BobDole
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Week 6: May 31st Weekend: - Will Godzilla and Rocketman's combined OW total be higher than Aladdin's OW? No
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John Wick $135M
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Week 5: May 24th Weekend: - Will Aladdin open to within 20% of Pikachu's Ow Weekend total in either direction? No
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Part A:
1. Will Aladdin Open to more than $62.5M? Yes
2. Will Aladdin Open to more than $87.5M? No
3. Will Aladdin Open to more than $75M? No
4. Will Aladdin have a higher Friday - OW multiplier than Dumbo? Yes
5. Will Aladdin increase on Saturday? 5000
6. Will Booksmart open to more than $7M? Yes
7. Will Brightburn open to more than $7M? Yes
8. Will Booksmart open to more than $9M? Yes
9. Will Booksmart open to more than $9M? Yes
10. Will The two highest non-Aladdin openers combine to more than $16M? Yes
11. Will John Wick drop more than 58%? No
12. Will Endgame have a bigger percentage drop than Pikachu? Yes
13. Will India's Most Wanted have a PTA above $4,250? No
14. Will La Larona stay above Captain Marvel? No
15. Will Pikachu's Domestic Total overtake Dumbo by the end of the weekend? Yes
16. Will the Hustle increase more than 125% on Friday? No
17. Will Poms decrease more than 20% on Sunday? No
18. Will Ugly Dolls drop more than 72%? Yes
19. Will Endgame Overtake Avatar Worldwide by the end of the weekend? (May as well keep this one till forever) No
20. Will watching Aladdin give you such a crick in the neck? Yes
Bonus:
12/20 3000
13/20 5000
14/20 8000
15/20 12000
16/20 16,000
17/20 20,000
18/20 26,000
19/20 32,000
20/20 40,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1. What will Aladdin make for its 3 day OW? $69,696,969
2. What will Long Shot's Sunday gross be? $800,000
3. What will The Intruder's PTA be for the 3 day weekend? $1550
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
3. Avengers: Endgame
5. Brightburn
7. A Dog's Journey
8. The Hustle
10. The Intruder
12. The Sun is also a Star
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
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Week 4: May 17th Weekend: - Will John Wick's Saturday gross be higher than any other new entry's 3 day gross? Yes
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Part A:
1. Will John Wick make more than $35M? Yes
2. Will John Wick make more than $50M? Yes
3. Will John Wick make more than $42.5M? Yes
4. Will Avengers Endgame's Weekend total be closer to John Wick's or Pikachu's? Pikachu
5. Will all three of John Wick's days beat Dog's Journey's 3 day total? Yes
6. Will The Sun is Also a Star open in the top 5? No
7. Will Ugly Dolls stay above Breakthrough? Yes
8. Will Breakthrough's PTA stay above $875? No
9. Will Endgame overtake Avatar Domestically ON Saturday? Yes
10. Will Captain Marvel have a bigger percentage drop than Shazam? Yes
11. Will Pikachu increase more than 70% on Saturday? No
12. Will The Hustle Drop more than 32% on Sunday? Yes
13. Will La Larona stay above $1M? No
14. Will Endgame overtake Avatar WW by the end of the weekend? No
15. Will Pikachu do more or less Detective Work than the combined 5 Batmans that we have had to date? More
Bonus:
9/15 5000
10/15 8000
11/15 12,000
12/15 16,000
13/15 20,000
14/15 24,000
15/15 30,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1.What will John Wick's OW be? $64,500,000
2. What will UglyDoll's percentage drop be? -50%
3. What will Long Shot's PTA be? $1610
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
1. John Wick 3
3. Detective Pikachu
6. The Intruder
8. The Sun is also a Star
11. Breakthrough
13. Tolkien
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
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Part A:
1. Will Pikachu Make more than $60M? No
2. Will Pikachu make more than $90M? No
3. Will Pikachu make more than $75M? No
4. Will Pikachu open in 1st place? No
5. Will Endgame overtake Avatar by the end of the weekend? No
6. Will The Hustle open to more than $14M? No
7. Will Poms open to more than $10M? No
8. Will the top 3 New Entries combine to more than $100? No
9. Will Long Shot drop more than 52%? No
10. Will Captain Marvel stay above Breakthrough? Yes
11. Will La Lorona's PTA stay above $950? No
12. Will Tolkien have a PTA above $3,250? No
13. Will Shazam increase more than 82% on Saturday? Yes
14. Will Endgame overtake Avatar WW by the end of the weekend? No
15. Will Pikachu do more or less Detective Work than the combined 5 Batmans that we have had to date? More
Bonus:
9/15 5000
10/15 8000
11/15 12,000
12/15 16,000
13/15 20,000
14/15 24,000
15/15 30,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1.What will Pikachu's OW be? $59,900,000
2. What will Intruder's percentage drop be? -61.6%
3. What will Dumbo's PTA be? $350
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
1. Avengers: Endgame
3. The Hustle
5. Poms
8. Captain Marvel
10. Tolkien
12. Tolkien
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
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Week 3: May 10th Weekend: - Will Detective Pikachu make more than Endgame's 2nd Weekend total? No
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1. Long Shot TOO HIGH
2. Uglydolls TOO HIGH
3. The Hustle TOO LOW
4. A Dog's Journey TOO LOW
5. John Wick 3 TOO HIGH
6. Sun is also a Star TOO LOW
7. Ma TOO HIGH
8. MIB International TOO LOW
9. Shaft TOO HIGH
10. Child's Play TOO LOW
All you have to do is predict whether the predictions above are too high, or too low. You can choose to predict for as many or as few films as you wish.
