Cooper Legion

2022 has no chance to fulfill the simultaneous DOM and top 3 dream. Maybe 2023? Pretty hard to imagine Quantumania topping Fast10 and TLM. Maybe if they swap BP2 and Quantumania, LOL

Need to have Sing beat BW, then both Eternals and f9 shall be absolved of sin.

BO was pretty restored in June/July, perhaps more than in any month since. Post-vaccine and pre-delta was a time of good vibes. The big problem for BW, of course, was the PA.

My heart’s just not in it right now, but if Mon is below 25 I’ll give you a good and proper foreal foreal meltdown @CoolioD1

It’s a historically awful Sat, no explanation but that no one wants this movie, it is doomed, trash legs, audience hates it, covid killed cinema forever and nothing will release theatrically in 2022 or beyond

The upcoming weekdays as compared to last weekdays — though wed is culture day I suppose and then fri will have NYE effect, so really talking mon tues Th.

Should have had Watts direct Eternals

Updating with new information is not “wavering” or “biased.” Not updating with new information is just silly.

CGV final -32% last week, a good hold. I am going to guess weekdays will be down ~40% but hoping for better.

From my point of view, the subtraction is evil.

Yeah, that’s why it’s better not to talk in absolutes 😛

Well, they’re a drag on the total and the legs but it shouldn’t really be skewing daily % trends much except on days where there is a notable ratcheting of restrictions. Like if Sat is 31 instead of 34, but Fri was 20 instead of 22, it’s pretty much a wash as far as judging the Sat bump. Canada iirc actually has slightly better weekdays, so — much better Mon hold bit weaker Fri bump bit weaker Sat bump bit better Sun hold which means, in general, deducting Canada should help the Sat increase very minority. In this particular case with Xmas and capacity limits on a large raw gross movie, the details get really messy and I’m happy to just recommend people look at the more zoomed out trending rather than obsessing about daily %s.

Hmm, pretty interesting observation actually. Now I kind of want to run 26th/25th as a function of 25th raw size.

Nothing public facing afaik but some insiders are aware and it’s not impossible that some info (or even the final results of calcs based on the info) could trickle out in some capacity.

Normally this is where I’d run my “who cares” bit — but as a matter of fact, Pizza and Underdog are the two movies I’m most interested in this week aside from NWH and I would also love some nums on them.

Meh, this is a bit of a non sequitor. A high total from a huge OW+awful legs still involves awful legs and it’s fine for people to complain about them. Not saying that that’s the case here, just, in general — I often see people try to shut down legs complaints by bringing up the total and it’s just nonsensical.

And as Baumer says the Canada restriction is a bit of a drag, in NWH case in particular it would be better to have US only calculations if possible.

You’ve gotta use division instead of subtraction or you just can’t compare different sizes sensibly. We know Knives Out, TGS, Spiderverse has great legs and BvS poor ones, but in post OW cash BvS will look much better. Also, record breaking OWs often have very good classical legs (total/OW) and even below new #1 records I don’t think there is (or at least, was) the kind of robust negative correlation between big OWs and weak multis that you seem to be implying. However, I’m definitely not saying that total/OW should be the one true objective measure of holding quality. It’s ultimately rather arbitrary and probably most used only because it’s convenient (in other words, lazy 😛 ). True FSS legs are better imo and I use them a lot — helps adjust for different preview sizes some. Total/first 7 days is realistically much better than classical legs calculation — including weekdays automatically helps balance for school vs summer vs winter, handle holiday Mondays, and handle midweek releases. (Total-previews)/(true first 7 days) even better yet. And if you wanted to penalize films less for opening big then you could try perhaps post-1stSun/(first 7 days post 1stSun), or post-ThPost1stSun/(first 7 days post ThPost1stSun), some decreasing weighted mix of first week multi, 2nd week multi, etc.

Eh, movies haven’t been performing particularly differently in terms of post OW behavior. NWH always has the rising omicron excuse to fall back on if we need it but that’s an explanation of why the legs would be disappointing, not exactly a negation of their being disappointing. That said, it appears that xmas day was weak across the board (as others have said) and there are some plausible pandemic related reasons for that (as others have said). The 2nd weekdays are what’s make or break on this calendar, so… 🤞

Don’t sell yourself short! I believe in the power of BestPictureIphoneRainTodayVideo

Realistically the situation is pretty good now, with increasing evidence that cases just aren’t a big deal for vaccinated and it will peak soon. But it’s always hard to tell just how much public sentiment will lag the cutting edge.

Mon and Wed were both a little above expectation I think.

405.5M to date 31.5 33 26 24 23 23 19 29 19 (67) 8 11 652M through Jan 4th 120-150M after that

With 3 A+ in 7 days, I guess it really is meaningless now 👀

We’re saved