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BobDole

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  1. Part A:

    1. NO Will Hobbs and Shaw Open to more than $75M? 1000

    2. NO Will Hobbs and Shaw Open to more than $95M? 2000

    3. NO Will Hobbs and Shaw Open to more than $85M? 3000

    4. YES Will Hobbs and Shaw's Saturday and Sunday combined total beat Lion King's Weekend total? 4000

    5. NO Will Hobbs and Shaw Open make more than 42% of its weekend gross on Friday? 5000 

     

    6. NO Will Once Upon a Time drop more than 56%?  1000

    7. YES Will Crawl have a bigger PTA than Yesterday? 2000

    8. YES Will Spider-man stay above Toy Story 4? 3000

    9. YES Will The Nightingale have a PTA above $20,000? 4000

    10. NO Will Aladdin increase more than 55% on Friday? 5000

     

    11. NO Will Stuber stay above Annabelle? 1000

    12. NO Will Midsommar drop more than 33% on Sunday? 2000

    13. YES Will the Endgame have a PTA above $1,200k? 3000

    14. YES Will anything in the top 20 increase this weekend? 4000

    15. YES Will Aladdin have a bigger saturday increase than Lion King? 5000 

     

    16. NO Will Stuber stay in the top 10? 1000

    17. NO Will Films listed by BOM as BV (Buena Vista) studio releases combine to more than $50M? 2000

    18. ANNABELLE Will Once Upon a Time's total gross by the end of Sunday be closer to Rocketman or Annabelle's total? 3000

    19. STUBER Which film in the upcoming top 12 will have largest percentage decrease? 4000

    20. NO Will Thanos ultimately be defeated by the power of friendship? 5000 

     

    Bonus: 

     

    12/20    3000

    13/20    5000

    14/20    8000

    15/20   12000

    16/20    16,000

    17/20   20,000 

    18/20    26,000

    19/20    32,000 

     20/20   40,000  

     

     

    Part B:

    The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

    Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

    2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

    3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

     

    1. What will Hobbs and Shaw make for its 3 day OW? $69,696,969

    2. What will Crawl's Sunday gross be? $704,904

    3. What will SLOP's PTA be for the 3 day weekend? $774

     

     

    Part C

    There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

    3. Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood

    5. Toy Story 4

    6. The Farewell

    8. Aladdin

    10. Stuber

    12. Avengers: Endgame

     

    Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

    1/6   4,000

    2/6   10,000

    3/6   18,000

    4/6   25,000

    5/6   36,000

    6/6 - 50,000

    • Like 1
  2. Part A

    1. Will Once Upon A Time make more than $35M? Yes

    2. Will Once Upon A Time make more than $50M?  No

    3. Will Once Upon A Time make more than $42.5M? Yes

    4. Will Once Upon A Time make more than half of Lion King's Weekend total? No

    5. Will Spiderman overtake Aladdin Domestically by the end of the weekend? No

     

    6. Will Spiderman stay above Toy Story 4?  Yes

    7. Will Crawl stay above Yesterday? No

    8. Will Endgame's PTA stay above $1000? Yes

    9. Will Annabelle have a higher percentage drop than Midsommar? No

    10. Will Stuber drop more than 52%? No

     

    11. Will Toy Story increase more than 37% on Saturday? No

    12. Will Secret Life of Pets stay in the top 12? No

    13. Will Lion King Overtake Toy Story's Domestic Total by the end of the weekend? No

    14. Which film in the upcoming top 12 will have the highest percentage drop? Stuber

    15. Will we see a CGI hippo balancing on the beak of a CGI toucan?  No

     

    Bonus:

    9/15    5000

    10/15   8000

    11/15    12,000

    12/15   16,000 

    13/15    20,000

    14/15    24,000 

     15/15   30,000  

     

     

    Part B:

    The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

    Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

    2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

    3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

     

    1. What will Once Upon a Time's OW be? $43,199,959

    2. What will Yesterday's percentage drop be? -34.26%

    3. What will Aladdin's PTA be? $1363

     

