x OW / 1x WW)
While most of the Dom/OW predictions will cost points, some of the WW predicted grosses aren't that far off so some players may yet benefit if the underperformers can cling to the bottom rungs of the Top 12 WW grosses
Disney also announced it was pushing The King's Man to September and out of the last weekend of the game which'll affect 8 predictions
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I'll have a bit of time on my hands so can help with scoring:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1mtMM-AmLLtYIym3lsIULzZ-t-T9aWNM6J-xfotB3Npw/edit?usp=sharing
Notes:
1. Week 1 question 9 (Will Inside Game have a higher PTA than The Portal?) left unscored, 2 weeks out there are numbers for Inside Game but not for Portal 2: Pro Box Office has Inside Game at $57,739 at one theater while Deadline has it at a close-but-different $57,608 but at 128 theaters, regardless, with nothing to compare it against question cannot be score
2. Sheikh didn't quite give a straightforward answer to week 1 question 17 (Will Gemini Man have the worst PTA in the top 10? 2000 Gemini Man will not be in the top 10, but it will have the worst PTA) but given that they specified they didn't think it'd be in the top 10 technically that's a no answer, as loathe as I am to do so, points awarded.
3. Week 2 question 10 (Will Mr. Toilet have a PTA above $5,000?) is awaiting figures for the foreign movie. Currently and probably permanently left unscored
Though my spreadsheets can get very, very convoluted, if anything looks wrong / the scores look off just let me know
I'll usually have a tab up sometime on Saturday so you can check the scores as estimates come in for the current weekend
Scores:
Week 1 - No surprised, sheikh took the lead
Week 2 - Sheikh #1 again (though on the whole everyone had suckass scores from the box office implosion) but The Panda coming in strong at #2 after missing the first week. Over half of Panda's wk2 points came from 2 within-1%-guesses in Part B netting them the max 15k points x2, making up for a worst-of-the-players 4 correct in part A (including the #20 gimme) but helped by being one of 2 players to get 2 right in part C (nobody else managed more than 1 correct in part C)
Cume - Sheikh is out on top with half the players' scores hitting six figures and half below
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Week 3: November 15th Weekend: - Will Ford vs Ferrari open in 1st place? Yes
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Spoiler
1. Will Charlie's Angels make more than $17M?
SpoilerNo
2. Will Charlie's Angels make more than $27M?
SpoilerNo
3. Will Charlie's Angels make more than $22M? No
4. Will Charlie's Angels' Saturday gross be higher than The Good Liar's total Weekend? No
5. Will The Good Liar finish above Midway? No
6. Will Ford vs Ferrari open to more than $30M? No
7. Will Ford vs Ferrari open to more than $35M? No
8. Will Ford vs Ferrari open to more than double Charlie's Angels? No
9. Will Playing with Fire stay above Last Christmas? Yes
10. Will Jojo Rabbit have a better percentage change than Parasite? Yes
11. Will Dr Sleep have a bigger percentage drop than Midway? Yes
12. Will Joker drop more than 32.5%? Yes
13. Will Maleficent stay above Harriet? Yes
14.Will Terminator have a PTA above $1,700? Yes
15. Will anybody get a point in QOTM this season? Yes
Bonus:
9/15 5000
10/15 8000
11/15 12,000
12/15 16,000
13/15 20,000
14/15 24,000
15/15 30,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1. What will Charlie's Angels' OW be? $16,300,00
2. What will Last Christmas' percentage drop be? -49.69%
3. What will be the difference in dollars between Ford vs Ferrari's OW and 2nd place's weekend total (I am aware this could be zero)? $7,600,000
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
2. Charlie's Angels
4. The Good Liar
6. Doctor Sleep
8. Harriet
10. Maleficent: Mistress of Evil
12. Jojo Rabbit
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
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1. Dr Sleep $87.5M Too high
2. Midway $45M Too low
3. Charlie's Angels $67.5M
