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Everything posted by Cap
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I have to say this is nice. It feels like no one knows what’s going on, And we have to wait for the numbers tomorrow to see where it actually lands. This is also very fun because it’s making my survivors have a very long night. That said I’m gonna take a couple hours to not think about it, because I have passes to knives out so it’s is EVAAAAANS TIME 🥰🥰
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“Moderator Voice” The Tracking Thread has been forecasting low previews and a solid FSS for weeks. We are also in the week before a Thanksgiving Break. With Thanksgiving being so late this year, most kids are still in school. So none of this is shocking. “Messy Bitch Voice” Ohh. Time for the meltdowns.
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I think my favorite part was how Disney was like "Elsa doesn't have a girlfriend" and then every time Honeymaren was on screen I was whispering: "Look it's her girlfriend."
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cap replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
v Final Sales Comps Movie Sold % Est Frozen II Cinemagic 226 -- -- Toy Story 4 558 40.50% 4.86M The Lion King 561 40.28% 9.27M Average: 7.06M Lincoln Square 493 -- -- Toy Story 4 1273 38.72% 4.64M The Lion King 2483 19.85% 4.57M Average: 4.60M Movie Sold % Est A Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood Cinemagic 64 -- -- Rocketman 57 112.28% 1.96M OUATIH 237 27.00% 1.56M Average: 1.76M Lincoln Square 266 -- -- Rocketman 470 56.60% 0.990M OUATIH 1232 21.59% 1.25M Last Christmas 169 157.39% 0.905M Average: 1.05M Movie Sold % Est 21 Bridges Empire 25 192 -- -- Midway 243 79.01% 0.731M Doctor Sleep 454 42.29% 0.634M Terminator 564 34.04% 0.817M Gemini Man 601 31.95% 0.551M Average: 0.683M Me @ the Frozen Comps: Me Knowing Saturday Is Coming: Me Worrying Saturday Won't Deliver: Me Not Caring Cause Thanksgiving Is Right Around The Corner And I SAW IT AND IT WAS THE BEST OMG: Anyway, I don't have perfect comps for Neighborhood, but the comps are consistent which is nice. I feel like 1.25M would be a good start. If 21 Bridges makes 1M that'd be lovely. It's comping out just shy of it. I think the theater count could be holding it back. And big thanks to @Thanos Legion for getting my late show numbers while I was in the theater crying over Elsa. -
@Claire of Themyscira @DAJK @Keanu @JJ-8 @PanaMovie @Sheikh @Thanos Legion @ZeeSoh Predictions Due In Less Than Three Hours! Let's go, Lesbians:
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cap replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I love how I am at my theater enough they just told me how many tickets they sold tonight 😂😂😂 -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cap replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Thank you! I totally forget this started at six and needed this, LOL -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cap replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
@Porthos first tweet had a typo -
Top 50 Musicals! FYC Closed! Final List Goes Up CATS OW!
Cap replied to Cap's topic in Archived Lists and Countdowns
@TalismanRing @titanic2187 I think, personally, a really good example is Meet Me In St Louis. I mean, the movie is directed by Vincente Minnelli, produced by Arthur Freed, and stars Judy Garland. It is also responsible for the existence of LIZA. You really can’t get more musical than that. However, the film is more a family drama that just HAPPENS to have two of the most famous songs ever in it. You could removed all three of those numbers and the movie would still be in tack. It is why it didn’t make my list when their films like An American In Paris, The Band Wagon, Cabin In The Sky, Easter Parade, For Me And My Gal, On The Town, The Pirate, Singin’ In The Rain, A Star Is Born (1954), Summer Stock, and The Wizard of Oz did. I have been really lax because I want everyone to participate. You’re just gonna have to make a judgement call. If/when we do this list again in a couple of years, I will probably revise the eligibility rules. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cap replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I shouldn't pit women against each other but I'm so offended by this. LOL. November OW Records are on the line because of Charlie's Angels floppage? So rude. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cap replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
FROZEN II v T-1 Sales Comps Movie Sold % Est Frozen II Cinemagic 143 -- -- Toy Story 4 122 117.21% 14.07M The Lion King 419 34.12% 7.85M Average: 10.96M I'm not comping out LS13 for this because the screens and numbers are so low. Previews only has One 9:30PM IMAX. No Dolbys. None of the bells and whistles that TS4 or TLK got. And since it's backloading, I pulled up my End Game comps for giggles. Note: it's T-1 Day Frozen v Final AEG and my place is Walk Up Heavy. But it does support the Saturday is THE DAY theory. SMCM IMAX SCREEN FROZEN II ENDGAME ESTIMATE Friday 199 514 37.72M Saturday 226 536 46.07M Sunday 73 431 15.31M -
And we're locked with 38 Entries! 😱 Here's a breakdown of the predictions! PREDICTIONS OW DOM OS WW TOTAL HIGHEST 202,000,000 725,000,000 1,211,900,132 1,925,000,000 AVERAGE 152,385,934 532,752,892 915,506,912 1,445,568,375 LOWEST 104,000,000 370,000,000 688,000,000 1,113,000,000 We'll know the OW soon enough, and then we wait for the other Totals!