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BobDole

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  1. 1. Will The Gentlemen make more than $9M? Yes 2. Will The Gentlemen make more than $12M? No 3. Will The Gentlemen make more than $10.5M? No 4. Will The Turning make more than 10.5M? No 5. Will The Turning make more than Gentlemen? No 6. Will Bad Boys drop more than 57.5%? No 7. Will Bad Boys make more than double the OW total of the two main new entries? No 8. Will Dolittle finish above 1917? Yes 9. Will Star Wars cross $500M ON Saturday? Yes 10. Will Knives Out have the lowest percentage drop in the top 12? Yes  11. Will Jumanji drop more than 30%? Yes 12. Will 1917 cross $100M by the end of the weekend? Yes 13. Will Parasite stay above Jojo Rabbit? No 14. Will Little Women decrease more than 30% on Sunday? Yes 15. Will I live to see another sunrise? Yes Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will The Gentlemen's Weekend be? $10.1M 2. What will Just Mercy's percentage drop be? -49% 3. What will TROS's PTA be? $1479 Part C There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. 1917 4. The Gentlemen 6. Jumanji: The Next Level 8. Little Women 10. Knives Out 12. Frozen II 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000
  2. Week 13: January 24th Weekend: - Will Bad Boys have a higher percentage drop than Dolittle? Yes
  3. Fancyarcher & Wrath tie for best score in part A with 14 correct each Season-low points scored in part B by the players at a total of 32k points. glassfairy did the best getting 10k of those points All players got either 4 or 3 out of 6 in part C Fancyarcher got the best score for the week, no movement in the rankings, distance between 1st & 2nd place increases to 124k points, largest gap thusfar in the season Wk12 Cume Sheikh 91 1100 Inceptionzq 81 976 ZeeSoh 81 928 Fancyarcher 92 919 Bdole 77 850 glassfairy 90 756 Wrath 85 730 chasmmi 74 713 bcf26 82 615 captainwondyful 0 304 JJ-8 0 298 The Panda 0 102 WrathOfHan 0 50
  4. Week 12: January 17th Weekend: - Will Dolittle and Bad Boys combine for more than $80M? No
  5. 1. Will Bad Boys make more than $24M? Yes 2. Will Bad Boys make more than $32M? Yes 3. Will Bad Boys make more than $28M? Yes 4. Will Doolittle make more than 17.5M? Yes 5. Will Doolittle make more than 22.5M? Yes 6. Will The Gentlemen make more than $12M? No wrong week mate 7. Will the three largest new entries combine to more than $65M? Yes 8. Will Doolittle's OW total be closer to Bad Boys or Gentlemen? Bad Boys 9. Will 1917 stay in the top 2? Yes 10. Will TROS stay above Jumanji? No  11. Will Frozen stay above Knives Out? Yes 12. Will Frozen have a bigger percentage drop than Spies in Disguise? No 13. Will Parasite Increase? Yes 14. Will Little Women stay above Underwater? Yes 15. Will the Academy decide to award Alita all the Oscars in order to stop the protest balloon flying over the Awards? No Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Bad Boys's Weekend be? $39,900,000 2. What will Star Wars' percentage drop be? -40% 3. What will Just Mercy's PTA be? $3175 Part C There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. 1917 3. Dolittle 5. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker 7. Little Women 9. Frozen II 11. Underwater Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000
  6. Week 11 was a generally strong week for play though a mixed bag when breaking down the various parts of the game. Very strong part A with another perfect 15/15 courtesy of Fancyarcher, five 14/15s, and two 13/15s being the worst anyone got in the first part. A total of 60k points were won from part B, a bit better than the average 57k over the course of this season with Fancyarcher getting the only <1% guess thanks to their Grudge guess (-69% to the actual -69.2%) and getting a total of 16k points from the numerical prediction section, edged out by bcf26's 17k points for the section. *Note on Scoring: Frozen II's PTA is $2,226, not the $1861 BoxOfficeMojo is showing. BoxOfficeMojo is showing Frozen II's theater count for the Jan 10-12 weekend as 3175 however TheNumbers had pegged it at 2655 last Thursday and the finals on Box Office Pro, BoxOfficeReport, and TheNumbers all reflect the same 2655 theater count. 