Cooper Legion
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Everything posted by Cooper Legion
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It is a holiday though. Regardless of BO.
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I was not really around for the old days but there simply isn’t 30 pages of actual BO analysis to discuss for most weekdays. I assume the thread was in large part people joking and shooting the shit with friends, which happens on telegram now instead. Reddit also cannibalizes a lot of total BO BO recovery won’t necessarily lead to social recovery.
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Worldwide. Realistically let’s say this is a 1B movie, a 45 day window cuts off maybe… 60M? A 75 day window like 10M ballpark.
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Just saw The Bad Guys, pretty fun. Funny that the 5 promising weeks in a row from March April are ending up: Lost City hit 100M Morbius miss Sonic hit Dumbledore miss (barring shenanigans) Bad Guys hit
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DS2 is missing a billion because it wasn’t the big event people wanted, but also because the execution of what it was instead was poor. If you had delivered a better small movie that would have led to good enough legs. A 45 day window wouldn’t cut anywhere close to 300M off of any movie except maybe Avatar 2, cmon now.
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Well tbf 620 is actually miss, it’s 621 that’s required. And I suspect you could find some way to cope with 652,270,624
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400 definitely wasn't locked after Batman wknd 2, never quite understood that chatter. 500 is actually locked here -- even following sniper gets there pretty comfortably and sniper semi-collapsed after d10.
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I think the only adjusted 100M+* opens with a better drop than F2 are: Avatar -2% (lol) How 4he Grinch stole Christmas -7 (Thanksgiving) TLK 1994 -16 TPM -21% (wed open, mdw 2nd) Two towers -21 (wed open, Xmas holidays) JP1 -23% Batman -26 Monsters Inc -27 American Sniper -28 Incredibles -29 Rotk -30 (wed open, Xmas holidays) Independence Day -30 Nemo -34 * Using 2019 ATP +10% again
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Increasing is good, decreasing is bad. Simple.
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June 19 is also the new federal holiday of… Juneteenth So Mon Jun 20 will be a federal holiday.
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I completed your reaction set but I’m still not sure if this is a joke or a typo or what
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Go woke go… uhh, well… nevermind then 😆
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I hope DS2 can land in between 408 and 409. Let’s just cram as many MCU movies in there as possible — CM2 next at bat?
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Enough of this sideshow, we want the nums that really matter — ho much did Deep in the Heart gross this Friday
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2012-2019 is the golden era to me, but also the only era I really experienced directly. Post infinity saga has basically been the covid era. Will be interesting to see what defines the post covid 2020s
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Two lost city’s — guess they are extra lost. Crossover when 🤔
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Hopefully this movie’s success inspires lots of Scientologists to fly to Ukraine and take up arms
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TGM’s success will definitely result in several attempts at imitation/replication. If they can also bring massive profits — then you’ve got a new trend. If they don’t, it’s just a one-off where the stars aligned.
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Worse ways to do it tbh — darts are fun
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This is the primary issue with the “just make a bunch of great movies” strategy. Like, if that was on the table for a studios, certainly they would take it and be ecstatic. But historically that option tends to be… not actually an option.
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Avatar may well be massively successful, but it has a 0% chance to break Hollywood out of a “ruthlessly milk the same IP for lots of sequels” trend. It’s a road that leads to avatar 6, avatar 17, whatever rather than to a new (or rather, old) paradigm.
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So do we gotta wait for 2050 to get Bradley Cooper in American Sniper Maverick
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This run is generating perhaps the most wishful thinking comments vis a vis industry trends I have EVER seen and I can’t quite tell to what degree people are being serious or just sort of taking a brief moment to talk about what they obviously *want* to happen as though it’s what will happen
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I’m not talking about raw numbers either, but it’s not like impressiveness is the same as surprise level. If something is expected to do 20M and it does like 150M then that’s nice and all but it’s still just a medium sized movie at the end of the day. And it’s not like TFA was *expected* to crush the #1 by 23% — also a pretty surprising run! Since JW I guess maybe: TFA JW BP TGM (with ~550) NWH
