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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. Underwhelming debit makes a lot of sense with how D+ shows have been. WV is still the best and this is tapping into some nostalgia for that, I think it will grow/hold stronger than usual and put up solid final viewership numbers especially compared to budget. but that will all depend on remaining good so no guarantees of course
  2. The reason they put “from the people who brought you [X movie you liked]” instead of “from studio so and so” is because nobody knows or particularly cares about studio so and so directly. And even then I bet it has almost no impact. People go to see a movie based on the premise or promos looking interesting/good to them and later on buzz from people (reviewers and then GA WOM) who’ve seen it. Take any trailer and replace the studio logo and association with past liked movies with some pretty much any other and you’ll get basically identical performance. Disney/Pixar are exceptions so waht becasue of the long history and quality creating their own kind of cultural aspect but even then something like Frozen or Encanto or Toy Story 1 or Inside Out 1 would have been similar hits if they were blue sky or dream works or illumination or whatever small ball animation studio you please — the movie itself is what audiences liked, followed by the trailer and clips that are a function of the movie itself rather than the studio, and that’s what drives the business
  3. If it was the same movie just produced from blue sky It would have grossed like 99% the same. Only weirdos like us even know what animation studio any nonPixar/WDAS is from
  4. Furthermore many many of their past works have sold as many tickets OW as this needed for $50M. Wouldn’t have been particularly remarkable in the scope of the studio history or anything. That said it looks like high 30s with some storm and scheduling damage, quite a fine outcome
  5. Yday was 1.25 so 2 would be only +60, #notarecord
  6. Show has been good so far, as expected. Getting acceptable chatter/reception, key will be holding quality and building buzz in midseason
  7. Spectacular hold for dpw. May do like 1.4M weeks here into ~3M wknd, setting up low-mid 640s finish
  8. this is correct, but awkward that there’s a relatively persistent visual illusion of having 6 fingers 🤣
  9. And with that, DPW move into 2nd place among the MCU for weekend top 5s: NWH 13 DPW 9 BP1, BP2 8 Also a little check up on the TA-JW streak of DOM finishes: Still no two consecutive wknds with the same winner yet, though that is about to come to an end this weekend unless they randomly expand DPW for zero reason 😛 Still, relatively confident that there is no other group of 5 in a row DOM grossers with this property. Neat! In fact the wknd winners are even more evenly distributed than that with one for JW and 2 each for DPW, TA, Barbie, and IO2
  10. 220M week, +10%. Holiday? In any case now aiming for perhaps 5.6ish or another ~3.5M USD relative to sun cume
  11. I didn’t do anything but quote your comment exactly as it was 😛
  12. Sorry, lmao wut. Somebody’s about to lose prophet status 👀
  13. Gotg1 was an extremely good movie at a time when the franchise was doing extremely well. Doing like 65% of admits would be awesome but I think the median case has to be lower
  14. Yeah that would be weak but we’re still in recovery mode I think. Would be better to do 40l with an A than 600 with a B+
  15. Eh, maybe 80/220/500. A lot will depend on the quality of BNW and itself
  16. If this continues the opening at #2 curse that means one of two things: miserably bad weekend overall spectacular for v3
  17. Tbf it is quite rare to get new top 10 members and even more so to have uncertainty about whether we will get one or not as late as wknd 15 of a movies run. Makes sense for bo nerds to continue talking about-- just, you know, preferably coolheadedly
  18. Sure, decent chance. Maybe fire and ash beats it though. And if IO2 does beat it, it will be 11th for that time period instead of 10th. Doesn’t really matter either way. Just saying as an analytical matter it could still go either way. Hyperactive swings instead of patience isn’t helpful to anyone 😛
  19. Dude, you’re writing off IO2 way too prematurely and decisively. Just chill. We’ll see in a month or two
  20. I think it’s very likely that IO2 will still pass JW if you look at the late runs of e.g. I2, TS4, Dory. Probably add 400k-1M ish without any particularly strong push, remaining in a small number of theaters til early Dec. If it’s like 100k short when Moana is coming out it’s breeze to attach a little
  21. 17th WW-C vs 19th WW overall, pretty similar. Looks like it will be one place over DH2 on both lists funny enough
  22. For the curious (this will be Monday of next week, 9 days out rather than 2): 2021 Thursday v2 previews, can’t make out an effect since everything drops from the large previews https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-chart/daily/2021/09/30 2022 Friday no detectable effect imo but hard to tell on Fridays https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-chart/daily/2022/09/30 2023 Saturday same deal https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-chart/daily/2023/09/30 so this will be the first detectable effect DPW will also be inflated ~25% or so next Wednesday (4 days not 11)
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