Cooper Legion

I'm up to like 115 I guess

I was just making a joke about china fwiw. I agree that some fall from outlier success is fine, and Joker is outlier of outlier. Any kind of reference to it's success being applied to expectations of actual Batman movies makes less than zero sense to me.

Putting it rather generously

Yes

Yeah this will be lucky to make like 5M in russia under current conditions. I think WB would be better off cancelling the release.

Philly has been stable at ~21.5 for a long time at this point (I'm taking Geomean of BW and NWH, but you could throw TROS and et into the mix and it's the same story, or use an exponential fit and mostly same story). Philly has seemed to be on the higher end of our indicators, so still thinking 19-23 basically. It will need really huge final week to make much gain on the comps, so let's see what raves/early wom can do.

TFA and skyfall

Aus is clearly a typo. Very likely 1.07 is merely a rounded figure and 1.072 is correct

Yes

Looks like the ruble may lose more than half it's value soon. Be prepared for mojo to declare that it's Russia gross has dropped from $45M to $20M or whatever

Tfw multiple comments are about how TFA OW could last for a long time and it's out of the top 3 now Good thread though.

Now that's what I'm talking about for spider-man. Slightly below Dog PSA with its good hold though. Will be interesting to see how screens shake out next wknd.

Catching fire

Dog over 10M

Seems like strong Saturday’s for jackass and scream, hope NWH follows suit.

With overall sales much lower the plf % should be higher. Also likely to be doing less ps business in lower atp areas of the country.

So hey, are any of Zelensky’s movies like… good? How about that TV comedy where he played the president of Ukraine?

It’s hard to disentangle because: The final week is the big ramp regardless of when reviews drop this movie has been widely expected to be super good for the whole run already

Who cares? You are aware that this movie isn't coming out in 2020/2021, right? It's coming out now.

Judging based on expectations is always a delicate and tricky matter, but I think it would be pretty understandable to call a 125M opening, a 350 total, or a 700 WW an underperformance. Those would all be very poorly ranked compared to most past Batman movies, which is a decently populous reference class. Such nums are fine for weaker franchises/nonfranchise fare, fine for top tiers franchises in the aughts/early 10s maybe, and fine (more than fine, actually) for a pandemic era release. But covid is really wound down at this point, so... Edit:Joker comparisons make 0 sense though imo. That movie is an outlier and exception in an extreme sense, not really a Batman movie or an action superhero movie at all. Instead I would look at Bvs, Nolan, and pre Nolan Batman solos -- but especially first entries. Batman 2 will do gangbusters as long as Batman 1 delivers the quality.

👀 🤔

Is this weighted vs NWH final atp or t-5 atp?

Part of why I don't want to make much of a fi prediction is that I wouldn't have predicted the (relatively) gentle start in the first place.

Sheet updated. A brutal weekend for openers, I will probably be middle of the pack rather than a total disaster again. Basically @CJohn and @AN9815 jockeying for 1st

Yeah, Russia went in with the kid gloves here and it’s not getting the job done. Question is cut your losses or double down — could go either way I think.