BobDole
-
Posts
205 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Events
Blogs
Gallery
Annual Subscriptions
Media Demo
Posts posted by BobDole
-
-
Part A:
1. Will Terminator Open to more than $30M? Yes
2. Will Terminator Open to more than $40M? No
3. Will Terminator Open to more than $35M? No
4. Will Terminator' drop more than 30% on Sunday? No
5. Will Terminator's Saturday be enough to take number 1 for the weekend on its own? No
6. Will Joker finish in 2nd place? Yes
7. Will Addam's Family stay in the top 5? Yes
8. Will Arctic Dogs open above Motherless Brooklyn? Yes
9. Will Inside Game have a higher PTA than The Portal? Yes
10. Will Countdown stay above Black and Blue? No
11. Will Zombieland drop more than 53%? No
12. Will Gemini Man increase more than Joker on Saturday? Yes
13. Will Parasite have a PTA above $7,500k? Yes
14. Will JoJo Rabbit enter the top 8? No
15. Will Current War stay above The Lighthouse? No
16. Will Maleficent's Domestic Total overtake Addam's Family's by the end of Sunday? Yes
17. Will Gemini Man have the worst PTA in the top 10? No
18. Will Abominable stay above Downton Abbey? No
19. How many films will make more than $7M this weekend? 6
20. How many of these questions will turn out to be a fecking nightmare because of all the changes and stuff? Yes
Bonus:
12/20 3000
13/20 5000
14/20 8000
15/20 12000
16/20 16,000
17/20 20,000
18/20 26,000
19/20 32,000
20/20 40,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1. What will Terminator make for its 3 day OW? $33,400,000
2. What will Joker's Sunday gross be? $3,611,788
3. What will Zombieland's PTA be for the 3 day weekend? $2097
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
1. Terminator: Dark Fate
2. Joker
4. Harriet
6. Zombieland 2: Double Tap
8. The Lighthouse
10. Countdown
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
-
Usually I'm completely fine with leaving people to dig their own graves buuut I'm in a charitable mood
@bcf26 Bombshell moved up a week in limited release before opening wide, no longer qualified for multiplier section @Mike Hunt you really think King's Man is gonna have an $87M opening weekend? It's opening the last Friday of the game
also all of you with the 9-figure domestic predictions for Little Women?!!?!?! y'all crazy
-
1
-
1
-
-
13 hours ago, Wrath said:
Oh, ty, good point. I know one of these Oscar questions doesn’t follow the game calendar, now to figure out which one it was...
Very last question in the Winter Preseason questions, Section G, RF3E: Highest Grossing Best Picture Nominee (does not need to get released in the game release window)
-
1
-
-
20M: Birds of Prey - Australia
40M: Frozen II - Germany
60M: Frozen II - UK
80M: Frozen II - South Korea
100M: Terminator: Dark Fate - China
-
On 10/24/2019 at 1:51 PM, Wrath said:
Frozen 2
Ford vs Ferrari
Parasite
Little Women
1917
Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Parasite already released
-
1
-
-
-
Week 1: November 1st Weekend: - Will Terminator make more than $30M OW? Yes
-
A: Domestic top 15:
1) Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker 795M
2) Frozen II 400M
3) Jumanji: The Next Level 360M
4) Bad Boys for Life 180M
5) Doolittle 175M
6) Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn) 165M
7) 1917 100M
8 ) A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood 100M
9) Last Christmas 100M
10) Terminator: Dark Fate 91M
11) Knives Out 85M
12) Richard Jewell 80M
13) Cats 68M
14) Ford v Ferrari 65M
15) Charlie's Angels 65M
Backup 16*) Like a Boss 60M