4. The Good Liar $37.5M
5. 21 Bridges $37.5M
6. Queen and Slim $30M
7. Playmobil $15M Too high
8. Cats $90M
9. Bombshell $37.5M
10. Black Christmas $33M Too low
1. Which film (excluding Playmobil) will be the lowest grossing? Queen and Slim
2. Which film will be the highest grossing without making more than $75M? Charlie's Angels
3. Will exactly two films make the Domestic top 15? No
4. Will any film double its predicted gross? No
5. Will any film fail to reach half of its predicted gross? Yes
6. Will the actual combined total gross for the films be higher or lower than the predicted total gross? Higher
7. Percentage wise, what will be boxoffice.com's best prediction? Midway
8. Percentage wise, what will be boxoffice.com's worst prediction? Playmobil
9. Will 2 or more films open in the number 1 position? Yes
10. Will 3 or more of these films open in 4th or lower? Yes
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1. Will Dr. Sleep make more than $22M? Yes
2. Will Dr. Sleep make more than $30M? No
3. Will Dr. Sleep make more than $26M? No
4. Will Dr. Sleep make more than double Midway's total? No
5. Will Terminator remain in the top 3? Yes
6. Will Last Christmas make more than $15M? Yes
7. Will Last Christmas make more than $20M? Yes
8. Will Dr Sleep's make enough to win the weekend from just Friday and Saturday? No
9. Will Playing with Fire make more than $10M? No
10. Will Mr. Toilet have a PTA above $5,000? Yes
11. Will Parasite stay above Jojo Rabbit? No
12. Will Zombieland drop more than 40%? Yes
13. Will Maleficent stay above Harriet? No
14. Will Addams Family have a bigger percentage drop than Joker? No
15. Will the Angry Birds movie crossover into Star Wars? No
Bonus:
9/15 5000
10/15 8000
11/15 12,000
12/15 16,000
13/15 20,000
14/15 24,000
15/15 30,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1. What will Dr. Sleep's OW be? $23,500,000
2. What will Black and Blue's percentage drop be? -40.3%
3. What will be the difference in dollars between Last Christmas and Midway's OW totals? $3,805,500 I see you copying me to the digit, ratfuck
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
3. Midway
5. Joker
7. Harriet
9. The Addams Family
10. The Addams Family
12. Jojo Rabbit
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
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Week 2: November 8th Weekend: - Will Last Christmas open above Midway? Yes
Winter Game Week 8 - It is Here!!! Cats is Finally Here!!!
in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game
Posted · Edited by BobDole
Part A:
1. Will Star Wars Open to more than $180M? Yes
2. Will Star Wars Open to more than $220M? No
3. Will Star Wars Open to more than $200M? Yes
4. Will Star Wars have a single day above $95M? Yes
5. Will Star Wars make double its Sunday Gross on Friday? No
6. Will Cats open to more than $10M? No
7. Will Cats open to more than $15M? No
8. Will Cats open to more than $12.5M? No
9. Will Cats OW make more than 5% of Star Wars' OW? No
10. Will Cats make more than double Bombshell's Weekend gross? No
11. Will Jumanji drop more than 60%? No
12. Will Frozen drop more than 45%? No
13. Will Richard Jewell stay above Ford vs Ferrari? Yes
14. Will Queen and Slim stay in the top 10? Yes
15. Will Dabaang 3 make more than $2M? No
16. Will Black Christmas have a larger percentage drop than Last Christmas? Yes
17. Will Knives out have a PTA above $1,500? Yes
18. Will Beautiful day in Neighbourhood drop less than 40%? Yes
19. Will Playmobil make more than $20k this weekend? No hell it might not get reported numbers
20. Has the moon lost her memory? No
Bonus:
12/20 3000
13/20 5000
14/20 8000
15/20 12000
16/20 16,000
17/20 20,000
18/20 26,000
19/20 32,000
20/20 40,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1. What will Star Wars make for its 3 day OW? $192,900,000
2. What will Cats make on Saturday? $3,500,00
3. What will Knives Out percentage drop be? -35%
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
3. Frozen II
5. Knives Out
7. Ford v Ferrari
8. Queen & Slim
10. Black Christmas
12. A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000