3175 is the theater count for the previous weekend. Part C was where the players tripped up, with four 1/6, two 2/6, and the best anyone faring were two 3/6. Fancyarcher had the top score of the week though there were no rank changes in the running season scores - Week 11 Cume Sheikh 82 1009 Inceptionzq 78 895 ZeeSoh 86 847 Fancyarcher 95 827 Bdole 72 773 glassfairy 0 666 Wrath 82 645 chasmmi 86 639 bcf26 88 533 captainwondyful 0 304 JJ-8 0 298 The Panda 0 102 WrathOfHan 0 50 Oscar nominations were announced Monday morning, with 53 movies garnering a nomination, 17 released in the game's time frame, and 12 of those being a non-streaming release that have/will have reportable box office. ADP Misc gross ($M) 1917 2 8 10 48.2 Little Women 3 3 6 76.5 Ford v Ferrari 1 3 4 111.6 Bombshell 2 1 3 28.3 Star Wars 9 0 3 3 481.3 Harriet 1 1 2 42.9 ABDITN 1 0 1 60 Richard Jewell 1 0 1 22.1 Knives Out 0 1 1 140.7 Frozen2 0 1 1 460.5 Corpus Christi 0 1 1 Les Miserables 0 1 1 0.024 *rankings will differ when accounting for both gross & noms For the most part the nominations didn't affect players badly in SOTM 2 with 3 players losing 40k points each for picking the non-nominated Cats. Otherwise, at this early stage in awards season, it's looking like the higher one placed 1917 the better, but all players save The Panda placed 1917 at a lowly 5th or 6th. A likely leggy run to 9-figures and a strong contender for the technical categories (esp sound against FvF) bodes well for it placing highly in SOTM 2. With a solid box office right around $100M, Little Women and Ford v Ferrari are looking to make a play for the technical categories to run up their SOTM 2 score as Best Picture/Actress/S. Actress aren't looking likely for them (the latter two for Little Women). 1 2 3 4 5 6 Mike Hunt SW9 F2 FvF ABDITN LW 1917 Wrath F2 FvF SW9 LW 1917 ABDITN glassfairy LW F2 SW9 FvF Cats ABDITN captainwondyful F2 FvF LW ABDITN 1917 Cats Fancyarcher SW9 F2 Cats ABDITN FvF LW bcf26 SW9 F2 FvF ABDITN LW 1917 BDole Bombshell SW9 LW F2 1917 ABDITN JJ-8 SW9 F2 FvF Bombshell ABDITN LW chasmmi FvF ABDITN F2 Bombshell SW9 LW The Panda SW9 1917 F2 FvF LW ABDITN WrathOfHan F2 LW SW9 ABDITN 1917 FvF Sheikh SW9 F2 FvF ABDITN LW 1917 ZeeSoh F2 SW9 FvF ABDITN LW 1917
  7. Week 11: January 10th Weekend: - Will the highest new entry's OW finish within $5M of Star Wars' Weekend Total? No
  8. Scoring for the holiday period has finished now that STX finally reported the Dec 20 weekend gross for Playmobil needed to score week 8's question #19 Week 8 (Dec 20-22) With another jumbo-sized weekend of 20 questions, could the players continue the scoring momentum from the prior few weeks or would they fall back into the curse of low scores plaguing prior supersized weekends? It was the latter. With the lowest high score of the game (78k), not one player was able to hit a 6-figure score in the week. Chasmmi did the best in Part A with 54k points from 14 correct answers, beating out Sheikh's 52k from 14 correct. For the first time in the game, everybody got points from part B. The bad news: It was the lowest total points from part B of the season with Wrath's 15k points making a good chunk of the 39k total. Part C was equally terrible; of the 9 players, 4 got one correct and one got none with BobDole and Sheikh getting 4 correct each. Sheikh gets the high score of the week and extends their lead to 119k over second-place, putting the distance between 1st & 2nd at six-figures for the first time in the game. *A note on scoring: while none of the websites with full weekend charts are showing it, (Boxofficemojo, TheNumbers), per Deadline, Indian movie Dabangg 3 grossed $1.115M for the weekend which affects the scoring for both question #15 & part C as that would place it as the 12th highest-grossing movie for the weekend though, again, none of the main box office reporting websites show it as such Week 9 (Dec 27-29) This week proved to be much better with a new high score of 126k set by Fancyarcher narrowly overtaking the previous season-high of 125k set in week 5. In doing so