*Only used if a film above exits the game
B: Top 7 Domestic OW:
1) Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker 220M
2) Frozen II 110M
3) Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn) 80M
4) Jumanji: The Next Level 79M
5) Bad Boys for Life 45.6M
6) Doolittle 40.1M
7) Terminator: Dark Fate 34.5M
Backup 8*) 1917 33M
*Only used if a film above exits the game
C : Worldwide top 12:
1) Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker 1.45B
2) Frozen II 1.09B
3) Jumanji: The Next Level 901M
4) 1917 455M
5) Bad Boys for Life 430M
6) Terminator: Dark Fate 400m
7) Doolittle 399m
8 ) Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn) 330m
9) Cats 330m
10) Last Christmas 310m
11) Knives Out 275m
12) Charlie's Angels 210m
Backup 13*) Doctor Sleep 230m
*Only used if a film above exits the game
D : TOP 5 Weekends
1) Dec 20-22 300m
2) Dec 27-29 232m
3) Nov 22-24 200m
4) Dec 13-15 170m
5) Jan 17-19 150m
backup 6*) Feb 7-9 150m
*Only used if a film above exits the game
again find it amusing there's a back-up for this section in case...what, a weekend gets cancelled? yeah yeah a major movie could hypothetically shift dates, alright, still
E: Multipliers
1) The Good Liar 4.42x
2) Last Christmas 4.34x
3) Richard Jewell 4.33x
4) Knives Out 4x
5) A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood 4x
backup 6*) Frozen II 4x
*Only used if a film above exits the game
F: Total Grosses
Top 15 DOM) $2.809B
Top7 OW) 609.2M
Top 12 WW) $6.580B
Top 5 W/E) $1.052B
Average Multi) 3.56x ??????????????????????
G: RANDOM FREE QUESTIONS
RFQ1: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones domestically by the end of the game:
A: 70M Cats
B: 100M Terminator: Dark Fate
C : 200M Bad Boys for Life
D : 300M Jumanji: The Next Level
E: 400M Frozen II
RFQ2: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones Worldwide by the end of the game:
A: $1.2B Frozen II
B: $900M Jumanji: The Next Level
C : 700M Jumanji: The Next Level
D : 500M 1917
E: 300M Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn)
RFQ3: Predict the highest grossing film released in each month by the end of the game:
A: November Frozen II
B: December Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
C : January Bad Boys for Life
D February Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn)
E: Best Picture Joker
-
11 hours ago, chasmmi said:
I'm skipping over SOTM7 for now then, if this is scored on Googledocs. (I do not understand what I am looking at as it is all spreadsheet lingo. (I have to make do with doing the math in my head for each question)
If something got rescheduled post lock date of the SOTM, score that prediction as a voided zero. anything ranked below 5th scores minus 12k for being 5th or less.
Updated. Spreadsheet is an eyesore but taking myself for example, my movie guesses are row 4, weekend 13 #1 movie is in cell B4 (Lion King), weekend 13 #2 movie is in cell C4 (Spider-Man: Far From Home). I got the 1st place film correct so I get 10 points (cell B5), likewise for 2nd place film so I get 8 points (cell C5) and since I got both right I get a 7 point bonus (cell D5). Sum of all the weekend scores are in column Z (and AA, it's the same scores I just pasted it in another column to align with player names).
Anyone can feel free to check my work in the spreadsheet or manually score a few to spot check some of the sums but I'm fairly sure I maintain my streak for shitting the bed
Totals:
-
2
-
3
-
-
10 hours ago, chasmmi said:
I told you all to abstain, it was right there in the title, but did you?