If you wish to go further, you could also choose to wager that a film will make less than half or more than double the above predictions. These predictions have bigger risks and bigger rewards.
Predictions will be scored as follows:
Correct High/Low Prediction - 8000 points
Correct Double/Half Prediction - 20000 points
Incorrect High/Low Prediction - Minus 6000 points
Incorrect Double/Half Prediction - Minus 15000 points
PART B:
1. Which film will be the lowest grossing? Long Shot
2. Which film will be the highest grossing without making more than $100M? The Hustle
3. Will exactly two films make the Domestic top 15? No
4. Will any film double its predicted gross? No
5. Will any film fail to reach half of its predicted gross? Yes
6. Will the actual combined total gross for the films be higher or lower than the predicted total gross? Higher
7. Percentage wise, what will be boxoffice.com's best prediction? MIB International
8. Percentage wise, what will be boxoffice.com's worst prediction? Long Shot
9. Will any of the films open in the number 1 position? Yes
10. Will 3 or more of these films open in 4th or lower? Yes
Predictions will be scored as follows:
Number of correct answers in Part A x Number of correct answers in Part B x 1000
So if you got 6 correct in part A and 4 correct in part B, you will score: 6 x 4 x 1000 = 24,000 points for part B.
There is no risk of losing points in part B.
There is also the option to abstain from this question. If you state that you Abstain in this Thread, you will receive 3000 points
Any player who does not predict or state abstain in this thread will lose 10000 points
The Deadline is Thursday May 2nd at 11:59pm (Weekend start time)
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Week 2: May 3rd Weekend: - Will Avengers Endgame drop more than 56.5%? No
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Part A:
1. Will Endgame Make more than $160M? Yes
2. Will Endgame make more than $200M? Yes
3. Will Endgame make more than $180M? Yes
4. Will The Intruder Open in 2nd Place? No
5. Will the top 4 new entries' combined 3 day OWs total more than Endgame's 2nd Friday? No
6. Will UglyDolls make more than Long Shot? Yes
7. Will Captain Marvel drop more than 40%? No
8. Will La Llorona stay above Breakthrough? No
9. Will Little stay above Dumbo? Yes
10. Will Penguins stay in the top 12? No
11. Will Pet Semetary's PTA stay above $450? No
12. Will Shazam drop less than 55%? Yes
13. Will Missing Link increase more than 90% on Saturday? Yes??
14. Will Endgame cross $2B WW by the end of the weekend? Yes
15. Will Disney pull the rest of its summer slate from the release schedules now because really... what's the point, there's no money left in the world? No
Bonus:
9/15 5000
10/15 8000
11/15 12,000
12/15 16,000
13/15 20,000
14/15 24,000
15/15 30,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1. Long Shot? $6,750,000
2. What will be the percentage change for Us? -54.5%
3. What will Endgame's PTA be? $43,114.54
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
2. Uglydolls
4. The Intruder
6. Breakthrough
9. Dumbo
11. El Chicano
13. Us
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
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these hastily put-together answers in a tired state will absolutely fuck me over in the end (again)
A: Domestic top 15:
1) Avengers: Endgame $710M
2) Lion King $460M
3) Toy Story 4 $350M
4) Spider-Man: Far from Home $300M
5) The Secret Life of Pets 2 $275M
6) Aladdin $230M
7) Godzilla: King of the Monsters $210M
8 Fast & Furious Presents: Shaw & Hobbs $200M
9) Detective Pikachu $190M
10) Rocketman $166.9M
11) Dark Phoenix $151.2M
12) Men in Black: International $143M
13) Once Upon a Time in Hollywood $116M
14) Annabelle Comes Home $101M
15) John Wick Chapter 3 Parabellum $100M
Backup 16*) It: Chapter 2 $99M
*Only used if a film above exits the game
B: Top 7 Domestic OW:
1) Avengers: Endgame $289M
2) Lion King $165M
3) Spider-Man: Farm From Home $117M
4) Toy Story 4 $101M
5) It: Chapter 2 $99M
6) Godzilla: King of the Monsters $75M
7) The Secret Life of Pets $73M
Backup 8*) Detective Pikachu $79M
*Only used if a film above exits the game
C Worldwide top 12:
1) Avengers: Endgame $2.45B
2) Lion King $1.35B
3) Secret Life of Pets 2 $850M
4) Toy Story 4 $800M
5) Spider-Man: Far from Home $799M
6) Godzilla: King of the Monsters $750M
7) Detective Pikachu $700M
8 Hobbs and Shaw $699M
9) Detective Pikachu $500M
10) Dark Phoenix $430M
11) Men in Black: International $400M
12) Rocketman $399M
Backup 13*) Annabelle Comes Home $300M
*Only used if a film above exits the game
D TOP 5 Weekends
1) April 26-28 $330M
2) July 19-21 $205M
3) July 5-7 $200M
4) June 7-9 $180M
5) May 10-12 $167M
backup 6*) June 21-23 $150M
*Only used if a film above exits the game
¿ ¿ ¿ a backup in case a weekend gets cancelled / moved to different time of year???
E: Multipliers
1) Spider-Man: Far from Home 4x
2) Rocketman 3.5x
3) Toy Story 4 3.01x
4) Secret Life of Pets 3x
5) Lion King 2.95x
backup 6*) Angry Birds 2 2.8x
*Only used if a film above exits the game
F: Total Grosses
Top 15 DOM) 4.2B
Top7 OW) 1B
Top 12 WW) 10.5B
Top 5 W/E) 1.1B
Average Multi) 2.98x
G: RANDOM FREE QUESTIONS
RFQ1: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones domestically by the end of the game:
A: 100M John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum
B: 200M Godzilla: King of the Monsters
C 300M Spider-Man: Far From Home
D 400M Lion King
E: 500M Lion King
RFQ2: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones Worldwide by the end of the game:
A: $1.5B Lion King
B: $1B Lion King
C 800M Secret Life of Pets 2
D 600M Godzilla: King of the Monsters
E: 400M Dark Phoenix
RFQ3: Predict the top grossing film released in each month:
A: April Avengers: Endgame
B: May Aladdin
C June Secret Life of Pets 2
D July Lion King
E: August Hobbs and Shaw
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1. Avengers, Lion King, and Pikachu's combined OW will be:
A. Less than $550M
B. Between $550M and $650M
C. Over $650M
Abstain
2. Godzilla 2's China Box office will be:
A. Less than $100M
B. Between $100M and $150M
C. Over $150M
Abstain
3. Avengers' Total admissions in South Korea will be:
A. Less than 8.5M
B. Between 8.5M and 10M
C. Over 10M
4. Secret Life of Pets 2's UK gross will be:
A. Less than $40M
B. Between $40M and $55M
C. Over $55M
Abstain
5. The film with the best multiplier will be:
A. Lion King
B. Aladdin
C. Toy Story 4
6. Avengers' number of weekends in the domestics top 5 + Lion King's number of weekends in the domestics top 5 + Toy Story's number of weekends in the domestics top 5 will be:
A. Less than 14
B. 14-16
C. Over 16
7. Toy Story 4's Domestic Gross divided by Child's Play and Annabelle's combined Domestic Gross will be:
A. Less than 2.75
B. Between 2.,75 and 3.5
C. Over 3.5
Abstain
8. Hobbs and Shaw's Overseas (excluding Domestic) Box office will be:
A. Less than $700M
B. Between $700M and $900M
C. Over $900M
Abstain
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20M - Avengers: Endgame - Taiwan
Toy Story 4 - China40M - Avengers: Endgame - Russia
Japan60M - Avengers: Endgame - Australia
Mexico80M - Avengers: Endgame - Brazil
100M - Avengers: Endgame - UK
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fuckit, I ain't got time to put any more effort than Full 50000 on Avengers Endgame
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Part A:
1. Will Avengers Open to more than $260M? Yes
2. Will Avengers Open to more than $300M? No
3. Will Avengers Open to more than $280M? Yes
4. Will Avengers Saturday increase from its true Friday (excluding Thursday previews)? No
5. Will Will Avengers' make more than 82.5% of all the box office of every film reported by BOM when actuals are released? Yes
6. Will La Larona drop less than 56%? No
7. Will Pet Semetary stay above Us? No
8. Will Avengers Endgame overtake Dumbo's Domestic total on its opening day? Yes
9. Will any film in the top 15 drop more than 65%? Yes
10. Will Hellboy's PTA stay above $750? Yes
11. Will Little increase more than 40% on Saturday? No
12. Will Shazam drop more than 33% on Sunday? Yes
13. Will the White Crow have a PTA above $12k? No?
14. Will After stay above Penguins? No
15. Will Captain Marvel decrease less than 20%? Yes
16. Will Shazam's domestic total on Saturday be closer to the domestic total of Dumbo or How to Train Your Dragon? How to Train You Dragon?
17. Will Pet Semetary have the worst PTA in the top 10? Yes
18. Will Breakthrough overtake Hellboy Domestically by the end of the weekend? Yes
19. How many films will make more than $2.5M this weekend? 8
20. Will Thanos ultimately be defeated by the power of friendship? No
Bonus:
12/20 3000
13/20 5000
14/20 8000
15/20 12000
16/20 16,000
17/20 20,000
18/20 26,000
19/20 32,000
20/20 40,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1. What will Avengers make for its 3 day OW? $289,999,999
2. What will Dumbo's Sunday gross be? $650,006
3. What will Missing Link's PTA be for the 3 day weekend? $1440
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
1. Avengers: Endgame
3. Shazam!
6. Little
8. Us
9. Missing Link
11. Penguins
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
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Week 1: April 26th Weekend: - Will Avengers Endgame make more than $300M OW? No?
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Shazam! not only survives its release date but thrives and lives up to the hype & promise of its trailers.
At the very least it doesn't become the lowest grossing DCEU movie.
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2. Will Dragon 3 Open to more than $55M? No
10. Will Cold Pursuit stay above The Upside? No
11. Will Green Book have a smaller percentage drop than Bohemian Rhapsody? Yes
15. Will The Prodigy stay in the top 12? No
17. Will Happy Death Day drop more than 33% on Sunday? Yes
20. What will be the highest placed film to win an Oscar? Green Book
22. Will Miss Bala stay above the Oscar Short Films? No
23. Will Will the top 10 make more than $115M combined? No
24. Will Mortal Engines make a mystical 55 Million this weekend and save my top 15?? No
25. Will you be back for Summer? Yes
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1. Will Alita make more than $13.5M? Yes
2. Will Alita make more than $18.5M? No
3. Will Alita make more than $16M? No
4. Will Isn't It Romantic finish above What Men Want? Yes
5. How many films will make more than $3M? 8 *Run the Race better not f me over here
6. Will Lego Movie 2 drop more than 45%? Yes
7. Will Cold Pursuit Finish Above The Upside? No
8. Will Glass have a PTA above $1,200? Yes
9. Will Aquaman have a PTA above $1,200? No
10. How many Best Picture Nominees will increase this weekend? 1
11. Will The Prodigy increase on Friday? Yes
12. Will Lego Movie Increase more than 100% on Saturday? Yes
13. Will Glass have a bigger Sunday drop than Aquaman? Yes
14. Which film in top Domestic top 15 will Alita be closest to in Dollars by the end of the Game? Instant Family
15. are you angry at how annoying and random a few of the above questions ended up being? No
Bonus:
9/15 5000
10/15 8000
11/15 12,000
12/15 16,000
13/15 20,000
14/15 24,000
15/15 30,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
No part 2 for Make Ups
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
1. How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
4. Fighting with my Family
7. The Upside
8. Happy Death Day 2U
10. Run the Race
13. The Prodigy
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
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Week 17: February 22nd Weekend: - Will Dragon 3 make it into the Winter Game top 15 (Include the Monday gross)? No
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I added 15 for when players got both 1st & 2nd correct so they'd get the 25k points. That still wouldn't explain why we're 5k off for each player though...eh who knows
Summer Game Week 6 - King of the Biopics
in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game
Posted · Edited by BobDole
Part A:
1. Will Godzilla make more than $47.5M? Yes
2. Will Godzilla make more than $62.5M? No
3. Will Godzilla make more than $55M? Yes
4. Will Godzilla plus pikachu make more than Rocketman Plus Ma? Yes
5. Will all three new entries combine to more than $120M? No
6. Will Rocketman make more $35M? No
7. Will Rocketman make more $42.5M? No
8. Will Ma make more $20M? Yes
9. Will Ma make more $25M? Yes
10. Will Aladdin make more than $47.5M? No
11. Will Endgame drop more than 50%? No
12. Will Booksmart drop more than 57%? No
13. Will sun is also a Star's PTA increase this weekend? Yes
14. Will John Wick overtake Dumbo domestically by the end of Sunday? Yes
15. Will Pikachu do more or less Detective Work than the combined 5 Batmans that we have had to date? More
Bonus:
9/15 5000
10/15 8000
11/15 12,000
12/15 16,000
13/15 20,000
14/15 24,000
15/15 30,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1.What will Godzilla's OW be? $59,500,000
2. What will Dumbo's percentage drop be? -59.6%
3. What will be the difference in dollars between Ma and Rocketman's OW? $3,123,000
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
1. Godzilla
3. Rocketman
5. John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum
7. Detective Pikachu
10. A Dog's Journey
12. The Intruder
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000