     

    Part C

    There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

    2. Once Upon a Time in...Hollywood

    4. Toy Story 4

    6. Crawl

    7. The Farewell

    9. The Farewell

    11. The Art of Self-Defense

     

    Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

    1/6   4,000

    2/6   10,000

    3/6   18,000

    4/6   25,000

    5/6   36,000

    6/6 - 50,000

  3. @captainwondyful

     

    18 hours ago, captainwondyful said:

    Part B

     

    Q1 191,770,759

    Q2 -53.7%

    Q3 $3750

     

    3750 is the number of theaters TS4 was in, its PTA was $4,147. I know because its estimates had its PTA at $3893...$3 from my 3890 guess and making me salivate over 15,000 bonus points but with actuals it's down to a measly 6000 points

    • Like 2
  4. Predict the top 2 films of each weekend in order. Use the following template:

     

    Week 13:  1st - The Lion King     2nd - Spider-Man: Far From Home

    Week 14:  1st - The Lion King     2nd - Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    Week 15:  1st - Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw     2nd - The Lion King

    Week 16:  1st - Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw     2nd. - The Lion King

    Week 17:  1st - Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw    2nd - 47 Meters Down: Uncaged

    Week 18:  1st - Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw     2nd - Angel Has Fallen

    Week 19:  1st - Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw     2nd - The Angry Birds Movie 2

    Week 20:  1st - It: Chapter 2    2nd - The Angry Birds Movie 2

  5. Part A:

    1. Will Lion King make more than $150M? Yes

    2. Will Lion King make more than $200M?  Yes

    3. Will Lion King make more than $175M? Yes

    4. Will Lion King's friday+ Saturday Total be higher than the 3 day combined weekend of every other film reported by BOM? Yes

    5. Will Lion King have a higher Internal Multiplier than the Beauty and the Beast Remake? No

     

    6. Will Crawl have a bigger percentage decrease than Stuber?  No

    7. Will Yesterday stay above Aladdin? Yes

    8. Will Annabelle's PTA stay above $1000? Yes

    9. Will any Disney (be it Marvel, animated or whatever) film increase this weekend? No

    10. Will Aladdin's domestic total be closer to Toy Story or Spiderman by the end of the weekend? Spider-Man

     

    11. Will Midsommer drop more than 67%? No

    12. Will Rocketman stay in the top 12? No

    13. Will Avengers increase more than 55% on Saturday? No

    14. Which film in the upcoming top 12 will have the highest percentage drop? Men in Black International

    15. Will we see a CGI hippo balancing on the beak of a CGI toucan?  No

     

    Bonus:

    9/15    5000

    10/15   8000

    11/15    12,000

    12/15   16,000 

    13/15    20,000

    14/15    24,000 

     15/15   30,000  

     

     

    Part B:

    The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

    Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

    2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

    3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

     

    1.What will Lion King's Domestic Total be by end of Sunday? $201,003,000

    2. What will Annabelle's percentage drop be? -50%

    3. What will Toy Story's PTA be? $3890

     

     

    Part C

    There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

    2. Spider-Man: Far from Home

    5. Yesterday

    7. Stuber

    8. Annabelle Comes Home

    10. The Secret Life of Pets 2

    12. Men in Black International

     

    Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

    1/6   4,000

    2/6   10,000

    3/6   18,000

    4/6   25,000

    5/6   36,000

    6/6 - 50,000

  6. Part A:

    1. Will Stuber make more than $12M? No

    2. Will Stuber make more than $18M?  No

    3. Will Stuber make more than $15M? No

    4. Will Crawl make more than $12MNo

    5. Will Crawl make more than $15M? No

     

    6. Will the top two stay the same?  Yes

    7. Will Spiderman drop more than 52%? No

    8. Will Annabelle stay above Aladdin? No

    9. Will SLOP2 have a bigger percentage drop than Toy Story? Yes

    10. Will MiBi's PTA stay above $800? Yes

     

    11. Will Yesterday drop more than 51%? No

    12. Will Avengers stay above Rocketman? No?

    13. Will Child's Play decrease more than 30% on Sunday? Yes

    14. Which film in the upcoming top 12 will have the highest percentage drop? Men in Black International

    15. Will anything go over Stuber's head because he is not fast enough to catch it?  Yes

     

    Bonus:

    9/15    5000

    10/15   8000

    11/15    12,000

    12/15   16,000 

    13/15    20,000

    14/15    24,000 

     15/15   30,000  

     

     

    Part B:

    The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

    Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

    2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

    3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

     

    1.What will Stuber's Domestic Total be by end of Sunday? $9,000,000

    2. What will Aladdin's percentage drop be? -30%

    3. What will John Wick's PTA be? $1172

     

     

    Part C

     

    There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

     

    2. Toy Story 4

    4. Stuber

    6. Aladdin

    8. Midsommar

    11. Avengers: Endgame

    12. Rocketman

     

    Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

    1/6   4,000

    2/6   10,000

    3/6   18,000

    4/6   25,000

    5/6   36,000

    6/6 - 50,000

     

  7. 3 day UOS

    Part A:

    1. Will Spider Man make more than $110M? No

    2. Will Spider man make more than $117.5M?  No

    3. Will Spider man make more than $135M? No

    4. Will Midsommer make more than $7.5M? Yes

    5. Will Midsommer make more than $10M? No

     

    6. Will Toy Story stay above $30M?  Yes

    7. Will MIBI stay above Endgame? Yes

    8. Will Child's Play stay in the top 12? No

    9. Will SLOP2 have a bigger percentage drop than Rocketman? Yes

    10. Will Toy Story 4 overtake Aladdin Domestic by the end of the weekend? Yes

     

    11. Will Annabelle drop more than 53%? No

    12. Will Anna stay above Shaft? No

    13. Will John Wick decrease more than 30% on Sunday? No

    14. Will Godzilla's PTA stay above $1,300? Yes

    15. Will *Spoiler Redacted* arrive and *Spoiler Redacted* in the *Spoiler Redacted* with a *Spoiler Redacted*?? 

    Spoiler

    Yes

     

    Bonus:

    9/15    5000

    10/15   8000

    11/15    12,000

    12/15   16,000 

    13/15    20,000

    14/15    24,000 

     15/15   30,000  

     

     

    Part B:

    The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

    Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

    2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

    3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

     

    1.What will Spiderman's Domestic Total be by end of Sunday? $191,000,000

    2. What will Child's Play's percentage drop be? -50.9%

    3. What will Yesterday's PTA be? $3959

     

     

    Part C

    There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

    3. Yesterday

    5. Midsommar

    7. Secret Life of Pets 2

    10. Avengers: Endgame

    12. Child's Play

    14. Dark Phoenix

     

    Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

    1/6   4,000

    2/6   10,000

    3/6   18,000

    4/6   25,000

    5/6   36,000

    6/6 - 50,000

  8. Part A:

    1. Will Annabelle  make more than $22M? No

    2. Will Annabelle  make more than $28M?  No

    3. Will Annabelle  make more than $34M? No

    4. Will Yesterday make more than $12M? Yes

    5. Will Yesterday's OW be higher than Annabelle's Friday? Yes

     

    6. Will Dark Phoenix stay above Shaft?  No

    7. Will Child's Play stay above SLOP? No

    8. Will Gosdzilla stay in the top 10? No

    9. Will John Wick have a bigger percentage drop than Rocketman? No

    10. Will Aladdin cross $300 on Saturday? No

     

    11. Will MEn In Black drop more than 53%? Yes

    12. Will MIBI overtake Dark Phoenix's Domestic total by the end of the weekend? Yes

    13. Will Toy Story increase more than 88% on Saturday? No

    14. Will Anna's PTA stay above $1000? No

    15. Will there be an Annabelle/Chucky Romance scene set up for the next installment?  No

     

    Bonus:

    9/15    5000

    10/15   8000

    11/15    12,000

    12/15   16,000 

    13/15    20,000

    14/15    24,000 

     15/15   30,000  

     

     

    Part B:

    The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

    Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

    2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

    3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

     

    1.What will Annabelle's OW be? $14,300,000

    2. What will Shaft's percentage drop be? -55.4%

    3. What will Aladdin's PTA be? $2782

     

     

    Part C

    There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

    3. Yesterday

    4. Avengers: Endgame

    6. Secret Life of Pets 2

    8. Men in Black: International

    11. Godzilla: King of the Monsters

    13. Dark Phoenix

     

    Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

    1/6   4,000

    2/6   10,000

    3/6   18,000

    4/6   25,000

    5/6   36,000

    6/6 - 50,000

  9. Part A:

    1. Will Toy Story Open to more than $135M? Yes

    2. Will Toy Story Open to more than $165M? No

    3. Will Toy Story Open to more than $150M? No

    4. Will Toy Story Increase on Saturday? No

    5. Will Toy story make more than 8 times the gross of Child's Play?  Yes

     

    6. Will Child's Play open to more than $14M?  No

    7. Will Child's Play open to more than $24M? No

    8. Will Child's Play open to more than $19M? No

    9. Will Anna open to more than $4M? No

    10. Will Child's Play + Anna's combined Weekend total come to more than half of Toy Story's Opening Sunday? No

     

    11. Will MIB stay above SLOP? Yes

    12. Will Shaft drop more than 65%  No

    13. Will Rocketman's PTA stay above $2,500? No

    14. Will Dark Phoenix stay in the top 10? Yes

    15. Will either Aladdin or Endgame (or both) increase this weekend? No

     

    16. Will the Pikachu increase more than 125% on Friday? No

    17. Will Godzilla decrease more than 50%? Yes

    18. Will Late Night stay above Endgame? Yes

    19. Will SLOP increase more than 100% on Saturday No

    20. Will Anna turn out to be an Annabelle stealth release in order to get the murderous doll trifecta? No

     

    Bonus:

    12/20    3000

    13/20    5000

    14/20    8000

    15/20   12000

    16/20    16,000

    17/20   20,000 

    18/20    26,000

    19/20    32,000 

     20/20   40,000  

     

     

    Part B:

    The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

    Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

    2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

    3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

     

    1. What will Toy Story make for its 3 day OW? $140,000,000

    2. What will Child's Play's OW be as a percentage of Toy Story's Saturday? 22.3%

    3. What will Dark Phoenix's Percentage drop be? -57%

     

     

    Part C

     

    There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

     

    2. Men in Black: International

    4. Aladdin

    6. Rocketman

    8. Dark Phoenix

    10. Anna

    12. Avengers: Endgame

     

    Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

     

    1/6   4,000

    2/6   10,000

    3/6   18,000

    4/6   25,000

    5/6   36,000

    6/6 - 50,000

  10. Part A:

    1. Will MIB make more than $35M? No

    2. Will MIB make more than $45M?  No

    3. Will MIB make more than $40M? No

    4. Will Shaft make more than $17.5M? No

    5. Will Shaft make more than $22.5M? No

     

    6. Will Godzilla stay above Rocketman?  Yes??????????

    7. Will booksmart stay above A dog's Journey? Yes

    8. Will SLOP stay in the top 2? Yes

    9. Will John Wick have a bigger percentage drop than Avengers? No

    10. Will Late Night enter the top 8? No

     

    11. Will Aladdin drop more than 50%? No

    12. Will SLOP 2 overtake Godzilla's DOmestic total by the end of the weekend? Yes

    13. Will Ma decrease more than 33% on Sunday? Yes

    14. Will Brightburn's PTa stay above $300? No

    15. Will Shaft cameo in this film about Shaft training another Shaft how to Shaft?  No

     

    Bonus:

    9/15    5000

    10/15   8000

    11/15    12,000

    12/15   16,000 

    13/15    20,000

    14/15    24,000 

     15/15   30,000  

     

     