Player b b c a b c c a Score kayumanggi b b c b c c b a 5 Zeesoh b x c x x x x x 5 Wrathofhan b x c a c c b b -25 Bobdole x x c x c c x x -30 Sheikh b x c x c x b x -50 Infernus b c c x c x x x -50 bcf26 b b c b c c b b -60 The Panda c b c a c c a b -60 24lost x x x x a c x x -60 Kalo b b x b c x x b -85 Wrath b x c b c x x x -115 Glassfairy b c x x a x a x -115 JJ-8 b x x b c b a a -120 Mike b c b a b b a b -125 Simionski b c c b c c a b -125 movieman89 b c c a c b a c -125 JakeGittes b c c b c b a a -125 Empire b b b a c b b b -125 Panamovie b c b b c b a b -175 andyll c a c b c c b c -175 chasmmi b c b x c x b b -175 Eric b c b b c b a b -175 Fancyarcher b c x b c b a b -175 Anybody Not listed above scores Minus 55 points for 8 abstains/non-answers
Not that it'll save me but how did scoring work? I answered 3, got 2 right, abstained from 5:
(2 correct*25) - (1 wrong*40) = 50 - 40 = 10
10 + (5 abstain *5) = 10 +25 = 35
35 - 15 (abstaining 5+ questions) = 20
-
SOTM 7 partially scored pending scoring rubric for re-scheduled movies / ranked below 5th -
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1YcyYA0ncS9-m_MwLKikZ1gVxvW2KrqQtdaqLqRsSPQQ/edit?usp=sharing
-
1
-
1
-
-
Week 20: September 6th Weekend: - Will It: Chapter 2 make the top 10 of the Domestic Table from its opening weekend? NO
-
Part A:
2. NO Will It Chapter 2 Open to more than $115M? 2000
4. YES Will It Chapter 2 Open to more than 70% of all cinematic grosses reported by BOM this weekend? 4000
5. YES Will It Chapter 2 Open to more than 35% of its weekend total on Friday? 5000
6. YES Will Spiderman stay above Angry Birds? 1000
7. NO Will Angry Birds Stay above Dora? 2000
8. YES Will 47 Metres drop more than 65% 3000
10. NO Will Lion King Have a PTA above $1,750? 5000
13. YES Will It chapter 2 drop more than 10% on Saturday? 3000
14. NO Will anything in the top 15 increase this weekend? 4000
15. YES Will Peanut Butter Falco's domestic total overtake Blinded by the Light's 5000
16. NO Will Spiderman have a larger percentage drop than Toy Story? 1000
17. YES Will Saaho drop more than 62%? 2000
19. NO Did you remember the final week always has two questions like this? 4000
20. MAYBE Who's coming back for Winter? 5000
1 correct answer = 5,000 points
Answer at least 10 and all are correct = Double your scoreAnswer at least 20 and all are correct = Triple your score
1 incorrect answer = minus 15,000 points
Answer at least 10 and 4 or more are incorrect = Incorrect answers are worth minus 20,000 points
Answer at least 20 and 4 or more are incorrect = Incorrect answers are worth minus 25,000 points
-
Part A:
1. YES Will It Chapter 2 Open to more than $95M? 1000
2. NO Will It Chapter 2 Open to more than $115M? 2000
3. YES Will It Chapter 2 Open to more than $105M? 3000
4. YES Will It Chapter 2 Open to more than 70% of all cinematic grosses reported by BOM this weekend? 4000
5. YES Will It Chapter 2 Open to more than 35% of its weekend total on Friday? 5000
6. YES Will Spiderman stay above Angry Birds? 1000
7. NO Will Angry Birds Stay above Dora? 2000
8. YES Will 47 Metres drop more than 65% 3000
9. YES Will anything reported by BOM except It Chapter 2 have a PTA above $12,000? 4000
10. NO Will Lion King Have a PTA above $1,750? 5000
11. NO Will Overcomer increase 100% on Friday? 1000
12. YES Will Good Boys drop more than 33% on Sunday? 2000
13. YES Will It chapter 2 drop more than 10% on Saturday? 3000
14. NO Will anything in the top 15 increase this weekend? 4000
15. YES Will Peanut Butter Falco's domestic total overtake Blinded by the Light's 5000
16. NO Will Spiderman have a larger percentage drop than Toy Story? 1000
17. YES Will Saaho drop more than 62%? 2000
18. YES Will Overcomer drop less than 255 on sunday? 3000
19. NO Did you remember the final week always has two questions like this? 4000
20. MAYBE Who's coming back for Winter? 5000
Bonus:
12/20 3000
13/20 5000
14/20 8000
15/20 12000
