Cooper Legion

Very well, I accept

Considering the blackout and D+ situations, a June 18 or 25 debut would seem ideal for Widow. Is there any chance of that still, or is Dinsney being a moron about debuting early here?

7.5 Maoyan The prophecy of TF5 is complete.

From keyser update I’ll go 5->50->57 for AQP and 1.6->24.5->30 for Cruella

I really don’t see the 4-day IM going under 18x (and even that would be pretty low). What would we be looking at to go from 1,5 to 21.5? 1.5 5 6.25 5 3.75 or so? Small side Disney LA reimaginings tend to have much better prev:true fri than that.

Yeah it’s hard to say where walk ups and MTC ratio will go exactly, the theatrical environment is fairly changed since even 5 weeks ago when last we worked from MTC. Staying conservative probably wise. But the preview:OD finding should be modestly robust to those factors, and I do feel confident in saying it points to a strong IM. Even if previews were like 1.2M, seems like 25M+ 4-day should be on the table looking at recent kids/family targeted fare on MDW.

Oh, and here’s data for the Mal2 true fri at same point (actually these are midday for Mal, didn’t notice that before but explains part of why I got such high numbers). Anyway Cruella is actually 15% ahead! Even with mid-day for mal vs night for Cruella, we have apples to apples timing in terms of Prev:OD ratio for each. And it looks like Cruella is even more skewed toward true fri, perhaps supporting my supposition that it might have a higher IM as a non-sequel. Perhaps 1.5*18+ for the 3-day if I had to stake my life atm.

Thanks for dropping by Keyser, it’s manna from heaven. And there’s a decent chance this weekend will be ~ as big for openers as F9 weekend anyway, so... definitely seems worthy of the check in if you’re planning one for then.

Maleficent 2 at same point. The MTC ratio is very different, but this looks like previews about 88%? 2M if you just straight multiple (not necessarily kosher, but hey, I’m about to do it anyway). Chop off 10% for Canada, 1.8ish? Seems broadly in line with what we were seeing in Denver. Mal 2 3-day IM was 16, with Sun nearly flat from the holiday and not being a sequel, Cruella can go 17xish imo. That would be like 30M 3-day, 36+ 4-day or something, which seems on the high side intuitively. My main conclusion is that we’ll have to see what happens in the final days and to the IM in light of covid, PA, capacity, etc but these MTC numbers look pretty fine to me?

2B combined from the 3 first entries this year would be a rather depressing result imo. Hoping for at least 2.5B or so

Nah Also it’s #26 😛

Ahahahahaha, yup, 7.7 now

I... would be. I mean that’s what I hoped for in 2019, but now that we know more it seems targeted toward Chinese Americans and not especially well suited to actual Chinese.

If you’ve got Shang-Chi over this pretty sure that puts you in a substantial minority. Certainly Menor’s comment you were responding to meant Spider-man #1 and this above Shang-Chi/BW.

Huh? #2 because of Spider-man.

It’s not like interference is inherently good or bad. Some studios have a track record of “interference” leading to a good final product, some not so much. And that’s probably the most I should say on the topic lest we attract the gaze of Sauron 😛

People being surprised by humor in an MCU movie will never get old 🤣

BW trailer 1 did 12x 1 hr likes, Shang-Chi 5x. So 960-2.3M I guess

To comment on the teaser itself: I mean, it looks good. Liked the visuals, liked the audio. There’s almost no indication about the plot or the characters personalities, which is what really make or break a movie. But I remain as optimistic about those aspects as I was an hour ago, and it does the job of a teaser well.

AQP1 did ¥220 with a 7.8, so not expecting too much here 😛

Damn, are you trying to tell me this isn’t going to make 2.9B That sucks tbh, excitement for the movie is all gone

Holy shit, game time fam

Very robust Monday walkins, 60+. Looks like about 1400 finish now, don’t plan to follow very closely from here.

Unfortunately no. With the holdovers possibly dropping to under 10M, Cruella+AQP2 would need ~50M to break the post-pandemic 3-day record. I do expect that will happen (peg the 2 of them ~60M combined 3-day) but it’s not a foregone conclusion.