Joyous Legion
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Everything posted by Joyous Legion
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One factor is the returning cast and the other is that “dinos are out in the world now” is a stronger hook than “back to the island v4.0”
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Jurassic world will perform closer to JW1 adjusted (like mid 700s) than JW2 adjusted (mid 400s) imo. Call it 750, 450, geomean’d be… 581M
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The 2022 DOM race has like 3 movies taking a crack a 600+, Spiderverse won’t be 50% of the champion even if it does gangbusters.
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Part of this might be that GvK performed exactly in line with my expectations from like, February. I was tracking covid recovery quite closely and it was apparent that the end March market was going to be stronger than people expected.
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“Always going to hit” kind of elides then difference between 450M and 750M, which is a pretty big difference. For instance, a difference of 3 GvKs. If NWH was just puttering to like 625 from a weekend around TLJ perhaps there would be a serious argument here.
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I agree that expectations/surprise play an important role, but NWH is absolutely crushing those in addition to being in a different stratosphere of raw nums. Until PS started nobody thought it had a snowball’s chance in hell to beat TFA and IW openings with omicron on the rise, and thanks to @Cap we have the receipts on that. Obviously NWH is more of a preordained hit, but not to a 7x DOM gross degree.
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I mean… you could argue them for 2nd and 3rd place, but cmon now 😛
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Probably gonna knock IW out of the top 5 WW-C
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-55% is just unbelievable. This thing will set holiday poor legs records that last til the end of time. Nice sing hold though.
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Needs ~738M to match TLJ true fss legs, think we will get there. Also 2nd weekend looks very likely 9th, but it's less than 2% away from 8th so I am waiting for actuals before contest scoring.
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90+ weekdays imo. But if it falls short I’ll look at other movies to see external vs internal factors.
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It was. Nothing screamed frontloaded, internal weekend dailies were normal-betyer than normal.
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Yeah, but that was pretty pessimistic 😛 Sat Sun were awful, it's some omicron not normal trending
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85 was definitely surprising, cmon. 24 would be pretty normal daily pattern it's just that PS at xxr's location were awful.
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As I've said, trailer stats pretty weak but also pretty much unusable. I don't love it's placement on fandango most anticipated though. Gotta repeat NWH leak based marketing
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Federally, Xmas was observed Fri and nothing was observed today. Practically, a lot of people are off today and for this entire week.
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Nope, sat xmas was observed Fri
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Maybe like 40-80 high in my books.
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I usually disagree with Maggie’s bearishness but I’m pretty much with them on FB3. Sub100 on the table.
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With the sun revised up my horizontal would be 21-22.5, probably put more stock in that than the vertical. But yeah, 23-24 would be nice.
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Clearly there are some critics with a grudge against marvel… and some who go very easy on them. These concepts are not in opposition to each other.
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Anything under 23 probably gets the job done.
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Avatar was still in reach with 32, little closer with 33.5 of course. I expect Mon to kill it though.