16/20 16,000
17/20 20,000
18/20 26,000
19/20 32,000
20/20 40,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1. What will It chapter 2 make for its 3 day OW? $105,000,006
2. What will Lion King's Sunday gross be? $1,295,424
3. What will Angel has Fallen's PTA be for the 3 day weekend? $1829
4. What will 47 Metre's Percentage drop be? -67.8%
5. What will Ms. Purple's PTA be? $12,500
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
1. IT: Chapter 2
2. Good Boys
4. The Lion King
6. Overcomer
8. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
10. Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
-
Week 19: August 30th Weekend: - Will top 3 from last week remain in that order? No
-
All 3 day
1. NO Will Don't Let Go make more than $3.5M? 1000
2. NO Will Don't Let Go make more than $6.5M? 2000
3. NO Will Don't Let Go make more than $5M? 3000
4. NO Will Saaho finish in the top 8? 4000
5. NO Will Saaho have a higher domestic total than Don't let Go by End of Sunday? 5000
6. NO Will Tod@Caen have a PTA above $3,000? 1000
7. YES Will Ne Zha have a higher PTA than Don't Let Go? 2000
8. YES Will Angel has Fallen drop less than 50%? 3000
9. NO Will Lion King have a larger percentage drop than Angry Birds? 4000
10. YES Will Hobbs and Shaw stay in the top 7? 5000
11. YES Will Once Upon a Time's PTA stay above $1,750? 1000
12. NO Will 47 Scary stories stay above Dora? 2000
13. NO Will anything in the upcoming top 12 have dropped more than 60%? 3000
14. NO Will Britney Runs a Marathon enter the top 15? 4000
15. YES Will anybody notice I have no clue what is happening this weekend? 5000
Bonus:
9/15 5000
10/15 8000
11/15 12,000
12/15 16,000
13/15 20,000
14/15 24,000
15/15 30,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1. What will Don't Let Go's OW be? $2,754,000
2. What will Good Boys' percentage drop be? -17%
3. What will be the PTA of Overcomer be? $3,558
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
2. Good Boys
3. The Lion King
5. Hobbs & Shaw
7. Spider-Man: Far From Home
9. Spider-Man: Far From Home
12. The Peanut Butter Falcon
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
-
Week 18: August 23rd Weekend: - Will Angel has fallen open in first place? Cash out
-
All 3 day
1. YES Will Angel has Fallen make more than $12M? 1000
2. NO Will Angel has Fallen make more than $18M? 2000
3. NO Will Angel has Fallen make more than $15M? 3000
4. Angel has Fallen Will Will Good Boys' Weekend total be closer to Angel has Fallen's or Hobbs and Shaw's? 4000
5. YES Will Ready or Not make more than Overcomer? 5000
6. YES Will Overcomer make more than 4M? 1000
7. YES Will Overcomer make more than 6M? 2000
8. Hobbs & Shaw Which film will have a weekend total closest to $9M? 3000
9. YES Will Bernadette have a larger percentage drop than blinded by the light? 4000
10.NO? Will Good Boys Domestic total overtake Dora's by end of Saturday? 5000
11. NO Will Lion King increase 100% on Saturday? 1000
12. YES Will 47 Metres Down stay in the top 10? 2000
13. NO Will Once Upon a Time drop more than 43%? 3000
14. NO Will Bring the Soul register a weekend gross amount in Mojo's Weekend Actuals list? 4000
15. NO Will the Angry Birds movie crossover into Star Wars? 5000
Bonus:
9/15 5000
10/15 8000
11/15 12,000
12/15 16,000
13/15 20,000
14/15 24,000
15/15 30,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1. What will Angel has Fallen's OW be? $14,395,000
2. What will Scary Stories's percentage drop be? -49.3%
3. What will be the PTA of Bernadette be? $525
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
2. Good Boys
4. The Lion King
6. The Angry Birds Movie 2
9. 47 Meters Down: Uncaged
11. The Peanut Butter Falcon
13.
Spider-Man: Far From HomeThe Peanut Butter FalconBecause I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
-
Been scoring SOTM7 to see how badly I get fucked over by picking Hobbs & Shaw as the #1 movie for 5 straight weekends.
