Joyous Legion

And as Baumer says the Canada restriction is a bit of a drag, in NWH case in particular it would be better to have US only calculations if possible.

You’ve gotta use division instead of subtraction or you just can’t compare different sizes sensibly. We know Knives Out, TGS, Spiderverse has great legs and BvS poor ones, but in post OW cash BvS will look much better. Also, record breaking OWs often have very good classical legs (total/OW) and even below new #1 records I don’t think there is (or at least, was) the kind of robust negative correlation between big OWs and weak multis that you seem to be implying. However, I’m definitely not saying that total/OW should be the one true objective measure of holding quality. It’s ultimately rather arbitrary and probably most used only because it’s convenient (in other words, lazy 😛 ). True FSS legs are better imo and I use them a lot — helps adjust for different preview sizes some. Total/first 7 days is realistically much better than classical legs calculation — including weekdays automatically helps balance for school vs summer vs winter, handle holiday Mondays, and handle midweek releases. (Total-previews)/(true first 7 days) even better yet. And if you wanted to penalize films less for opening big then you could try perhaps post-1stSun/(first 7 days post 1stSun), or post-ThPost1stSun/(first 7 days post ThPost1stSun), some decreasing weighted mix of first week multi, 2nd week multi, etc.

Eh, movies haven’t been performing particularly differently in terms of post OW behavior. NWH always has the rising omicron excuse to fall back on if we need it but that’s an explanation of why the legs would be disappointing, not exactly a negation of their being disappointing. That said, it appears that xmas day was weak across the board (as others have said) and there are some plausible pandemic related reasons for that (as others have said). The 2nd weekdays are what’s make or break on this calendar, so… 🤞

Don’t sell yourself short! I believe in the power of BestPictureIphoneRainTodayVideo

Realistically the situation is pretty good now, with increasing evidence that cases just aren’t a big deal for vaccinated and it will peak soon. But it’s always hard to tell just how much public sentiment will lag the cutting edge.

Mon and Wed were both a little above expectation I think.

405.5M to date 31.5 33 26 24 23 23 19 29 19 (67) 8 11 652M through Jan 4th 120-150M after that

With 3 A+ in 7 days, I guess it really is meaningless now 👀

We’re saved

Anyway, yeah, pretty weak. But it’s been a long time since this calendar and there are some unique circumstances. Gotta wait until Mon before declaring this a full on disaster level crumble

A NWH meltdown thread?

Thanks for the report old chum, guess we can expect 2nd week increase then

Tomorrow and Monday weekly drops will be a good sign.

Doesn’t seem too concerning to me tbh, Mon should have the weakest Xmas bump of the 7 possible calendars.

About 585 today, like 10% drop. Good but not too indicative of general legs just yet.

Titanic +157 (Th) MI +119 (Sun) Hobbit3 +118 (Th) Avatar +107 (Fri) AQM +103 (Tues) TFA +80 (Fri) Hobbit2 +77 (Wed) RO +69 (Sun) Hobbit1 +63 (Tues) TROS +59 (Wed) TLJ +56 (Mon)

I think he’s got flat Sun and I’m expecting drop in teens.

TFA was Friday, Fri/Th is about as good as Sat/Fri in winter break. It should beat the rest but O/U 37 seems reasonable.

That would be nice. I was getting 30-32 from Fri as well, as I said (with a 20 est). Using Zack’s Fri as 21 (chain ratios may change on eve, I dunno) then I guess 31-34ish. Still gotta hope it’s unrepresentative.

If your theater was nationally representative we’d be in for a really ugly Sat. Using both last Sat and Fri I get like 30-32. The good news is — your loc will probably just end up unrepresentative.

You’re at the point where you could start doing vertical comps instead/in addition. PSm should be better than 7 days earlier but it’s more consistent in some ways that comparing to the previous day — especially once we hit 2nd mon.

Hearing… where?

Still two weeks to go, nice growth, must be on downslope of U still. I assume 5 Th /15 OW still possible on high end? Should be weekend top 3 with anything 10+ I guess — beat ow gross and wknd rank for an Indian release in can/us?

Like 700 DOM, 1.5 WW? It’s a done deal at this point.

“I used the Cumberbatch to destroy the Cumberbatch”