BobDole
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Posts posted by BobDole
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Avengers: Endgame
The Lion King
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Part A:
1. NO Will Hobbs and Shaw Open to more than $75M? 1000
2. NO Will Hobbs and Shaw Open to more than $95M? 2000
3. NO Will Hobbs and Shaw Open to more than $85M? 3000
4. YES Will Hobbs and Shaw's Saturday and Sunday combined total beat Lion King's Weekend total? 4000
5. NO Will Hobbs and Shaw Open make more than 42% of its weekend gross on Friday? 5000
6. NO Will Once Upon a Time drop more than 56%? 1000
7. YES Will Crawl have a bigger PTA than Yesterday? 2000
8. YES Will Spider-man stay above Toy Story 4? 3000
9. YES Will The Nightingale have a PTA above $20,000? 4000
10. NO Will Aladdin increase more than 55% on Friday? 5000
11. NO Will Stuber stay above Annabelle? 1000
12. NO Will Midsommar drop more than 33% on Sunday? 2000
13. YES Will the Endgame have a PTA above $1,200k? 3000
14. YES Will anything in the top 20 increase this weekend? 4000
15. YES Will Aladdin have a bigger saturday increase than Lion King? 5000
16. NO Will Stuber stay in the top 10? 1000
17. NO Will Films listed by BOM as BV (Buena Vista) studio releases combine to more than $50M? 2000
18. ANNABELLE Will Once Upon a Time's total gross by the end of Sunday be closer to Rocketman or Annabelle's total? 3000
19. STUBER Which film in the upcoming top 12 will have largest percentage decrease? 4000
20. NO Will Thanos ultimately be defeated by the power of friendship? 5000
Bonus:
12/20 3000
13/20 5000
14/20 8000
15/20 12000
16/20 16,000
17/20 20,000
18/20 26,000
19/20 32,000
20/20 40,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1. What will Hobbs and Shaw make for its 3 day OW? $69,696,969
2. What will Crawl's Sunday gross be? $704,904
3. What will SLOP's PTA be for the 3 day weekend? $774
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
3. Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood
5. Toy Story 4
6. The Farewell
8. Aladdin
10. Stuber
12. Avengers: Endgame
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
- 1
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Week 15: August 2nd Weekend: - Will Hobbs and Shaw make less than 22.5% Of its weekend total on Sunday? No
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47 Meters Down: Uncaged ($45M)
Once Upon a Time in...Hollywood ($88M)
PLAYMOBIL: The Movie ($2M)
The Secret Life of Pets 2 ($1.5M)
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Week 14: July 26th Weekend: - Will Once Upon a Time in Hollywood drop more than 12% on Saturday? No
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Part A
1. Will Once Upon A Time make more than $35M? Yes
2. Will Once Upon A Time make more than $50M? No
3. Will Once Upon A Time make more than $42.5M? Yes
4. Will Once Upon A Time make more than half of Lion King's Weekend total? No
5. Will Spiderman overtake Aladdin Domestically by the end of the weekend? No
6. Will Spiderman stay above Toy Story 4? Yes
7. Will Crawl stay above Yesterday? No
8. Will Endgame's PTA stay above $1000? Yes
9. Will Annabelle have a higher percentage drop than Midsommar? No
10. Will Stuber drop more than 52%? No
11. Will Toy Story increase more than 37% on Saturday? No
12. Will Secret Life of Pets stay in the top 12? No
13. Will Lion King Overtake Toy Story's Domestic Total by the end of the weekend? No
14. Which film in the upcoming top 12 will have the highest percentage drop? Stuber
15. Will we see a CGI hippo balancing on the beak of a CGI toucan? No
Bonus:
9/15 5000
10/15 8000
11/15 12,000
12/15 16,000
13/15 20,000
14/15 24,000
15/15 30,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1. What will Once Upon a Time's OW be? $43,199,959
2. What will Yesterday's percentage drop be? -34.26%
3. What will Aladdin's PTA be? $1363
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
2. Once Upon a Time in...Hollywood
4. Toy Story 4
6. Crawl
7. The Farewell
9. The Farewell
11. The Art of Self-Defense
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
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18 hours ago, captainwondyful said:
Part B
Q1 191,770,759
Q2 -53.7%
Q3 $3750
3750 is the number of theaters TS4 was in, its PTA was $4,147. I know because its estimates had its PTA at $3893...$3 from my 3890 guess and making me salivate over 15,000 bonus points but with actuals it's down to a measly 6000 points
- 2
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Week 13: July 19th Weekend: - Will Lion King open to more than $200M? Yes
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Predict the top 2 films of each weekend in order. Use the following template:
Week 13: 1st - The Lion King 2nd - Spider-Man: Far From Home
Week 14: 1st - The Lion King 2nd - Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Week 15: 1st - Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw 2nd - The Lion King
Week 16: 1st - Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw 2nd. - The Lion King
Week 17: 1st - Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw 2nd - 47 Meters Down: Uncaged
Week 18: 1st - Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw 2nd - Angel Has Fallen
Week 19: 1st - Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw 2nd - The Angry Birds Movie 2
Week 20: 1st - It: Chapter 2 2nd - The Angry Birds Movie 2
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Part A:
1. Will Lion King make more than $150M? Yes
2. Will Lion King make more than $200M? Yes
3. Will Lion King make more than $175M? Yes
4. Will Lion King's friday+ Saturday Total be higher than the 3 day combined weekend of every other film reported by BOM? Yes
5. Will Lion King have a higher Internal Multiplier than the Beauty and the Beast Remake? No
6. Will Crawl have a bigger percentage decrease than Stuber? No
7. Will Yesterday stay above Aladdin? Yes
8. Will Annabelle's PTA stay above $1000? Yes
9. Will any Disney (be it Marvel, animated or whatever) film increase this weekend? No
10. Will Aladdin's domestic total be closer to Toy Story or Spiderman by the end of the weekend? Spider-Man
11. Will Midsommer drop more than 67%? No
12. Will Rocketman stay in the top 12? No
13. Will Avengers increase more than 55% on Saturday? No
14. Which film in the upcoming top 12 will have the highest percentage drop? Men in Black International
15. Will we see a CGI hippo balancing on the beak of a CGI toucan? No
Bonus:
9/15 5000
10/15 8000
11/15 12,000
12/15 16,000
13/15 20,000
14/15 24,000
15/15 30,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1.What will Lion King's Domestic Total be by end of Sunday? $201,003,000
2. What will Annabelle's percentage drop be? -50%
3. What will Toy Story's PTA be? $3890
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
2. Spider-Man: Far from Home
5. Yesterday
7. Stuber
8. Annabelle Comes Home
10. The Secret Life of Pets 2
12. Men in Black International
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
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Week 12: July 12th Weekend: - Will Stuber drop more than 25% on Sunday? Yes
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Part A:
1. Will Stuber make more than $12M? No
2. Will Stuber make more than $18M? No
3. Will Stuber make more than $15M? No
4. Will Crawl make more than $12M? No
5. Will Crawl make more than $15M? No
6. Will the top two stay the same? Yes
7. Will Spiderman drop more than 52%? No
8. Will Annabelle stay above Aladdin? No
9. Will SLOP2 have a bigger percentage drop than Toy Story? Yes
10. Will MiBi's PTA stay above $800? Yes
11. Will Yesterday drop more than 51%? No
12. Will Avengers stay above Rocketman? No?
13. Will Child's Play decrease more than 30% on Sunday? Yes
14. Which film in the upcoming top 12 will have the highest percentage drop? Men in Black International
15. Will anything go over Stuber's head because he is not fast enough to catch it? Yes
Bonus:
9/15 5000
10/15 8000
11/15 12,000
12/15 16,000
13/15 20,000
14/15 24,000
15/15 30,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1.What will Stuber's Domestic Total be by end of Sunday? $9,000,000
2. What will Aladdin's percentage drop be? -30%
3. What will John Wick's PTA be? $1172
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
2. Toy Story 4
4. Stuber
6. Aladdin
8. Midsommar
11. Avengers: Endgame
12. Rocketman
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
-
3 day UOS
Part A:
1. Will Spider Man make more than $110M? No
2. Will Spider man make more than $117.5M? No
3. Will Spider man make more than $135M? No
4. Will Midsommer make more than $7.5M? Yes
5. Will Midsommer make more than $10M? No
6. Will Toy Story stay above $30M? Yes
7. Will MIBI stay above Endgame? Yes
8. Will Child's Play stay in the top 12? No
9. Will SLOP2 have a bigger percentage drop than Rocketman? Yes
10. Will Toy Story 4 overtake Aladdin Domestic by the end of the weekend? Yes
11. Will Annabelle drop more than 53%? No
12. Will Anna stay above Shaft? No
13. Will John Wick decrease more than 30% on Sunday? No
14. Will Godzilla's PTA stay above $1,300? Yes
15. Will *Spoiler Redacted* arrive and *Spoiler Redacted* in the *Spoiler Redacted* with a *Spoiler Redacted*??
SpoilerYes
Bonus:
9/15 5000
10/15 8000
11/15 12,000
12/15 16,000
13/15 20,000
14/15 24,000
15/15 30,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1.What will Spiderman's Domestic Total be by end of Sunday? $191,000,000
2. What will Child's Play's percentage drop be? -50.9%
3. What will Yesterday's PTA be? $3959
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
3. Yesterday
5. Midsommar
7. Secret Life of Pets 2
10. Avengers: Endgame
12. Child's Play
14. Dark Phoenix
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
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Week 11: July 5th Weekend: - Will Endgame drop more than 40% Cash the fuck out
- 1
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Part A:
1. Will Annabelle make more than $22M? No
2. Will Annabelle make more than $28M? No
3. Will Annabelle make more than $34M? No
4. Will Yesterday make more than $12M? Yes
5. Will Yesterday's OW be higher than Annabelle's Friday? Yes
6. Will Dark Phoenix stay above Shaft? No
7. Will Child's Play stay above SLOP? No
8. Will Gosdzilla stay in the top 10? No
9. Will John Wick have a bigger percentage drop than Rocketman? No
10. Will Aladdin cross $300 on Saturday? No
11. Will MEn In Black drop more than 53%? Yes
12. Will MIBI overtake Dark Phoenix's Domestic total by the end of the weekend? Yes
13. Will Toy Story increase more than 88% on Saturday? No
14. Will Anna's PTA stay above $1000? No
15. Will there be an Annabelle/Chucky Romance scene set up for the next installment? No
Bonus:
9/15 5000
10/15 8000
11/15 12,000
12/15 16,000
13/15 20,000
14/15 24,000
15/15 30,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1.What will Annabelle's OW be? $14,300,000
2. What will Shaft's percentage drop be? -55.4%
3. What will Aladdin's PTA be? $2782
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
3. Yesterday
4. Avengers: Endgame
6. Secret Life of Pets 2
8. Men in Black: International
11. Godzilla: King of the Monsters
13. Dark Phoenix
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
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Week 10: June 28th Weekend: - Will Annabelle's weekend total be closer in dollars to Toy Story or Child's Play? Child's Play
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Week 9: June 21st Weekend: - Will Child's Play make more than 37.5% of its OW gross on Friday? Yes
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Part A:
1. Will Toy Story Open to more than $135M? Yes
2. Will Toy Story Open to more than $165M? No
3. Will Toy Story Open to more than $150M? No
4. Will Toy Story Increase on Saturday? No
5. Will Toy story make more than 8 times the gross of Child's Play? Yes
6. Will Child's Play open to more than $14M? No
7. Will Child's Play open to more than $24M? No
8. Will Child's Play open to more than $19M? No
9. Will Anna open to more than $4M? No
10. Will Child's Play + Anna's combined Weekend total come to more than half of Toy Story's Opening Sunday? No
11. Will MIB stay above SLOP? Yes
12. Will Shaft drop more than 65% No
13. Will Rocketman's PTA stay above $2,500? No
14. Will Dark Phoenix stay in the top 10? Yes
15. Will either Aladdin or Endgame (or both) increase this weekend? No
16. Will the Pikachu increase more than 125% on Friday? No
17. Will Godzilla decrease more than 50%? Yes
18. Will Late Night stay above Endgame? Yes
19. Will SLOP increase more than 100% on Saturday No
20. Will Anna turn out to be an Annabelle stealth release in order to get the murderous doll trifecta? No
Bonus:
12/20 3000
13/20 5000
14/20 8000
15/20 12000
16/20 16,000
17/20 20,000
18/20 26,000
19/20 32,000
20/20 40,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1. What will Toy Story make for its 3 day OW? $140,000,000
2. What will Child's Play's OW be as a percentage of Toy Story's Saturday? 22.3%
3. What will Dark Phoenix's Percentage drop be? -57%
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
2. Men in Black: International
4. Aladdin
6. Rocketman
8. Dark Phoenix
10. Anna
12. Avengers: Endgame
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
-
Week 8: June 14th Weekend: - Will MIB International Open in 1st place? Yes
-
Part A:
1. Will MIB make more than $35M? No
2. Will MIB make more than $45M? No
3. Will MIB make more than $40M? No
4. Will Shaft make more than $17.5M? No
5. Will Shaft make more than $22.5M? No
6. Will Godzilla stay above Rocketman? Yes??????????
7. Will booksmart stay above A dog's Journey? Yes
8. Will SLOP stay in the top 2? Yes
9. Will John Wick have a bigger percentage drop than Avengers? No
10. Will Late Night enter the top 8? No
11. Will Aladdin drop more than 50%? No
12. Will SLOP 2 overtake Godzilla's DOmestic total by the end of the weekend? Yes
13. Will Ma decrease more than 33% on Sunday? Yes
14. Will Brightburn's PTa stay above $300? No
15. Will Shaft cameo in this film about Shaft training another Shaft how to Shaft? No
Bonus:
9/15 5000
10/15 8000
11/15 12,000
12/15 16,000
13/15 20,000
14/15 24,000
15/15 30,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1.What will MIB's OW be? $28,650,000
2. What will Rocketman's percentage drop be? -35.6%
3. What will John Wick's PTA be? $2815
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
2. The Secret Life of Pets 2
5. Godzilla: King of the Monsters
7. Rocketman
8. John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum
10. Avengers: Endgame
12. The Dead Don't Die
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
-
Week 7: June 7th Weekend: - Will SLOP 2 manage to double Dark Phoenix's OW? No
-
Part A:
1. Will Slop make more than $62.5M? No
2. Will Slop make more than $72.5M? No
3. Will Slop make more than $67.5M? No
4. Will Slop 2 make more over Friday and Saturday, than Phoenix's full 3 day weekend? No
5. Will the two main new entries combine to more than $120M? No
6. Will Dark Phoneix make more $45M? No
7. Will Dark Phoneix make more $55M? No
8. Will Dark Phoneix make more $50M? No
9. Will Godzilla stay above Aladdin? No
10. Will Ma have a bigger percentage drop than Rocketman? Yes
11. Will Pikachu drop more than 50%? No
12. Will John Wick Overtake PIkachu's DOmestic total by the end of the weekend? Yes
13. Will Endgame increase more than 85% on Friday? Yes
14. Will Booksmart increase more than 37% on Saturday? Yes
15. Will SLOP2 finally see justice for Reggie? No
Bonus:
9/15 5000
10/15 8000
11/15 12,000
12/15 16,000
13/15 20,000
14/15 24,000
15/15 30,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1.What will SLOP 2's OW be? $50,000,000
2. What will Brightburn's percentage drop be? -71%
3. What will Shazam's PTA be? $799
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
1. Secret Life of Pets 2
4. Godzilla: King of the Monsters
6. Ma
9. Detective Pikachu
11. The Hustle
13. Brightburn
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
-
so... Scoring. For each of the above just answer Yes or No, no need to guess a particular film or whatever. That's it. Simples.
Well... you do then have to put each prediction into the scoring chart below. If your prediction is correct, you win the amount of points on the left, if it is incorrect, you lose the amount of points on the right.
1. (2,000 / 20,000) - Highest Independence Day OW (currently TF3 at $97.8M) NO
2. (2,000 / 20,000) - Widest ever R Rated Release (currently Deadpool 2 at 4349 theatres) NO
3. (4,000 / 12,000) - Highest September OW (currently It at $123.4M) NO
4. (4,000 / 12,000) - Highest PG (not PG-13)-Total (currently Incredibles 2 at $608.5M) NO
5. (6,000 / 8,000) - Highest Opening Tuesday Gross (currently ASM at $35.0M) NO
6. (6,000 / 8,000) - Highest Worldwide Box Office Total NO
7. (8,000 / 2,000) - Highest Summer OW (currently Jurassic World at $208.8M) NO
8. (8,000 / 2,000) - Highest G-Rated domestic Total (currently Lion King at $422.8M) NO
9. (10,000 / 8,000) Highest Tuesday Gross (currently SW:TFA at $37.3M) NO
10. (15,000 / 12,000) - Highest Worldwide Box office total for an Animated film (currently Frozen at $1.27B) NO
11. (20,000 / 20,000) - Highest non-Friday OW (currently TF2 at $108.9M) NO
12. (25,000 / 30,000) Highest R-Rated OW (currently Deadpool at $132.4M) NO
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