Everyone's pretty cramped together in scoring but things are about to go haywire.
How should scoring go for those who picked the Playmobil movie which was moved to December? -150,000 pts each right? Right. Glad that's settled.
Also how to score for movies that don't make the Top 5 (see: me, this weekend with 47 Meters Down and likely Angry Birds 2 in the coming weeks)
-
All 3 day
1. NO Will Angry Birds make more than $14M? 1000
2. NO Will Angry Birds make more than $20M? 2000
3. NO Will Angry Birds make more than $17M? 3000
4. NO Will Angry birds have the highest PTA of the 5 biggest new releases? 4000
5. NO Will Angry Birds' Sunday total be more than double the next highest new entries'? 5000
6. NO Will 47 Metres make more than $12M? 1000
7. NO Will Good Boys make more than $12M? 2000
8. NO Will 47 Metres make more than Good Boys? 3000
9. YES Will Bernadette make more than blinded by the light? 4000
10. YES Will Hobbs and Shaw stay in the top 3? 5000
11. BY SUNDAY? NO Will Lion King cross $500M domestic? 1000
12. YES Will toy Story drop more than 40%? 2000
13. YES Will Once Upon a Time stay in the top 8? 3000
14. YES Will Bring the Soul drop more than 70% 4000
15. NO Will the Angry Birds movie crossover into Star Wars? 5000
Bonus:
9/15 5000
10/15 8000
11/15 12,000
12/15 16,000
13/15 20,000
14/15 24,000
15/15 30,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1. What will Angry Bird's OW be? $11,400,00
2. What will Dora's percentage drop be? -48%
3. What will be the difference in dollars between 47 metres and Good Boy's OW totals? $1,234,567
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
2. Angry Birds Movie 2
3. Angry Birds Movie 2
5. The Lion King
7. Dora and the Lost City of Gold
9. Where'd You Go, Bernadette
12. Spider-Man: Far From Home
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
-
1
-
-
Week 17: August 16th Weekend: - Will dora drop more than 36.5%? Yes
-
Week 16: August 9th Weekend: - Will Kitchen open above Scary Stories? No
-
-
1. NO Will Dora make more than $25M? 1000
2. NO Will Dora make more than $35M? 2000
3. NO Will Dora make more than $30M? 3000
4. NO Will Will Dora make more than the 3n next highest new releases combined? 4000
5. Lion King Will Will Hobbs and Shaw finish closer in dollars to Lion King or Dora? 5000
6. NO Will Kitchen make more than $10M? 1000
7. YES Will Scary stories make more than $10M? 2000
8. NO Will Racing in the rain make more than $10M? 3000
9. NO Will Brian Banks make more than $4.5M? 4000
10. SCARY STORIES TO TELL IN THE DARK Which New release not named Dora will have the highest PTA whilst also making more than $2M? 5000
11. NO Will Ode to Joy have a PTA above $15,000? 1000
12. YES Spider-man stay above Toy Story? 2000
13. NO Will Annabelle have a larger percentage drop than Crawl? 3000
14. HOBBS & SHAW Which film in the upcoming top 12 will have the highest percentage drop? 4000
15. YES Will Dora tell a scary story to tell in the dark? 5000
Bonus:
9/15 5000
10/15 8000
11/15 12,000
12/15 16,000
13/15 20,000
14/15 24,000
15/15 30,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1. What will Dora's OW be? $18,900,000
2. What will Endgame's percentage drop be? -34.9%
3. What will Yesterday's PTA be? $1574
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
2. The Lion King
4. Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark
6. The Kitchen
8. Spider-Man: Far From Home
10. Brian Banks
12. Yesterday
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
Winter Game SOTM 2 - This SOTM is purely Academic
in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game
Posted · Edited by BobDole
damn this is getting hard to scrabble together even a list of 6 given streaming's increasing presence, Fox Searchlight being largely absent during the game's season, and October being a bigger month for initial platform releases...
1. Bombshell
2. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
3. Little Women
4. Frozen II
5. 1917
6.
Queen & SlimA Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood