Cooper Legion

Lmao, what? No. Just no.

Well, the first thing is to look at the weekly multiplier, not the raw gross. Might also want to consider lining up the calendars rather than just using weeks after release. I have been comparing to TFA, Avatar, ROTK, JWTTJ, and Frozen at this point though there isn’t anything objectively correct about them, just a handful of well legging releases from a similar point in the calendar. 10th weekend ranks, to wit (this is from BOM, so not removal of silly limited expansion stuff): NWH 11th TFA 65th Avatar 2nd rotk 101st jwwtj 29th frozen 6th

The NWH tues was a lot better than I had expected. I think there’s some kind of $2 super extra discount Tuesday at play so wed/tues may look extra harsh — I’d look at wed/mon or wed/sat drops instead. @TwoMisfits can confirm/deny/elaborate

What does this have to do with anything Endgame’s 9th week was less than 30% of NWH’s

agree mostly good but Nile and Marry Me are par or probably under

Yeah it’s baffling. If you wanna be sad about Ukraine we have threads for that, but the idea that it will somehow affect the BO is historically ridiculous.

What would that possibly have to do with Batman

Numbers get posted when there are new ones, usually Friday if we get some weekly cumes reported or sun/mon for wknd estimates and then actuals. It’s fine to chat about past or future performance in the market when it isn’t interrupting that.

Avatar 1 only did 94 so I don't really see why 2 would go above 80M

One week update: stand pat

Yeah. I think a 45 day window is pretty clear, but I also doubt it matters much. Overlap between people who would go OW and those who wanna wait 45 days is probably pretty small.

Fwiw this is like 5.75-6.25 whereas I gave 5-6.25. If I had to pin down a narrower window maybe like 5.3-5.8 for me, still thinking Sat single digits rather than the almost 30% here.

Oh my GOD the pedantry. Kilar is extremely clear in that quote that it’s coming on day 46.

Pretty unlikely, probably 15Mish NWH ballpark 65 10 days out, so Batman ~ 20%. The (tues+wed+Th)/(Th) is doing a lot better for Batman than the FSS/FSS— to be more precise maybe about a third for prev/prev vs like a sixth for postprev/postprev. NWH had already sold out many of the best Th screens/seats and spilled over quite a lot, whereas Batman hasn’t. You can check out @Inceptionzq prev/Fri/Sat/Sun ratios to see this in action.

If anybody is assuming it must go over 100… I would stop assuming that. It’s pretty likely but a preview of like 18 could definitely miss.

100-125

Taken as a whole regionals suggest sub 20 from tue wed Th right now imo. MTCs similar. Really going to need a stronger review pop than the comps.

No expansion: ~15-20M March gross after Batman opens, top 6 of month expansion: 30-40M March gross after Batman opens, top 3 of month

3x before Batman opens, thinking a drop in the 30s that wknd but let’s see,

Sony went very pessimistic with both Holland movies. Have been expecting both to beat by at least 20%, probably more like 25%.

Don’t worry I won’t

God I can't wait for avatar 2 👀

Seems pretty pessimistic nwh mon

Looks like 4M+. What is all time top few again? nvm, it’s like 3 posts up. About to beat endgame for top 5 but like no chance at titanic for #4.

Mojo has the wrong sun est (to be precise, they fat fingered the 3 and the 8). The-numbers is showing the correct sun est from Sony of 2.385 (7.2-fri-sat). It beat that by ~10% per Jat’s num.