Dude cmoonnnnnnn. I’m a marvel fan too but you don’t have to shill like this. It’s at the top of the 2023 chart because no other big movies have come out in 2023 yet! The end of year placement will be absolutely embarrassing. It has been totally rejected by audiences and will have a pathetic total both DOM and os born from horrible legs off a soft opening.
NWO will be the first entry of Sam Cap, who, no offense, doesn't have Steve's presence. Trying to make it a CW when it should be more of a TFA seems like a mistake to begin with.
Eh, looks like 2022-2026 or so will be a weak period. Will need to see saga 3 and new DCU fail before declaring CBMs really down rather than just ebb and flow
Estimating a -29% sun, may not be that much room to improve. I think 60 is possible though — it takes a 22.5% drop if you take friSat ests at face value but if they get revised up like 400k then a lot more wiggle room.
Maybe 12.5? They’re in the right ballpark.
AM&tW nominal looks dead, quite an embarrassing faceplant here. Lost out on about 150M DOM because of quality in my estimation — and won’t be surprised if we see a lot more of that this saga.
Also, absolutely hilarious to me that a Demon Slayer “fan” could somehow not be aware that it was the last two eps of S2+the first of S3 — guess that goes some way to explaining why the PS were so oddly high though
I haven’t gone super deep on translating Thanksgiving opens, but it had a 61M 7day. That would likely be a ballpark 45M Fri open (though the 7day is probably a bit inflated).
Had a 2.66x multiplexer from the 3day, and previews 32% of OD — taken together with a 3.2x true IM those would correspond to an Fri opening pattern of:
6M previews
13M true fri
41M true OW // 47M OW
On a quick look say 42-46 with fri open imo. Adjusted to 2023 atp like 52-57 so will probably be close on admits?