Cooper Legion
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Everything posted by Cooper Legion
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I don’t know that the Sacto TSS comp is that outlandish 👀 There’s a real question of how much PA might have affected BW final few days. Though for SC, chance delta depresses that same period depending on how things go. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
So presumably without the sneaks Friday would be near 235 👀 -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Are there any Tuesday showings for Paw in your area soaking up demand? I noticed some locally and thought it was odd. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Yeah you are a little pessimistic on TFri growth compared to me. Pretty close though. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Perhaps. Gotg went +62% on Lanor Day Sat vs +38% on its 2nd weekend but +80ish in deeper fall. Still my going with 30% was already accounting for that a little. Iirc Jat has used +25% in some rough scenarios. Previews as 31% of OD, +25% Sat, -15% Sun would get you 8.4x still. I will be bummed and surprised if previews go below F9, but for a conservative forecast could try 6.6*8.3 for 55. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Having this below JC when it’s PAless was pure nonsense. Anyway, since we’re going to have some very rough Th numbers soon, let’s talk IM. The Th:TFri ratio should be (much) better than BW as it’s: nonPA, new character, and less summery. I think we can see Th/OD around 30-33% (personally thinking lower end). Sat bump will be better because of same two factors. Ragnarok was +42%, DS1 +35%, perhaps let us say +30% conservatively. Then Sunday is holiday, should go basically -10ish. That would give an IM of 8.1-9.1 for the 3-day. Mon would then be ballpark 33% drop from Sun -> 20% of 3-day, so 9.7-11x for 4-day. For now I’ll try 8*8.6 for a nice 3-day. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I guess this explains Endgame’s notoriously weak PS then -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Yeah, it was May 7-9. It got MTC2… +MTC3… +Mother’s day. No market expansion to speak of as all regions were open already. Looking at the Fri and Sat weekly jumps the new chains have a clear impact. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Yep. But worth noting that the PTA in theaters where that was its wk 8 or whatever was so low that the new locs didn’t exactly need huge business to bump it a little. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I think this weekend lines up more with the Meg -29% weekend in terms of calendar -- but ow sun is often a little stronger than normal sun, so yeah, 25 can be hoped. Re mtc2, hour diff and admits vs gross explain most of it.