    Part B:

    The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

    Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

    2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

    3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

     

    1.What will MIB's OW be? $28,650,000

    2. What will Rocketman's percentage drop be? -35.6%

    3. What will John Wick's PTA be? $2815

     

     

    Part C

     

    There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

     

    2. The Secret Life of Pets 2

    5. Godzilla: King of the Monsters

    7.  Rocketman

    8.  John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum

    10.  Avengers: Endgame

    12. The Dead Don't Die

     

    Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

    1/6   4,000

    2/6   10,000

    3/6   18,000

    4/6   25,000

    5/6   36,000

    6/6 - 50,000

  11. Part A:

    1. Will Slop make more than $62.5M? No

    2. Will Slop make more than $72.5M?  No

    3. Will Slop make more than $67.5M? No

    4. Will Slop 2 make more over Friday and Saturday, than Phoenix's full 3 day weekend? No

    5. Will the two main new entries combine to more than $120M? No

     

    6. Will Dark Phoneix make more $45M?  No

    7. Will Dark Phoneix make more $55M? No

    8. Will Dark Phoneix make more $50M? No

    9. Will Godzilla stay above Aladdin? No

    10. Will Ma have a bigger percentage drop than Rocketman? Yes

     

    11. Will Pikachu drop more than 50%? No

    12. Will John Wick Overtake PIkachu's DOmestic total by the end of the weekend? Yes

    13. Will Endgame increase more than 85% on Friday? Yes

    14. Will Booksmart increase more than 37% on Saturday? Yes

    15. Will SLOP2 finally see justice for Reggie?  No  

     

    Bonus:

    9/15    5000

    10/15   8000

    11/15    12,000

    12/15   16,000 

    13/15    20,000

    14/15    24,000 

     15/15   30,000  

     

     

    Part B:

    The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

    Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

    2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

    3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

     

    1.What will SLOP 2's OW be? $50,000,000

    2. What will Brightburn's percentage drop be? -71%

    3. What will Shazam's PTA be? $799

     

     

    Part C

    There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

     

    1. Secret Life of Pets 2

    4. Godzilla: King of the Monsters

    6. Ma

    9. Detective Pikachu

    11. The Hustle

    13. Brightburn

     

    Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

    1/6   4,000

    2/6   10,000

    3/6   18,000

    4/6   25,000

    5/6   36,000

    6/6 - 50,000

  12. so... Scoring. For each of the above just answer Yes or No, no need to guess a particular film or whatever. That's it. Simples.

    Well... you do then have to put each prediction into the scoring chart below. If your prediction is correct, you win the amount of points on the left, if it is incorrect, you lose the amount of points on the right.

     

     

     

    1. (2,000 / 20,000) - Highest Independence Day OW (currently TF3 at $97.8M) NO

    2. (2,000 / 20,000) - Widest ever R Rated Release  (currently Deadpool 2 at 4349 theatres) NO

    3. (4,000 / 12,000) - Highest September OW (currently It at $123.4M) NO

    4. (4,000 / 12,000) - Highest PG (not PG-13)-Total  (currently Incredibles 2 at $608.5M) NO

     

    5. (6,000 / 8,000) - Highest Opening Tuesday Gross (currently ASM at $35.0M) NO

    6. (6,000 / 8,000) - Highest Worldwide Box Office Total NO

    7. (8,000 / 2,000) - Highest Summer OW (currently Jurassic World at $208.8M) NO

    8. (8,000 / 2,000) - Highest G-Rated domestic Total (currently Lion King at $422.8M)  NO

     

    9. (10,000 / 8,000) Highest Tuesday Gross (currently SW:TFA at $37.3M) NO

    10. (15,000 / 12,000) - Highest Worldwide Box office total for an Animated film  (currently Frozen at $1.27B) NO

    11. (20,000 / 20,000) - Highest non-Friday OW (currently TF2 at $108.9M) NO

    12.  (25,000 / 30,000) Highest R-Rated OW (currently Deadpool at $132.4M) NO

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