Fancyarcher also overtook BobDole for 4th place in the game. With only 7 players in the week, it was a generally high-scoring affair with almost all players getting 6-figure scores. Four players got 14/15 in part A while Inceptionzq received the third perfect 15/15 of the season in part A Despite fewer players vying for the limited number of points from part B, they still couldn't capitalize on the decreased competition getting a total of 42k from part B, barely better than the season-low set the prior week. 2/3 of those points went to Inceptionzq & Fancyarcher. Two weeks after the first 6/6, three(!) players got a perfect part C in week 9. 2nd-place Inceptionzq manages to cut the distance between them and 1st place down to 109k Week 10 (Jan 3-5) bcf26 & Sheikh tied for best score in Part A at 13 correct/58k points each while part B perked up from the doldrums of the prior 2 weeks with a season-best 79k total points with glassfairy accounting for 27k of those on their way to the week's high score. Multiple players got 4/6 correct in part C. Wk10 Cume Sheikh 83 927 Inceptionzq 82 817 ZeeSoh 77 761 Fancyarcher 70 732 BobDole 69 701 glassfairy 88 666 Wrath 0 563 chasmmi 61 553 bcf26 83 445 captainwondyful 0 304 JJ-8 0 298 The Panda 0 102 WrathOfHan 0 50 As always, take a glance at the scoring (link to spreadsheet in first post) for mistakes/typos
  9. 1. Will 1917 make more than $22M? Yes 2. Will 1917 make more than $28M? Yes 3. Will 1917 make more than $25M? Yes 4. Will 1917 finish in 1st place? Yes 5. Will 1917 increase more than 6000% on friday? Yes 6. Will Just Mercy make more than $12M? No 7. Will Like a Boss Open to more than $12M? No 8. Will Just Mercy make more than Like a Boss? No 9. Will Jumanji finish within $2.5M of Star Wars? Yes 10. Will TROS overtake Frozen Domestically by end of weekend? Yes  11. Will Little Women drop more than 40%? No 12. Will Frozen have a bigger percentage drop than Spies in Disguise? No 13. Will Grudge stay above Knives Out? No 14. Will Cats stay above Ford vs Ferrari? No 15. Will Cats ever stop giving me nightmares? No Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will 1917's Weekend be? $28,700,000 2. What will Grudge's percentage drop be? -65% 3. What will Frozen's PTA be? $2693 Part C There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. 1917 4. Little Women 6. Just Mercy 8. Knives Out 10. The Grudge 12. Bombshell Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000
  10. Week 10: January 3rd Weekend: - Will the Grudge Open in 2nd place? No
  11. Star Wars 9 Jumanji: The Next Level $90M 1917 Bad Boys For Life $70m Dolittle Little Women Frozen II $50m Like A Boss
  12. Week 9: December 27th Weekend: - Will Star Wars drop more than 40%? Yes
  13. Everything is 3 day unless stated 1. Will Spies in Disguise make more than $7M? Yes 2. Will Spies in Disguise make more than $11M? Yes 3. Will Spies in Disguise make more than $19M? No 4. Will Little Women Make more than $17.5M? Yes 5. Will Little Women Make more than $22.5M? Yes 6. Will Uncut Gems make more than $5M? Yes 7. Will Jumanji have a 3 day weekend above $20M? Yes 8. Will Jumanji have a 3 day weekend above $25M? Yes 9. Will TROS have a 3 day weekend above $90M? No 10. Will TROS have a 3 day weekend above $100M? No  11. Will Frozen stay in the top 3? Yes 12. Will Uncut Gems enter the top 8? Yes 13. Will Cats drop less than 15%? Yes 14. Will Cats domestic total by the end of Sunday be higher than Spies in Disguises' No 15. Are you glad that we now leave the Star Wars Era and enter the ERA OF AVAT... wait there;s still more years til that? 5000 Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Spies In Disguise's? $10,000,000 2. What will Cats' percentage drop be? -1% 3. What will Star Wars's PTA be? $18,951 Part C There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 3. Frozen II 5. Spies in Disguise 7. Uncut Gems 9. Queen & Slim 10. A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood 12. Black Christmas Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000
  14. Week 8: December 20th Weekend: - Will Star Wars open to more than $225M? No
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